• 제목/요약/키워드: Residuals

검색결과 627건 처리시간 0.029초

공간 상호작용 모델에 대한 공간단위 수정가능성 문제(MAUP)의 영향 (Effects of the Modifiable Areal Unit Problem (MAUP) on a Spatial Interaction Model)

  • 김감영
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.197-211
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    • 2011
  • 공간 상호작용의 복잡성, 공간적 재현과 모델링의 필요성에 의해서 공간 상호작용 데이터의 합역이 불가피하다. 이러한 상황에서 본 연구의 목적은 공간 상호작용 데이터를 스케일을 달리하여 합역하거나 혹은 동일 스케일에서 합역 방식을 달리하여 합역하였을 때, 공간 상호작용 모델의 결과가 어떻게 달라지는지 평가하는 것이다. 공간 상호작용 데이터의 합역은 공간단위 수정가능성의 문제(Modifiable Areal Unit Problem: MAUP)를 야기한다. 공간 상호작용 데이터의 합역을 위하여 무작위로 구역 시드를 선정한 후 인접한 공간단위를 할당하는 방법, 구역 시드와 공간단위 사이의 연구 가중 거리를 최소화하는 방법, 구역 내 상호작용 비율을 최대화하는 방법, 구역 내 상호작용 비율을 최소화하는 방법을 사용하였다. MAUP의 영향을 평가하기 위한 공간 상호작용 모텔로 기원지-목적지 제약 포아송 회귀 모델을 이용하였다. 분석 결과는 모델 잔차의 공간적 특성뿐만 아니라 파라미터 추정값, 적합도 등이 MAUP의 영향을 받는다는 것을 보여주었다. 모델은 합역 방식 보다는 합역 수준에 더 민감하게 반응하였고, 모델에 대한 스케일 효과는 구획 방식에 따라 상이하게 나타났다.

가정용 고분자전해질 연료전지 공기공급시스템의 모델 기반 고장 검출 기술 (Model-based Fault Detection Method for the Air Supply System of a Residential PEM Fuel Cell)

  • 원진연;김민진;이원용;최윤영;홍종섭;오환영
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.556-566
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    • 2019
  • Recently, as the supply of residential polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs) increases, the durability and lifetime of the PEMFC system are becoming important. The related studies have been mainly focused on the durability and lifetime of materials while the research on the durability and maintenance of the system level is insufficient. In this paper, a model-based fault detection method is developed considering an air supply system that is dominant to the system performance and efficiency. A commercial 1 kW residential fuel cell system is built, and experiments are conducted under various operation loads and states (normal, 6 faults). From the experimental data, nominal models and residuals are generated. With the residual pattern obtained from real-time data, the detection and classification of various faults can be possible. The technical importance of this paper is to minimize extra sensor installation by using the empirical model rather than a complex mathematical model, and to decrease the number of models by using the applicable model at three loads. Finally, the model-based fault detection method for the air supply system of a PEMFC is established and is expected to be applicable to other subsystems.

Simplified Noise Modeling of GPS Measurements for a Fast and Reliable Cycle Ambiguity Resolution

  • Park, Byung-Woon;Kee, Chang-Don
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2006년도 International Symposium on GPS/GNSS Vol.1
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    • pp.535-540
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    • 2006
  • The relationship between the observable noise model and the satellite elevation angle can be modeled quite well by an exponential function.[Jin, 1996] Noise size and dependence on the elevation angle are, however, different for each observation and receiver type. Therefore, the coefficient determination of this model is an issue, and various methods including PR-CP, single difference, and time difference have been suggested. The limitations of them are difficulty to model the carrier phase noise and to eliminate bias. To overcome these disadvantages for using Jin's model, we suggest zero baseline double difference (DD) and noise sorting algorithm. Data DD technique in zero baseline is useful to eliminate all the troublesome GPS biases, and the remaining error is the sum of GPS measurement noises from two satellites. These DD residuals for hours should be sorted by the combination of satellite elevation angles, and then variance value of the residual for each combination can be estimated. Using these values, we construct an over-determined linear equation whose solution is a set of noise variance for each satellite elevation angle. With 24hr Trimble 4000ssi data, we easily worked out the coefficients of the noise model not only for pseudorange but also for carrier phase. We estimated the standard deviation of the measurement DD using our model, and plotted 1 and 3 sigma lines for every epoch to verify the representation of the residual error. 63.3% of pseudorange residual and 65.9% of phase error did not exceed the 1 sigma lines. Additionally, 99.2% and 99.5% of them lied within 3sigma line. These figures prove that the Gaussian property of measurement noise, and that the suggested model by our algorithm corresponds to the observable noise information.

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2-체널 링-코어 프럭스-게이트 콤파스의 성능평가 시스템 개발 (Performance Evaluation System for Tow-Channel Ring-Core Flux-Gate Compass)

  • 임정빈;정중식;박성현;김봉석
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.529-535
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    • 2002
  • 2-체널 링-코어 프럭스-게이트 콤파스(Two-Channel Ring-Core Flux-Gate Compass; TCRC FG-Compass)의 성능평가 시스템 설계와 구현방법 및, 다항회귀 모형 기반의 평가 절차와 방법을 기술했다. 성능평가 시스템은 스템모터 구동 유닛과, 방위정보 전송 유닛, 다항회귀식에 의한 평가 프로그램 등으로 구성하였다. 성능평가 실험결과, TCRC FG-Compass는 잔차가 $2^{\circ}$인 반면, 기존의 FG-Compass는 잔차가 $4^{\circ}$임을 나타냈다. 따라서 성능이 향상된 새로운 FG-Compass 설계가 가능함을 확인하였다. 또한, 자동으로 잔차를 추정하고 보정할 수 있는 설계론에 관해서도 논의하였다.

Investigation of Low-Temperature Processed Amorphous ZnO TFTs Using a Sol-Gel Method

  • Chae, Seong Won;Yun, Ho Jin;Yang, Seung Dong;Jeong, Jun Kyo;Park, Jung Hyun;Kim, Yu Jeong;Kim, Hyo Jin;Lee, Ga-Won
    • Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Materials
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.155-158
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, ZnO Thin Film Transistors (TFTs) were fabricated by a sol-gel method using a low-temperature process, and their physical and electrical characteristics were analyzed. To lower the process temperature to $200^{\circ}C$, we used a zinc nitrate hydrate ($Zn(NO_3)_2{\cdot}xH_2O$) precursor. Thermo Gravimetric Analyzer (TGA) analysis showed that the zinc nitrate hydrate precursor solution had 1.5% residual organics, much less than the 6.5% of zinc acetate dihydrate at $200^{\circ}C$. In the sol-gel method, organic materials in the precursor disrupt formation of a high-quality film, and high-temperature annealing is needed to remove the organic residuals, which implies that, by using zinc nitrate hydrate, ZnO devices can be fabricated at a much lower temperature. Using an X-Ray Diffractometer (XRD) and an X-ray Photoelectron Spectrometer (XPS), $200^{\circ}C$ annealed ZnO film with zinc nitrate hydrate (ZnO (N)) was found to have an amorphous phase and much more oxygen vacancy ($V_o$) than Zn-O bonds. Despite no crystallinity, the ZnO (N) had conductance comparable to that of ZnO with zinc acetate dihydrate (ZnO (A)) annealed at $500^{\circ}C$ as in TFTs. These results show that sol-gel could be made a potent process for low-cost and flexible device applications by optimizing the precursors.

필터링된 잔차를 이용한 희박벡터자기회귀모형에서의 변수 선택 측도 (Filtered Coupling Measures for Variable Selection in Sparse Vector Autoregressive Modeling)

  • 이승규;백창룡
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.871-883
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    • 2015
  • 벡터자기회귀모형은 다차원의 시계열 자료간의 선형종속 관계를 연구하는데 효율적인 모형이다. 하지만 차원이 높아질 경우 추정해야할 모수가 급격히 증가하여 추정이 불안정해지고 예측력의 저하 및 해석의 어려움을 동반하는 문제를 가지고 있다. 이를 보완하기 위해서 많은 계수를 0으로 두는 희박벡터자기회귀모형이 제안되었고 고차원 시계열 분석에서 유용함이 밝혀졌다. 이 논문에서는 희박벡터자기회귀모형 추정에 있어서 어떠한 계수를 0으로 두어야 하는지를 판단해주는 한 쌍의 변수에 대한 상관 정도를 추정해주는 커플링 측도를 제안한다. 먼저 이 논문에서는 부분 스펙트럼 일관성에 기반을 둔 커플링 측도를 사용한 변수 선택의 경우 다른 변수의 효과를 제거한 잔차에 기반을 두었기에 좋은 효율성을 보임을 밝힌다. 하지만 부분 스펙트럼 일관성의 경우 벡터자기회귀모형 계수의 비대칭성을 고려하지 못한다는 단점이 있어 이를 보완하고자 필터링을 통해 다른 변수의 효과를 제거한 잔차에 기반을 둔 동시에 비대칭성을 가지는 커플링 측도들, 필터링된 잔차를 이용한 교차 상관성과 그래인저 인과관계를 제안한다. 모의실험을 통해 우리가 제안한 방법론들이 두터운 꼬리를 가지거나 높은 차수의 희박벡터자기회귀모형의 경우에도 매우 정확하게 0이 아닌 변수를 선택함을 보인다.

목질 바이오매스의 활용에 대한 동향 분석 - 목질 바이오매스의 생산·공급, 그리고 활용을 중심으로 - (Analysis on the Trend of the Utilization of Woody Biomass - Production, supply, and practical use of woody biomass -)

  • 안병일;김철환;이지영;심성웅;조후승;이경선;이지영
    • 펄프종이기술
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    • 제44권4호
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    • pp.32-42
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    • 2012
  • Wood biomass including forest residues, waste wood, and construction residuals has been widely generated in Korea, but forest biomass from the National Forest Management Operation Project plays a big role in generating wood biomass. Unfortunately the promotion policy of woody energy organized by the Forest Service in Korea concentrates more on demand creation rather than on supply expansion. Therefore, in order to utilize insufficient wood resources effectively, it is greatly required to develop uses for maximizing their added value. In particular, more attention to the use of the second generation biomass has been paid in foreign countries because there is a threshold that the first generation biomass cannot produce enough biofuel without threatening food supplies and biodiversity. In Korea, wood pellets are regarded as the alternative clean fuels to oils and coals that emit green house gases into the atmosphere. However, using wood as pellet raw materials can not be an economic way because the value of wood disappears right after burning in the boiler in spite of its contribution to the decrease of carbon emission. Differently from wood pellets, kraft pulping process using woody biomass produces black liquor as a by-product which can be used to generate electricity, bioenergy and biochemicals through gasification. Thus, it can be more economical to make a torrefaction of lignocellulosic biomass such as low-quality wood and agricultural leftovers as raw materials of pellets.

Bootstrap 방법에 의한 하천유출량 모의와 왜곡도 (Streamflow Generation by Boostrap Method and Skewness)

  • 김병식;김형수;서병하
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.275-284
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구에서는 Monte-Carlo 모형, AR(1)모형, PAR(1) 모형과 같은 추계학적 모형의 잔차값을 무작위적 복원추출하여 연 및 월 하천 유출량자료를 모의발생하였다. Bootstrap이라고 불리우는 이 복원추출방법은 자료의 모집단의 가정이 필요없다는 장점이 있으며 자료로부터 직접 통계적 분포형을 추정하는 방법으로써 자료의 순위변동법을 이용한다. 본 연구에서는 이 방법을 용담지점에 적용하였으며 Bootstrap 방법으로 모의발생된 하천 유출량자료의 거동을 검토하기 하기 위해 관측 유출량과 모의 발생된 유출량의 통계치를 산정하여 비교하였다. 그 결과 기존의 방범과 Bootstrap 방법 모두 평균, 표준편차, 자기상관성은 잘 재현하였으나 왜곡도 계수의 경우 Bootstrap 방법이 더 뛰어남을 확인할 수 있었다.

KAERI 채널형 전단벽체의 동적해석; 시스템판별, FE 모델향상 및 시간이력 응답 (Dynamic Analysis of a KAERI Channel Type Shear Wall: System Identification, FE Model Updating and Time-History Responses)

  • 조순호
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2021
  • KAERI has planned to carry out a series of dynamic tests using a shaking table and time-history analyses for a channel-type concrete shear wall to investigate its seismic performance because of the recently frequent occurrence of earthquakes in the south-eastern parts of Korea. The overall size of a test specimen is b×l×h =2500 mm×3500 mm×4500 mm, and it consists of three stories having slabs and walls with thicknesses of 140 mm and 150 mm, respectively. The system identification, FE model updating, and time-history analysis results for a test shear wall are presented herein. By applying the advanced system identification, so-called pLSCF, the improved modal parameters are extracted in the lower modes. Using three FE in-house packages, such as FEMtools, Ruaumoko, and VecTor4, the eigenanalyses are made for an initial FE model, resulting in consistency in eigenvalues. However, they exhibit relatively stiffer behavior, as much as 30 to 50% compared with those extracted from the test in the 1st and 2nd modes. The FE model updating is carried out to consider the 6-dofs spring stiffnesses at the wall base as major parameters by adopting a Bayesian type automatic updating algorithm to minimize the residuals in modal parameters. The updating results indicate that the highest sensitivity is apparent in the vertical translational springs at few locations ranging from 300 to 500% in variation. However, their changes seem to have no physical meaning because of the numerical values. Finally, using the updated FE model, the time-history responses are predicted by Ruaumoko at each floor where accelerometers are located. The accelerograms between test and analysis show an acceptable match in terms of maximum and minimum values. However, the magnitudes and patterns of floor response spectra seem somewhat different because of the slightly different input accelerograms and damping ratios involved.

아궁이 사용에 의한 대기오염물질의 배출 특성 (Emission of Airbone Pollutants from Traditional Korean Fireplace)

  • 박성규;유근정;최상진;김대근;김동영;장영기
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.113-119
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    • 2015
  • Emission from the traditional Korean fireplace, or the under-floor heating and cooking device, can contribute significantly to airborne pollutants inventories. This study has systematically measured emissions of airborne pollutants from the fireplace when used different fuels such as firewood, agricultural crop residuals, household wastes. The results show that emission factors of airborne pollutants through the primary combustion of firewood were 3.22 g/kg for TSP, 2.93 g/kg for $PM_{10}$, 2.65 g/kg for $PM_{2.5}$, 174.19 g/kg for CO, 7.77 g/kg for NO, 0.15 g/kg for $SO_2$, 40.53 g/kg for TVOC and 0.03 g/kg for $NH_3$; from burning of agricultural crop residues, 2.85 g/kg for TSP, 1.38 g/kg for $PM_{10}$, 1.14 g/kg for $PM_{2.5}$, 126.47 g/kg for CO, 12.60 g/kg for NO, 0.20 g/kg for $SO_2$, 33.73 g/kg for TVOC and 0.02 g/kg for $NH_3$; and for household wastes, 10.52 g/kg for TSP, 8.52 g/kg for $PM_{10}$, 6.23 g/kg for $PM_{2.5}$, 72.86 g/kg for CO, 11.73 g/kg for NO, 0.20 g/kg for $SO_2$, 47.10 g/kg for TVOC and 0.20 g/kg for $NH_3$.