• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scenario based Analysis

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A Riverbed Change Prediction by River-Crossing Structure -Focused on the Major River Reaches of the Multifunctional Administrative City- (하천 횡단구조물에 의한 하상변동 예측 - 행정중심복합도시 주요 하천구간을 중심으로 -)

  • Yeon, Kyu-Sung;Jeong, Sang-Man;Yun, Chan-Young;Lee, Joo-Heon;Shin, Kwang-Seob
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2009
  • This study has been conducted for the long-term riverbed change prediction on Geum River and Miho Stream surrounding the planned Multifunctional Administrative City and the neighboring regions by the construction of a small dam. Based on the analysis of vertical riverbed changes of the cross-sectional data for the years 1988, 2002 and 2007, minimum bed elevation significantly decreased in both Geum River and Miho Stream in 2007 as compared to 1988. Compared to 2002, however, a slight elevation change was observed. To make a long-term prediction on riverbed changes by the construction of a small dam, a one dimensional HEC-RAS 4.0 model has been used. By the fixed bed model test, the water levels were calibrated. By using the cross-sectional data of 1988 and 2002, verification was conducted under a movable bed model. According to the prediction of riverbed changes for each scenario with varying height of small dam, minor impact is expected around Miho Stream while major impact is expected around Geum River by 2017, as the small dam height increases. If the small dam is 7m-high, for example, it's been simulated that 1.59m deposition would be expected around the upper stream of Miho Stream Confluence while 1.98m scour would be expected around the downstream of the small dam.

Safety Risk Management Policy of United States small unmanned aerial system (미 소형 무인비행체계의 안전성 위험관리 정책)

  • Hong, Jin-Keun
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.11 no.9
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this paper is to review the small unmanned aerial system (sUAS) safety policy promoted by the United States(US) government. Therefore, in this paper, along with sUAS risk factors, the risk factors of sUAS that the US government is interested in are described. In addition, the risk factors were classified into physical and non-physical factors, and provisions mentioned in the Federal Aviation Administration(FAA) Relicensing Act were reviewed. Other risk scenarios were analyzed focusing on target scenario items that the FAA is interested in, such as flight operation disruption, infrastructure damage, and facility trespassing. Of course, we looked at the risk management principles promoted by the US FAA. In this paper, as a research method, the direction and contents of the FAA's sUAS policy were studied and reviewed from the analysis of major foreign journals and policy. In the research result of this paper, by analyzing the FAA sUAS safety risk management policy, the integrated operation and safety policy, physical risk management policy, operation and safety regulation, and sUAS policy and technology direction necessary for establishing the sUAS safety risk management guide in Korea are presented. The contribution of this study is to identify the leading US sUAS safety policy direction, and it can be used as basic data for deriving future domestic policy directions from this. Based on the research results presented in the future, policy studies are needed to derive detailed implementation plans.

An Analysis of the Correspondence between Environmental Damage and the Subsidy in the Vicinity of a Landfill in the Seoul Methropolitan Area (수도권매립지 주변의 환경피해와 주민지원금 간의 상응성 분석)

  • Kang, Heechan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.365-393
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    • 2021
  • Using the Choice Experiment Method, this paper identified whether subsidy to the household around landfil in Seoul metropolitan area is being provided corresponding to the scale of the environmental damage. Since 2001, the subsidy program has been operating for nearly 20 years to compensate for various environmental damage (foul odor, noise, air pollution, water pollution, etc.) from landfill site in the metropolitan area, but it is not clear on what ground the subsidy is allocated. This paper estimated the marginal WTP by attribute (odor, noise, air pollution, and water pollution) based on mixed logit model and compared them with current subsidy level per household in each town. As a result of the comparison, it was found that the subsidy for each town was not allocated in proportion to the amount of the marginal WTP for each household in the corresponding town. In addition, this paper constructs a level-by-level scenario for environmental improvement attributes and compares economic benefits and current subsidy levels. As a result, the current subsidy level is insufficient compared to the level at which environmental damage is completely eliminated, but excessive subsidy is allocated compared to partial improvement levels.

Vulnerability Assessment of Maize and Wheat Production to Temperature Change - In Case of USA and China - (기온변화에 대한 옥수수와 밀 생산량 취약성 평가 - 미국과 중국을 사례로 -)

  • Song, Yongho;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Kwak, Hanbin;Kim, Moonil;Yang, Seung-Ryong
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.371-384
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    • 2013
  • The appearance of abnormal weather caused by climate change have both direct and indirect impact on the society. Especially, agriculture is brought up as a socially important interest having direct impact of climate change in growth and harvest of crops. This study aims to perform vulnerability assessment for the South Korea's two main imported grains, maize and wheat. The production vulnerability assessment of maize and wheat in USA and China to temperature variability, which has a great impact in production, is performed. First, grain cultivation period which affects productivity of main grain production country was selected based on the main cultivation period from several references and previous studies. Then, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change AR5 greenhouse gas scenario RCP(representative concentration pathways)8.5 scenarios was used to select the future climate that correspond to the cultivation period of maize and wheat for each producing country. According to the result of production vulnerability analysis using adaptation (temperature changing trend) and sensitivity(temperature variability), the productivity of wheat was higher in USA, while productivity of maize was higher in China. In the future, the result showed that productivity of all two grains will be favorable in USA. The result of production vulnerability assessment through this study can later be used as a preparation data for the coming fluctuation in grain price due to climate change.

Analysis of the types and path of young children to the popular songs (유아가 좋아하는 대중가요의 종류와 대중가요를 접하게 되는 경로 분석)

  • Kim, Dae-wook
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.157-161
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to investigate the types of popular songs and the paths to reach popular songs. Young children no longer sings for them. The popular song is deeply located around young children. Participants were 73 kindergarten children. Preliminary interviews were conducted from October 1, 2018 to October 11, 2018. Through the preliminary interview, the structured question was revised and the interview was conducted. This interview was conducted from October 22, 2018 to November 9. Based on the transferred data, I classified the types of popular songs that young children encounter into popular songs, popular singers, and genres. The path that young children touches the popular song is analyzed as place, medium, and person. As a popular song by young children, iKon as a popular singer, and k-pop as a genre. There were many kindergartens and houses in the place where young children got to know the popular songs, and they came into contact with many people through Youtube, and they got through family and friends. Through research, I have found that popular songs are already deeply embedded in the everyday life of young children. Now, it is necessary for young children to be equipped with popular song literacy.

A Study on a Roadmap for Establishing Spatial Information in the North Korean Region through Analysis of National Infrastructure Priorities - On the Premise that the North Korean Region is Accessible - (국가인프라 우선순위 분석을 통한 북한지역 공간정보구축 로드맵 연구 - 북한지역 접근가능을 전제로 -)

  • Kim, changjae;Lee, Byoungkil;Pyeon, Mu Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2021
  • This study collected and analyzed case studies related with the use of spatial information in North Korea to prioritize construction and required supporting processes in order to propose a short-term and long-term road map for the establishment of spatial information in North Korea. Recent research cases related to the prioritization of spatial information development were analyzed, and priority for the construction of infrastructure was derived based on the interconnectedness and relationship of national infrastructure. Due to the inaccessibility and remoteness of North Korea, all of the five studies determined priorities according to questionnaires and consulting of refugees and knowledgeable figures by expert groups. In summary, priority was given to unarmed and transborder areas, major cities, special zones, and development zones, while in terms of facilities, priority was given to power communication, railroads, water and sewage architectural buildings, roads, and dams. In the case of prioritizing the establishment of national infrastructure for the unified Korean Peninsula, the development of major areas, ports, and the related city-level spots to develop a line that promotes the sharing of routes such as transportation networks, water, and energy, thus leading to a scenario involving the development of cotton at an urban and national level.

CFD-based Fire Accident Impact Analysis in Clean Room for semiconductor PR Process (반도체 PR 공정의 클린룸내 CFD 기반 화재 사고 영향 분석)

  • Chun, Kwang-Su;Yi, Jinseok;Park, Myeongnam
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2021
  • The PR (Photo Resist) process in the semiconductor process is a process that uses a mixture of flammable substances. Due to the process equipment is installed in a clean room and when flammable substances leak, there is a high risk of suffocation, fire, and explosion. It is necessary to analyze the impact of accidents that may occur during operation and to evaluate whether the safety of workers can be guaranteed. In this study, the value of radiant heat and temperature change at the monitor point set up virtual inside the clean room was confirmed through CFD simulation of 10 leak and fire scenarios using the FLACS CFD - Fire Module. A fire that occurs inside a clean room transfers high radiant heat to the inter-story structure, but its scope is quite limited, and it is unlikely that it will collapse in a single fire accident. There was no scenario in which two stairs leading to the exit were exposed to high radiant heat at the same time due to a fire accident, therefore workers were able to escape in case of a fire. In addition, it was confirmed that the level of radiant heat and temperature rise rapidly decreased as they moved downstairs. According to the API 520 standard, workers exposed to 6.31 kW/m2 of radiant heat that workers can withstand for 30 seconds were confirmed that it was possible to sufficiently escape from the inside.

Hydrological drought risk assessment for climate change adaptation in South Korea (기후변화 적응을 위한 우리나라 수문학적 가뭄 위험도 평가)

  • Seo, Jungho;Chi, Haewon;Kim, Heey Jin;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.6
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    • pp.421-435
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    • 2022
  • As natural disasters have been increasing due to climate change, sustainable solutions are in need to alleviate the degree of drought hazard, assess and project the drought influence based on future climate change scenarios. In assessing drought risk, socio-economic factors of the region must be considered along with meteorological factors. This study categorized drought hazard, exposure, and vulnerability as three major components of drought risk according to the Intergovernmental panel on Climate Change (IPCC) risk assessment framework, and selected indices for each component to quantify the drought risk in South Korea according to the mid-size basins. Combinations of climate scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathway; RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5) and socio-economic scenarios (Shared Socio-economic Pathways; SSP 1, SSP2 and SSP3) for the near future (2030-2050) ant the far future (2080-2099) were utilized in drought risk analysis, and results were compared with the historical data (1986-2005). In general, the drought risks for all scenarios shows large increases as time proceeds to the far furture. In addition, we analyzed the rank of drought hazard, exposure, vulnerability for drought risk, and each of their contribution. The results showed that the drought hazard is the most contributing component to the increase of drought risk in future and each basin shows varying contributing components. Finally, we suggested countermeasures for each basin according to future climate change scenarios, and thus this study provides made the basis for establishing drought management measures.

Analysis of Propagation Characteristics in 6, 10, and 17 GHz Semi-Basement Indoor Corridor Environment (6, 10, 17 GHz 반지하 실내 복도 환경의 전파 특성 분석)

  • Lee, Seong-Hun;Cho, Byung-Lok
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.555-562
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    • 2022
  • This study measured and analyzed the propagation characteristics at frequencies 6, 10, and 17 GHz to discover the new propagation demands in a semi-basement indoor corridor environment for meeting the 4th industrial revolution requirements. The measured indoor environment is a straight corridor consisting of three lecture rooms and glass windows on the outside. The measurement scenario development and measurement system were constructed to match this environment. The transmitting antenna was fixed, and the frequency domain and time domain propagation characteristics were measured and analyzed in the line-of-sight environment based on the distance of the receiving antenna location. In the frequency domain, reliability was determined by the parameters of the floating intercept (FI) path loss model and an R-squared value of 0.5 or more. In the time domain, the root mean square (RMS) delay spread and the cumulative probability of K-factor were used to determine that 6 GHz had high propagation power and 17 GHz had low propagation power. These research results will be effective in providing ultra-connection and ultra-delay artificial intelligence services for WIFI 6, 5G, and future systems in a semi-basement indoor corridor environment.

Geological Factor Analysis for Evaluating the Long-term Safety Performance of Natural Barriers in Deep Geological Repository System of High-level Radioactive Waste (지질학적 심지층 처분지 내 천연방벽의 고준위 방사성 폐기물 장기 처분 안전성 평가를 위한 지질학적 인자 분석)

  • Hyeongmok Lee;Jiho Jeong;Jaesung Park;Subi Lee;Suwan So;Jina Jeong
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.56 no.5
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    • pp.533-545
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    • 2023
  • In this study, an investigation was conducted on the features, events, and processes (FEP) that could impact the long-term safety of the natural barriers constituting high-level radioactive waste geological repositories. The FEP list was developed utilizing the IFEP list 3.0 provided by the Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) as foundational data, supplemented by geological investigations and research findings from leading countries in this field. A total of 49 FEPs related to the performance of the natural barrier were identified. For each FEP, detailed definitions, classifications, impacts on long-term safety, significance in domestic conditions, and feasibility of quantification were provided. Moreover, based on the compiled FEP list, three scenarios that could affect the long-term safety of the disposal facility were developed. Geological factors affecting the performance of the natural barrier in each scenario were selected and their relationships were visualized. The constructed FEP list and the visualization of interrelated factors in various scenarios are anticipated to provide essential information for selecting and organizing factors that must be considered in the development of mathematical models for quantitatively evaluating the long-term safety of deep geological repositories. In addition, these findings could be effectively utilized in establishing criteria related to the key performance of natural barriers for the confirmation of repository sites.