• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk-based assessment

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RAM(신뢰도, MTBF) 데이터와 AHP 분석을 통한 함정분야 위험평가 방안 (An Objective Method of Risk Evaluation based on RAM(Reliability, MTBF) and AHP Data Analysis for Warship)

  • 함영훈;백용관
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.714-721
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    • 2018
  • This study proposes a risk evaluation method based on RAM and AHP data in order to prevent subjectivity of risk assessment. The risk assessment consist of Risk Likelihood(RL) and Risk Consequence(RC) in five levels. However, risk analysis of warships is hard to make a judgment because of small quantity production(Ship), long building period, equipment changes, complexity, various kinds of equipments, etc. The proposed RAM data and AHP analysis method are used to quantify each level quantitatively. RAM(MTBF) date is used to classify the RL, and AHP analysis is used to classify the RC. These scientific and data-based method will increase objectivity as well as efficiency of risk evaluation.

고속도로 교통안전시설물의 정성적 및 정량적 위험도분석 연구 (A Study of Qualitative and Quantitative Risk Assessment for Highway Safety Facilities)

  • 지동한;오영태;최현호
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2007
  • 교통시설물의 위험요소는 안전피해의 규모 및 종류 등 복잡한 제반요소에 영향을 받기 때문에 안전개념에 기초한 분석이 요구된다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 교통안전시설에 대한 정성적 및 정량적 위험도분석 방법을 제시하고 이를 가치평가에 도입할 수 있는 절차를 제안하였다. 또한 정량적 분석을 위해 교통사고 데이터 및 이를 분석한 EPDO(Equivalent Property Damage Only)를 이용하여 사고빈도와 피해정도 및 사고요인별로 Event Tree를 작성하여 제시하였으며 이를 이용하여 중앙분리대 비교 1안(140cm) 및 비교 2안(127cm)에 대한 위험지수를 산정하였다.

API RP 581 Code를 기반으로한 LNG 플랜트의 Risk-Based Inspection(RBI) 기술 개발 (Development of Risk-Based Inspection(RBI) Technology for LNG Plant Based on API RP581 Code)

  • 최송천;최재붕;황인주
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.179-183
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    • 2012
  • As one of promising solutions to overcome high oil price and energy crisis, the construction market of high value-added LNG plants is spotlighted world widely. The purpose of this study is to introduce LNG-RBI system to develop risk assessment technology with RAM(Reliability, Availability, Maintainability) modules against overseas monopolization. After analyzing relevant specific features and their technical levels, risk assessment program, non-destructive reliability evaluation strategy and safety criteria unification class are derived as core technologies. These IT-based convergence technologies can be used for enhancement of LNG plant efficiency, in which the modular parts are related to a system with artificial optimized algorithms as well as diverse databases of facility inspection and diagnosis fields.

국내 유류오염지역에서의 석유계총탄화수소에 의한 비발암 인체위해성평가 전략 (Human Health Risk Assessment Strategy to Evaluate Non-carcinogenic Adverse Health Effect from Total Petroleum Hydrocarbon at POL-Contaminated Sites in Korea)

  • 박인선;박재우
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.10-22
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    • 2011
  • Human health risk assessment for petroleum, oil and lubricant (POL) contaminated sites is challenging as total petroleum hydrocarbon (TPH) is not a single compound but rather a mixture of numerous substances. To address this concern, several TPH fractionation approaches have been proposed and used as an effective management tool for the POL-contaminated sites in many countries. In Korea, there are also recognized needs to establish a reliable and cost-effective human health risk assessment strategy based on the TPH fractionation method. In order to satisfy the social and institutional demand, this study suggested that the comprehensive risk assessment strategy based on a newly modified TPH fractionation method with 10 fractions, the Korean Standard Test Method (KSTM)-based analytical protocol and a stepwise risk assessment framework should be introduced into the domestic contaminated land management system. Under the proposed strategy, POL-contaminated sites can be effectively managed in terms of human health protection, and remedial cost and time can be determined reasonably. In addition, more researches required to increase our understanding of environmental risks and improve the domestic management system were proposed.

국내 지진재해도를 고려한 저층 필로티 건물의 붕괴 확률 (Collapse Probability of a Low-rise Piloti-type Building Considering Domestic Seismic Hazard)

  • 김대환;김태완;추유림
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제20권7_spc호
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    • pp.485-494
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    • 2016
  • The risk-based assessment, also called time-based assessment of structure is usually performed to provide seismic risk evaluation of a target structure for its entire life-cycle, e.g. 50 years. The prediction of collapse probability is the estimator in the risk-based assessment. While the risk-based assessment is the key in the performance-based earthquake engineering, its application is very limited because this evaluation method is very expensive in terms of simulation and computational efforts. So the evaluation database for many archetype structures usually serve as representative of the specific system. However, there is no such an assessment performed for building stocks in Korea. Consequently, the performance objective of current building code, KBC is not clear at least in a quantitative way. This shortcoming gives an unresolved issue to insurance industry, socio-economic impact, seismic safety policy in national and local governments. In this study, we evaluate the comprehensive seismic performance of an low-rise residential buildings with discontinuous structural walls, so called piloti-type structure which is commonly found in low-rise domestic building stocks. The collapse probability is obtained using the risk integral of a conditioned collapse capacity function and regression of current hazard curve. Based on this approach it is expected to provide a robust tool to seismic safety policy as well as seismic risk analysis such as Probable Maximum Loss (PML) commonly used in the insurance industry.

나노물질의 독성과 위해성평가 전략 (Toxicity of Nanomaterials and Strategy of Risk Assessment)

  • 박광식
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제20권4호통권51호
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    • pp.259-271
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    • 2005
  • Engineered nanoparticles exhibit a variety of unique and tunable chemical and physical properties. These unique properties make the nanoparticles central components and widespread potential applications in nanoindustry. However, the potential toxicities of nanoparticles have not been fully evaluated. Recently, the impacts of nanoparticles to human and environment became the emerging issue of toxicology. In this article, physicochemical properties and toxicities of carbon nanotube, fullerene, quantum dots, and other types of nanomaterials were reviewed and the strategy of risk assessment were suggested based on the frame of chemical assessment.

INTEGRATED SOCIETAL RISK ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK FOR NUCLEAR POWER AND RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES

  • LEE, SANG HUN;KANG, HYUN GOOK
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.461-471
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the estimation of the social cost of energy sources has been emphasized as various novel energy options become feasible in addition to conventional ones. In particular, the social cost of introducing measures to protect power-distribution systems from power-source instability and the cost of accident-risk response for various power sources must be investigated. To account for these risk factors, an integrated societal risk assessment framework, based on power-uncertainty analysis and accident-consequence analysis, is proposed. In this study, we applied the proposed framework to nuclear power plants, solar photovoltaic systems, and wind-turbine generators. The required capacity of gas-turbine power plants to be used as backup power facilities to compensate for fluctuations in the power output from the main power source was estimated based on the performance indicators of each power source. The average individual health risk per terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity produced by each power source was quantitatively estimated by assessing accident frequency and the consequences of specific accident scenarios based on the probabilistic risk assessment methodology. This study is expected to provide insight into integrated societal risk analysis, and can be used to estimate the social cost of various power sources.

개인별 대피경로를 고려한 화재위험성 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on Fire Risk Assessment by the Consideration of Individual Evacuating Path Line)

  • 이동호
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2007
  • In this study, we provided an index for the quantitative and systematic performance based fire risk assessment. A complex cinema was adopted for the fire scenario and the fire simulation was carried out by using FDS. Also evacuation time was calculated by using SIMULEX. We obtained a big different fire risk assessment result by the focus on the between space basis and the time basis. As a result of this study, performance based fire risk assessment should be performed on the basis of individual evacuee's path line.

GIS기반을 이응한 도심지 터널굴착에 따른 인접 구조물 손상평가 시스템 개발 (Development of GIS Based Risk Assessment System for Adjacent Structures Due to Tunnelling-Induced Ground Movements in Urban)

  • 윤효석;박용원;오영석;김제규
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2001년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.493-500
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    • 2001
  • The construction of bored tunnels in soft ground inevitably causes ground movements. In the urban environment these may be of particular significance, because of their influence on buildings, other tunnels and services. The prediction of ground movements and the assessment of the potential effects on the structures is therefore an essential aspect of planning, design and construction of a tunnelling project in the urban environment. In this study, to minimize the effect of tunnelling-Induced ground movements on the adjacent structures, a system for tile settlement risk management was developed. The GIS based risk assessment system for adjacent structures developed in this study consists of several modules such as building information module, settlement evaluation module, potential risk assessment module for adjacent structures, and analysis module for monitoring data. This system focuses on controlling and managing construction processes that may lead to settlement In the surrounding buildings and can contribute to producing the optimum technical and economic design.

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