• 제목/요약/키워드: Relative risk

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An Analysis on the Relative Importance of the Risk Factors for the Marine Traffic Environment using Analytic Hierarchy Process

  • Lee, Hong-Hoon;Kim, Chol-Seong
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.257-263
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    • 2013
  • The classification of risk factors and the identification of risk acceptance criteria are core works to assess risk levels with high enough confidential level in the field of marine traffic environment. In the previous study work, the twenty kinds of risk factors and its assessment criteria for the domestic marine traffic environment were proposed. In this paper, with these previous studying results, the relative importance of the risk factors were analyzed by questionnaire survey of marine traffic experts using the analytic hierarchy process. The analysis results showed that the relative importance of the visibility restriction is the highest among the twenty kinds of risk factors, and the relative importance of the traffic condition is the highest among the five kinds of risk categories. As results from analysis, it is expected that the approaching method on the relative importance is to be one of basic techniques for the development of risk assessment models in the domestic marine traffic environment.

사과 농가의 상대위험회피계수 추정 (Measuring the Relative Risk Aversion Coefficients of Apple Farmers)

  • 임청룡;여준호;김태균
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.1036-1044
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    • 2015
  • 이 논문의 목적은 사과 생산자들의 위험에 대한 태도를 나타내는 상대위험회피계수를 추정하는 것이다. 이를 위해 실험적 접근방법을 이용하였으며, 두 가지 가상적인 상황을 만들어서 각각의 상황별로 두 단계의 설문을 실시하였다. 일정한 상대위험회피도를 가진 효용함수를 사용하였고, 상대위험회피계수는 로그정규분포를 따르는 것으로 가정하였다. 또한 가설적 편의를 줄이기 위해 서로 다른 문항에 대한 반복질문을 통해 자료를 수집하였다. 분석결과 사과 농가의 상대위험회피계수는 평균 10.915, 표준편차 7.516으로 나타났다. 각 구간별 설문응답에 대한 조건적인 상대위험회피계수 또한 측정되었다. 본 연구의 결과는 위험관리수단의 효과를 분석하는 시뮬레이션 모형의 파라미터로 쓰여 질 수 있다.

위험기계, 기구의 위험성 평가 및 안전인증 또는 자율안전확인의 적정성 (Risk Assessment of Industrial Machines and Devices and Appropriateness of Their Safety Certification and Self-Declaration of Conformity)

  • 최기흥;노병국
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2016
  • Severity and frequency of industrial accidents are typically used to assess the "absolute" risk associated with the industrial machines and devices ("items") which are subject to safety certification or self-declaration of conformity. However, the "relative" risk associated with a particular item can further be assessed based on unit severity and unit frequency where the total number of item in use is taken into account. This study first attempts to estimate the total number of each item in use which was recently selected for safety certification or self-declaration of conformity. The appropriateness of such selection is recapitulated based on the relative risk involved. Analysis results indicate that depending on items, the relative risk is differentiated from the absolute risk. Recent selection of items for safety certification or self-declaration of conformity is then revisited for its validity. The relative risk based on unit severity and unit frequency of industrial accidents, together with the absolute risk, may be used to further categorize items for safety certification or self-declaration of conformity in the future.

지역단위 생태위해성평가 선진국사례 분석 (Comparative Study of Regional-scale Ecological Risk Assessment used in Developed Countries)

  • 신유진;이우미;안윤주
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2010
  • Ecological risk assessment (ERA) has been used to establish environmental quality standards or evaluate ecological risk in site-specific areas. The scope of ERA was expanded based on regions, and the concept of regional-scale ecological risk assessment was recently introduced in developed countries. In the present study, regional ERA approaches of relative risk model (RRM), contaminants in aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems (CATS) model, and procedure for ecological tired assessment of risks (PETAR) in advanced countries were extensively investigated. Regional ERA was compared with traditional ERA process. Stressors, receptor and response in traditional ERA were replaced with sources of stressors, habitats, and ecological impacts, respectively in regional ERA. This study introduces the concept and assessment process of regional ERA, and provides a wide perspective how the relative ERA could be applied in Korean ecosystem.

상대적(相對的) 위험(危險)과 추계적(推計的)-통계적(統計的) 우세법칙(優勢法則) (Relative Risk Aversion and Stochastic-Statistical Dominance)

  • 이대주
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 1989
  • This paper presents stochastic-statistical dominance rules which eliminate dominated alternatives thereby reduce the number of satisficing alternatives to a manageable size so that the decision maker can choose the best alternative among them when neither the utility function nor the probability distribution of outcomes is exactly known. Specifically, it is assumed that only the characteristics of the utility function and the value function are known. Also, it is assumed that prior probabilities of the mutually exclusive states of nature are not known, but their relative bounds are known. First, the notion of relative risk aversion is used to describe the decision maker's attitude toward risk, which is defined with the acknowledgement that the utility function of the decision maker is a composite function of a cardinal value function and a utility function with-respect to the value function. Then, stochastic-statistical dominance rules are developed to screen out dominated alternatives according to the decision maker's attitude toward risk represented in the form of the measure of relative risk aversion.

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위험도차이, 상대위험률, 그리고 교차비:그래프 방법 (Risk Difference, Relative Risk, and Odds Ratio: A Graphic Approach)

  • 조태경
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.163-170
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    • 2006
  • 역학(epidemiology) 또는 임상(clinic) 자료를 분석하기 위한 주효 측도의 선택에 대한 연구가 계속되고 있지만, 주효 측도들이 일반적인 함수 형태로만 표현되는 경우에는 주효 측도들의 특징이나 관계를 이해하는 것이 쉽지 않다. 이 논문에서는 주효 측도의 선택 문제 보다는 이변량 자료에 대한 주효 측도 중에서 위험도차이(risk different: RD), 상대위험률(relative risk: RR), 그리고 교차비(odds ratio: OR)를 방사형 그림(radar diagram)을 사용하여 나타내고 이 그림을 이용하여 이들의 특성이나 관계를 살펴보았다. 방사형 그림은 이 측도들을 이해하는데 좋은 도구가 될 것이다.

Asymptotic Relative Efficiencies of the Nonparametric Relative Risk Estimators for the Two Sample Proportional Hazard Model

  • Cho, Kil-Ho;Lee, In-Suk;Choi, Jeen-Kap;Jeong, Seong-Hwa;Choi, Dal-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we summarize some relative risk estimators under the two sample model with proportional hazard and examine the relative efficiencies of the nonparametric estimators relative to the maximum likelihood estimator of a parametric survival function under random censoring model by comparing their asymptotic variances.

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소지역의 실업률에 대한 상대위험도의 추정에 관한 비교연구 (A comparison study on the estimation of the relative risk for the unemployed rate in small area)

  • 박종태
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.349-356
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    • 2009
  • 국내의 행정구역상 시군구 등과 같은 소지역에 있어서 실업률에 대한 남녀별 공통 상대위험도를 추정하는데, 추정방법으로 단순한 합동추정, 울프 방법에 기초한 가중추정과 잭나이프 추정들을 고려하고 이 추정 방법들의 효율성을 편의와 평균제곱오차의 개념을 통해서 비교하고자 한다. 이를 위해 2002년 12월 경기지역의 경제활동인구조사 자료를 이용하여 이 지역 내의 24개 시군단위 소지역들의 남녀별 실업률에 대한 상대위험도의 편의 및 평균제곱오차가 본 연구에서 제시된 추정절차에 의해 추정된다. 또한, 이들 추정치들의 안정성과 신뢰성은 상대편의와 상대오차제곱근을 통하여 비교된다. 추정결과 잭나이프 추정이 다른 두 추정들에 비해 매우 효율적임을 보였다.

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Risk Relationship of Cataract and Epilation on Radiation Dose and Smoking Habit

  • Tomita, Makoto;Otake, Masanori;Moon, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.1349-1364
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    • 2006
  • An analytic approach that provides explicit estimates of risk on cataract and epilation data is evaluated by reasonableness of conceivable relative risk models regarding a simple, odds, logistic or Gompertz regression method, assuming a binomial distribution. In these analyses, we apply relative risk models with two thresholds between epilators and nonepilators from a highly characteristic lesion of which radiation cataract does not occur around 2 gray for a single acute exposure. The risk models are fitted to the data assuming 10 as a constant relative biological effectiveness of neutron. The likelihood of observing the entire data set in these models fitted is evaluated by an individual binary-response array. Estimation of a threshold with or without severe epilation and the 100 ($1-\alpha$)% confidence limits are derived from the maximum likelihood approach. The relative risk model with two thresholds can be expressed as a formula with structure of Background $\times$ RR, where RR includes threshold models with or without epilation. The radiosensitivity of ionizing radiation to cataracts has been examined for the relationship between epilators and nonepilators.

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A Simple Estimation of Relative Risk

  • Park, Hyo-Il;Hong, Seung-Man
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.317-327
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we propose a simple estimate of relative risk based on a functional equation. We derive the asymptotic normality with a restricted condition. Then we discuss some interesting features as concluding remarks. Finally we comment briefly about application of the estimate to the testing problems and compare our estimate with that of Begun through simulation study.