• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk Severity

검색결과 785건 처리시간 0.028초

퍼지이론을 이용한 철도 전력 설비의 Risk Priority Number 산정 (Evaluation for Risk Priority Number of Railway Power System Facility using Fuzzy Theory)

  • 이윤성;변융태;김진오;김형철;이준경
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.921-926
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    • 2009
  • 신뢰도 기반 유지보수의 연구가 진행됨에 따라 설비의 신뢰도를 바탕으로 한 효율적인 유지보수 업무가 가능하게 되었다. Risk Priority Number(RPN)는 시스템을 구성하고 있는 설비에 대한 Severity(S), Occurrence(O), Detection(D)을 각각 평가하고 이를 하나의 통합된 수치로 표현함으로써 설비간의 유지보수 우선순위에 관한 정보를 제공한다. 하지만 철도 전력 설비와 같이 통계적인 고장 데이터가 부족하거나 신뢰성이 떨어지는 경우에는 이들의 평가가 객관적으로 이루어지기 어렵다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 설비의 Occurrence를 평가하기 위해 퍼지 이론을 이용한 고장률 가공 방법을 제시하고, 객관적인 Severity와 Detection 평가를 이용하여 Risk Priority Number를 계산하는 새로운 방법을 제시하였으며, 이를 철도 변전소 모의 시스템에 적용시켜 보았다.

EDI를 활용한 경상도 지역의 가뭄위험도 평가 (Evaluation of Drought Risk in Gyeongsang-do Using EDI)

  • 박종용;유지영;최민하;김태웅
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제31권3B호
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    • pp.243-252
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    • 2011
  • 최근의 기후변화로 인한 강우패턴의 변화는 우리나라에서 가뭄의 발생확률을 증가시키고 있다. 가뭄의 발생은 다른 자연재해와는 달리 지속기간이 길고, 피해지역이 광범위하여, 사회경제적으로 겪는 피해가 다른 자연재해보다 크다. 현재 가뭄의 심도를 평가하기 위해서 기후학적 인자를 우선적으로 고려하는 가뭄지수가 주로 사용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후학적 인자를 고려한 가뭄지수와 재해에 취약한 사회경제적 요소를 고려하여 가뭄위험지도를 작성함으로써 좀 더 현실적인 가뭄평가 방법을 제시하고자 한다. 경상도 지역에 대한 가뭄의 공간적인 위험도 평가를 수행하기 위해, 가뭄위험도를 노출성 지수와 취약성 지수의 결합으로 정의하여 분석하였다. 가뭄의 노출성 지수는 가뭄지수를 이용하여 GIS를 기반으로 공간적 범위에 분포시켰으며, 가뭄의 취약성 지수는 사회경제적인 5가지 인자를 이용하여 산정하고, 표준화를 통하여 공간적 범위에 분포시켰다. 그 결과 대상지역인 경상도 내 시군구 지역별 가뭄에 대한 위험도의 차이를 비교할 수 있었으며, 같은 강도의 가뭄이 발생하여도 경상도 내 행정구역별 지역적 특성에 따라 가뭄위험도를 평가할 수 있었다.

안강망어선에서 조업하는 선원의 위험도 평가 (Risk evaluation of fisher's safety on stow net fishing vessel)

  • 현윤기;김형석;이유원
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제56권2호
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    • pp.138-146
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    • 2020
  • Stow net fishery is one of the fishery with high fishing work accidents in southwestern sea of Korea. We conducted to serve as basic data for improving the healthy and safe working environment of fisher using risk assessment process (ISO45001) with fishermen's occupational accidents of the National Federation of Fisheries Cooperative (NFFC) from 2016 to 2018. The average occurrence rate of victim in this fishery was 9.04%, 16.7 times more than such rate in all industries. In addition, the average fatality rate was found to have a very serious level management to 31.06‱, 27.7 times more than such rate in all industries. The safety hazards of stow net fishery was more likely to occur by other general industrial groups, with more severe consequences after the accident. According to 4M analysis, 58.6% of all accidents were caused by human factors, 24.0% by environmental factors, 16.0% by mechanical factors, and 1.5% by managerial factors, respectively. The occurrence frequency by accident type was the highest in 187 cases (32.2%) for struck by object, 158 cases (27.2%) for slipping, and 94 cases (16.2%) for being in contact with machinery. Severity is the highest for others such as diseases etc., in the order of being struck by object, being in contact with machinery, falling from above slipping, collapsing, bumping, and burning. Being struck by object, being in contact with machinery, and slipping are high-risk groups, falling from above others, bumping, and burning are medium-risk groups based on the risk assessment using the occurrence frequency and severity of accident. The obtained results are expected to contribute to the safe operation environment subsidy for fishing crews on the stow net fishing vessel.

CRPN(Customer-oriented Risk Priority Number): SNS 오피니언 마이닝을 활용한 고객 의견 기반의 RPN 평가 기법 (CRPN (Customer-oriented Risk Priority Number): RPN Evaluation Method Based on Customer Opinion through SNS Opinion Mining)

  • 유인혁;강원경;최규남;박지윤;이건주;강성우
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제47권1호
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to propose a new Risk Priority Number(RPN) evaluation method which analyzes value of product functions by mining customer opinions in Social Network Service(SNS). Methods: A traditional RPN is measured by three evaluation standards (Severity, Occurrence, Detection) which are analyzed by manufacturing engineers and researchers. On the other hand, these standards are analyzed by customers' viewpoints through SNS opinion mining in this research. In order to extract customer feedbacks from textual data sets, the methodology in this paper implies natural language processing, hereby collecting product related data sets and analyzing the opinions automatically. An emotional polarity of an opinion indicates severity, while the number of negative opinion shows occurrence, and the entire number of customer opinion refers to detection. Results: The results of this study are as follows; As a result of the CRPN evaluation, it is confirmed that the features evaluated as risky are highly likely to be improved in the next series. Therefore, CRPN is an effective risk assessment model that reflects customer feedback. Conclusion: Reflecting customer feedback is a useful tool for risk assessment of the product as well as for developing new products and improving existing products.

우리나라 다랑어선망어선의 어선원 안전 위험요소 분석 (Analysis of safety risk factors of fishermen on the Korean tuna purse seiner)

  • 김오태;조현수;장호영;이유원
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제58권3호
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    • pp.251-261
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    • 2022
  • Tuna purse seine fishery (TPF) constitute more than 60% of distant water fishery production in Korea based on a statistic of 2018, and 28 ships from four different companies were under operation at the western and central Pacific Ocean. On this research, common risk factors during TPF were investigated via enumeration of five years Korean fisherman's insurance payment statement, followed by some counterplans to diminish the accident rate. The accident rate of TPF on the Pacific Ocean peaked by 43.0% in 2014 and constantly decreased to 23.0% until 2018, presenting an average of 33.6%. Meanwhile, the accident rate on the Indian Ocean reached the highest point 55.1% in 2014 and declined to 11.6% in 2016, having an average of 24.7%. The average accident rate of the Indian Ocean scored 8.9% lower than the rate of the Pacific Ocean, but no statistic significance was observed. Depending on the process of operation, 'casting or hauling of net' was the most frequent part that people received an injury (40.4%). When the accidents were classified by their types, 'falling down' was the most recurrent cause of the injuries (28.5%). At the point of severity, the worst injuries were induced by crush hazard. Considering aforementioned accident frequency and severity, all the factors on the accident type list were divided into three different groups including high risk, moderate risk, and common risk. This study is expected to contribute to the reduction of occupational accidents during the work of fishermen and establishment of a safety management system for distance water fishing vessels.

AHP 분석을 이용한 금융기관 운영리스크 측정 (Operational Risk Measurement of Financial Institutions via AHP)

  • 최승일
    • 경영과학
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2011
  • Basel II advanced measurement approaches for operational risk need to estimate the frequency and severity distribution of operational losses. Due to lack of internal loss data, the estimation is impossible in many cases and so external loss data might be used by scaling on asset or gross income. To get around lack of loss data, scenario analysis combined with loss distribution approach can be useful in calculating the capital charge of operational risk. However, scenario based loss distribution approach requires much time and effort. Instead we may apply the analytic hierarchy process to measure operational risk of financial institutions. The analytic hierarchy process combined with loss distribution approach is to estimate the capital charge of operational risk in other areas based on the operational VaR in an area with sufficient loss data. AHP provides a tool for timely measurement of operational risk in this rapidly changing global environment.

FMECA 기법을 적용한 건설현장 거푸집작업의 통합 안전위험성 평가 및 대응방안 마련 (Integrated Safety Risk Assessment and Response Preparation on Construction Site Formwork Using FMECA Method)

  • 안선주;송상훈
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2012
  • Risk Assessment to list possible safety disasters and their probability and severity is the starting point for effective safety management on construction project site. However, the safety managers in owners, construction supervisors, contractors, and sub-contractors still have difficulties in judging the priorities of safety activities and preparing responses to each potential safety disasters. Therefore, this study aimed to suggest a systematic method in assessing safety risk prior to commencement with the agreement of stakeholders. FMECA(failure mode effects and criticality analysis) was selected as a main assessment tool and it was modified according to the characteristics of construction projects and trades. Each risk is, firstly, evaluated with occurrence probability, possible loss and impacts to projects, and detections, and then risk priority number(RPN) is calculated. Subsequently, the managers of each stakeholder discuss the types, timing, and responsibilities of responses as a group decision-making process.

수소충전소의 안전성에 관한 연구 (A Study on Safety of Hydrogen Station)

  • 고재욱;이대희;정인희
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문은 국내에 건설된 충전소를 분석 검토하여 수소충전소에 대한 안전성 평가를 실시함으로써 수소충전 소의 안전성에 대한 확인과 충전소 설치 시 필요한 기준마련에 기초자료를 제공하는 것이 궁극적인 목표이다. 안전성 평가 방법으로 FMEA (Failure Mode and Effect Analysis)를 사용하였고, 충전소를 크게 4개의 공정(제조, 압축, 저장, 충전)으로 분류하였다. 또한 각각의 발견된 위험요소에 S (severity), O (occurrence), D (detection)의 점수를 부여하여 이 세 요소의 곱의 값인 RPN (Risk Priority Number)의 수치를 이용하여 위험의 우선순위를 정하고, 이를 바탕으로 시나리오를 생성하였다. 생성한 시나리오를 기반으로 사고피해영향평가 결과 주요한 사고 유형으로 jet fire와 폭발이 나타났고, PSA (pressure swing adsorption) 공정 feed line에서의 누출의 경우 원료물질에 따라 CO가스의 농도가 상이할 수도 있으나, CO가스중독 위험성을 함께 예측되었다.

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Assessment of the Initial Risk Factors for Mortality among Patients with Severe Trauma on Admission to the Emergency Department

  • Park, Hyun Oh;Choi, Jun Young;Jang, In Seok;Kim, Jong Duk;Choi, Jae Won;Lee, Chung Eun
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제52권6호
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    • pp.400-408
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    • 2019
  • Background: For decades, trauma has been recognized globally as a major cause of death. Reducing the mortality of patients with trauma is an extremely pressing issue, particularly for those with severe trauma. An early and accurate assessment of the risk of mortality among patients with severe trauma is important for improving patient outcomes. Methods: We performed a retrospective medical record review of 582 patients with severe trauma admitted to the emergency department between July 2011 and June 2016. We analyzed the associations of in-hospital mortality with the baseline characteristics and initial biochemical markers of patients with severe trauma on admission. Results: The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 14.9%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the patient's Rapid Emergency Medicine Score (REMS; odds ratio [OR], 1.186; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.018-1.383; p=0.029), Emergency Trauma Score (EMTRAS; OR, 2.168; 95% CI, 1.570-2.994; p<0.001), serum lactate levels (SLL; OR, 1.298; 95% CI, 1.118-1.507; p<0.001), and Injury Severity Score (ISS; OR, 1.038; 95% CI, 1.010-1.130; p=0.021) were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. Conclusion: The REMS, EMTRAS, and SLL can easily and rapidly be used as alternatives to the injury severity score to predict in-hospital mortality for patients who present to the emergency department with severe trauma.

보호동기이론을 적용한 나트륨 과다섭취에 따른 위험성 및 나트륨 섭취 감소 방안의 효과성에 대한 부산·경남 지역 남녀 대학생들의 인식 비교 연구 (A Comparative Study on the Awareness of Health Risks and the Risk Reduction Measures Related to Sodium Intake between Female and Male University Students in Busan and Gyeongnam: An Application of Protection Motivation Theory)

  • 장수현;윤은주
    • 한국식품조리과학회지
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.136-146
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate whether there was a gender difference in motivating university students to decrease their sodium intake and to identify effective motivating factors. Within the protection motivation theory (PMT) framework, a survey questionnaire was developed to measure participants' perceptions on the severity of and the vulnerability to risk of serious diseases due to the high sodium intake, as well as the effectiveness (response efficacy) and the ability to perform preventive measures (self-efficacy). Behavioral intentions on five specific practices (checking nutrition label, consuming more fruits and vegetables, consuming less soups, avoiding spicy and pungent food, purchasing less instant or restaurant foods) related to decreasing sodium intake were also included. A total of 294 usable response data were collected from university students (92 male, 202 female) in Busan and Gyeongnam in June 2015 and analyzed using IBM SPSS 22. Severity was the highest (4.04) PMT factor followed by response efficacy (3.72), self-efficacy (3.42), and vulnerability (3.26). Compared to male students, female students thought that the threat was more severe (t=6.035, p<0.001) and reducing sodium intake would be effective to prevent serious illnesses (t=4.724, p<0.001), but their vulnerability and self-efficacy perceptions were not different from male students. Among the five items measuring behavioral intention, female students were more likely to increase fruits and vegetables consumption (t=3.811, p<0.001), while male students were more likely to avoid spicy and pungent foods (t=2.336, p=0.020). Based on findings of this study, the recommended strategy to effectively motivate university students to lower their sodium consumption level is the development of campaign focused on increased vulnerability perception, response efficacy, and ease of practicing preventive measures instead of emphasizing the severity of the consequences.