• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk management measure

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Trust Measurement Using Fuzzy Theory and Trade Protocol Recommendation Based on Trust Level in Trusted Auction System (신뢰 기반 경매 시스템에서의 퍼지를 이용한 신뢰도 측정과 신뢰도에 따른 거래 방식 추천)

  • 양근우;허순영
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.17-33
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    • 2003
  • The explosive growth of the internet-based transactions requires not only a secure payment system but also an appropriate trust measuring methodology and secure transaction protocols to guarantee the minimal risk for the transacting entities involved in specific transactions. Especially, in internet auction systems where either buyers or sellers or both can be more than one in one transaction, providing those systems that make sure no one transacting entity takes a major risk becomes critical. In this paper, an improved trust measuring method using a relationship-based internet community for an auction system is proposed. The proposed system incorporates fuzzy set and calculation concepts to help build trust matrices and models, which is used to measure the level of risk involved in a specific auction trade concerned. Also, to optimize the auction trade process in terms of cost and time, the proposed system recommends a differentiated trade protocol according to the risk level involved in each auction trade. To test the appropriateness of the proposed trusted auction system, a prototype system has been developed under a Windows-NT environment.

A Study on Standardization of Optimum Transportation Routing based on GIS for Railway HAZMAT Transportation (GIS 기반 철도 위험물 최적수송경로도출 표준화에 관한 연구)

  • Paeng, Jung-Goang;Kim, Si-Gon;Park, Min-Kyu;Kang, Seung-Pil
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.201-211
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    • 2009
  • The types and quantities of Hazmat and Hazmat transportation are gradually increasing, keeping pace with industrialization and urbanization. At present the safety management for Hazmat transportation only considers reducing accident probability, but even when an accident involving Hazmat-carrying vehicles occurs, that is not regarded as a Hazmat-related accident if the Hazmats do not leak out from the containers carrying them. Thus the methods to reduce risk (Risk=Probability$\times$Consequence) have to be developed by incorporating accident probability and consequence. By using Geographic Information System (GIS), a technical method is invented and is automatically able to evaluate the consequence by different types of Hazmat. Thus this study analyzed the degree of risk on the links classified by the Hazmat transport pathways. In order to mitigate the degree of risk, a method of 7-step risk management on Hazmat transportation in railway industries can be suggested. (1st step: building up GIS DB, 2nd step: calculating accident probability on each link, 3rd step: calculating consequence by Hazmat types, 4th step: determination of risk, 5th step: analysis of alternative plans for mitigating the risk, 6th: measure of effectiveness against each alternative, and 7th step: action plans to be weak probability and consequence by the range recommended from ALARP). In conclusion, those 7 steps are used as a standardization method of optimum transportation routing. And to increase the efficiency of optimum transportation routing, optional route can be revise by verification.

Risk Evaluation Based on the Hierarchical Time Delay Model in FMEA (FMEA에서 계층적 시간 지연 모형에 근거한 위험평가)

  • Jang, Hyeon Ae;Lee, Min Koo;Hong, Sung Hoon;Kwon, Hyuck Moo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.373-388
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: This paper suggests a hierarchical time delay model to evaluate failure risks in FMEA(failure modes and effects analysis). In place of the conventional RPN(risk priority number), a more reasonable and objective risk metric is proposed under hierarchical failure cause structure considering time delay between a failure mode and its causes. Methods: The structure of failure modes and their corresponding causes are analyzed together with the time gaps between occurrences of causes and failures. Assuming the severity of a failure depends on the length of the delayed time for corrective action, a severity model is developed. Using the expected severity, a risk priority metric is defined. Results: For linear and quadratic types of severity, nice forms of expected severity are derived and a meaningful metric for risk evaluation is defined. Conclusion: The suggested REM(risk evaluation metric) provides a more reasonable and objective risk measure than the conventional RPN for FMEA.

Weight Evaluation of Risk Factors for Early Construction Stage (초기 건설공사 리스크인자의 중요도 산정)

  • Hwang Ji-Sun;Lee Chan-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.5 no.2 s.18
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2004
  • This study identifies various risk factors associated with activities of early construction stage, then establishes the Risk Breakdown Structure(RBS) by classifying the risks into the three groups; Common risks, risks for Earth works, and risks for Foundation works. The Common risks are identified and classified by considering various aspects of the early construction stage such as financial, political, constructional aspects, etc. The risks for Earth works and Foundation works are identified in detail by surveying technical specifications, relevant claim cases and interviewing with experts. These risks are classified based on the Wok Breakdown Structure(WBS) of the early construction stage. The WBS presented in this study classifies the works of early construction stage into four categories; excavation, sheeting works, foundation works, footing works. This study suggests a risk analysis method using fuzzy theory for construction projects. Construction risks are generally evaluated as vague linguistic value by subjective decision making. Fuzzy theory is a proper method to quantify vague conditions of construction activities. Therefore, this study utilizes fuzzy theory to analyse construction risks. The weight of risks is estimated by reflecting the interrelationship among risk factors from absolute weights obtained by fuzzy measure into the relative weights by Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP). The interrelationship is estimated by Sugeno-fuzzy measure.

A Consumer-Oriented Study of Price Increases and Downsizing : Focused on Roles of Competitor's Pricing Strategy and Risk-Aversion (가격인상과 용량감소에 관한 소비자 관점의 비교 연구 : 경쟁사 가격전략과 위험회피성향을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hye Young;Kang, Yeong Seon
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.55-70
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    • 2015
  • The main objective of this study is to investigate the moderating roles of the competitor's pricing strategy and the degree of consumer's risk-aversion on perceived risk and perceived benefit in responding to price increases and package downsizing. Based on Prospect Theory, several prior researches find that consumers perceive increased price as more loss than package downsizing and perceive package downsizing as more benefit than increased price. We extend these behavioral economics approach using the reference effect of competitor's pricing strategy. We focus on consumer heterogeneity on risk-aversion, measure the degree of consumer's risk-aversion, and divide the consumers into two groups of high levels of risk-aversion vs. low levels of risk-aversion. We find that the firm's pricing strategies of both price increases and package downsizing do not significantly influence the perceived benefit for relatively low risk-aversion consumers. We find that when the firm reduce the package size, relatively high risk-aversion consumers perceived more benefit and had higher purchase intention compared to price increases. We also find that the competitor's pricing strategies do not significantly influence the consumer's response for relatively low risk-aversion consumers. For relatively high risk-aversion consumers, they perceived more loss when the firm has different pricing strategy from the competitor's.

Disaster Victims' Post-trauma Risk, Posttraumatic Growth and Subjective Well-being - Social Support as a Mediator and Income as a Moderator - (재난피해자의 외상 후 위기와 외상 후 성장, 주관적 안녕감 간의 관계 - 사회적 지지의 매개효과, 소득의 조절효과 -)

  • Sim, Olivia S.;Sohn, Young Woo;Park, Sang Hyun;Yoon, Ji Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2016
  • The current study examined the relationships between disaster victims' post-trauma risk and posttraumatic growth, and the mediational role of social support for this relationships. In addition, we tested the hypothesis that income status would moderate the relationship between post-trauma risk and subjective well-being. Two hundred disaster victims completed Post-trauma Risk Checklist (PRC), Posttraumatic growth scale, Social support scale and Concise Measure of Subjective Well-Being (COMOSWB) as well as questions about their demographic characteristics. Results showed that those with high post-trauma risk demonstrated significantly higher levels of posttraumatic growth as compared to those with low post-trauma risk and social support partially mediated this relationship. Also, high levels of post-trauma risk predicted low levels of recent subjective well-being. Participants with high income obtained higher subjective well-being than did those with low income among high post-trauma risk groups. Implications for post-trauma risk and posttraumatic growth are discussed.

The Integrated Cyber SRM(Security Risk Monitoring) System Based on the Patterns of Cyber Security Charts

  • Lee, Gang-Soo;Jung, Hyun Mi
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.24 no.11
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2019
  • The "Risk management" and "Security monitoring" activities for cyber security are deeply correlated in that they prepare for future security threats and minimize security incidents. In addition, it is effective to apply a pattern model that visually demonstrates to an administrator the threat to that information asset in both the risk management and the security system areas. Validated pattern models have long-standing "control chart" models in the traditional quality control sector, but lack the use of information systems in cyber risk management and security systems. In this paper, a cyber Security Risk Monitoring (SRM) system that integrates risk management and a security system was designed. The SRM presents a strategy for applying 'security control' using the pattern of 'control charts'. The security measures were integrated with the existing set of standardized security measures, ISMS, NIST SP 800-53 and CC. Using this information, we analyzed the warning trends of the cyber crisis in Korea for four years from 2014 to 2018 and this enables us to establish more flexible security measures in the future.

A Risk Analysis Methodology for Information Systems Security Management (정보시스템 보안관리를 위한 위험분석 방법론)

  • 이문구
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2004
  • This study proposes a risk analysis methodology for information system security management in which the complexity on the procedure that the existing risk analysis methodology is reduced to the least. The proposed risk analysis methodology is composed of 3 phases as follows: beforehand processing phase, counter measure setting phase, post processing phase. The basic risk analysis phase is a basic security management phase in which fixed items are checked when the information security system is not yet established or a means for the minimum security control is necessary for a short period of time. In the detailed risk analysis phase, elements of asset a vulnerability, and threat are analysed, and using a risk degree production table produced from these elements, the risk degree is classified into 13 cases. In regard to the risk, the 13 types of risk degree will execute physical, administrative, and technical measures through ways such as accepting, rejecting, reducing, and transferring. Also, an evaluation on a remaining risk of information system is performed through a penetration test, and security policy set up and post management phase is to be carried out.

A Study on the Pilot Fatigue Measurement Methods for Fatigue Risk Management (피로위험관리를 위한 조종사 피로측정방법 고찰)

  • Kim, Daeho
    • Korean journal of aerospace and environmental medicine
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2020
  • Pilot fatigue is a great hazard to aviation safety. In recent years, long-distance fights have been increasing and flight hours have been increasing, which has made fatigue issues important. International organizations in the aviation sectors (ICAO, FAA, IATA etc.) recommend management of fatigue within the SMS (Safety Management System) framework. A scientific and systematic approach to measuring fatigue is required as a prerequisite to preparing safety management measures for pilot's fatigue. Therefore, in this study, I would like to consider recent trends and implications for fatigue measurement. First, I aimed to consider recent the accident cases related to fatigue. Second, I also considered how to measure the pilot's fatigue. Finally, the direction of the countermeasures against fatigue through fatigue measurement was developed and suggested.

Risk Volatility Measurement: Evidence from Indonesian Stock Market

  • Rahmi, Mustika;Azma, Nurul;Muttaqin, Aminullah Achmad;Jazil, Thuba;Rahman, Mahfuzur
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the volatility of both Islamic and conventional stock market in Indonesia with the aim of identifying the most appropriate model for risk management practice. The study considers GARCH as a genre of model to measure the volatility of stock market movement. The results support the view that each model shows specific volatility from both Islamic and conventional stock market in Indonesia. In Islamic stock market, volatility is affected by exchange rate and money supply (M1) but not interest rate as interest is prohibited in Islam. However, interest rate is found as a principal factor that affects volatility of conventional stock market. The outcomes of this paper are of particular significance to policy makers, as it provides guidelines to maintain economic health. Furthermore, the findings may assist practitioners to understand the consequences of macroeconomic factors such as exchange rate, money supply and interest rate, which are very crucial for the market stability of Indonesian stock market. The paper enhances the understanding of stock market volatility and proposes guidelines risk management practices.