• 전력전자학회:학술대회논문집
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• 전력전자학회 2019년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.216-217
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• 2019

The battery powered electric vehicle (EV) is one of most promising technologies in 21^st century. Though the lithium batteries are playing an important role in the EVs, they are only applicable until their capacities reach 80%, the end of its useful first life. Yet, these batteries can live a second life such as Energy Storage Systems (ESS). In order to utilize the Residual Useful Life (RUL) of the batteries the State of Health (SOH) of them needs to be estimated by a nondestructive test such as Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy (EIS) technique. Though many kinds of different EIS instruments are commercially available, most of them can only test a battery module less than 10V and the price of the instrument is very high. In this paper a low-cost EIS instrument suitable for measuring the impedance spectrum of the high voltage battery module is proposed and its validity is verified through the experiments. In order to prove the accuracy of the developed EIS instrument its measured impedance spectrum is compared with the results obtained by a commercial instrument. The Chi Square value calculated between two impedance spectrum measured by both developed and commercial instruments are less than 2%, which prove the strong correlation between two results.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제75권4호
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• pp.455-464
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• 2020

Reinforcement corrosion is one of the major problems in the durability of reinforced concrete structures exposed to aggressive environments. Deterioration caused by reinforcement corrosion reduces the durability and the safety margin of concrete structures, causing excessive costs in managing these structures safely. This paper aims to investigate the effects of reinforcement corrosion on the load bearing capacity deterioration of the corroded reinforced concrete structures. A new analytical method is proposed to predict the crack growth of cover concrete and evaluate the residual strength of concrete structures with corroded reinforcement failing in bond. The structural performance indicators, such as concrete crack growth and flexural strength deterioration rate, are assumed to be a stochastic process for lifetime distribution modelling of structural performance deterioration over time during the life cycle. The Weibull life evolution model is employed for analysing lifetime reliability and estimating remaining useful life of the corroded concrete structures. The results for the worked example show that the proposed approach can provide a reliable method for lifetime performance assessment of the corroded reinforced concrete structures.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2004년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.245-253
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• 2004

There has been recent demand for extending the life of age-degraded structures and equipment by such techniques as diagnosis, maintenance, safety assessment, and estimating residual life on iron-making plants and hydraulic, thermal, and nuclear power plants. These techniques take into account comprehensive scenarios that may cause malfunction and structural damage and allow an assessment of risk based on the likely scenarios. In particular the safety assessment and residual life estimation of age-degraded ships and equipment facilities require consideration of various factors such as mechanical and thermal stresses, corrosion, hardness, load variation due to changes of operating condition, crack generation and strength reduction of material by fatigue. In this study, a detail thermal stress analysis, one of useful techniques of safety assessment and maintenance, is performed on a blast furnace by using general FEM code (MSC/NASTRAN).

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.65-76
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• 2014

In this article, a new model based on Lomax distribution is introduced. This new model is both useful and practical in areas such as economic, reliability and life testing. Some statistical properties of this model are presented including moments, hazard rate, reversed hazard rate, mean residual life and mean inactivity time functions, among others. It is also shown that the distributions of the new model are ordered with respect to the strongest likelihood ratio ordering. The method of moment and maximum likelihood estimation are used to estimates the unknown parameters. Simulation is utilized to calculate the unknown shape parameter and to study its properties. Finally, to illustrate the concepts, the appropriateness of the new model for real data sets are included.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.27-39
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• 2013

In this article, a new model based on the Rayleigh distribution is introduced. This model is useful and practical in physics, reliability, and life testing. The statistical and reliability properties of this model are presented, including moments, the hazard rate, the reversed hazard rate, and mean residual life functions, among others. In addition, it is shown that the distributions of the new model are ordered regarding the strongest likelihood ratio ordering. Four estimating methods, namely, method of moment, maximum likelihood method, Bayes estimation, and uniformly minimum variance unbiased, are used to estimate the parameters of this model. Simulation is used to calculate the estimates and to study their properties. Finally, the appropriateness of this model for real data sets is shown by using the chi-square goodness of fit test and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제45권4호
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• pp.649-664
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• 2017

Purpose: This paper introduces the technology of prognostics for Industry 4.0 and presents its application procedure for fitness-for-service assessment of natural gas pipelines according to ISO 13374 framework. Methods: Combining data-driven approach with pipe failure models, we present a hybrid scheme for the gas pipeline prognostics. The probability of pipe failure is obtained by using the PCORRC burst pressure model and First Order Second Moment (FOSM) method. A fuzzy inference system is also employed to accommodate uncertainty due to corrosion growth and defect occurrence. Results: With a modified field dataset, the probability of failure on the pipeline is calculated. Then, its residual useful life (RUL) is predicted according to ISO 16708 standard. As a result, the fitness-for-service of the test pipeline is well-confirmed. Conclusion: The framework described in ISO 13374 is applicable to the RUL prediction and the fitness-for-service assessment for gas pipelines. Therefore, the technology of prognostics is helpful for safe and efficient management of gas pipelines in Industry 4.0.

• 한국기계가공학회지
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• 제19권12호
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• pp.21-27
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• 2020

Lithium-ion batteries are the heart of energy-storing devices and electric vehicles. Owing to their superior qualities, such as high capacity and energy efficiency, they have become quite popular, resulting in an increased demand for failure/damage prevention and useable life maximization. To prevent failure in Lithium-ion batteries, improve their reliability, and ensure productivity, prognosticative measures such as condition monitoring through sensors, condition assessment for failure detection, and remaining useful life prediction through data-driven prognostics and health management approaches have become important topics for research. In this study, the residual useful life of Lithium-ion batteries was predicted using two efficient artificial recurrent neural networks-ong short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU). The proposed approaches were compared for prognostics accuracy and cost-efficiency. It was determined that LSTM showed slightly higher accuracy, whereas GRUs have a computational advantage.

• 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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• 제32권3호
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• pp.147-160
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• 2020

추계학적 WP을 이용하여 불확실성을 고려하면서 항만 구조물의 실시간에 따른 피해와 파괴확률 그리고 잔류수명을 해석할 수 있는 모형을 수립하였다. 과거부터 현재까지의 피해상태와 미래에 발생될 피해 진행 과정에 포함되는 불확실성을 고려할 수 있는 추계학적 확률모형이다. 피해경로를 추적할 수 있으며 누적피해의 밀도함수도 산정하여 파괴확률을 추정할 수 있다. 또한 구조물의 잔류수명에 대한 밀도함수도 구할 수 있다. 최소자승법과 최우도법을 이용하여 모형의 파라미터를 추정할 수 있는 방법도 제시하였다. 검증을 위해 시간의 진행에 따른 누적피해와 잔류수명에 대한 밀도함수를 산정하고 해석하였는데 이론적인 결과가 MCS 기법의 수치적인 결과와 매우 잘 일치하였다. 또한 내구수명이나 잔류수명에 대한 밀도함수의 거동과 MTTF와 MRL이 정량적으로 잘 일치하였다. 한편 본 연구에 수립된 모형을 경사제에 적용하기 위하여 피복재 피해에 대한 수리모형 실험자료를 활용하여 모형의 파라미터들을 추정하였다. 시간의 진행에 따른 피복재 누적피해의 밀도함수와 파괴확률을 산정하였는데 MCS의 결과와 이론적인 결과가 매우 잘 일치하였다. 경과시간이 클수록 밀도함수가 우측으로 이동하면서 불확실성이 커지면서 파괴확률이 급격하게 증가하였다. 또한 재령에 따른 잔류수명의 거동특성을 해석하였는데, 잔류수명의 분포함수에서 좌측보다는 우측 꼬리 부분이 길게 형성되어 MRL이 급격하게 감소하는 경향을 보였다. 이는 경사제 피복재의 피해가 완만하게 증가하는 현상을 반영한 것으로 판단된다. 특히 재령과 내구수명 그리고 잔류수명의 관계를 해석하였는데, 재령이 오래될수록 재령과 MRL의 합이 MTTF와 큰 차이를 보이고 있다. 이는 재령이 증가하면 잔류수명의 평균인 MRL이 불확실성에 의하여 급격히 감소하기 때문이다.

• 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.158-169
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• 2019

추계학적 확률과정의 하나인 감마 확률과정을 이용하여 구조물의 잔류유효수명을 확률론적으로 예측할 수 있는 수학적 모형을 수립하였다. 수립된 모형은 과거부터 현재 시점까지 관측된 피해자료와 관련된 표본의 불확실성과 장래 시간 진행에 따른 누적피해의 불확실성을 올바로 고려할 수 있다. 또한 최소자승법과 모멘트법을 함께 사용하여 경사제의 재령, 운용환경 그리고 피해이력을 고려할 수 있는 모수 추정법을 제시하였다. 먼저 현재 재령의 단일 피해 자료를 갖는 임의의 조건에서 모수에 대한 민감도 분석을 수행하여, 잔류유효수명과 관련된 여러가지 거동 특성들을 분석하였다. 또한 잔류유효수명 예측모형을 경사제에 적용하였다. 경사제 피복재의 피해 이력에 대한 실험자료를 이용하여 감마 확률과정의 모수를 추정하였는데 실험자료와 매우 잘 일치하였다. 해석 결과에 의하면 현재 시점으로부터 상당히 오랜 시간이 경과하면 파괴한계를 초과할 확률이 일정한 값으로 수렴해야 하는 제약 조건을 잘 만족하였다. 한편 기대 잔류유효수명은 피해 이력의 거동 특성에 따라 각기 다르게 산정되었다. 특히 피해의 변동계수가 크면 추계학적으로 산정된 기대 잔류유효수명은 결정론적 회기모형의 해석 결과와 큰 차이를 보인다. 이는 해석과정에 포함된 불확실성의 영향으로 판단된다. 변동계수가 크면 파괴한계에 도달하는 시간의 분포가 넓게 퍼지기 때문이다. 따라서 본 연구에서 수립된 추계학적 잔류유효수명 예측모형은 현재 재령에서 경사제의 피해에 대한 확률적 평가를 수행할 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 장래 시간의 진행에 따른 누적피해의 불확실성을 올바로 고려할 수 있다.

• Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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• 제49권3호
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• pp.299-302
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• 2011

During experimental Eimeria infections in chickens, facilities are often contaminated by fecal oocysts known to be highly resistant to both chemical and enzymatic treatments. Thus, studies using experimental Eimeria infections have been limited due to the difficulty of complete elimination of residual oocysts from both cages and facilities. To overcome this limitation, simple, inexpensive, and disposable cages were constructed from cardboard boxes and tested during experimental Eimeria maxima infections. The cages were used in animal rooms with only a 1.7% evidence of coccidia contamination between adjacent cages. No significant differences in fecal oocyst output and body weight gain were noted between animals housed in disposable cages and animals housed in wire control cages. This cage design is a useful means for preventing oocyst contamination during experimental conditions, suggesting that this disposable cage design could be used for other avian infectious disease studies.