• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.129-134
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• 1992

본 논문은 도시유역의 최적 배수관망설계를 위한 위험도-안전도계수 관계를 설정하는 것이다. 배수관망의 신뢰도 분석을 위하여는 하수관의 용량과 하중을 결정하는 식을 구성하는 여러가지 매개변수들의 불확실성이 고려되어야 하며, 이에 따른 위험도를 결정하게 된다. 본 연구에서는 신뢰도 분석기법을 유역면적 $381,000m^2$인 성산 유수지 유역에 적용하였다. 하수관망의 용량을 결정하는 식으로는 Darcy-Weisbach식을, 하중을 결정하는 식으로는 합리식을 사용하였으며, 하수관의 용량과 설계유량과의 비로 나타나는 안전도계수를 구하여 이를 하수관망의 위험도와 상관시켰다. 이에 따라 재현기간별 위험도-안전도계수를 얻었으며, 이는 배수관망의 최적설계에 이용될 수 있다.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2018년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.63-64
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• 2018

The construction industry is one of the most prolific disaster-prone industries, particularly those that suffer from falling disasters compared to other industries. The safety accident at the construction site leads to social problems caused by massive loss of life and property, so it needs to be extra careful. The reason why falls are the most frequent accidents of the types of construction accidents is due to the analysis of the risk factors of safety accidents and the development of various construction methods. Therefore, in this study, the accident case for the fallen victims of construction site was analyzed and the risk factor was selected. Based on the safety expert survey, an importance analysis was performed. In conclusion, this study analyzes various risk factors that affect the occurrence of falls, identifies the importance of each factor, and presents basic data for safety accident prevention activities.

• 대한인간공학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.53-60
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• 2008

The work-related musculoskeletal disorders have constantly increased since it became an issue in 1996. In 2002, the Government established the risk factors analysis system in order to prevent musculoskeletal disorders. The proclamation by the Ministry of Labor defined eleven spheres of work associated with musculoskeletal disorders. As a result, business proprietors, who have workers engaged in tasks associated with musculoskeletal disorders, are required to conduct the risk factor analysis on a regular basis every three years. However, numerous issues have been raised while carrying out the risk factor analysis in various industries. One of the issues is that even though work sampling is an ideal method in risk factor analysis, most cases have selected extreme task postures, which is judged by an expert, due to limited time. This study will propose the desired direction of the risk factor analysis by comparing task assessment results between work sampling scenes and extreme task scenes.

• Journal of Genetic Medicine
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.1-8
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• 2010

Hemophilia A is a sex-linked recessive coagulation disorder associated with diverse mutations of the factor VIII gene and a variety of phenotypes. The type of mutation involved dictates the activity of factor VIII, and in turn the severity of bleeding episodes and development of alloantibodies against factor VIII (inhibitors). Missense mutations are the most common genetic risk factors for hemophilia A, especially mild to moderate cases, but carry the lowest risk for inhibitor development. On the other hand, intron 22 inversion is the most common mutation associated with severe hemophilia A and is associated with high risk of inhibitor formation. Large deletions and nonsense mutations are also associated with high risk of inhibitor development. Additional mutations associated with hemophilia A include frameshift and splice site mutations. It is therefore valuable to assess the mutational backgrounds of hemophilia A patients in order to to interpret their symptoms and manage their health problems.

• 한국한의학연구원논문집
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.119-134
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• 2010

Objectives & Method：Based on the statistic from January 2008 to December 2008 include 66-year-old 375 people (159 men, 216 women) who got examined in National Health Insurance Corporation, this study set a goal to establish a new health index by analyzing the relation between the cardio-cerebra vascular disease and risk factor such as obesity, smoking, exercise, alcohol consumption, blood pressure, blood sugar and cholesterol. Results：1) Examine results, health status according to gender；People who are diagnosed as abnormal health status have higher risk for both men and women. As for the detailed diseases, high blood pressure was highest followed by hyperlipidemia and obesity. In case of the women, 96.3% in bone mineral density was highest. 2) Correlation of disease and health risk factors based on gender；Correlation of disease according to gender in the obesity(p<0.001), lipid abnormalities(p<0.001), kidney diseases(p<0.001), chest diseases(p<0.05), osteoporosis(p<0.001) showed a statistically significant difference. The analysis showed that the men have more obesity and lipid abnormalities as well as thoracic disease than the women, but the women have more kidney disease than the men. As for the osteoporosis examine which is conducted only for the women, most of the women were abnormal even though it cannot compare the result according to gender. Obesity(p<0.001), alcohol(p<0.001), smoking(p<0.001) and LDLcholesterol(p<0.001) showed statistical correlation between gender and health risk factor. And only high blood pressure(p<0.001) showed a statistical correlation between gender and risk of cardio-cerebra vascular disease. 3) Risk of cardio-cerebra vascular disease related to health risk factor characteristic；Obesity assessment(p<0.001), alcohol(p<0.05), smoking(p<0.05), blood pressure(p<0.001), glucose(p<0.001) showed correlation between health risk factor and stroke. Drinking(p<0.001), smoking(p<0.05), exercise(p<0.001), blood pressure(p<0.001), LDL cholesterol(p<0.001) showed health risk factor and myocardial infarction. Obesity assessment(p<0.001), smoking(p<0.05), blood pressure(p<0.001), glucose(p<0.001) and showed correlation between health risk factor and diabetes. Obesity assessment(p<0.001), blood pressure(p<0.001) showed correlation between health risk factor and high blood pressure. Conclusion：Therefore, we have to take one step farther after the health examination. In order to prevent and reduce the risk of disease, people have to understand their health status exactly first, and correct their habit with recognizing the amount of risk related to cardio-cerebra vascular disease.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.597-607
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• 2011

금융자산에의 투자에서 리스크 관리의 중요성이 부각되면서 리스크를 측정할 수 있는 도구로서 Value at Risk (VaR)가 널리 각광을 받고 있다. Value at Risk는 주어진 신뢰수준에서 목표기간 동안 발생 가능한 최대손실로 정의되는데 몇 가지 한계점이 있지만 비교적 간단하게 계산되고 이해될 수 있다는 장점이 있어 리스크 측정 및 관리의 기본적인 측도로 이용되고 있다. 그러나 포트폴리오에 포함되는 자산의 숫자가 많아지는 경우 VaR을 계산하는 데에 필수적인 변동성 추정이 매우 어려워지게 된다. 이때 차원축소의 방법을 생각할 수 있는데, 전통적인 인자분석은 시계열자료에 적합한 방법이 아니기 때문에 직접 적용할 수 없고 자료의 자기상관성을 제거하는 방법이 선행되어야 한다. 본 논문에서는 인자분석의 확장 형태인 시계열인자분석을 활용하여 시계열자료의 차원축소과정을 간결하게 하는 방법을 제시하고, 시계열인자분석으로 차원을 축소할 때 기존의 방법을 사용하는 것과 어떠한 차이가 있는지를 실제 금융자료를 이용한 VaR의 사후검증을 통해 분석하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.323-334
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• 2015

J. P. Morgan의 RiskMetrics을 기반으로 하는 현행 VaR 모형은 구조적으로 예측된 미래의 경기상황을 반영할 수가 없다. 본 연구에서는 주가의 변동요인인 워너 확률과정을 기업의 고유요인과 경기변동요인으로 구분한 원-팩터 (One-factor) 모형을 제안하여 미래 경기변동 공통요인을 미리 예측하여 반영함에 따라 장기적인 주식 보유기간에도 선제적인 리스크관리를 실시할 수 있도록 한다. 또한 미래 경기변동요인이 예측값으로 고정됨에 따라 포트폴리오를 구성하는 주가들이 서로 독립성을 만족하게 되여 포트폴리오의 분산을 최소화하는 각 주식의 투자금액을 결정하는 것은 물론 포트폴리오 VaR가 개별 VaR의 합으로 분해되어 목표로 하는 최대손실금액에 따른 포트폴리오의 구성을 효율적으로 실시할 수가 있다.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제18권10호
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• pp.490-497
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• 2018

본 연구는 국내 주식시장을 대상으로 고유변동성을 위험요인으로 산출한 CIV(common idiosyncratic volatility)요인이 가격결정요인으로 평가될 수 있는지를 검증하였다. 분석기간은 1992년 7월부터 2016년 6월까지로 설정하였으며, 총 288개월간의 월별 자료를 이용하였다. 본 연구의 주요 실증결과는 다음과 같다. CIV요인 계수를 기준으로 구성된 검증포트폴리오들의 CIV요인민감도 차이에 따라 통계적으로 유의한 수익률 차이를 보임으로써 CIV요인에 대한 위험프리미엄이 존재하는 것을 확인하였다. 또한, CIV요인에 대한 위험프리미엄은 기존의 요인모형들에 CIV요인을 추가함으로써 잘 설명되는 것으로 나타났다. 결과적으로 CIV요인은 유의한 위험프리미엄을 가지고 있으며 가격결정요인의 관점에서 평가가 가능한 것으로 판단된다.

• 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.133-140
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• 2009

In the paper, we proposed the systematical and quantitative software risk management methodology based on risk analysis model. A software risk management consists of the basic risk management method(BRIMM) and the detailed risk management method(DRIMM). BRIMM is applied to unimportant phases or the phase which also the risk factor does not heavily influence to project. DRIMM is used from the phase which influences highly in project success or the phase where the risk factor is many. Fulfilling risk management combined two methods, we can reduce project's budget, term and resource's usage, and prevent risk with the optimum measures obtained by the exact risk analysis.

• 신재생에너지
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.10-17
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• 2011

Recently, electricity industry is facing high market uncertainty which has ever had and which increase risks in power market. In this study, we analyze risk factors such as discount rates, initial investment (overnight cost), plant factor, fuel cost, carbon price, etc, for the perspective of investor. For the analysis of risk factors, we used LCOE method. The results of this study show that renewable energy is more affected by plant factor and overnight cost than other risk factors. First, Renewable energy has higher proportion of overnight cost in the total investment than that of other technologies. Second, renewable energy is free of fuel cost and carbon price so plant factor is the most important factor, in other words, competitiveness of renewable energy depends on plant factor. Furthermore, we conducted economic feasibility of wind power and PV in domestic case study. The minimum requirement condition to get profitability is that plant factor 15% and overnight cost \6,000,000/kW and 26%, \2,200,000/kW for PV and Wind Power, respectively.