• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scenario-based evaluation system

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Development of an Incentive Level Evaluation Technique of Direct Load Control using Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 직접부하제어의 적정 제어지원금 산정기법 재발)

  • 정윤원;박종배;신중린
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.121-128
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a new approach for determining an accurate incentive levels of Direct Load Control (DLC) program using sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) techniques. The economic analysis of DLC resources needs to identify the hourly-by-hourly expected energy-not-served resulting from the random outage characteristics of generators as well as to reflect the availability and duration of DLC resources, which results the computational explosion. Therefore, the conventional methods are based on the scenario approaches to reduce the computation time as well as to avoid the complexity of economic studies. In this paper, we have developed a new technique based on the sequential MCS to evaluate the required expected load control amount in each hour and to decide the incentive level satisfying the economic constraints. In addition, the mathematical formulation for DLC programs' economic evaluations are developed. To show the efficiency and effectiveness of the suggested method, the numerical studies have been performed for the modified IEEE reliability test system.

Evaluation and Application of CLUE-S Model for Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Future Land use Change in Total Water Pollution Load Management System (오염총량관리제의 시공간적 미래 토지이용 변화분석을 위한 CLUE-S 모델의 적용 및 평가)

  • Ryu, Jichul;Ahn, Ki Hong;Han, Mideok;Hwang, Hasun;Choi, Jaewan;Kim, Yong Seok;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.418-428
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to predict the spatio-temporal changes in land uses and to evaluate land-based pollutant loads in the future under Total Water Pollution Load Management System using CLUE-S model. For these ends, sensitive parameters of conversion elasticities in CLUE-S model were calibrated and these calibrated parameters of conversion elasticities, level II land cover map of year 2009, and 7 driving factors of land use changes were used in predicting future land uses in 2002 with two scenarios(Scenario 1: non area restriction, Scenario 2: area restriction). This projected land use map of 2020 was used to estimate land-based pollutant loads. It was expected that urban areas will increase in 2020 from both scenarios 1 and 2. In Scenario 1, urban areas are expected to increase within greenbelt areas and deforest would be expected. Under Scenario 2, these phenomena were not expected. Also the results of estimation of BOD and TP pollutant loads, the BOD difference between scenarios 1 and 2 was 719 kg/day in urban areas and TP difference was 17.60 kg/day in urban areas. As shown in this study, it was found that the CLUE-S model can be useful in future pollutant load estimations because of its capability of projecting future land uses considering various socio-economic driving factors and area-restriction factors, compared with conventionally used land use prediction model.

Probabilistic Reliability Based HVDC Expansion Planning of Power System Including Wind Turbine Generators (풍력발전기를 포함하는 전력계통에서의 신뢰도 기반 HVDC 확충계획)

  • Oh, Ungjin;Lee, Yeonchan;Choi, Jaeseok;Yoon, Yongbeum;Kim, Chan-Ki;Lim, Jintaek
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.1
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    • pp.8-15
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    • 2018
  • New methodology for probabilistic reliability based grid expansion planning of HVDC in power system including Wind Turbine Generators(WTG) is developed in this paper. This problem is focused on scenario based optimal selection technique to decide best connection bus of new transmission lines of HVDC in view point of adequacy reliability in power system including WTG. This requires two kinds of modeling and simulation for reliability evaluation. One is how is reliability evaluation model and simulation of WTG. Another is to develop a failure model of HVDC. First, reliability evaluation of power system including WTG needs multi-state simulation methodology because of intermittent characteristics of wind speed and nonlinear generation curve of WTG. Reliability methodology of power system including WTG has already been developed with considering multi-state simulation over the years in the world. The multi-state model already developed by authors is used for WTG reliability simulation in this study. Second, the power system including HVDC includes AC/DC converter and DC/AC inverter substation. The substation is composed of a lot of thyristor devices, in which devices have possibility of failure occurrence in potential. Failure model of AC/DC converter and DC/AC inverter substation in order to simulate HVDC reliability is newly proposed in this paper. Furthermore, this problem should be formulated in hierarchical level II(HLII) reliability evaluation because of best bus choice problem for connecting new HVDC and transmission lines consideration. HLII reliability simulation technique is not simple but difficult and complex. CmRel program, which is adequacy reliability evaluation program developed by authors, is extended and developed for this study. Using proposed method, new HVDC connected bus point is able to be decided at best reliability level successfully. Methodology proposed in this paper is applied to small sized model power system.

Design and Implementation of Geo-Social Information based Personalized Warning Notification System

  • Duc, Tiep Vu;Nguyen-Van, Quyet;Kim, Kyungbaek
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.42-50
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    • 2016
  • In case of a emergency situation or a natural disaster, a warning notification system is an essential tool to notify at-risk people in advance and provide them useful information to survive the event. Although some systems have been proposed such as emergency alert system using android, SMS, or P2P overlay network, these works mainly focus on a reliable message distribution methods. In this paper, we proposed a novel design and implementation of a personalized warning notification system to help inform not only the at-risk people but also their family and friends about the coming disaster as well as escape plan and survival information. The system consists of three main modules: the user selection module, the knowledge based message generator, and message distribution modules. The user selection module collects the list of people involved in the event and sorts them based on their level of involvement (their location, working position and social relationships). The knowledge based message generator provides each person with a personalized message that is concise and contains only the necessary information for the particular person based on their working position and their involvement in the event. The message distribution module will then find a best path for sending the personalized messages based on trustiness of locations since network failures may exist in a disaster event. Additionally, the system also have a comprehensive database and an interactive web interface for both user and system administrator. For evaluation, the system was implemented and demonstrated successfully with a building on fire scenario.

Improvement and Educational Effectiveness of Fashion Consumption Trend Analysis Class Based on IC-PBL (IC-PBL 기반의 패션 소비트렌드 분석 수업 개선 및 교육적 효과)

  • Jaekyong Lee
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.121-134
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    • 2023
  • With the development of information and communication technology, interest in new educational approaches that can enhance the learning performance of learners with improved information literacy skills is increasing, and universities are actively promoting educational innovation to foster the talents required by society. In the field of fashion studies education, which is closely related to the fashion industry, there is a strong need to develop field-linked educational programs that reflect the trends in the industry and changes in the educational system. The purpose of this study was to introduce industry-coupled problem-based learning (IC-PBL) to the course "Understanding Fashion Consumption Trends" for non-fashion majors to reflect the current needs and strengthen the educational effectiveness of the learners through a survey. A seven-step curriculum (introduction to the class, practitioner's problem, learner's problem analysis, organizing concepts related to variables, information collection and scenario writing, presentation and scenario proposal, and evaluation) not only enhanced learners' understanding of fashion consumption trends and the fashion industry but also greatly amplified learners' satisfaction with the class. The results of the survey showed that the seven-step curriculum was effective in increasing learners' self-directed learning ability, problem-solving ability, and confidence in learning. Self-directed learning ability was stronger than other factors, consistent with the core principle of problem-based learning to empower learners to take the initiative and promote self-directed learning. Each factor analyzed was positively correlated.

A Study on the Test Method of Autonomous Vehicle for Fixed Targets (고정목표에 대한 자율주행자동차 시험방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Bong-Ju;Lee, Seon-Bong
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.6-16
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    • 2022
  • Recent, the issue of the fourth industrial revolution triggered by technological advances has changed the automobile industry centered on internal combustion engines, and quantitative growth of the global automobile market, which has grown rapidly, has been slowing since 2015. These advances in technology are expected to develop beyond the advanced driver assistance system to autonomous driving technology. According to SAE-J3016 published by the Society of Automotive Engineers, the technology of autonomous vehicles is divided into a total of six stages according to the driver's intervention and automation level from 0 to 5. Securing safety for autonomous vehicles is important. But, research on safety evaluation theory and autonomous vehicle evaluation method based on real vehicle test is insufficient. In this study, the longitudinal distance theory equation and continuous test scenario were proposed for the test method of autonomous vehicles for fixed targets, and the real vehicle test was conducted. When comparing the theoretical values compared to the measured values, it was determined that it was reliable with a minimum error rate of 0.484% and a maximum error rate of 7.391%. Using the proposed theoretical equation, it is judged that it can be used as a safety evaluation method in an environment where real vehicle test is not possible because it can grasp the trend in the longitudinal direction in the development stage.

Fixed Relays for Next Generation Wireless Systems - System Concept and Performance Evaluation

  • Pabst Ralf;Esseling Norbert;Walke Bernhard H.
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.104-114
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    • 2005
  • This work presents a concept and the related analysis of the traffic performance for a wireless broadband system based on fixed relay stations acting as wireless bridges. The analysis focuses on the important performance indicators end-to-end throughput and delay, taking into account the effects of an automated repeat request protocol. An extension to a MAC frame based access protocol like IEEE 802.11e, 802.15.3, 802.16a, and HIPERLAN2 is outlined and taken as basis for the calculations. The system is intended for both dense populated areas as an overlay to cellular radio systems and to provide wide-area broad-band coverage. The two possible deployment scenarios for both dense urban and wide-area environments are introduced. Analytical and validating simulation results are shown, proving the suitability of the proposed concept for both of the mentioned scenarios. It is established that the fixed relaying concept is well suited to substantially contribute to provide high capacity cellular broad-band radio coverage in next generation (NG) cellular wireless broadband systems.

Methods and Sample Size Effect Evaluation for Wafer Level Statistical Bin Limits Determination with Poisson Distributions (포아송 분포를 가정한 Wafer 수준 Statistical Bin Limits 결정방법과 표본크기 효과에 대한 평가)

  • Park, Sung-Min;Kim, Young-Sig
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2004
  • In a modern semiconductor device manufacturing industry, statistical bin limits on wafer level test bin data are used for minimizing value added to defective product as well as protecting end customers from potential quality and reliability excursion. Most wafer level test bin data show skewed distributions. By Monte Carlo simulation, this paper evaluates methods and sample size effect regarding determination of statistical bin limits. In the simulation, it is assumed that wafer level test bin data follow the Poisson distribution. Hence, typical shapes of the data distribution can be specified in terms of the distribution's parameter. This study examines three different methods; 1) percentile based methodology; 2) data transformation; and 3) Poisson model fitting. The mean square error is adopted as a performance measure for each simulation scenario. Then, a case study is presented. Results show that the percentile and transformation based methods give more stable statistical bin limits associated with the real dataset. However, with highly skewed distributions, the transformation based method should be used with caution in determining statistical bin limits. When the data are well fitted to a certain probability distribution, the model fitting approach can be used in the determination. As for the sample size effect, the mean square error seems to reduce exponentially according to the sample size.

A Study on the Construction and Evaluation of Intrusion Scenarios Based on 3D LiDAR Data (삼차원 라이더 데이터 기반의 침입 시나리오 구축 및 평가 연구)

  • Lee, Yoon-Yim;Lee, Eun-Seok;Noh, Hee-Jeon;Lee, Sung-Hyun;Kim, Young-Chul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.131-132
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    • 2022
  • We generate classifications and scenarios for intrusions based on 3D LiDAR Data. Research was conducted to analyze and diversify various actual intrusion cases to establish a system that can recognize objects and identify and guard data on intrusion. By generating and simulating basic scenarios for cars, people, animals, natural objects and etc, we create a classification scheme necessary to build and evaluate systems for intrusion. Based on the finally constructed scenario, we add variables for vehicles and surrounding objects to diversify scenarios, and lay the foundation for building accurate and automated alerting systems for future intrusions.

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On the Derivation of System Requirements from the Artifacts of the System Development in the Urban Transit Standardization Program (도시철도표준화사업에서 시스템개발 산출물로부터 시스템 요구사항 도출 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Sang-Wook;Lee, Jae-Chon;Lee, Woo-Dong;Chung, Jong-Duk
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.1791-1797
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    • 2010
  • The Urban Transit Standardization Program has been supported by the Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs. The Program consists of dozen or more projects and thus is quite complex, which implies that the program success heavily depends upon the effective management of various artifacts during the development. Particularly, in the complex systems development, developing and managing requirements is very important throughout the whole system life cycle. The requirements can be the basis of the design changes to be made later as well as the test and evaluation to be performed in the subsequent stages of the systems development. As such, the derivation of the system's requirement based on the needs from the customers, or stakeholder in a broad sense must be done properly. In particular, notice that the system is being developed but the system requirements are not fully available for some reasons. To complement this situation is the purpose of the study. To derive proper requirements effectively in the process of development, this paper proposes to draw up scenario using the output of the system under development and to utilize the use case diagrams and operational scenarios.

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