• Title/Summary/Keyword: Required Rate of Return

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Stock Trading Model using Portfolio Optimization and Forecasting Stock Price Movement (포트폴리오 최적화와 주가예측을 이용한 투자 모형)

  • Park, Kanghee;Shin, Hyunjung
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.535-545
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    • 2013
  • The goal of stock investment is earning high rate or return with stability. To accomplish this goal, using a portfolio that distributes stocks with high rate of return with less variability and a stock price prediction model with high accuracy is required. In this paper, three methods are suggested to require these conditions. First of all, in portfolio re-balance part, Max-Return and Min-Risk (MRMR) model is suggested to earn the largest rate of return with stability. Secondly, Entering/Leaving Rule (E/L) is suggested to upgrade portfolio when particular stock's rate of return is low. Finally, to use outstanding stock price prediction model, a model based on Semi-Supervised Learning (SSL) which was suggested in last research was applied. The suggested methods were validated and applied on stocks which are listed in KOSPI200 from January 2007 to August 2008.

Analysis of Status and Success Factor of Referral and Return of Patients to Clinics: Focusing on Patients with Endocrinology and Cardiology at a General Hospital in Goyang (진료회송 사업 현황 및 성공요인 분석: 고양시 소재 종합병원급 내분비내과와 심장내과 환자를 중심으로)

  • Park, Hee Sun;Choi, Jung Kyu;Tae, Eun Sook;Choi, Sang Gil;Kim, Eui Hyeok
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.323-329
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    • 2022
  • Background: This study aimed to identify the characteristics of the referral and return of patients to clinics in the endocrinology and cardiology departments at the National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital to evaluate the "referral and return of patients to clinics" program and reduce the rate of returning patients. Methods: From May 2018 to December 2020, we identified the number of visits to referral hospitals and hospital usage status at Ilsan Hospital after returning to clinics. We also identified the patients who returned to Ilsan Hospital within 6 months, defined as "failure to transport," among those recommended to be transported to clinics of the Medical Cooperation Center. Additionally, we evaluated the characteristics of the "failure to transport" patients. Results: Among the returning patients, the rate of visiting Ilsan Hospital within 6 months was higher in cardiology than in endocrinology (25.1% vs. 16.7%). Older age, more severe disease, and more number of visits to the department were associated with a high rate of failure to transport. The rate of failure to return was low in cases diagnosed with hyperlipidemia/lipoprotein metabolism disorder. With respect to diabetes, the rate of failure to transport differed according to each type of diagnosis of diabetes. Conclusion: The success rate of the "referral and return of patient to clinics" program differed based on each patient's characteristics, department of visit, and diagnosis. Individualizing according to the visit department and diagnosis is required to ensure successful transfers, and infrastructure expansion and institutional arrangements must be facilitated.

Implementation of the Measurement Equipment to Measure Return Current and Axle Temperature of High Speed Railway (고속철도 귀선전류 및 차축 온도 검측을 위한 검측장치 구현)

  • Lee, Young-Soo;Lee, Byeong-Gon;Hwang, In-Kwang;Han, Seung-Hun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.4
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    • pp.695-703
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    • 2016
  • The maintenance method for the electrical facility of high speed railway has been evolved from inspection by personnel to the automated way by the detection devices. In particular, the signalling equipment in order to increase the safe and efficient operation of the trains is required to maintain normal operation by periodic maintenance. Because the return current gives the most important effects to the wayside equipment in case of the failures, a method is needed to measure the unbalanced rate of return current on the train at high speed driving. The Hot Box Detector(HBD) device that is installed at track-side has a function to recognize the abnormal axle box by detecting the temperature that occurs in the axle of train passing over its device. In order to implement the measurement equipment for unbalanced rate of return current and axle temperature, the design method is proposed and the experimental test results by test bed are included in the paper.

A Theoretical Study on Conversion Rate of Jeonse Price to Monthly Rent for Housing - Focused on Rental Supply Costs - (주택 전월세 전환율에 관한 이론 연구 - 임대 공급원가를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Won-Hee;Jeong, Dae-Seok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.245-253
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    • 2020
  • If the conversion rate of jeonse price to monthly rent is the market interest rate or the landlord's expected return, then the conversion rate of jeonse price to monthly rent in the country should be the same. However, the conversion rate of jeonse price to monthly rent has always been higher than the market interest rate. This study identifies the supply cost components of rental housing as a risk premium in the presence of current housing prices, market interest rates, depreciation costs, holding taxes, and leases, and identifies the relationship between the current housing prices and each factor. Housing rent is expressed as the current price. This overcomes the shortcomings that implicitly assume fluctuations in housing prices or do not include current housing prices in the conversion rate of jeonse price to monthly rent. This study found that the conversion rate of jeonse price to monthly rent is the required rate of return or required rate of renter, not market interest rate, by expressing the supply cost of rental housing as a combination of components. This not only explained the fact that the conversion rate of jeonse price to monthly rent was always higher than the market interest rate, but also explained the regional differences. It also explained why the conversion rate of jeonse price to monthly rent varies by type of housing.

A Method of Evaluating Profitability and Risk of Multiple Investments Applying Internal Rate of Return

  • Mizumachi, Tadahiro
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2010
  • In today's uncertain economic environment, economic risk is inherent in making large investments on manufacturing facilities. It is, therefore, practically meaningful to divide investment over multiple periods, reducing the risk of investment. Then, the cash-flow over the entire planning horizon would comprise positive inflow and negative outflow. In this case, in general, evaluation by internal rate of return (IRR) is not feasible, because multiple IRRs are involved. This paper deals with a problem of evaluating profitability, as well as risk, of investment alternatives made in multiple times of investment over the entire horizon. Typically, an additional investment is required after the initial one, for expanding manufacturing capacity or other reasons. The paper pays attention to a unit cash-flow over two periods, decomposing the total cash-flow into a series of unit cash-flow patterns. It is easy to evaluate profitability of a unit cash-flow by using IRR. The total cash-flow can be decomposed into the series of two types of unit cash-flows: an investment type one (negative-positive) and the borrowing type one (positive-negative). This paper, therefore, proposes a method in which only the borrowing type unit cash-flow is eliminated in the series by converting total cash-flow using capital interest rate. Then, a unique IRR can be obtained and the profitability is evaluated. Thus, the paper extends the method of IRR so that it may help decision making in complicated cash-flow pattern observed in practice.

Developing an Investment Framework based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model Integrated with EWMA : Case Study in Korea under Global Financial Crisis (지수가중이동평균법과 결합된 마코위츠 포트폴리오 선정 모형 기반 투자 프레임워크 개발 : 글로벌 금융위기 상황 하 한국 주식시장을 중심으로)

  • Park, Kyungchan;Jung, Jongbin;Kim, Seongmoon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.75-93
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    • 2013
  • In applying Markowitz's portfolio selection model to the stock market, we developed a comprehensive investment decision-making framework including key inputs for portfolio theory (i.e., individual stocks' expected rate of return and covariance) and minimum required expected return. For estimating the key inputs of our decision-making framework, we utilized an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) which places more emphasis on recent data than the conventional simple moving average (SMA). We empirically analyzed the investment results of the decision-making framework with the same 15 stocks in Samsung Group Funds found in the Korean stock market between 2007 and 2011. This five-year investment horizon is marked by global financial crises including the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and the European sovereign-debt crisis. We measure portfolio performance in terms of rate of return, standard deviation of returns, and Sharpe ratio. Results are compared with the following benchmarks : 1) KOSPI, 2) Samsung Group Funds, 3) Talmudic portfolio based on the na$\ddot{i}$ve 1/N rule, and 4) Markowitz's model with SMA. We performed sensitivity analyses on all the input parameters that are necessary for designing an investment decision-making framework : smoothing constant for EWMA, minimum required expected return for the portfolio, and portfolio rebalancing period. In conclusion, appropriate use of the comprehensive investment decision-making framework based on the Markowitz's model integrated with EWMA proves to achieve outstanding performance compared to the benchmarks.

Analysis of the Effect of Reducing Wave Overtopping by Wave Return Walls (반파 구조물에 의한 월파 저감 효과 분석)

  • Oh, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2016
  • The effect of reducing wave overtopping by use of the wave return wall was quantitatively analyzed based on physical experiments. The overtopping discharge for the arc seawall and the inclined seawall was measured and compared with the predictive formula that estimates reduction of overtopping by the wave return wall. When the overtopping discharge was relatively large ($q/{\sqrt{gH^3_s}}>10^{-3}$), the agreement in terms of overtopping reduction rate was fairly good between the prediction and the measurement. For the condition of smaller overtopping than the above criterion, however, the discrepancy was large between the predicted and measured result. In this context, it is required to develop a better formula for estimating reduction of wave overtopping by the wave return wall.

Implementation of CCTV Safe Return Home Service considering Distance and Service Rate (거리 및 서비스율을 고려한 CCTV 안심귀가 서비스의 구현)

  • Lee, Keonbae
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.1195-1202
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    • 2019
  • The safe return home system automatically tracks and makes a video-recording the client by selecting and controlling CCTV cameras near the client using GPS location information received from the smart device possessed by the service client. This service helps clients to return home safely when there is a crime-ridden district on their late night return home route. If the CCTV cameras that can capture the client are already occupied and used by other clients, concession of occupied CCTV cameras is required to capture the new client. To tackle the limitation, we developed an extended method that considered both the average distances between the client and CCTV cameras and the service rates. As a result, the average distance between CCTV cameras and clients is kept close, and service rates are improved.

A Manufacturing/Remanufacturing System with the Consideration of Required Quality of End-of-used Products

  • Guo, Jianquan;Ko, Young-Dae;Hwang, Hark
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.204-214
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    • 2010
  • A manufacturing/remanufacturing system is investigated with the consideration of required minimum quality of end-of-used products. A constant demand is satisfied by remanufacturing end-of-used products and manufacturing raw materials outsourced from outside. It is assumed in this system that the buyback price and remanufacturing cost are related to the different quality level of end-of-used products. For remanufacturing, only the used products that satisfy a required minimum quality level will be recycled. Thus, the returning rate is a function of the required minimum quality level. Functions of returning rate, buyback price and remanufacturing cost, which are closely connected to the quality level of end-of-used products, are investigated here. Treating the required minimum quality level of end-of-used products, the length of a cycle, the number of manufacturing lots and remanufacturing lots in a cycle as decision variables, the mathematical models with the objective of minimizing the average total cost are constructed. Through construction of a solution process based on Tabu Search algorithm and calculating examples, the validity of the models is illustrated.

Removal of Nitrogen and Phosphorus from Municipal Wastewater by a Pilot-scale BNR Process (파이롯트 규모의 BNR 공법에 의한 도시하수의 질소 및 인 제거)

  • Kim, Young-Chur
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.589-599
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    • 2007
  • This study was conducted to investigated the removal efficiency of BOD and nutrient for the treatment of low strength municipal wastewater by a biological nutrient removal system. In this experiment, the effect of operating parameter including HRT of 7.0hr, BOD/TN ratios of 2.62~4.08, internal recycle of 50~300%, and return sludge of 50~100%, were studied during winter season. Efficiencies of organic matter and T-P removal and denitrification were not significantly affected by the change of temperature in winter season. However, the specific nitrification rate and nitrification efficiency decreased at low temperature. Besides, denitrification efficiencies increased with increasing BOD/TN ratios. It was also found that the internal recycle and return sludge ratio below 50% is required for the effective denitrification of low strength municipal wastewater. With operating mode 4 of the optimum, the effluent BOD, T-N and T-P concentration were obtained to average 5.8, 14.6, and 0.84 mg/L, respectively. The temperature-activity coefficient (${\theta}$) of specific nitrification rate, specific denitrification rate and specific phosphorus uptake rate were obtained 1.044, 1.017, 1.028, respectively.