• Title/Summary/Keyword: STOCHASTIC

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Accuracy of one-step automated orthodontic diagnosis model using a convolutional neural network and lateral cephalogram images with different qualities obtained from nationwide multi-hospitals

  • Yim, Sunjin;Kim, Sungchul;Kim, Inhwan;Park, Jae-Woo;Cho, Jin-Hyoung;Hong, Mihee;Kang, Kyung-Hwa;Kim, Minji;Kim, Su-Jung;Kim, Yoon-Ji;Kim, Young Ho;Lim, Sung-Hoon;Sung, Sang Jin;Kim, Namkug;Baek, Seung-Hak
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.3-19
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    • 2022
  • Objective: The purpose of this study was to investigate the accuracy of one-step automated orthodontic diagnosis of skeletodental discrepancies using a convolutional neural network (CNN) and lateral cephalogram images with different qualities from nationwide multi-hospitals. Methods: Among 2,174 lateral cephalograms, 1,993 cephalograms from two hospitals were used for training and internal test sets and 181 cephalograms from eight other hospitals were used for an external test set. They were divided into three classification groups according to anteroposterior skeletal discrepancies (Class I, II, and III), vertical skeletal discrepancies (normodivergent, hypodivergent, and hyperdivergent patterns), and vertical dental discrepancies (normal overbite, deep bite, and open bite) as a gold standard. Pre-trained DenseNet-169 was used as a CNN classifier model. Diagnostic performance was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, t-stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE), and gradient-weighted class activation mapping (Grad-CAM). Results: In the ROC analysis, the mean area under the curve and the mean accuracy of all classifications were high with both internal and external test sets (all, > 0.89 and > 0.80). In the t-SNE analysis, our model succeeded in creating good separation between three classification groups. Grad-CAM figures showed differences in the location and size of the focus areas between three classification groups in each diagnosis. Conclusions: Since the accuracy of our model was validated with both internal and external test sets, it shows the possible usefulness of a one-step automated orthodontic diagnosis tool using a CNN model. However, it still needs technical improvement in terms of classifying vertical dental discrepancies.

A decision-centric impact assessment of operational performance of the Yongdam Dam, South Korea (용담댐 기존운영에 대한 의사결정중심 기후변화 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Daeha;Kim, Eunhee;Lee, Seung Cheol;Kim, Eunji;Shin, June
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.205-215
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    • 2022
  • Amidst the global climate crisis, dam operation policies formulated under the stationary climate assumption could lead to unsatisfactory water management. In this work, we assessed status-quo performance of the Yongdam Dam in Korea under various climatic stresses in flood risk reduction and water supply reliability for 2021-2040. To this end, we employed a decision-centric framework equipped with a stochastic weather generator, a conceptual streamflow model, and a machine-learning reservoir operation rule. By imposing 294 climate perturbations to dam release simulations, we found that the current operation rule of the Yongdam dam could redundantly secure water storage, while inefficiently enhancing the supply reliability. On the other hand, flood risks were likely to increase substantially due to rising mean and variability of daily precipitation. Here, we argue that the current operation rules of the Yongdam Dam seem to be overly focused on securing water storage, and thus need to be adjusted to efficiently improve supply reliability and reduce flood risks in downstream areas.

Water Quality Assessment and Turbidity Prediction Using Multivariate Statistical Techniques: A Case Study of the Cheurfa Dam in Northwestern Algeria

  • ADDOUCHE, Amina;RIGHI, Ali;HAMRI, Mehdi Mohamed;BENGHAREZ, Zohra;ZIZI, Zahia
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.563-573
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    • 2022
  • This work aimed to develop a new equation for turbidity (Turb) simulation and prediction using statistical methods based on principal component analysis (PCA) and multiple linear regression (MLR). For this purpose, water samples were collected monthly over a five year period from Cheurfa dam, an important reservoir in Northwestern Algeria, and analyzed for 12 parameters, including temperature (T°), pH, electrical conductivity (EC), turbidity (Turb), dissolved oxygen (DO), ammonium (NH4+), nitrate (NO3-), nitrite (NO2-), phosphate (PO43-), total suspended solids (TSS), biochemical oxygen demand (BOD5) and chemical oxygen demand (COD). The results revealed a strong mineralization of the water and low dissolved oxygen (DO) content during the summer period. High levels of TSS and Turb were recorded during rainy periods. In addition, water was charged with phosphate (PO43-) in the whole period of study. The PCA results revealed ten factors, three of which were significant (eigenvalues >1) and explained 75.5% of the total variance. The F1 and F2 factors explained 36.5% and 26.7% of the total variance, respectively and indicated anthropogenic pollution of domestic agricultural and industrial origin. The MLR turbidity simulation model exhibited a high coefficient of determination (R2 = 92.20%), indicating that 92.20% of the data variability can be explained by the model. TSS, DO, EC, NO3-, NO2-, and COD were the most significant contributing parameters (p values << 0.05) in turbidity prediction. The present study can help with decision-making on the management and monitoring of the water quality of the dam, which is the primary source of drinking water in this region.

Evaluation of flood frequency analysis technique using measured actual discharge data (실측유량 자료를 활용한 홍수량 빈도해석 기법 평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Song, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Jin-Guk;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.333-343
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    • 2022
  • For water resource management, the design flood is calculated using the flood frequency analysis technique and the rainfall runoff model. The method by design flood frequency analysis calculates the stochastic design flood by directly analyzing the actual discharge data and is theoretically evaluated as the most accurate method. Actual discharge data frequency analysis of the measured flow was limited due to data limitations in the existing flood flow analysis. In this study, design flood frequency analysis was performed using the measured flow data stably secured through the water level-discharge relationship curve formula. For the frequency analysis of design flood, the parameters were calculated by applying the bayesian inference, and the uncertainty of flood volume by frequency was quantified. It was confirmed that the result of calculating the design flood was close to that calculated by the rainfall-runoff model by applying long-term rainfall data. It is judged that hydrological analysis can be done from various perspectives by using long-term actual flow data through hydrological survey.

A Study on the Probability of Secondary Carcinogenesis during Gamma Knife Radiosurgery (감마나이프 방사선 수술시 2차 발암 확률에 관한 연구)

  • Joo-Ah, Lee;Gi-Hong, Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.843-849
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the probability of secondary carcinogenesis was analyzed by measuring the exposure dose of surrounding normal organs during radiosurgery using a gamma knife. A pediatric phantom (Model 706-G, CIRS, USA) composed of human tissue-equivalent material was set to four tumor volumes of 0.25 cm3, 0.51 cm3, 1.01 cm3, and 2.03 cm3, and the average dose was 18.4 ± 3.4 Gy. After installing the Rando phantom on the table of the gamma knife surgical equipment, the OSLD nanoDot dosimeters were placed in the right eye, left eye, thyroid, thymus gland, right lung, and left lung to measure each exposure dose. The probability of cancer occurrence due to radiation exposure of surrounding normal organs during gamma knife radiosurgery for acoustic schwannoma disease was 4.08 cancers per 100,000 at a tumor volume of 2.03 cm3. This study is expected to be used as useful data in relation to stochastic effects in the future by studying the risk of secondary radiation exposure that can occur during stereotactic radiosurgery.

A Study of Cancer Incidence Rate due to Photoneutron Dose during Radiation Therapy for Prostate Cancer Patients (전립샘암 환자의 방사선 치료 시 광중성자 선량으로 인한 암 발생률의 연구)

  • Lee, Joo-Ah
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.471-476
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to study the probability of cancer occurrence due to photoneutron dose exposure of the colon and thyroid gland, which are normal organs, in 3D CRT, IMRT 5 portals, and IMRT 9 portals, which are radiotherapy methods for prostate cancer. The total prescribed dose for prostate cancer was 6600 cGy, 220 cGy per dose, and 30 divided irradiations were applied for the total number of times. After setting up the Rando phantom on the treatment table (couch) of the medical linear accelerator used in the experiment, an optically stimulated luminescence albedo neutron dosimeter was placed on the corresponding area of the large intestine and thyroid gland of the phantom for measurement. During 3D CRT of prostate cancer, the probability of secondary cancer due to photoneutron dose to the colon and thyroid gland, which are normal organs, was 1.8 per 10,000 people. And IMRT 5 portals were 8.7 per 10,000 people, which was about 5 times larger than 3D CRT. IMRT 9 portals derived the result that there is a probability that 1.2 people per 1,000 people will develop cancer. Based on this study, the risk of secondary radiation exposure due to the dose of photoneutrons generated during radiation therapy is studied, and it is thought that it will be used as useful data for radiation protection in relation to the stochastic effect of radiation in the future.

Analysis of CO/CO2 Ratio Variability According to the Origin of Greenhouse Gas at Anmyeon-do (안면도 지역 온실기체 기원에 따른 CO/CO2 비율 변동성 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Jaemin;Lee, Haeyoung;Kim, Sumin;Chung, Chu-Yong;Kim, Yeon-Hee;Lee, Greem;Choi, Kyung Bae;Lee, Yun Gon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.625-635
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    • 2021
  • South Korea established the 2050 Carbon Neutral Plan in response to the climate crisis, and to achieve this policy, it is very important to monitor domestic carbon emissions and atmospheric carbon concentration. Both CO2 and CO are emitted from fossil fuel combustion processes, but the relative ratios depend on the combustion efficiency and the strength of local emission regulations. In this study, the relationship between CO2 and CO was analyzed using ground observation data for the period of 2018~2020 at Anmyeon-do site and the CO/CO2 ratio according to regional origin during high CO2 cases was investigated based on the footprint simulated from Stochastic Time-Inverted Lagrangian Transport (STILT) model. CO2 and CO showed a positive correlation with correlation coefficient of 0.66 (p < 0.01), and averaged footprints during high CO2 cases confirmed that air particles mainly originated from eastern and north-eastern China, and inland of Korean Peninsula. In addition, it was revealed that among the cases of high CO2 concentration, when the CO/CO2 ratio is high, the industrial area of eastern China is greatly affected, and when the ratio is low, the contribution of the domestic region is relatively high. The ratio of CO2 and CO in this study is significant in that it can be used as a useful factor in determining the possibility of domestic and foreign origins of climate pollutants.

A Study on the Radiation Exposure Dose of Clinical Trainees in the Department of Radiology: A Case Study at C University Hospital (방사선(학)과 임상실습생의 수시출입자 피폭선량에 대한 고찰: C 대학병원 사례 연구)

  • Joo-Ah Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.249-255
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    • 2023
  • In this study, radiation exposure doses were measured in the course of clinical practice of radiation workers, radiological technologists in the radiation-related worker group, and preliminary-radiological technologists who were classified as frequent visitors. Radiological technologists who worked in the radiation area of C University Hospital in Incheon for a year from January 2021 and 121 students who completed clinical practice at the same medical institution from July 1 to August 31 were the subjects of the study. The nominal risk factor based on ICRP 103 was used to evaluate the probability of side effects due to the exposure dose to the lungs, which are organs at risk of damage due to radiation exposure dose. During the clinical practice period, radiology students, who were classified as frequent visitors, had a surface dose of 0.98 ± 0.14 mSv and a deep dose of 0.93 ± 0.14 mSv. In other words, 6.7 per 1,000,000 for shallow dose and 6.4 per 1,000,000 for deep dose were found to have side effects due to exposure to the lungs. This is a value in terms of exposure dose in one year. Considering that the radiation (science) education course is 3 or 4 years, systematic management and attention to prospective radiation workers who are going to clinical practice are required, and the stochastic effect of radiation In relation to this, it is considered that it will be used as basic data for radiation safety management.

A Study on the Exposure Dose of Frequent Workers and Radiation Workers in a University Hospital (일개 대학병원의 수시출입자와 방사선작업종사자의 피폭선량에 관한 고찰)

  • Joo-Ah Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.581-587
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we tried to provide basic data for radiation safety management by comparing and analyzing the exposure doses of radiation workers and frequent workers at C University Hospital in Incheon. From January 2021 to December 2022, surface dose and deep dose were analyzed for 30 radiation workers and 8 frequent workers who worked at C university hospital in Incheon. Radiation workers were targeted at radiation technicians and nurses working in the radiation oncology department and nuclear medicine department, and frequent visitors were targeted at frequent workers who manage and clean facilities in the same radiation management area. In the radiation worker group, 3.1 per 10,000 radiation technologist, 1.2 per 100,000 nurses, and 4.5 per 1,000,000 frequent workers showed the possibility of developing side effects on the lungs. The probability of radiation oncology was 1.1 per 10,000 for radiation technologist and 5.2 per 1,000,000 for nurses, and the probability of radiation technologist in nuclear medicine was 2.9 per 10,000 and for nurses was 7.1 per 1,000,000. It is hoped that this study can be used as basic data in future revisions on frequent workers, and it is considered that it will be used as basic data in the field of obstacles in relation to the stochastic effect of radiation in the future.

A Study on the Secondary Carcinogenesis Rate of Vestibular Schwannoma Disease using Glass Dosimeter (유리선량계를 이용한 청신경초종 질환의 2차 발암률에 관한 연구)

  • Joo-Ah Lee;Gi-Hong Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to analyze the secondary carcinogenesis rate caused by exposure of organs at risk of damage using a glass dosimeter during radiosurgery in vestibular schwannoma disease. Using a pediatric phantom of human tissue equivalent material, the volume of the tumor was set to a total of three volumes: 0.506 cm3, 1.008 cm3, and 2.032 cm3, and a radiosurgery plan was established with an average dose of 18.4 ± 3.4 Gy. After mounting the human body phantom on the table of surgical equipment, glass dosimeters were placed on the right eye, left eye, thyroid gland, thymus, right lung, and left lung to measure the exposure dose, respectively. In this study, the incidence of secondary cancer due to exposure to damaged organs during gamma knife radiosurgery in vestibular schwannoma disease with the largest tumor volume of 2.032 cm3 was measured with a glass dosimeter. This study studies the risk of secondary radiation exposure dose that can occur during stereotactic radiosurgery, and it is considered that it will be used as basic data in the field of radiation damage related to the stochastic effect of radiation in the future.