• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제11권8호
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• pp.43-50
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• 2011

초기에 예측하지 못한 환경에 대응하기 위한 핵심 요소로 비즈니스 활동 모니터링이 주목받고 있다. 그러나 기존의 이벤트 처리 기반 모니터링 시스템과 실시간 조기 경보 비즈니스 활동 모니터링은 고정된 환경을 가정하여 설계 시 룰 기반으로 표현하여 경보 여부를 결정하거나, 이벤트 속성값이 입력되는 매시점마다 측정하여 경보를 내리게 된다. 따라서, 복잡한 환경에서의 새로운 외부 상황 문제에 대한 발생 범위와 심각한 정도 등을 판별하는데 한계가 있으며, 추상화하지 못한다. 본 논문에서는 외부에서 발생하는 새로운 시나리오의 서비스 요구를 기존의 실행중인 모니터링을 통해 지속적인 서비스 제공을 보장하도록 목표 시나리오를 이용한 비즈니스 프로세스 외부상황 평가 모델을 제안하였다. 외부 상황에 따른 새로운 요구사항을 목표 시나리오 기반으로 분석을 하고, 유사 프로세스 모델을 찾아 유사도와 연관도를 합하여 파악한 뒤 프로세스를 사전에 중단 시키거나 원하는 방향으로 변경하도록 한다.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.15-23
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• 1981

This paper deals with cross impact analysis for technology assessment. The focus of the paper is to develop new technique of cross impact matrix using goal programming method. In this study, the idea of cross impact analysis based on scenario generation method especially SMIC-74 (2) is expanded. Critical literature review on SMIC-74 is presented to discuss the mathematical rationale of consistent probability in cross impact analysis. A new model of cross impact analysis using goal programming to overcome the shortcomings of the scenario generation technique especially SMIC-74 is developed. This new technique is also applied to the assessment of the air pollution problems in Seoul Metropolitan area in Korea. The results of analysis give us following findings 1) Cross impact analysis using goal programming produce more meaningful solutions comparing to those of SMIC-74 2) Theoretical rationale of the objective function in the newly developed technique is more appropriate than that of SMIC-74.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제15권5호
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• pp.660-666
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• 2012

The weapon system is getting more and more expensive, complex and smarter. Therefore, efficiently and effectively, it is important to operate the weapon system. OMS/MP is a document to quantify operational factors like as environment, mission, mode etc. It is important data to perform RAM analysis in early weapon development phase and operate better a weapon system. This paper present a process and framework of OMS/MP for a naval ship with a deep analysis of relevant domestic and abroad case studies. It propose OMS/MP analysis framework based on wartime scenario and mission area analysis. This result will contribute not only improvement for the availability of a naval ship but also enhancement of RAM analysis process.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제32권5호
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• pp.168-178
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• 2017

In order to prevent major and chemical accidents, some of the plants which would like to install and operate hazard chemicals handling facilities must submit Off-site Consequence Analysis due to recent arisen leak accidents since 2015. A lot of chemical industrials choose gas detectors as mitigation equipment to early detect gas vapor. The way of placement of gas detectors has two methods; Code-based Design(CBD) and Performance-based Design. The CBD has principles for gas detectors to be installed with consideration for the place that is expected to accumulate gas, and the leak locations according to legal standards and technical guidelines, and has a possibility to be unable to detect by these rules to locate gas detectors by vapor density information. The PBD has two methods; a Geographic Method and Scenario based Method. The Scenario-based Method has been suggested to make up for the Geographic Coverage Method. This Scenario-based Method draw the best optimum placement of gas detectors by considering leak locations, leak speed information, leak directions and etc. However, the domestic placement guidelines just refers to the CBD. Therefore, this study is to compare existing placement location of gas detectors by the domestic CBD with placement locations, coverages and the number of gas detectors in accordance with the Scenario-based Method. Also this study has measures for early detecting interest of Vapor Cloud and suitable placement of gas detectors to prevent chemical accidents. The Phast software was selected to simulate vapor cloud dispersion to predict the consequence. There are two cases; an accident hole size of leak(8 mm) from API which is the highst accident hole size less than 24.5 mm, and a normal leak hole size from KOSHA Guide (1.8 mm). Detect3D was also selected to locate gas detectors efficiently and compare CBD results and PBD results. Currently, domestic methods of gas detectors do not consider any risk, but just depend on domestic code methods which lead to placement of gas detectors not to make personnels recognize tolerable or intolerable risks. The results of the Scenario-based Method, however, analyze the leak estimated range by simulating leak dispersion, and then it is able to tell tolerable risks. Thus it is considered that individuals will be able to place gas detectors reasonably by making objectives and roles flexibly according to situations in a specific plant.

• 정보처리학회논문지D
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• 제9D권4호
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• pp.651-658
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• 2002

본 논문에서는 명세를 기반으로 한 통합 테스트를 수행할 때 사용되는 시나리오 작성지원 절차를 제시하고, 시나리오 작성지원 도구를 구현하였다. 이를 위해 기본적으로 요구사항 정의테이블, 프로세스 정의테이블, 프로그램 대 테이블 상관도를 사용한다. 추가로 앞의 3가지 테이블 기능을 요구분석, 설계, 테스트 단계별로 나누어 한곳에서 신속·정확하게 체크할 수 있는 요구사항 추적테이블을 생성한다. 본 연구의 통합 테스트를 위한 시나리오 작성지원 도구의 출력물은 시나리오 작성을 위한 지침서 역할을 한다. 그 결과 검사팀의 시나리오 작성노력을 상당부분 줄일 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 요구사항의 누락을 방지하고, 해당 프로세스에 대한 테이블 정보를 알 수 있으므로 테스트할 때 잘못된 값을 입력하는 것도 방지할 수 있다.

• 드라이브 ㆍ 컨트롤
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.8-13
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• 2018

This paper presents a phase portrait analysis-based safety control algorithm for excavators, using adaptive sliding mode control. Since working postures and material types cause the excavator's rotational inertia to vary, the rotational inertia was estimated, and this estimation was used to design an adaptive sliding mode controller for collision avoidance of the excavator. In order to estimate the rotational inertia, the recursive least-squares estimation with multiple forgetting was applied with the information of the swing velocity of the excavator. For realistic evaluation, an actual working scenario-based performance evaluation was conducted. Based on the estimated rotational inertia and an analysis of estimation errors, sliding mode control inputs were computed. The actual working scenario-based performance evaluation of the designed safety algorithm was conducted, and the results showed that the developed safety control algorithm can efficiently avoid a collision with an object in consideration of rotational inertia variations.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 2004년도 춘계공동학술대회 논문집
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• pp.335-338
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• 2004

In this paper, we present a perspective of the next generation mobile communication services and its characteristics. As a preliminary research work on the next generation mobile communications and services, we exploit the next generation mobile services [1]. We define the next generation mobile services as strata of services consisting of three different service levels, the service areas, the service functionalities, and the service technologies. We derive these service levels by means of the scenario based analysis. Finally, we propose a conceptual network architecture that can support the next generation mobile services by placing network functions and service elements within the network.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제57권2호
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• pp.155-163
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• 2008

This paper presents a novel framework for analysis of power system wide-area blackout based on so called fault cascading scenarios. For a given power system operating state, "triggering" faults or a "seed faults" are chosen based on the probabilities estimated from the hazard rates. The fault probabilities reflect both the load and the weather conditions. Effects of hidden failures in protection systems are also reflected in establishing the fault propagation scenarios since they are one of the major causes for the wide-area blackouts. A tree type data structure called a PS-BEST(Power System Blackout Event Scenario Tree) is proposed for construction of the fault cascading scenarios, in which nodes represent various power system operating states and the arcs are the events causing transitions between the states. Arcs can be either probabilistic or deterministic. For a given initial fault, the total probability of leading to wide-area blackout is estimated by aggregating the individual probability of each fault sequence route leading to wide-area blackout. A case study is performed on the IEEE RTS-79(24 bus) system based on the fault data presented by the North American Electrical Reliability Council(NERC). Test results demonstrate the potentials and the effectiveness of the proposed technique for the future wide-area blackout analysis.

• 국제초고층학회논문집
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• 제1권3호
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• pp.229-235
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• 2012

In this paper the progressive collapse potential of building structures designed for real construction projects were evaluated based on arbitrary column removal scenario using various alternate path methods specified in the GSA guidelines. The analysis model structures are a 22-story reinforced concrete moment frames with core wall building and a 44-story interior concrete core and exterior steel diagrid structure. The progressive collapse resisting capacities of the model structures were evaluated using the linear static, nonlinear static, and nonlinear dynamic analyses. The linear static analysis results showed that progressive collapse occurred in the 22-story model structure when an interior column was removed. However the structure turned out to be safe according to the nonlinear static and dynamic analyses. Similar results were observed in the 44-story diagrid structure. Based on the analysis results, it was concluded that, compared with nonlinear analysis procedures, the linear static method is conservative in the prediction of progressive collapse resisting capacity of building structure based on arbitrary column removal scenario.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제17권10호
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• pp.39-45
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• 2016

본 연구는 친환경 농업부문 직불금의 지원이 농업부문 거시경제 지표에 어떠한 영향을 미쳤는지를 검토하기 위해 시행되었다. 이를 위해 농업부문을 일반농업과 친환경농업 부분으로 구분한 AGE(applied general equilibrium)모형을 이용하였다. 분석은 먼저 직불금 지원의 경제적 영향을 측정하기 위해 직불금 지급 이전의 상황을 기준으로 직불금이 지급된 몇 가지 상황을 시나리오로 설정하여 분석하였다. 즉 기준전망(baseline)은 직불금 지급 이전 상황, 시나리오 1은 직불금이 실제 수준으로 지급된 상황, 시나리오 2는 실제 직불금 보다 5% 추가 지원한 상황, 시나리오 3는 실제 직불금 보다 10% 추가 지원한 상황, 시나리오 4는 실제 수준 보다 15% 추가 지원한 상황, 시나리오 5는 실제 수준 보다 20% 추가 지원한 상황으로 설정하였다. 기준전망 및 시나리오에 대한 시뮬레이션 분석결과, 친환경 농업부문에 직불금의 투입으로 친환경 농업부문에 대한 고정자본 형성, 생산량, 노동생산성이 증대되었고, 이에 따른 노동력 대체효과로 친환경 농업부문 취업자는 다소 감소한 것으로 나타났다. 또한 친환경 농산물 가격은 직불금 투입 전후 큰 차이를 보이지 않은 것으로 분석되었는데 이는 공급 및 수요에 대한 가격탄력성이 비탄력적이고, 분석기간 동안 소비자들의 소득에 큰 변화가 없었기 때문에 나타난 현상으로 파악된다. 그러나 보다 더 정교한 분석을 위해 친환경 직불금의 투입에 따른 고정자본의 형성과 노동력의 대체 수준, 친환경 농업 및 농산물 관련 통계 자료의 보완에 따른 모형의 개선 등에 대해 향후 추가적인 연구가 이루어질 필요가 있다.