• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk map

Search Result 431, Processing Time 0.035 seconds

Deformation of large-diameter pipeline induced by double shield tunneling in silty fine sand strata

  • Ning Jiao;Ning Jiao;Zhaosheng Liao;Xing Wan;Xia Wei
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • v.39 no.2
    • /
    • pp.197-209
    • /
    • 2024
  • This paper investigated the deformation of a large-diameter pipeline caused by double shield tunnel construction in silty fine sand strata in Nantong, China, by on-site measurements and numerical simulations. Results indicate the pipe settlement curve was not symmetrical after the double tunnel construction in the silty fine sand strata. The construction of the subsequent tunnel had a significantly smaller impact on the stress and horizontal displacement of the pipeline than the preceding tunnel. There is a significant shading effect of the large-diameter pipeline, which would restrict the soil settlement above the pipeline. The adjusted settlement formula shows good agreement with the measured data, facilitating approximate calculations for both surface and pipe settlements. The correction factor a ranges from 0.50 to 0.90, while b ranges from 0.95 to 1.20.The elastic modulus and the burial depth of the pipeline had a great effect on the stress of the pipeline, but a smaller effect on its settlement. However, the soil loss rate greatly affected both the settlement and stress of the pipeline. Moreover, the pipeline risk level distribution map can quickly identify the risk status of the pipeline.

A Development of System for Efficient Quantitative Risk Assessment on Natural Gas Supply Facilities (천연가스 공급시설에 대한 효율적 정량적 위험성 평가를 위한 시스템 구축과 적용)

  • Yoon, Ik-Keun;Oh, Shin-Kyu;Seo, Jae-Min;Lim, Dong-Yeon;Yoon, En-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.39-45
    • /
    • 2012
  • While the natural gas supply industry has continuously been growing, its potential hazard has also risen since the natural gas facilities essentially require installations that carry highly flammable and pressurized gas close to the populated areas, posing a serious consequence of significant property damage as well as human casualties in the event of accident. Therefore Quantitative Risk Assessment (QAR) has been recognized as a appropriate method to reduce the risk as far as possible, considering the reality of unachievable zero-risk. However, it is hard to perform effective QRA on hundreds of gas facilities because of insufficient number of expert and long-term analysis. In this paper, we suggest a conceptual QRA system framework to support more efficient risk analysis in gas supply facilities. In this system, the experts make questionnaires and internal calculation formula needed in accident frequency/consequence analysis of the facility through pre-analysis on the point of analysis, called incident point, and general users locate the point on the map and input the value required by the questionnaire to obtain the risk. Ultimately, this is suggested based on the idea that the specialization is available in QRA analysis process and the validity of the system is verified through actual system construction and application.

A Study of Ground Subsidence Risk Grade Analysis Based on Correlation Between the Underground Utility Structure Density and Recorded Ground Subsidence (지중매설물 밀집도와 이력지반함몰의 상관성 분석을 통한 위험도 등급 분석 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Changho;Kim, Jin-Young;Baek, Sung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.38 no.9
    • /
    • pp.69-77
    • /
    • 2022
  • Several studies have been conducted to analyze the risk of ground subsidence occurring in urban areas. Recently, the correlation between the density of underground utilities (i.e., the quantity of buried utilities in the analysis area) and the recorded ground subsidence has been explored to analyze such risk through. Choi et al. (2021) proposed an algorithm to optimize the correlation between the ground subsidence and normalized linear density of underground pipelines. In this study, the optimization algorithm was modified for analysis based on the risk grade. The analysis results using the modified optimization algorithm were compared with the correlation analysis results between the density of underground utilities and recorded ground subsidence presented by Choi et al. (2021). Compared with Choi et al. (2021), three analysis results showed equal or higher accuracy in the correlation analysis with recorded ground subsidence according to risk grade. In particular, for R100, it was divided into five grades and compared with the ratio of the recorded ground subsidence that occurred in grades 4 or higher. As a result, Choi et al. (2021) showed that 86% of recorded ground subsidence occurred in grades 4 or higher, whereas this study showed 93%. It was confirmed that the accuracy of the modified optimization algorithm was improved. The modified optimization algorithm can be applied to develop a ground subsidence risk map for each grade in an urban area, which can be used as basic data for decision-making for underground utility maintenance.

Distribution Characteristics and Ecosystem Risk Assessment of Dotted Duckweed (Landoltis punctate) in Jeju Island, Korea (제주도 내 점개구리밥(Landoltiapunctate) 분포와 생태계 위해성 평가)

  • Choi, Jong-Yun;Kim, Nam-Young;Ryu, Tae-Bok;Choi, Dong-Hee;Kim, Deokki;Kim, Seong-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
    • /
    • v.32 no.4
    • /
    • pp.425-439
    • /
    • 2018
  • W investigated the environmental factors and inhabiting biota such as macrophytes and zooplankton in 43 sites located on Jeju Island from May and June 2017 to evaluate the spread and ecosystem risk of dotted duckweed (landoltia punctata) which was recently found for the first time in Jeju Island. Dotted duckweeds were found in a total of 18 sites which tended to show low biomass of aquatic macrophyte species other than the dotted duckweed. We conducted a pattern analysis using SOM (Self-Organizing Map), which extracts information through competitive and adaptive properties, to analyze the effect of inhabiting biota on aquatic macrophytes such as the dotted duckweed and environmental factors. The SOM analysis showed that the inhabiting biota such as the zooplankton affected the biomass of aquatic macrophytes than they did the environmental factors. In particular, the biomass of dotted duckweed was positively related to plant-attached species (Alona, Chydorus, and Pleuroxus). Considering that low density of aquatic macrophytes covers the streams and wetlands on Jeju Island because of irregular water source and sharp change of water depth, the dotted duckweeds are likely to play an essential role as the vital habitat for micro-biota including zooplankton in wetlands and streams on Jeju Island. Furthermore, considering that organic matters are utilized as the primary food source in the areas occupied by dotted duckweed, dotted duckweeds have the role of being both habitat and food source. Although the dense growth of dotted duckweed adversely affects growth and development of some aquatic plants due to the shadow effect, it is due to the dominance of floating plants on the water surface should not be regarded as the risk of the dotted duckweed. In conclusion, the dotted duckweeds have spread and settled in most of the water systems on Jeju Island, their impact on inhabiting biota and the aquatic environment was minor. It is necessary to monitor the distribution and spread of dotted duckweeds in the inland areas outside of Jeju Island in the future.

Analysis and Risk Prediction of Electrical Accidents Due to Climate Change (기후환경 변화에 따른 전기재해 위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Wan-Seok;Kim, Young-Hun;Kim, Jaehyuck;Oh, Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.603-610
    • /
    • 2018
  • The development of industry and the increase in the use of fossil fuels have accelerated the process of global warming and climate change, resulting in more frequent and intense natural disasters than ever before. Since electricity facilities are often installed outdoors, they are heavily influenced by natural disasters and the number of related accidents is increasing. In this paper, we analyzed the statistical status of domestic electrical fires, electric shock accidents, and electrical equipment accidents and hence analyzed the risk associated with climate change. Through the analysis of the electrical accidental data in connection with the various regional (metropolitan) climatic conditions (temperature, humidity), the risk rating and charts for each region and each equipment were produced. Based on this analysis, a basic electric risk prediction model is presented and a method of displaying an electric hazard prediction map for each region and each type of electric facilities through a website or smart phone app was developed using the proposed analysis data. In addition, efforts should be made to increase the durability of the electrical equipment and improve the resistance standards to prevent future disasters.

Design and Implementation of a Flood Disaster Safety System Using Realtime Weather Big Data (실시간 기상 빅데이터를 활용한 홍수 재난안전 시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Kim, Yeonwoo;Kim, Byounghoon;Ko, Geonsik;Choi, Minwoong;Song, Heesub;Kim, Gihoon;Yoo, Seunghun;Lim, Jongtae;Bok, Kyungsoo;Yoo, Jaesoo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.351-362
    • /
    • 2017
  • Recently, analysis techniques to extract new meanings using big data analysis and various services using them have been developed. A disaster safety service among such services has been paid attention as the most important service. In this paper, we design and implement a flood disaster safety system using real time weather big data. The proposed system retrieves and processes vast amounts of information being collected in real time. In addition, it analyzes risk factors by aggregating the collected real time and past data and then provides users with prediction information. The proposed system also provides users with the risk prediction information by processing real time data such as user messages and news, and by analyzing disaster risk factors such a typhoon and a flood. As a result, users can prepare for potential disaster safety risks through the proposed system.

Accelerated Monte Carlo analysis of flow-based system reliability through artificial neural network-based surrogate models

  • Yoon, Sungsik;Lee, Young-Joo;Jung, Hyung-Jo
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.175-184
    • /
    • 2020
  • Conventional Monte Carlo simulation-based methods for seismic risk assessment of water networks often require excessive computational time costs due to the hydraulic analysis. In this study, an Artificial Neural Network-based surrogate model was proposed to efficiently evaluate the flow-based system reliability of water distribution networks. The surrogate model was constructed with appropriate training parameters through trial-and-error procedures. Furthermore, a deep neural network with hidden layers and neurons was composed for the high-dimensional network. For network training, the input of the neural network was defined as the damage states of the k-dimensional network facilities, and the output was defined as the network system performance. To generate training data, random sampling was performed between earthquake magnitudes of 5.0 and 7.5, and hydraulic analyses were conducted to evaluate network performance. For a hydraulic simulation, EPANET-based MATLAB code was developed, and a pressure-driven analysis approach was adopted to represent an unsteady-state network. To demonstrate the constructed surrogate model, the actual water distribution network of A-city, South Korea, was adopted, and the network map was reconstructed from the geographic information system data. The surrogate model was able to predict network performance within a 3% relative error at trained epicenters in drastically reduced time. In addition, the accuracy of the surrogate model was estimated to within 3% relative error (5% for network performance lower than 0.2) at different epicenters to verify the robustness of the epicenter location. Therefore, it is concluded that ANN-based surrogate model can be utilized as an alternative model for efficient seismic risk assessment to within 5% of relative error.

Development of an Strategic Model for the Selection of a National IT R&D Strategic Project (국가 IT R&D 전략과제 선정 모형개발)

  • Ryu, Dong-Hyun;Park, Jeong-Yong;Lee, Woo-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.501-509
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this paper, we offer a new strategic Portfolio Model for national IT R&D project selection in Korea. A risk and return (R-R) Portfolio Model was developed using an objectively quantified index on the two axes of risk and return, in order to select a strategic project and allocate resources in compliance with a national IT R&D strategy. We strategize using the R-R Portfolio Model to solve the non-strategy and subjectivity problems of the existing national R&D project selection Model. We also use the quantified evaluation index of the IT technology road map (TRM) and the technology level Survey (TLS) for the subjectivity of project selection, and try to discover the weights using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). In addition, we intend to maximize the chance for a successful national IT R&D project, by selecting a strategic Portfolio project and balancing the allocation of resources effectively and objectively.

A Study on G2 Risk and Export Diversification: Focusing on Export Support System for SMEs (수출다변화를 통한 G2 리스크 극복 방안에 관한 연구: 중소기업 수출지원 정책을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Don-Seung;Khoe, Kyung-Il
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
    • /
    • v.9 no.10
    • /
    • pp.48-55
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study argued problems and improvement of export support system for SMEs in the uncertain world global trade environment with G2(US-China) risk. In SMEs export support system, The authorities needs stronger control tower to promote consistent export support policies. There is also another problem of repetitious work that export support system has been operated by individual project. In order to overcome these problems, first, the authorities set clearly organization to control various export support policies. Second, export support system needs the efficient operation based on long term road map. Third, the authorities defines clear roles and responsibilities of supporting units, and enhances cooperation between the different organizations. Finally, the system should arrange performance evaluation index and feedback system to build the desirable export support system.

Guideline on Acceptance Test and Commissioning of High-Precision External Radiation Therapy Equipment

  • Kim, Juhye;Shin, Dong Oh;Choi, Sang Hyoun;Min, Soonki;Kwon, Nahye;Jung, Unjung;Kim, Dong Wook
    • Progress in Medical Physics
    • /
    • v.29 no.4
    • /
    • pp.123-136
    • /
    • 2018
  • The complex dose distribution and dose transfer characteristics of intensity-modulated radiotherapy increase the importance of precise beam data measurement and review in the acceptance inspection and preparation stages. In this study, we propose a process map for the introduction and installation of high-precision radiotherapy devices and present items and guidelines for risk management at the acceptance test procedure (ATP) and commissioning stages. Based on the ATP of the Varian and Elekta linear accelerators, the ATP items were checked step by step and compared with the quality assurance (QA) test items of the AAPM TG-142 described for the medical accelerator QA. Based on the commissioning procedure, dose quality control protocol, and mechanical quality control protocol presented at international conferences, step-by-step check items and commissioning guidelines were derived. The risk management items at each stage were (1) 21 ionization chamber performance test items and 9 electrometer, cable, and connector inspection items related to the dosimetry system; (2) 34 mechanical and dose-checking items during ATP, 22 multileaf collimator (MLC) items, and 36 imaging system items; and (3) 28 items in the measurement preparation stage and 32 items in the measurement stage after commissioning. Because the items presented in these guidelines are limited in terms of special treatment, items and practitioners can be modified to reflect the clinical needs of the institution. During the system installation, it is recommended that at least two clinically qualified medical physicists (CQMP) perform a double check in compliance with the two-person rule. We expect that this result will be useful as a radiation safety management tool that can prevent radiation accidents at each stage during the introduction of radiotherapy and the system installation process.