• Title/Summary/Keyword: Residual variance Estimation

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The restricted maximum likelihood estimation of a censored regression model

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.291-301
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    • 2017
  • It is well known in a small sample that the maximum likelihood (ML) approach for variance components in the general linear model yields estimates that are biased downward. The ML estimate of residual variance tends to be downwardly biased. The underestimation of residual variance, which has implications for the estimation of marginal effects and asymptotic standard error of estimates, seems to be more serious in some limited dependent variable models, as shown by some researchers. An alternative frequentist's approach may be restricted or residual maximum likelihood (REML), which accounts for the loss in degrees of freedom and gives an unbiased estimate of residual variance. In this situation, the REML estimator is derived in a censored regression model. A small sample the REML is shown to provide proper inference on regression coefficients.

A Study On Variance Estimation in Smoothing Goodness-of-Fit Tests (평활 적합도 검정에서의 분산추정의 영향)

  • Yoon, Yong-Hwa;Kim, Jong-Tae;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.189-202
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    • 1998
  • The goat of this paper is to study on variance estimation - Rice variance estimation, Gasser, Sroka and Jennen-Steinmetz's varince estimation - in smoothing goodness-of-fit tests. The comparisons of powers on test statistics are conducted by the change of variance, the number of oscillations, the amplitude of the alternative sample distribution.

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Length-biased Rayleigh distribution: reliability analysis, estimation of the parameter, and applications

  • Kayid, M.;Alshingiti, Arwa M.;Aldossary, H.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2013
  • In this article, a new model based on the Rayleigh distribution is introduced. This model is useful and practical in physics, reliability, and life testing. The statistical and reliability properties of this model are presented, including moments, the hazard rate, the reversed hazard rate, and mean residual life functions, among others. In addition, it is shown that the distributions of the new model are ordered regarding the strongest likelihood ratio ordering. Four estimating methods, namely, method of moment, maximum likelihood method, Bayes estimation, and uniformly minimum variance unbiased, are used to estimate the parameters of this model. Simulation is used to calculate the estimates and to study their properties. Finally, the appropriateness of this model for real data sets is shown by using the chi-square goodness of fit test and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic.

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A robust frequency offset estimation scheme for an OFDM system (OFDM 수신기를 위한 강인한 주파수 옵셋 보정 기법)

  • Wui, Jung-Hwa;Hwang, Hu-Mor;Song, Jin-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.07d
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    • pp.3100-3102
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we propose to a robust frequency offset estimation method of OFDM signals. A carrier frequency offset may be decomposed into an integer multiple of the subcarrier spacing and a residual frequency offset. Fractional part of frequency offset is obtained by using the maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) method. And we use the correlation of the samples at the output of the discrete Fourier transform(DFT) to estimate integer part of frequency offset. The result shows that the estimation frequency offset is almost linear to frequency offset. We propose to an improved estimation error variance of the carrier frequency offset estimation. The proposed estimator has better performance than the conventional ones in terms of error variance and tracking range.

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Estimation of Mean Residual Life Function for a Coherent System (코히어런트 시스템에서 평균잔여수명함수(平均殘餘壽命函數)의 추정(推定))

  • Park, Byung-Gu
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.4
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 1993
  • In this paper we propose a nonparametric estimator of the men residual life function (MRLF) on a coherent system under the condition that the component lifetimes are censored by system lifetime. It is shown that the proposed estimator, considered as a function of age t, converges weakly to a Gaussian process on a fixed interval. A consistent estimator of asymptotic variance of the proposed estimator is also given.

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Discontinuous log-variance function estimation with log-residuals adjusted by an estimator of jump size (점프크기추정량에 의한 수정된 로그잔차를 이용한 불연속 로그분산함수의 추정)

  • Hong, Hyeseon;Huh, Jib
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.259-269
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    • 2017
  • Due to the nonnegativity of variance, most of nonparametric estimations of discontinuous variance function have used the Nadaraya-Watson estimation with residuals. By the modification of Chen et al. (2009) and Yu and Jones (2004), Huh (2014, 2016a) proposed the estimators of the log-variance function instead of the variance function using the local linear estimator which has no boundary effect. Huh (2016b) estimated the variance function using the adjusted squared residuals by the estimated jump size in the discontinuous variance function. In this paper, we propose an estimator of the discontinuous log-variance function using the local linear estimator with the adjusted log-squared residuals by the estimated jump size of log-variance function like Huh (2016b). The numerical work demonstrates the performance of the proposed method with simulated and real examples.

Analysis of Variance for Using Common Random Numbers When Optimizing a System by Simulation and RSM (시뮬레이션과 RSM을 이용한 시스템 최적화 과정에서 공통난수 활용에 따른 분산 분석)

  • 박진원
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2001
  • When optimizing a complex system by determining the optimum condition of the system parameters of interest, we often employ the process of estimating the unknown objective function, which is assumed to be a second order spline function. In doing so, we normally use common random numbers for different set of the controllable factors resulting in more accurate parameter estimation for the objective function. In this paper, we will show some mathematical result for the analysis of variance when using common random numbers in terms of the regression error, the residual error and the pure error terms. In fact, if we can realize the special structure of the covariance matrix of the error terms, we can use the result of analysis of variance for the uncorrelated experiments only by applying minor changes.

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A NOVEL WEIBULL MARSHALL-OLKIN POWER LOMAX DISTRIBUTION: PROPERTIES AND APPLICATIONS TO MEDICINE AND ENGINEERING

  • ELHAM MORADI;ZAHRA SHOKOOH GHAZANI
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.1275-1301
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    • 2023
  • This paper introduced the Weibull Marshall-Olkin Power Lomax (WMOPL) distribution. The statistical aspects of the proposed model are presented, such as the quantiles function, moments, mean residual life and mean deviations, variance, skewness, kurtosis, and reliability measures like the residual life function, and stress-strength reliability. The parameters of the new model are estimated using six different methods, and simulation research is illustrated to compare the six estimation methods. In the end, two real data sets show that the Weibull Marshall-Olkin Power Lomax distribution is flexible and suitable for modeling data.

Estimation of Genetic Parameters for Milk Production Traits Using a Random Regression Test-day Model in Holstein Cows in Korea

  • Kim, Byeong-Woo;Lee, Deukhwan;Jeon, Jin-Tae;Lee, Jung-Gyu
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.923-930
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    • 2009
  • This study was conducted to compare three models: two random regression models with and without considering heterogeneity in the residual variances and a lactation model (LM) for evaluating the genetic ability of Holstein cows in Korea. Two datasets were prepared for this study. To apply the test-day random regression model, 94,390 test-day records were prepared from 15,263 cows. The second data set consisted of 14,704 lactation records covering milk production over 305 days. Raw milk yield and composition data were collected from 1998 to 2002 by the National Agricultural Cooperative Federation' dairy cattle improvement center by way of its milk testing program, which is nationally based. The pedigree information for this analysis was collected by the Korean Animal Improvement Association. The random regression models (RRMs) are single-trait animal models that consider each lactation record as an independent trait. Estimates of covariance were assumed to be different ones. In order to consider heterogeneity of residual variance in the analysis, test-days were classified into 29 classes. By considering heterogeneity of residual variance, variation for lactation performance in the early lactation classes was higher than during the middle classes and variance was lower in the late lactation classes than in the other two classes. This may be due to feeding management system and physiological properties of Holstein cows in Korea. Over classes e6 to e26 (covering 61 to 270 DIM), there was little change in residual variance, suggesting that a model with homogeneity of variance be used restricting the data to these days only. Estimates of heritability for milk yield ranged from 0.154 to 0.455, for which the estimates were variable depending on different lactation periods. Most of the heritabilities for milk yield using the RRM were higher than in the lactation model, and the estimate of genetic variance of milk yield was lower in the late lactation period than in the early or middle periods.

Supremacy of Realized Variance MIDAS Regression in Volatility Forecasting of Mutual Funds: Empirical Evidence From Malaysia

  • WAN, Cheong Kin;CHOO, Wei Chong;HO, Jen Sim;ZHANG, Yuruixian
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.7
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2022
  • Combining the strength of both Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) Regression and realized variance measures, this paper seeks to investigate two objectives: (1) evaluate the post-sample performance of the proposed weekly Realized Variance-MIDAS (RVar-MIDAS) in one-week ahead volatility forecasting against the established Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model and the less explored but robust STES (Smooth Transition Exponential Smoothing) methods. (2) comparing forecast error performance between realized variance and squared residuals measures as a proxy for actual volatility. Data of seven private equity mutual fund indices (generated from 57 individual funds) from two different time periods (with and without financial crisis) are applied to 21 models. Robustness of the post-sample volatility forecasting of all models is validated by the Model Confidence Set (MCS) Procedures and revealed: (1) The weekly RVar-MIDAS model emerged as the best model, outperformed the robust DAILY-STES methods, and the weekly DAILY-GARCH models, particularly during a volatile period. (2) models with realized variance measured in estimation and as a proxy for actual volatility outperformed those using squared residual. This study contributes an empirical approach to one-week ahead volatility forecasting of mutual funds return, which is less explored in past literature on financial volatility forecasting compared to stocks volatility.