• 제목/요약/키워드: Rogers' innovation diffusion theory

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혁신채택 및 확산이론의 통신방송융합(위성DMB) 서비스 수요추정 응용 (Applications of Innovation Adoption and Diffusion Theory to Demand Estimation for Communications and Media Converging (DMB) Services)

  • 송영화;한현수
    • 경영과학
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.179-197
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    • 2005
  • This study examines market acceptance for DMB service, one of the touted new business models in Korea's next-generation mobile communications service market, using adoption end diffusion of innovation as the theoretical framework. Market acceptance for DMB service was assessed by predicting the demand for the service using the Bass model, and the demand variability over time was then analyzed by integrating the innovation adoption model proposed by Rogers (2003). In our estimation of the Bass model, we derived the coefficient of innovation and coefficient of imitation, using actual diffusion data from the mobile telephone service market. The maximum number of subscribers was estimated based on the result of a survey on satellite DMB service. Furthermore, to test the difference in diffusion pattern between mobile phone service and satellite DMB service, we reorganized the demand data along the diffusion timeline according to Rogers' innovation adoption model, using the responses by survey subjects concerning their respective projected time of adoption. The comparison of the two demand prediction models revealed that diffusion for both took place forming a classical S-curve. Concerning variability in demand for DMB service, our findings, much in agreement with Rogers' view, indicated that demand was highly variable over time and depending on the adopter group. In distinguishing adopters into different groups by time of adoption of innovation, we found that income and lifestyle (opinion leadership, novelty seeking tendency and independent decision-making) were variables with measurable impact. Among the managerial variables, price of reception device, contents type, subscription fees were the variables resulting in statistically significant differences. This study, as an attempt to measure the market acceptance for satellite DMB service, a leading next-generation mobile communications service product, stands out from related studies in that it estimates the nature and level of acceptance for specific customer categories, using theories of innovation adoption and diffusion and based on the result of a survey conducted through one-to-one interviews. The authors of this paper believe that the theoretical framework elaborated in this study and its findings can be fruitfully reused in future attempts to predict demand for new mobile communications service products.

사회네트워크가 혁신확산에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Social Networks on the Diffusion of Innovation)

  • 이규현;오장균
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.33-47
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    • 2000
  • We focus on the investigations of the effect of social networks on the diffusion of innovations, in order to successfully bring innovations into markets. We begin with consideration of social system from Rogers(1995)' perspective, which includes the fifty-year sequential tradition of diffusion studies, and expand the conceptualization into a framework for thinking about the effect of social networks on the diffusion of innovations. We draw upon basic ideas from the research traditions of social network theory in sociology, and social identity theory in social psychology. Finally, we offer propositions for the future empirical researches. A better understanding of social networks can complement research on the diffusion of innovations and help in the development of a universal model of consumer response to innovations.

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혁신확산이론에 따른 스마트폰 수용의도에 관한 연구: 스마트폰 미사용자를 중심으로 (A Study on the Acceptance Intention for Smart Phone by the Innovation Diffusion Theory: Focused on Smart Phone Non-Users)

  • 김정욱;김성일
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.15-37
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    • 2012
  • This study is progressed for understanding of the acceptance intention differentiated through the view of smart phone non-user's adopting plan. And the research model is proposed in the view of new technology adopting, Innovation Diffusion Theory, Rogers 1995, and Technology Acceptance Model, Davis 1989. In the survey, SPSS 18.0 and AMOS 18.0 are used to analyze the 685 smart phone non-users data. The results of the feasibility analysis and the factor analysis show the measured variables determined in the statistical significant range. Also, 11 hypotheses, among the 16 hypotheses, are adopted by the hypothesis tests through the path analysis, one-way-ANOVA and hierarchial regression analysis. The results indicate variables affect on the non-smart phone user's adopting intention. The primary factor is the perceived usefulness, secondary factor is the social property, and the rest is the playfulness. And, the primary adoption factor is affected to early majority and late majority among each innovation adopters.

XBRL Adoption Process in Malaysia Using Diffusion of Innovation Theory

  • ILIAS, Azleen;GHANI, Erlane K.;AZHAR, Zubir
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.263-271
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    • 2021
  • The study examined the XBRL adoption process of Malaysian Business Reporting System (MBRS) by utilizing Everett Rogers' Diffusion of Innovation (DOI) theory. The study focused on the three phases, namely, knowledge gathering and persuasion phase, decision-making phase, and implementation phase of XBRL adoption process gathered from a government agency in Malaysia. This study employs a qualitative case study that incorporates semi-structured interviews with four members of the regulator. The results reveal that the regulator has realized the advantages, management support, and need to skills development in phase one. On the other hand, in phase two, it finds the way the regulator makes decision related to XBRL taxonomy and submission template, platform, tools and software. Through phase three, the regulator is concerned with the complexity of XBRL taxonomy, resources, external support, promotion, stakeholder involvement, limited trading pressure, critical mass, and professional bodies. The factors from each phase suggest an in-depth understanding on the experience of XBRL through the development of MBRS that provides a success story to the other government agencies and regulators in Malaysia. This study provides several insights on the factors that could contribute to the adoption of XBRL and the Diffusion of Innovation theory adoption process.

소비자의 혁신제품수용에 대한 신제품개발 실패 사례 연구 (A Case Study on the Failure of New Product Development on Consumer Acceptance of Innovative Products)

  • 유경식;강흥식;김인수;김태근
    • 산업진흥연구
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.65-79
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    • 2024
  • 본 연구는 로저스(1995)의 혁신확산이론 중에서 소비자의 설득 과정에서 중요한 요소인 혁신의 특성에 관한 여러 요인 중 상대적 이익에 대한 신제품의 실패 사례를 분석하였다. 상대적 이익은 여러 혁신 제품의 특성 중에서 구매자의 채택 의도에 가장 큰 영향을 끼치고 있는 요인이기 때문이다(Holak and Lenmann, 1990). 6개 기업의 신제품 실패 사례 분석 결과 이들 제품은 공통적으로 기존 제품에 대하여 상대적 이익이 부족하였다. 상대적이익이란 경제적 의미에서 측정되거나 사회적 우위 요소, 편리도, 만족도 등으로 측정되는 요인이며 적합성, 복잡성, 관찰가능성, 시용가능성 등 다른 요인들에 비해 가장 중요한 요소이기 때문이다. 결국 신제품을 소비자들에게 설득하기 위해서는 기존 제품들에 비해 상대적 이익이 중요한 성공 요인임을 알 수 있었다.

미래 수요시장의 예측 방법론 (Forecasting methodology of future demand market)

  • 오상영
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 2020
  • 미래 예측의 방법은 기술적 특성 또는 기술적 성능으로 예측이 가능할 수 있다. 그러므로 기술예측은 경제적, 사회적 이익을 산출해 낼 수 있는 전략적 연구 분야에서 활용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 기술적 특성으로 미래를 예측하는 방법의 연구를 통하여 미래 시장을 예측하였다. 특별한 제품의 수요 욕구에 따라 시장을 점유하는 시점의 예측을 통해 미래 예측 방법을 연구하였다. 시장수요 예측을 위하여 대표적인 계량적 분석 방법인 연평균성장률(CAGR) 모형, BASS 모형, Logistic 모형, 곰페르츠 성장모형(Gompertz Growth Curve) 등의 비교를 통해 미래시장의 수요예측 모형을 제안하였다. 본 연구는 Rogers의 혁신확산 이론을 접목하여 제품이 시장에 확산되는 시점을 예측하였다. 연구결과로 특별한 제품이 시장을 점유하기 위한 다양한 요인들의 확산 시점을 통해 특별한 상품이 미래 시장에서 성숙하는 시점을 예측할 수 있는 방법론을 개발하였다. 그러나 시장을 예측하기 위한 전문가 판단에 대한 오류를 줄이는 것은 한계점이 있다.

그린패션제품 확산을 위한 한국과 영국 소비자 비교 연구 (A Comparative Study of Korean and British Consumers for the Diffusion of Green Fashion Products)

  • 이지은;성희원
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제36권10호
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    • pp.1087-1099
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    • 2012
  • This study investigated the purchase intention of green fashion products based on Rogers' Diffusion of Innovation theory and compared the differences between Korean and British consumers. In order to identify the impact of personal characteristics, this study also examined the effects of fashion innovativeness and LOHAS tendency on perceived attributes of innovation and intention to purchase. With a convenience sampling method, a survey questionnaire was distributed at popular fashion streets in each country. A total of 426 data were obtained, 203 from the UK and 223 from Korea. About 52% were females, and 69% were in their twenties. A factor analysis generated two LOHAS factors (health concerns and eco concerns) and four attributes of green fashion products (image improvement, symbolic superiority, observability, and compatibility). Two types of green fashion products (organic cotton t-shirts and organic cotton t-shirts with an environmental message) were provided to measure the purchase intention, respectively. The findings were as follows. British consumers were more likely to show LOHAS tendency and to perceive positive advantages of green products compared to Koreans; in addition, British consumers presented higher mean scores on the purchase intentions of organic cotton products. Fashion innovativeness was significant to predict image improvement and symbolic superiority, while eco concerns were significant in compatibility for both nations. Compatibility was important for both countries in order to explain the intention to adopt two types of organic products. In addition, image improvement was another predictor for purchase intention of organic t-shirts with an environmental message. Managerial implications were provided.

사이버학습 속성인식이 학습참여결정에 미치는 영향 분석 (Effect of perceptions of attributes of Cyber Education on the adoption decision)

  • 서순식
    • 컴퓨터교육학회논문지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2002
  • 지식정보사회의 도래에 따라 지속적으로 수준높은 교육훈련프로그램을 제공하기 위한 정보통신매체(예: 사이버교육) 활용에 대한 관심은 대단히 높으며, 또 새로운 매체의 잠재력을 수행능력 향상과 직결하고자 하는 노력은 계속될 것이다. 국가직 공무원의 사이버교육의 경우, 행정자치부 및 관련 기관의 지원을 받아 사이버교육용 인프라를 구축하고 2001년 초부터 본격적인 사이버교육을 시행하고 있다. 그러나 선행연구들은 새로운 교육용 테크놀로지 사용정도에 있어 실제적인 수준과 기대되는 수준사이에 존재하는 차이에 대해 우려를 표시해왔다. 본 연구는 사이버교육이라는 교육용 혁신의 성공적인 확산을 위해 Rogers의 5개 혁신 속성들과 공무원의 사이버학습 참여결정간의 관계를 분석하였다. 본 연구의 결과, 사이버교육의 최종 수용자인 국가직 공무원의 혁신 속성에 대한 인식이 혁신 수용 의사결정에 중요한 변인이라는 점에서 Rogers의 속성이론이 한국의 공무원교육훈련상황에도 적용될 수 있음을 보여준다.

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부모의 사회경제적 위치에 따른 자녀의 출생 성비 추이: 1981년부터 2004년까지 (Trends in Sex Ratio at Birth according to Parental Social Positions: Results from Vital Statistics Birth, 1981-2004 in Korea)

  • 천희란;김일호;강영호
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2009
  • Objectives : South Korea has experienced unprecedented ups and downs in the sex ratio at birth(SRB), which has been a unique phenomenon in the last two decades. However, little is known about socioeconomic factors that influence the SRB. Employing the diffusion theory by Rogers, this study was undertaken to examine the trends in social variations in the SRB from 1981 to 2004 in Korea. Methods : The data was taken from Vital Birth Statistics for the period from 1981-2004. We computed the annual male proportion of live births according to the parental education(university, middle/high school, primary) and occupation(non-manual, manual, others). Logistic regression analysis was employed to estimate the odds ratios of male birth according to social position for the equidistant three time periods(1981-1984, 1991-1994, and 2001-2004). Results : An increased SRB was detected among parents with higher social position before the mid 1980s. Since then, however, a greater SRB was found for the less educated and manual jobholders. The inverse social gradient for the SRB was most prominent in early 1990s, but the gap has narrowed since the late 1990s. The mother's socioeconomic position could be a sensitive indicator of the social variations in the sex ratio at birth. Conclusions : Changes in the relationship of parental social position with the SRB were detected during the 1980-2004 in Korea. This Korean experience may well be explained by diffusion theory, suggesting there have been socioeconomic differences in the adoption and spread of sex-detection technology.

ATCA 기반 통신 장비의 수요 요인 분석 및 도입 전략에 관한 연구 (A Study on Influencing factors and strategic market segmentation for diffusing ATCA based network equipments)

  • 유재흥;하임숙;최문기
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제30권7B호
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    • pp.450-463
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    • 2005
  • ATCA(Advanced Telecom Computing Architecture)는 장기간의 통신 장비 시장의 침체에 돌파구를 마련하기 위해 100여개의 관련 업계가 모여 만든 차세대 표준 네트워크 설계 규격이다. ATCA는 기존 소수의 대형 벤더들이 자사의 고유 시스템을 공급함으로써 발생했던 이기종간의 호환성 문제, 고가의 장비가격, 시스템 변경 및 확장에 있어 어려움, 수요자의 공급업체에 대한 기술 의존성과 같은 문제를 해결할 수 있을 것으로 기대되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 ATCA 기반 장비의 잠재 수요자인 기업의 입장에서 어떠한 요인들을 기준으로 시스템을 채택하는 지를 Rogers의 혁신 이론에 근거하여 살펴보고 있으며 91개 기업체를 대상으로 설문 조사를 실시하여 실증 분석하였다. 로지스틱 회귀분석을 통해 ATCA 장비 구매에 유의한 영향을 주는 요인을 기준으로 군집 분석을 실시하여 기업의 특성에 따른 ATCA 장비 도입 전략을 제시한다.