• Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
• /
• v.16 no.3
• /
• pp.273-277
• /
• 2014

Subcontracting business than the contracting business in shipbuilding industry is a lot of hazardous job and highly accident because of highly work intensity. In order to prevent the accidents, there is a need to analyze characteristic. of shipbuilding, to apply measures of risk assessment. In this paper, I suggested an improvement of the risk assessment through the actual condition research in shipbuilding industry. In the research method, I analysed accidents occurred until 2011-2013. Carried out the actual site survey while two weeks in May 2014. As a result, 1) The main pattern were caught-in or between, fall on the high level according to analyzed accidents. 2) To apply the weight show clear of magnitude for risk assessment. 3) Risk estimation of risk assessment is desirable to be quantization by accidents analysis, and to be greater than or equal to 4 steps.

• Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
• /
• v.46 no.1
• /
• pp.14-23
• /
• 2021

Background: For radiological protection and control, the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) provides the nominal risk coefficients related to radiation exposure, which can be extrapolated using the excess relative risk and excess absolute risk obtained from the Life Span Study of atomic bomb survivors in Hiroshima and Nagasaki with the dose and dose-rate effectiveness factor (DDREF). Materials and Methods: Since it is impossible to directly estimate the radiation risk at doses less than approximately 100 mSv only from epidemiological knowledge and data, support from radiation biology is absolutely imperative, and thus, several national and international bodies have advocated the importance of bridging knowledge between biology and epidemiology. Because of the accident at the Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO)'s Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station in 2011, the exposure of the public to radiation has become a major concern and it was considered that the estimation of radiation risk should be more realistic to cope with the prevailing radiation exposure situation. Results and Discussion: To discuss the issues from wide aspects related to radiological protection, and to realize bridging knowledge between biology and epidemiology, we have established a research group to develop low-dose and low-dose-rate radiation risk estimation methodology, with the permission of the Japan Health Physics Society. Conclusion: The aim of the research group was to clarify the current situation and issues related to the risk estimation of low-dose and low-dose-rate radiation exposure from the viewpoints of different research fields, such as epidemiology, biology, modeling, and dosimetry, to identify a future strategy and roadmap to elucidate a more realistic estimation of risk against low-dose and low-dose-rate radiation exposure.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
• /
• v.30 no.3
• /
• pp.137-149
• /
• 2005

This study proposes a framework enhancing the accuracy of estimation for project duration by combining linear Bayesian updating scheme with the learning curve effect. Activities in a particular project might share resources in various forms and might be affected by risk factors such as weather Statistical dependence stemming from such resource or risk sharing might help us learn about the duration of upcoming activities in the Bayesian model. We illustrate, using a Monte Carlo simulation, that for partially repetitive projects a higher degree of statistical dependence among activity duration results in more variation in estimating the project duration in total, although more accurate forecasting Is achievable for the duration of an individual activity.

• Journal of the Korean Professional Engineers Association
• /
• v.34 no.5
• /
• pp.77-81
• /
• 2001

The industrial accident in subway of late is increasingly coming to the front as a serious problem of society because a scale of industrial accident is a large size, and powerfulness, while the percent of accident is decreasing as a result of industrial facilities with the largeness of equipment, automation, and high horse-powering. In this paper, a study on the estimation of accident loss prevention cost and risk analysis in subway construction is proposed as an alternative to the techniques currently used in the general construction projects safety. Then the concept of risk evaluation using a risk assessment model is presented to drive value of risk and numerical example for risk analysis. A means for this does grasp the importance of educational factor by way of analyzing the causes of accident through statistical data of labor department, emphasizing the necessity and the importance of safety education, being helpful to act safety by decreasing insecure activity which ranks the majority of accident causes with putting the education program, form, method into practice that are suitable for a place of business.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• v.27 no.4
• /
• pp.485-494
• /
• 1998

In the white noise model we construct an adaptive estimate for f(0) for a decreasing function f. We also show that the maximum mean square error of this estimate attains the same rate as the minimax risk simultaneously over a range of Lipschitz classes of order less than or equal to one.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
• /
• v.18 no.3
• /
• pp.34-41
• /
• 2010

'Aviation Safety' is the state in which the risk of harm to persons or of property damage is reduced to, and maintained at or below, an acceptable level through a continuing process of hazard identification and risk management in the aviation field. 'Risk' is the assessed potential for adverse consequences resulting from a hazard and 'Risk assessment' involves consideration of both the frequency and the severity of any adverse consequence. This study focused on the risk frequency about a case airport which does not meet the 'Runway end safety area' requirement of ICAO SARPs and Korea standards and used 'RSA risk model' for estimating the risk frequency. As results of this study, risk frequency of the runway end safety areas in the case airport is higher than that of 'Runway end safety area' requirement of ICAO SARPs and Korea standards, which means that alternatives for risk frequency mitigation to a level as low as reasonably practicable is required in the case airport. The optimum solution analysed from this study is to impose restriction of aircraft operation when the runway condition is poor(icing condition) and also it snows in the case airport.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.19 no.2
• /
• pp.421-429
• /
• 2008

We consider a general semiparametric additive risk model that consists of three components. They are parametric, purely and smoothly nonparametric components. In parametric component, time dependent term is known up to proportional constant. In purely nonparametric component, time dependent term is an unknown function, and time dependent term in smoothly nonparametric component is an unknown but smoothly function. As an estimation method of this model, we use the weighted least square estimation by Huffer and McKeague (1991). We provide an illustrative example as well as a simulation study that compares the performance of our method with the ordinary least square method.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.18 no.1
• /
• pp.97-105
• /
• 2007

We consider a nonparametric additive risk model that is based on splines. This model consists of both purely and smoothly nonparametric components. As an estimation method of this model, we use the weighted least square estimation by Huller and Mckeague (1991). We provide an illustrative example as well as a simulation study that compares the performance of our method with the ordinary least square method.

• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 2006.11a
• /
• pp.49-50
• /
• 2006

We consider a nonparametric additive risk model that are based on splines. This model consists of both purely and smoothly nonparametric components. As an estimation method of this model, we use the weighted least square estimation by Huffer and McKeague (1991). We provide an illustrative example as well as a simulation study that compares the performance of our method with the ordinary least square method.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
• /
• v.26 no.1
• /
• pp.163-185
• /
• 2013

In this paper, we investigate the need to employ long-memory volatility models in terms of Value-at-Risk(VaR) estimation. We estimate the VaR of the KOSPI returns using long-memory volatility models such as FIGARCH and FIEGARCH; in addition, via back-testing we compare the performance of the obtained VaR with short memory processes such as GARCH and EGARCH. Back-testing says that there exists a long-memory property in the volatility process of KOSPI returns and that it is essential to employ long-memory volatility models for the right estimation of VaR.