• 제목/요약/키워드: Reliability Bound

검색결과 85건 처리시간 0.022초

Models maximizing covering reliability

  • Kim, Seong in;Park, Young-Sin
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1985
  • By introducing the concept of reliability of parallel systems the set covering. A branch-and-bound algorithm is developed and illustrated by a numerical example. The procedure has been coded and its computational efficiency is studied.

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프로빗 모델 기반 핀풀러의 작동 신뢰도 추정 (Functional Reliability Estimation of Pin Pullers Based on a Probit Model)

  • 문병민;이진욱;김남호;최창선;김재일;배석주
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.225-230
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    • 2017
  • To generate mechanical movements in one-shot devices such as missiles and space launch vehicles, pyrotechnic mechanical device(PMD) such as pin pullers using pyrotechnic charge has been widely used. Reliability prediction of pin pullers is crucial to successfully execute target missions for the one-shot devices. Because the pin pullers require destructive tests to evaluate their reliability, one would need about 3,000 samples of success to guarantee a reliability of 99.9 % with a confidence level of 95 %. This paper suggests the application of a probit model using the charge amount as a functional parameter for estimation of functional reliability of pin puller. To guarantee target reliability, we propose estimation methods of the lower bound of functional reliability by applying the probit model. Given lower bound of functional reliability, we quantitatively show that the optimum amount of charge increases as the number of samples decreases. Along with a variety of simulations the validity of our new model via real test results is confirmed.

Reliability approximation for a complex system under the stress-strength model

  • Nayak, Sadananda;Roy, Dilip
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2012
  • This paper introduces a new approach for evaluating reliability of a complex system in terms of distributional parameters where analytical determination of reliability is intractable. The concept of discrete approximation, reported in the literature so far, fails to meet the latter requirement in terms of distributional parameters. The current work aims at offering a bound based approach where reliability planners not only get a clear idea about the extent of error but also can manipulate in terms of distributional parameters. This reliability approximation has been under taken under the Weibull frame work which is the most widely used model for reliability analysis. Numerical study has been carried out to examine the strength of our proposed reliability approximation via closeness between the two reliability bounds. This approach will be very useful during the early stages of product design as the distributional parameters can be adjusted.

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Lifetime Estimation for Mixed Replacement Grouped Data in Competing Failures Model

  • Lee, Tai-Sup;Yun, Sang-Un
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2001
  • The estimation of mean lifetimes in presence of interval censoring with mixed replacement procedure is examined when the distributions of lifetimes are exponential. It is assumed that, due to physical restrictions and/or economic constraints, the number of failures is investigated only at several inspection times during the lifetime test; thus there is interval censoring. The maximum likelihood estimator is found in an implicit form. The Cramor-Rao lower bound, which is the asymptotic variance of the estimator, is derived. The estimation of mean lifetimes for competing failures model has been expanded.

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크리깅 기반 차원감소법을 이용한 베이지안 신뢰도 해석 (Bayesian Reliability Analysis Using Kriging Dimension Reduction Method (KDRM))

  • 안다운;최주호;원준호
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2008년도 정기 학술대회
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    • pp.602-607
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    • 2008
  • A technique for reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) is developed based on the Bayesian approach, which can deal with the epistemic uncertainty arising due to the limited number of data. Until recently, the conventional RBDO was implemented mostly by assuming the uncertainty as aleatory which means the statistical properties are completely known. In practice, however, this is not the case due to the insufficient data for estimating the statistical information, which makes the existing RBDO methods less useful. In this study, a Bayesian reliability is introduced to take account of the epistemic uncertainty, which is defined as the lower confidence bound of the probability distribution of the original reliability. In this case, the Bayesian reliability requires double loop of the conventional reliability analyses, which can be computationally expensive. Kriging based dimension reduction method(KDRM), which is a new efficient tool for the reliability analysis, is employed to this end. The proposed method is illustrated using a couple of numerical examples.

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상계해석을 이용한 보강토 사면의 해석 (Analysis on the Geo-reinforced Slope Using Upper Bound Theory)

  • 최상호;김종민;유남재
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제20권7호
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 보강사면에 상계이론를 적용하여 실제 한계상태에 가까운 신뢰성이 높은 해석방법을 개발하는데 목적이 있으며 상계해석의 유한요소공식화를 전개하는데 있어 거시적인 관점으로부터 비등방성이면서 균질한 재료에 대한 수치해석의 기본 개념은 얻을 수 있다. 보강토는 뒷채움한 성토와 보강재 경계면의 상호작용으로 보강토의 강도가 보강재의 재료적 특성에 의존하고 있기 때문에 흙의 역학적 특성과 보강토의 전체 거동은 보강재의 기하학적인 배열과 상대적인 면적에 의해서 조절할 수 있다. 따라서, 상계이론은 보강사면의 한계상태 거동을 효과적으로 산정할 수 있어 국부적으로 발생하는 소성파괴를 예측할 수 있다.

하한지지력이 현장타설말뚝의 저항계수에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Lower-Bound Resistances on Resistance Factors Calibration for Drilled Shafts)

  • 김석중;박재현;김명모
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제30권11호
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2014
  • 한계상태설계법의 하나인 하중저항계수설계법의 이용이 북미를 중심으로 점차 확산되고 있는 가운데, 국내에서도 이에 대한 연구가 활발하게 진행되고 있다. 하지만, 국내에서는 자료가 충분히 확보되지 못하여 기초구조물의 설계에 AASHTO에서 제안한 저항계수를 설계에 이용하고 있다. AASHTO에서 제안하고 있는 저항계수는 북미에 보편적으로 존재하는 암반조건을 이용하여 결정된 저항계수로서, 국내지반에 적합한 저항계수를 독자적으로 개발할 필요가 있다. 또한, 기존의 신뢰성 분석 기법에서는 하중저항계수를 결정할 때, 저항의 최소값을 0으로 가정하는 일반적인 대수정규 분포를 이용하기 때문에, 이로부터 산정한 파괴확률은 비현실적이라고 알려져 있다. 따라서, 이를 개선하기 위하여 저항계수를 산정할 때 저항의 하한값이 0이 아닌, 현실적으로 의미가 있는 하한지지력을 이용하는 방법이 최근에 고안되었다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 국내에서 수행된 현장타설말뚝 13본에 대한 재하시험자료를 면밀히 분석하여 저항계수를 산정한 다음, 현실성 있는 하한지지력을 산정하여 저항계수 값을 보정하였다. 그 결과, 목표신뢰도지수가 3.0일때, 기존의 신뢰성 분석 기법으로부터 산정된 주면저항계수와 선단저항계수는 각각 0.13-0.32, 0.19-0.29 이었으며, 하한지지력을 보정하여 구한 주면저항계수와 선단저항계수는 Carter & Kulhawy 공식의 경우 각각 8%와 13% 증가하였다.

강철도교의 피로신뢰성과 잔존피로수명 (Fatigue Reliability and Remaining Fatigue Life of Existing Steel Rail-Road Bridges)

  • 조효남;신재철;허상구
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1989년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 1989
  • This paper presents a fatigue reliability model for the reliability-based evaluation of remaining fatigue life of existing rail-road bridges. It is demonstrated that the simple fatigue reliability model based on the Weibull distribution of fatigue life can be extended by incorporating various effects due to the rate of the train-traffic increase and in-service Inspections. The paper also suggests the system fatigue reliability analysis using an approximate formulation and 2nd-order bound solutions. The application of the proposed model to existing rail-road brdiges based on field load tests shows that it may be practically used for the assessment of fatigue reliability, remaining life, and in-service inspection scheduling of existing rail-road bridges.

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반용융 재료의 물성치 평가에 관한 연구(I) -후방압출의 상계해석을 위한 동적 가용 속도장의 제안- (A Study on Material Characterization of Semi-Solid Materials (I) -Proposal of New Velocity Field for Upper Bound Analysis of Backward Extrusion-)

  • 이주영;김낙수
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.364-373
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    • 1999
  • For material characterization of semi-solid materials, backward extrusion process, which has been used in forming of hollow-sectioned products, was analyzed by the upper bound analysis in the current study. The existing kinematically admissible velocity field was applied to steady state at which there was no change in the assumed regions of velocity field. For unsteady state, new velocity field, as a function of dead zone angle, was proposed. Through the whole analysis, fiction between die and workpiece was also considered. It has been studied how the process variables, such as friction factor and punch velocity, and material parameters, such as strength coefficient, strain rate sensitivity could affect on analysis results. Finally, by the comparison with the finite element analysis, the reliability and efficiency of the proposed velocity field were discussed.

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파라메타 불확실성을 갖는 선형시스템에 대한 강한 신뢰 $H_\infty$제어 (Robust and Reliable $H_\infty$ Control for Linear Systems with Parameter Uncertainty)

  • 서창준;김병국
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1993년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); Seoul National University, Seoul; 20-22 Oct. 1993
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    • pp.498-503
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    • 1993
  • In this paper, a robust and reliable H$_{\infty}$ control problem is considered for linear uncertain systems with time-varying norm-bounded uncertainty in the state matrix, which performs well despite of actuator outages. Using linear static state feedback and the quadratic stabilization with H$_{\infty}$-norm bound, a robust and reliable H$_{\infty}$ controller is obtained that stabilizes the plant and guarantees an H$_{\infty}$-norm bound constraint on disturbance attenuation for all admissible uncertainties and normal state as well as faulty state of actuators. It provides a sufficient condition for robust and reliable stabilization with H$_{\infty}$-norm bound. Reliability is guaranteed provided actuator outages only occur within a prespecified subset of actuators.tors.

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