• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
• /
• v.49 no.3
• /
• pp.11-20
• /
• 2007

Estimation of crop consumptive use is a key term of agricultural water resource systems design and operation. The 10-year return period drought has special aspects as a reference period in design process of irrigation systems in terms of agricultural water demand analysis so that crop evapotranspiration (ETc) about the return period also has to be analyzed to assist understanding of crop water requirement of paddy rice. In this study, The ETc of 10-year return period drought was computed using frequency analysis by 54 meteorological stations. To find an optimal probability distribution, 8 types of probability distribution function were tested by three the goodness of fit tests including ${\chi}^2$(Chi-Square), K-S (Kolmogorov-Smirnov) and PPCC (Probability Plot Correlation Coefficient). Optimal probability distribution function was selected the 2-parameter Log-Normal (LN2) distribution function among 8 distribution functions. Using the two selected distribution functions, the ETc of 10-year return period drought was estimated for 54 meteorological stations and compared with prior study results suggested by other researchers.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.21 no.6
• /
• pp.501-512
• /
• 2014

Stylized facts on asset return are fat-tail, asymmetry, volatility clustering and structure changes. This paper simultaneously captures these characteristics by introducing a multi-regime models: Finite mixture distribution and regime switching GARCH model. Analyzing the daily KOSPI return from $4^{th}$ January 2000 to $30^{th}$ June 2014, we find that a two-component mixture of t distribution is a good candidate to describe the shape of the KOSPI return from unconditional and conditional perspectives. Empirical results suggest that the equality assumption on the shape parameter of t distribution yields better discrimination of heterogeneity component in return data. We report the strong regime-dependent characteristics in volatility dynamics with high persistence and asymmetry by employing a regime switching GJR-GARCH model with t innovation model. Compared to two sub-samples, Pre-Crisis (January 2003 ~ December 2007) and Post-Crisis (January 2010 ~ June 2014), we find that the degree of persistence in the Pre-Crisis is higher than in the Post-Crisis along with a strong asymmetry in the low-volatility (high-volatility) regime during the Pre-Crisis (Post-Crisis).

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
• /
• v.11 no.4
• /
• pp.37-48
• /
• 2020

Purpose - This study empirically investigates whether the risk property included in fat-tails of return distributions is systematic or unsystematic based on the devised statistical methods. Design/methodology/approach - This study devised empirical designs based on two traditional methods: principal component analysis (PCA) and the testing method of portfolio diversification effect. The fatness of the tails in return distributions is quantitatively measured by statistical probability. Findings - According to the results, the risk property in the fat-tails of return distributions has the economic meanings of eigenvalues having a value greater than 1 through PCA, and also systematic risk that cannot be removed through portfolio diversification. In other words, the fat-tails of return distributions have the properties of the common factors, which may explain the changes of stock returns. Meanwhile, the fatness of the tails in the portfolio return distributions shows the asymmetric relationship of common factors on the tails of return distributions. The negative tail in the portfolio return distribution has a much closer relation with the property of common factors, compared to the positive tail. Research implications or Originality - This empirical evidence may complement the existing studies related to tail risk which is utilized in pricing models as a common factor.

• Culinary science and hospitality research
• /
• v.22 no.6
• /
• pp.52-60
• /
• 2016

This study attempts to measure the financial performance of the food distribution company. In order to achieve the goal, this study have measured the ratios of ROE, ROA applying the DuPont analysis, which have been demonstrated with tables to show the change periodically. DuPont analysis is based on analysis of Return on Equity (ROE) & Return on Investment (ROI). The return on equity disaggregate performance into three components: Net Profit Margin, Total Asset Turnover, and the Equity Multiplier. The return on investment consists of Assets Turnover (Operating Income${\times}$Total Assets) and Profit Margin (EBIT${\times}$Operating Income). From the study it if found that Hyundae Green Food's Financial performance is high followed by Foodmerce and then Dongwon home food and Lotte Food. The four companies are significant at their level. In conclusion, ROE & ROI is the most comprehensive measure of profitability of a firm. It considers the operating and investing decisions can be made as well as the financing and their leverage-related decisions.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.18 no.2
• /
• pp.289-300
• /
• 2007

The stock return is changed by factors of inside and outside or is changed by factor of market system. But most studies have not considered the changes of stock return distribution when estimate the VaR. Such study may lead us to wrong conclusion. In this paper we calculate the VaR of price-to-earnings ratios by the distribution that have considered the change point and used transformation to satisfy normal distribution.

• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
• /
• v.30 no.1
• /
• pp.41-49
• /
• 2016

In this study, rainfall characteristics with stationary and non-stationary perspectives were analyzed using generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution and Gumbel distribution models with rainfall data collected in major cities of Korea to reevaluate the return period of sewer flooding in those cities. As a result, the probable rainfall for GEV and Gumbel distribution in non-stationary state both increased with time(t), compared to the stationary probable rainfall. Considering the reliability of ${\xi}_1$, a variable reflecting the increase of storm events due to climate change, the reliability of the rainfall duration for Seoul, Daegu, and Gwangju in the GEV distribution was over 90%, indicating that the probability of rainfall increase was high. As for the Gumbel distribution, Wonju, Daegu, and Gwangju showed the higher reliability while Daejeon showed the lower reliability than the other cities. In addition, application of the maximum annual rainfall change rate (${\xi}_1{\cdot}t$) to the location parameter made possible the prediction of return period by time, therefore leading to the evaluation of design recurrence interval.

• Journal of Distribution Science
• /
• v.21 no.10
• /
• pp.77-84
• /
• 2023

Purpose: This study aims to determine the impact of green accounting on the distribution of company financial performance. Green Accounting is seen as an accounting approach that considers the environmental impact of business activities and the distribution of financial performance which is expected to provide great benefits to the company. Research Design Data and Methodology: The population of this study is 168 manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2018 to 2020. The research theory uses the Legitimacy Theory and the Shareholder Theory. Research data were analyzed using multiple regression models with purposive sampling. Green Accounting in this study uses environmental cost proxies using Return on Capital Employed (ROCE). Financial performance uses the Return on Equity (ROE) proxy. Results: research shows that the influence of green accounting can provide important input to operational managers in manufacturing companies in making decisions regarding environmental costs and environmental protection that will provide economic benefits for the company. In addition, these findings also clarify the great benefits of green accounting policies for a company's production process. Conclusion: Green Accounting has a long-term impact through the company's financial performance. Green Accounting can be the basis for companies in deciding whether to invest or not.

• Journal of Distribution Science
• /
• v.21 no.5
• /
• pp.101-111
• /
• 2023

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of the VKOSPI index on short-term stock returns after a large-scale stock price shock of individual stocks of firms in the distribution industry in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology: This study investigates the effect of the change of the VKOSPI index or investor mood on abnormal returns after the event date from January 2004 to July 2022. The significance of the abnormal return, which is obtained by subtracting the rate of return estimated by the market model from the rate of actual return on each trading day after the event date, is determined based on T-test and multifactor regression analysis. Results: In Korea's distribution industry, the simultaneous occurrence of a bad investor mood and a large stock price decline, leads to stock price reversals. Conversely, the simultaneous occurrence of a good investor mood and a large-scale stock price rise leads to stock price drifts. We found that the VKOSPI index has strong explanatory power for these reversals and drifts even after considering both company-specific and event-specific factors. Conclusions: In Korea's distribution industry-related stock market, investors show an asymmetrical behavioral characteristic of overreacting to negative moods and underreacting to positive moods.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
• /
• v.25 no.1
• /
• pp.29-43
• /
• 2012

Financial data such as stock index returns and exchange rates have the properties of heavy tail and asymmetry compared to normal distribution. When we estimate VaR using the GARCH model (with the conditional return distribution of normal) it shows the tendency of the lower estimation and clustering in the losses over the estimated VaR. In this paper, we argue that this problem can be resolved through the adaptation of the unbounded Johnson distribution as that of the condition return. We also compare this model with the GARCH with the conditional return distribution of normal and student-t. Using the losses exceed the ex-ante VaR, estimates, we check the validity of the GARCH models through the failure proportion test and the clustering test. We nd that the GARCH model with conditional return distribution of unbounded Johnson provides an appropriate estimation of the VaR and does not occur the clustering of violations.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.21 no.2
• /
• pp.219-229
• /
• 2010

There have been many researches on the risk management due to rapid increase of various risk factors for financial assets. Aa a method for comprehensive risk management, Value at Risk (VaR) is developed. For estimation of VaR, it is important task to solve the problem of asymmetric distribution of the return rate with heavy tail. Most real distributions of the return rate have high positive kurtosis and low negative skewness. In this paper, some alternative distributions are used to be fitted to real distributions of the return rate of financial asset. And estimates of VaR obtained by using these fitting distributions are compared with those obtained from real distribution. It is found that normal mixture distribution is the most fitted where its skewness and kurtosis of practical distribution are close to real ones, and the VaR estimation using normal mixture distribution is more accurate than any others using other distributions including normal distribution.