• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Rank

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Weighting Value Evaluation of Condition Assessment Item in Reinforced Earth Retaining Walls by Applying Hybrid Weighting Technique (혼합 가중치를 적용한 보강토 옹벽의 상태평가항목 가중치 평가)

  • Lee, Hyung Do;Won, Jeong-Hun;Seong, Joohyun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2017
  • This study proposed the new weighting values and fault points of condition assessment items for reinforced earth retaining walls based on the combination the inspection data and hybrid weighting technique. Utilizing the inspection data of 161 reinforced earth retaining walls, multi regression analysis and entropy technique were applied to gain the weighting values of condition assessment items. In addition, the weighting values by AHP technique was analyzed based on the opinion of experts. By appling hybrid weighting technique to the calculated weighting values obtained by the individual technique, the new weighting values of condition assessment items were proposed, and the fault points and fault indices of reinforced earth retaining walls were proposed. Results showed that the rank of the weighting value of the condition evaluation items was fluctuated according to the multiple regression analysis, AHP technique, and entropy technique. There was no duplication of the rank of the weighting value while the current weighting value was overlapped. Specially, in the rsults of multi regression analysis, two condition assessment items were occupied 70% of the total weights. When the proposed weighting values were applied to existing reinforced earth retaining wall of 161, 16 reinforced earth retaining walls showed the increased risk rank and 31 represented the decreased risk rank.

A Study on the Determination of the Risk-Loaded Premium using Risk Measures in the Credibility Theory (신뢰도이론에서 위험측도를 이용한 할증보험료 결정에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Hyun Tae;Jeon, Yongho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.71-87
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    • 2014
  • The Bayes premium or the net premium in the credibility theory does not reflect the underlying tail risk. In this study we examine how the tail risk measures can be utilized in determining the risk premium. First, we show that the risk measures can not only provide the proper risk loading, but also allow the insurer to avoid the wrong decision made with the Bayesian premium alone. Second, it is illustrated that the rank of the tail thickness among different conditional loss distributions does not preserve for the corresponding predictive distributions, even if they share the identical prior variable. The implication of this result is that the risk loading for a contract should be based on the risk measure of the predictive loss distribution not the conditional one.

Effects of a Cancer-Overcome BeHaS Exercise Program on Post-trauma Risk and Anxiety in Breast Cancer Patients (암 극복 베하스운동 프로그램이 유방암 환자의 위기와 불안에 미치는 효과)

  • Kim, Sun Ae;Kim, Jong Im;Park, Sun Young
    • Journal of muscle and joint health
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to estimate the effects of a cancer-overcome BeHaS exercise program on post-trauma risk and anxiety in breast cancer patients. The cancer-overcome BeHaS exercise program consisted of exercise, education, and cognitive supports. Methods: A one group pretest-posttest experimental design was used for this study. Fourteen mastectomy patients, the subjects of the group participated in the BeHaS exercise program. The program was provided for 8 weeks, once a week in C hospital. Data were collected from October to November 2012 with self report structured questionnaires. Descriptive statistics, and Wilcoxon Signed Rank test were used to analyze data with the SPSS 19.0. Results: The mean age of participants was 53 and the mean postoperative period after the surgery was 18.64 months. After the BeHaS exercise program, while there was no significant decrease in post-trauma risk scores, there was a significant difference in anxiety (z=-2.20, p=.028). Conclusion: This program has effects on decreasing anxiety in patients with breast cancer. Therefore the BeHaS exercise program should be applied as a nursing intervention to reduce anxiety for the patients with breast cancer.

Multi-Attribute Threat Index for Information Security : Simulation and AHP Approach (정보보호를 위한 다속성 위협지수 : 시뮬레이션과 AHP 접근방법)

  • Lee, Kang-Soo;Kim, Ki-Yoon;Na, Kwan-Sik
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.117-130
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    • 2008
  • Multi-attribute risk assessments provide a useful framework for systematic quantitative risk assessment that the security manager can use to prioritize security requirements and threats. In the first step, the security managers identify the four significant outcome attributes(lost revenue, lost productivity, lost customer, and recovery cost). Next. the security manager estimates the frequency and severity(three points estimates for outcome attribute values) for each threat and rank the outcome attributes according to AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process). Finally, we generate the threat index by using muiti-attribute function and make sensitivity analysis with simulation package(Crystal Ball). In this paper, we show how multi-attribute risk analysis techniques from the field of security risk management can be used by security managers to prioritize their organization's threats and their security requirements, eventually they can derive threat index. This threat index can help security managers to decide whether their security investment is consistent with the expected risks. In addition, sensitivity analysis allows the security manager to explore the estimates to understand how they affect the selection.

A Study on Reliability Analysis and Quantitative Risk Analysis for Liquefied Petroleum Gas Station (LPG 충전시설에 대한 신뢰도 분석과 정량적 위험성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim In-Won;Jin Sang-Hwa;Kim Tea-Woo;Kim In-Tae;Yeo Yeong-Koo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.5 no.4 s.16
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    • pp.40-48
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    • 2001
  • For a Liquified Petroleum Gas(LPG) station, the reliability analysis, such as Fussell-Vesely importance, risk decrease factor and risk increase factor, was carried out and the risk ranks of events were determined. In order to confirm the degree of the risks identified in the reliability analysis, the quantitative risk analysis was done for the equipments which had the large values of risk ranks. As a result of the importance analysis for the LPG station, the external event was identified as the most riskful event. The defect of construction structure and the pipe corrosion were riskful as well. The result of quantitative risk analysis showed that the length of 46.3 meters were estimated to damage the process equipments by the thermal flux from the catastrophic rupture of storage tank in Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapor Explosion.

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INFERENCE ON THE SEASONALLY COINTEGRATED MODEL WITH STRUCTURAL CHANGES

  • Song, Dae-Gun;Cho, Sin-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.501-522
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    • 2007
  • We propose an estimation procedure that can be used for detecting structural changes in the seasonal cointegrated vector autoregressive model. The asymptotic properties of the estimates and the test statistics for the parameter change are provided. A simulation example is presented to illustrate this method and its concept.

Risk indicators for mucositis and peri-implantitis: results from a practice-based cross-sectional study

  • Rinke, Sven;Nordlohne, Marc;Leha, Andreas;Renvert, Stefan;Schmalz, Gerhard;Ziebolz, Dirk
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.183-196
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This practice-based cross-sectional study aimed to investigate whether common risk indicators for peri-implant diseases were associated with peri-implant mucositis and peri-implantitis in patients undergoing supportive implant therapy (SIT) at least 5 years after implant restoration. Methods: Patients exclusively restored with a single implant type were included. Probing pocket depth (PPD), bleeding on probing (BOP), suppuration, and radiographic bone loss (RBL) were assessed around implants. The case definitions were as follows: peri-implant mucositis: PPD ≥4 mm, BOP, no RBL; and peri-implantitis: PPD ≥5 mm, BOP, RBL ≥3.5 mm. Possible risk indicators were compared between patients with and without mucositis and peri-implantitis using the Fisher exact test and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test, as well as a multiple logistic regression model for variables showing significance (P<0.05). Results: Eighty-four patients with 169 implants (observational period: 5.8±0.86 years) were included. A patient-based prevalence of 52% for peri-implant mucositis and 18% for peri-implantitis was detected. The presence of 3 or more implants (odds ratio [OR], 4.43; 95 confidence interval [CI], 1.36-15.05; P=0.0136) was significantly associated with an increased risk for mucositis. Smoking was significantly associated with an increased risk for peri-implantitis (OR, 5.89; 95% CI, 1.27-24.58; P=0.0231), while the presence of keratinized mucosa around implants was associated with a lower risk for peri-implantitis (OR, 0.05; 95% CI, 0.01-0.25; P<0.001). Conclusions: The number of implants should be considered in strategies to prevent mucositis. Furthermore, smoking and the absence of keratinized mucosa were the strongest risk indicators for peri-implantitis in patients undergoing SIT in the present study.

A study on the City-gas Pipeline Management System by Reliability Based Design and Assessment (신뢰도평가 기반 도시가스배관 종합관리시스템 구축 연구)

  • Oh, Dong-Seok;Lee, Jin-Han
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.129-135
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    • 2018
  • For efficiently safety management of city gas pipelines, the City-gas Pipeline Management System(CPMS) has been developed to systematically manage and analyze the data collected from 33 city gas companies and to effectively perform internal and external affairs related to gas safety management. The piping information data uploaded to the CPMS is ranked the risk according to the criteria specified in the KGS Code, and the safety management of the piping has performed close inspection according to the risk ranking. However, the criteria for deriving the risk ranking is very simple and lacks relevant grounds, and the reliability for the determination of the close inspection pipeline is no high due to the redundant rank. Therefore, we developed a risk assessment program based on the Reliability Based Design Assessment(RBDA) methodology and tried to derive a reasonable risk ranking by linking it with the CPMS system.

Typifing on Drivers' Risk Perception and Rank - Ordering of Risk Scene : Q - Methodological Approach (위험지각차원(危險知覺次元)의 유형화(類型化) 및 위험장면(危險場面)의 등급화(等級化) : Q - 방법(方法)을 중심(中心)으로)

  • Kim, In Seok;Lee, Won Young;Shin, Yong Kyun;Lee, Soon Chul
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.61-77
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    • 2002
  • This study focuses on drivers' risk perception & construct in risk scene. The measures used were the scores of hazard perception, namely the subjects' evaluation of the degree of risk through the 'Q-sorting' with 30 drivers. The subjects were divided into 3 groups according to their evaluating score, Z-score, road users' hazard(type 1), environmental hazard(type 2), situational hazard(type 3). And ten constructs derived from Q-sorting were compared through 'consensus item analysis'. It suggest that there are different in constructs for risk perception. Then those results are discussed in terms of theoretical and practical implication of traffic safety including accidents analysis and drivers' education.

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Associations of ABCB1 and XPC Genetic Polymorphisms with Susceptibility to Colorectal Cancer and Therapeutic Prognosis in a Chinese Population

  • Yue, Ai-Min;Xie, Zhen-Bin;Zhao, Hong-Feng;Guo, Shu-Ping;Shen, Yu-Hou;Wang, Hai-Pu
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.3085-3091
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    • 2013
  • Associations between ABCB1 and XPC genetic polymorphisms and risk of developing colorectal cancer (CRC) as well as clinical outcomes in CRCs with chemotherapy were investigated. A case-control study was performed on the ABCB1 C3435T, G2677T/A and XPC Lys939Gln polymorphisms in 428 CRC cases and 450 hospitalbased, age and sex frequency-matched controls using polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorphism (PCR-RFLP) assays. We observed that the ABCB1 3435CT or CC+CT variants were significantly linked with increasing risk of developing CRC (adjusted OR (95% CI): 1.814 (1.237-2.660), P=0.0022; adjusted OR (95% CI): 1.605 (1.117-2.306), P=0.0102, respectively). Moreover, the distribution frequency of XPC AC genotype or AC+CC genotypes also showed a tendency towards increasing the suscepbility for CRC (P=0.0759 and P=0.0903, respectively). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the ABCB1 C3435T variant was associated with a tendency toward longer progression-free survival (PFS) (n=343, Log-rank test: P=0.063), and the G2677T/A variant genotypes (GT+TT+GA+AA) with a tendency for longer OS in postoperative oxaliplatin-based patients (n=343, Log-rank test: P=0.082). However, no correlation of the XPC Lys939Gln polymorphism was found with PFS and OS in patients with postoperative oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy (n=343). Our study indicated that ABCB1 polymorphisms might be candidate pharmacogenomic factors for the prediction of CRC susceptibility, but not for prognosis with oxaliplatin chemosensitivity in CRC patients.