• Title/Summary/Keyword: SP(Stated Preference)

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Analysis of Preference for UAM of Public Transportation Users Following UAM Adoption (Incheon Airport - Incheon Gil Medical Center Line) (도심항공교통(UAM) 도입에 따른 대중교통 이용자들의 UAM에 대한 선호도 분석 (인천공항-인천길병원 노선사례))

  • Lee, Han sol;Lee, Soo beom;Lim, Joon bum
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2022
  • In this study, in order to analyze the preference for UAM of public transportation users following the introduction of urban air transportation(UAM), A preference consciousness(SP) survey was conducted on 840 users of Incheon public transportation using the Incheon International Airport-Incheon Gil Hospital route, which is the urban air traffic(UAM) demonstration route section. In addition, the means selection model was estimated based on the results of conducting a preference consciousness (SP) survey. As a result of analyzing the time value for travel using the established means selection model, it was found to be 56,428 won/hour, As a result of verifying the elasticity of travel cost (won), in-vehicle time (minutes), and out-of-vehicle time (minutes) in the model, the effect on the urban air traffic (UAM) share in this model was found that travel cost (won), in-vehicle time (minutes), and out-of-vehicle time (minutes) were in order, and the effect was greater when the travel cost (won) decreased than when it increased.

A Demand forecasting for Electric vehicles using Choice Based Multigeneration Diffusion Model (선택기반 다세대 확산모형을 이용한 전기자동차 수요예측 방법론 개발)

  • Chae, Ah-Rom;Kim, Won-Kyu;Kim, Sung-Hyun;Kim, Byung-Jong
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 2011
  • Recently, the global warming problem has arised around world, many nations has set up a various regulations for decreasing $CO_2$. In particular, $CO_2$ emissions reduction effect is very powerful in transport part, so there is a rising interest about development of green car, or electric vehicle in auto industry. For this reason, it is important to make a strategy for charging infra and forcast electric power demand, but it hasn't introduced about demand forecasting electric vehicle. Thus, this paper presents a demand forecasting for electric vehicles using choice based multigeneration diffusion model. In this paper, it estimates innovation coefficient, immitation coefficient in Bass model by using hybrid car market data and forecast electric vehicle market by year using potential demand market through SP(Stated Preference) experiment. Also, It facilitates more accurate demand forecasting electric vehicle market refelcting multigeneration diffusion model in accordance with attribute progress in development of electric vehicle. Through demand forecasting methodology in this paper, it can be utilized power supply and building a charging infra in the future.

Evaluation and Model Development of Transfer Resistance Factors for Bulk Freight Transportation (벌크화물운송의 환적저항요인 평가 및 모형 개발)

  • Choi, Chang-Ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2016
  • The present study aims to evaluate transfer resistance factors in railway stations and draw new implications. The data used for the model estimation are RP (revealed preference) data and SP (stated preference) data. Two types of models were used for the analysis: integration model which combined line-haul stage, transfer stage and shuttle stage and separation model which assessed the three stages separately. The results revealed that while bulk freight shippers mainly focused on line-haul stage, they put emphasis on transfer stage as well. It's especially notable that transfer stage was considered more important than shuttle stage. Therefore, in future transportation policies concerning rail freight, it would be crucial not only to enhance the competitiveness of line-haul stage but also make improvements in transfer stage regarding railway stations.

An Estimation of Willingness to Pay for Advanced Public Transportation Services Using SP (선호의식 조사를 활용한 첨단 대중교통 서비스의 지불의사액 추정)

  • Lee, Baek Jin;Kim, Kwan Woo;Kim, Gyeong Seok;Oh, Sung Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.4D
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    • pp.433-441
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    • 2009
  • In the coming ubiquitous society, the importance of developing advanced public transportation systems (APTS) corresponding to individuals' needs and useful in their daily life is profound. In these regards, the study proposed new APTS services: Free internet access service and On-board real time traffic information service in public modes. A stated preference (SP) survey was performed to investigate individual's preference and willingness-to-pay (WTP) for the proposed APTS services. Multinomial logit models (MNL) incorporating the heterogeneity of respondents were developed to analyze individuals' preference and the difference of WTP. Some results of the study showed that the respondents' preferences were significantly different by in-vehicle travel times (30 min, 60 min) and their socioeconomic background. More respondents prefer new APTS services when invehicle travel time takes longer. For the housewife and self-employed group, the mean WTP for on-board realtime traffic information was higher than that of free internet access services, while for the company employees and students group, the mean WTP was similar in both services.

The Effect of Road Investment on Logistics Cost in Manufacturing Industry -Investigation of the Investment Effects Using Stated Preference- (도로에 대한 투자가 제조업 물류비에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구 -SP 기법 활용-)

  • Chung, Il-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 1999
  • Recently, much literature has surveyed the economic effects of transportation investment, focusing on the relationship between transportation infrastructure investment and economic development. Although the conventional views assume that transportation investment stimulates economic growth, the results of recent studies are not conclusive and in some cases reject the conventional views. The contradictory results are linked with double counting Problem and Keynesian/Neo-classical economics theory. This article investigates the economic effects of road transportation with regard to freight transport using Stated Preference technique. This study examines, in particular, the value of time saving for freight which has been rarely studied in this area. In the first part, the value of time saving, excluding the value for driver and operating cost, is theoretically investigated through the model of continuous review system and periodic review system. At last, the empirical study using the Seated Preference technique shows the value of time saving for freight and the value of reliability, compared with other studies and the value of those in COBA. The result makes us conclude that road investment produces the secondary effects as well as the direct benefit such as time saving for passengers, operating cost saving. and accident cost reduction. The secondary effect includes the contribution to economic development.

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Analysis on the effect of the opening of high speed rail way on the change in the air passenger's demand - Focused on Seoul and Jeju line - (고속철도 개통이 항공여객 수요변화에 미치는 영향 분석 - 서울-제주간 노선을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Joon-Kyu;Yoo, Kwang-Eui;Kim, Duck-Nyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2012
  • Competition between air transportation and railways has grown fiercer in major countries around the world with the rise of high-speed railways. In South Korea, air passenger travel has been rapidly decreasing since the initial launch of the Seoul-Pusan KTX line in 2004 and second opening that followed in 2010. Further expansion of the high-speed railway is expected. At present, research efforts to verify the validity of constructing an underwater express railway tunnel between Ho-nam and Jeju Island are taking place. Considering the possible high speed railway connection between Seoul and Jeju Island, this thesis has analyzed the choice behavior of existing passengers of the major and low-cost carriers. For this, Stated Preference (SP) research has been performed for three variables, including fare, travel time and the number of runs, to estimate the substitution rate of each of the three variables. Binomial Logit Model has been estimated with the obtained data. The estimation of the model has found that airline passengers of major and low-cost carriers are willing to pay approximately 7,200 KRW and 5,000 KRW, respectively, to reduce travel time by one hour. If the number of runs in one day increases, it has been estimated that the passengers are willing to pay additional fares of about 390 KRW and 30 KRW, respectively. On the other hand, the substitution rate between the number of runs and the travel time was found to be somewhat insignificant. If the construction of the Seoul-Jeju line progresses in the future, this study could be used as preliminary data for determining fares, travel time and the number of runs.

Estimation of Interregional Mode Choice Models and Value of Travel Time Accommodating Taste Variation of Individuals (개인의 선호다양성을 고려한 지역간 수단선택 모형 구축 및 시간가치 추정 연구)

  • Cho, Shin-hyung;Seo, Young-hyun;Kho, Seung-young;Rhee, Sung-mo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.288-298
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    • 2017
  • The system of high-speed and conventional railway vehicles is diversified, and significant technological development in performance has been achieved. This study analyzed the modal change characteristics; furthermore, it estimated the value of travel time by improving the travel time and cost for the passenger's perception of railway. In this study, we formulate a mode choice model for passengers and compare it with the mixed logit model which reflects individual taste variation. In addition, the validity of the analysis is presented through an estimation the value of travel time using the derived model. For this purpose, a stated preference survey was conducted with 510 people using public transportation. The benefits of time-saving can be accurately determined by estimating the value of time spent on the railway. Appropriate fares for public transportation can also be estimated.

Bicyclists' Behavioral Characteristics and Impacts on Route Choice Using Stated Preference Survey in Commuting Time (통근시간대 자전거이용자의 이용행태특성 및 경로선택 영향요인 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2010
  • In the last five years, Korea has supplied many more bicycle facilities than in the last several decades combined. However, have bicyclists increased in proportion to investment? If bicyclists are avoiding existing bicycle related facilities, including off-road bicycle facilities, it could be because suppliers did not consider bicyclists' preferences in their planning process. In this paper, the authors tried to understand the bicyclists' behavioral and route choice characteristics using stated preference surveys and a logit model, using commuting time in Daejeon Metropolitan City, Korea. The results show that nine factors affect the route choice behavior of bicyclists. In particular, bicyclists preferred sub-arterial roads to off-road, dedicated bicycle facilities in residential area. It means that bicyclists like a seamless bicycle route and that a buffer zone between car lanes and bicycle lanes or 50 km/h speed limits for cars are necessary for bicycle lanes that are not physical separated.

Valuation of Air Pollution related to Road Traffic in Seoul (대기오염의 경제적 가치 추정에 관한 연구 (서울시를 사례로))

  • 김강수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2002
  • 본 논문의 목적은 교통계획 및 투자 사업의 평가에 있어 대기오염 요소를 고려하기 위해 필수적인 기초자료인 대기오염에 의한 경제적 가치를 추정함에 있다. 이를 위하여 가상적인 주택선호자료를 바탕으로 대기오염 개선에 대한 가구의 지불용의액을 추정하고 이를 바탕으로 대기오염 피해의 화폐적 가치를 추정한다 특히, 국내에서는 적용된 바 없지만 마아케팅 및 교통수요 분석 부문에 있어 시간가치, 교통수단의 안락감 등 비계량적 요소의 경제적 가치 측정에 많이 사용되는 SP(Stated Preference)기법을 사용해서 대기오염 피해에 대한 화폐가치를 추정한다. 연구결과 가구의 점유형태에 따라 대기오염에 대한 경제적 가치가 유의적인 차이가 존재하며 도로교통에 의한 대기오염 1%의 경제적 가치는 240만원/가구.년으로 분석되었다. 대기오염물질별 경제적 가치를 살펴보면 $O_3$ 0.01ppm의 경제적 가치는 55.40만원/가구.년, N$O_2$ 0.01ppm 18.33만원/가구.년으로 추정되었다. 본 연구를 통해 교통투자사업의 평가에 있어 환경적 요소를 고려할 수 있는 기초자료를 마련하였으며, 교통분야 뿐만 아니라 환경관련 정책의 수립 분석에 중요한 기초 결과가 제시되었다. 본 결과가 교통분야에 더욱 유용하게 사용되기 위해서는 교통투자사업 또는 교통관리에 따른 교통량의 변화와 대기오염물질 배출량의 관계에 대한 연구가 추가적으로 필요하다고 판단되며 이 연구가 이루어지면 본 연구가 제시한 결과치는 교통투자사업의 편익/비용 분석에 중요하게 사용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구의 한계로서는 조사지역이 전국에서 환경오염이 심한 서울지역에서 조사가 한정되었다는 점이며 이에 대한 앞으로의 연구가 필요하다.

Development of Route Choice Behavior Analysis Simulator Under Various ATIS Environment (ATIS 환경하에서 운전자경로선택 분석 시뮬레이터의 개발)

  • 이청원;권병철;고승영
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.183-191
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    • 2002
  • 본 논문은 ATIS의 효과를 평가할 수 있도록 교통정보제공에 따른 운전자의 노선선택 행태자료를 수집할 수 있는 시뮬레이터 개발에 관한 것이다. 현재 이러한 행태자료를 수집하기 위해서 설문지에 의한 SP(Stated Preference) 설문조사가 널리 수행되어지고 있으나 이러한 설문조사방법은 ATIS와 같은 가상의 환경을 응답자에게 이해시킬 수 있는 설문지를 작성하기가 힘들고, 무엇보다 운전중에 느끼게 되는 time pressure를 현실적으로 반영하지 못하기 때문에 신뢰성있는 자료를 수집하는데 어려움이 있다. 시뮬레이터는 보다 현실적인 교통상황을 계산하고 적절한 인터페이스 구성을 통해 교통상황과 분석자의 설문 의도를 응답자에게 효과적으로 인지시킬 수 있다는 장점을 가지고 있다. 본 연구에서 세 가지 모듈(교통 시뮬레이션 모듈, 데이터베이스 모듈, 이용자 인터페이스 모듈)로 구성된 프로토타입 시뮬레이터를 개발하였다. 개발된 프로토타입의 유용성을 알아보기 위해 실제로 실시간 교통정보가 제공되는 작은 네트워크를 대상으로 파일럿 테스트를 수행하였고, 수집된 자료는 discrete choice model을 정산하는데 사용하였으며 그 분석결과는 상당히 합리적인 것으로 나타났다. 따라서, 이러한 시뮬레이터는 교통정보전략에 따른 효과를 사전에 분석해보고, 효과적인 교통정보시스템을 설계 및 운영하는데 활용될 수 있을 것이다.