• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
• /
• v.54 no.12
• /
• pp.4534-4550
• /
• 2022

Integrated severe accident codes should be capable of simulating not only specific physical phenomena but also entire plant behaviors, and in a sufficiently fast time. However, significant uncertainty may exist owing to the numerous parametric models and interactions among the various phenomena. The primary objectives of this study are to present best-practice uncertainty and sensitivity analysis results regarding the evolutions of severe accidents (SAs) and fission product source terms and to determine the effects of mitigation measures on them, as expected during a short-term station blackout (STSBO) of a reference pressurized water reactor (optimized power reactor (OPR)1000). Three reference scenarios related to the STSBO accident are considered: one base and two mitigation scenarios, and the impacts of dedicated severe accident mitigation (SAM) actions on the results of interest are analyzed (such as flammable gas generation). The uncertainties are quantified based on a random set of Monte Carlo samples per case scenario. The relative importance values of the uncertain input parameters to the results of interest are quantitatively evaluated through a relevant sensitivity/importance analysis.

• Economic Analysis
• /
• v.26 no.3
• /
• pp.48-70
• /
• 2020

Using data from the Household Income and Expenditure Survey over the period 1994-2016, we estimate the coefficient of relative prudence in order to capture precautionary saving motive. To do this, we adopt a cohort approach, where we transform such microdata into sample cohort means. Together with initial income involving liquidity constraint, we estimate the relative prudence derived from the Euler equation. The two-stage least-squares (2SLS) between estimate of it obtained from the cohort panel data analysis is too small for the existence of precautionary saving motive, as in previous studies, while the 2SLS random effects estimate is so reasonable. Moreover, the liquidity-constrained cohorts tend to be more sensitive to uncertainty, relative to the unconstrained ones.

• Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
• /
• v.15 no.1 s.94
• /
• pp.20-28
• /
• 2005

This paper addresses uncertainty issues encountered recently in measuring head vibration using the conventional 6-axis or 9-axis bite-bar model. Those conventional bite-bar models are shown to present insufficient information to evaluate a generalized motion of head vibration. In order to overcome such limit, a new theoretical measurement model that consists of four 3-axis linear accelerometers is suggested. It is shown to enable the measurement of three angular acceleration components and six second-order angular velocity-dependent terms. Those nine angular motion-related ones, in addition to the three linear acceleration terms at the origin, are found to make it possible to evaluate the generalized head vibration for a given position. To examine the feasibility of the proposed method, a newly designed 12-axis bite-bar was developed. Detailed experimental results obtained from the developed 12-axis bite-bar are demonstrated in this paper. They illustrate that the popular 6-axis bite-bar model yield about $4.0\%$ relative measurement uncertainty for the pitch component of head vibration, $14\%$ and $10\%$ relative measurement uncertainty for the roll and yaw components of head vibration, respectively. Furthermore, this paper proposes other uncertainty factors to be considered in the future.

• Analytical Science and Technology
• /
• v.27 no.6
• /
• pp.269-276
• /
• 2014

A short study for the uncertainty of post column isotope dilution method has been performed for the analysis of Selenomethionine in HPLC-ICP/MS. Major error sources studied were concentration and the flow rate of Se isotope solution, atomic weights of Se in spike and sample, and isotope ratio measured for the spiked sample. Uncertainties were obtained for each factor and the contribution for the total concentration uncertainty was 54.4% and 0.61%, 0.0072% and 0.018%, and 45.0%, respectively. The biggest contribution factor was concentration of the spike solution and the second was the isotopic ratio measured for the spiked sample solution. The mass flow rate of spike and atomic weights did not show much contribution. The calculated total uncertainty was $1.46ng{\cdot}g^{-1}$ for the standard SeMet ($126.30ng{\cdot}g^{-1}$). The experimental result was $127.09{\pm}1.46ng{\cdot}g^{-1}$ and the relative uncertainty was 1.20%.

• Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
• /
• v.13 no.4
• /
• pp.93-104
• /
• 2012

Efforts to understand and develop reasonable analysis methods for the uncertainty of ground have been made since the 20th century, and the concept of safety factor has been used. However, this concept has limitation in measuring the relative reliability of ground structures because the representative values of the actually used factors have uncertainty. Nevertheless, there is no method to completely remove uncertainty. In most cases, the ground investigation results in Korea are not enough for applying such statistical methods. Furthermore, performing a design without accurate investigation of consolidation state even though consolidation characteristics such as settlement and consolidation velocity vary greatly by the consolidation history can lead to many problems. Therefore, in this paper, as part of the effort to reduce the uncertainty of design around over consolidation ratio among the consolidation factors, the consolidation state was assessed on the basis of the results of high-quality laboratory tests that were performed in Gwangyang and Busan in the southern coast of Korea. Furthermore, consolidation characteristics such as over consolidation ratio by depth were proposed for different regions through statistical processes such as the test of normality and the removal of abnormal values to reduce the uncertainty of design parameters.

• YAKHAK HOEJI
• /
• v.52 no.6
• /
• pp.480-487
• /
• 2008

We described an estimation of measurement uncertainty in quantitative analysis of 11-nor-9-carboxy-${\Delta}^9$-tetrahydrocannabinol (THCCOOH), the major metabolite of ${\Delta}^9$-tetrahydrocannabinol, in urine sample by solid-phase extraction (SPE) and GC/MS detection. The analytical results were compared and the different contributions to the uncertainty were evaluated. Inter-day and inter-person validation were performed using statistical analysis of several indicative factors. Measurement uncertainty associated with target analyte in real forensic samples was estimated using quality control (QC) data. Traceability of measurement was established through traceable standards, calibrated volumetric glassware and volume measuring device. The major factors of contribution to combined standard uncertainty, were calibration linearity, inter-day repeatability and inter-person reproducibility, while those associated with preparation of analytical standards and sampling volume were not so important considering the degree of contribution. Relative combined standard uncertainties associated with the described method was 12.05% for THCCOOH.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
• /
• v.10 no.11
• /
• pp.283-288
• /
• 2019

This study investigated how consumer's uncertainty avoidance affect purchase deferral intention when purchasing high-involved products (i.e. laptops) in online shopping, and we looked at whether utilitarian/hedonic consumption value has a moderating effect in this relationship. Results showed the higher the uncertainty avoidance, the higher the deferral intention. Also, only the utilitarian consumption value had moderating effect in this relationship. This means that in an information overload situation like online shopping, consumers are more likely to delay their purchase intention when they have more uncertainty avoidance. Thus, to prevent this purchase delay, marketers should selectively present relative product information, strategically emphasize the importance of certain product attribution to reduce consumers' uncertainty of the product or highlight the utilitarian values of product attributes that are expected to have a significant impact on decision making.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Integrative Medicine
• /
• v.10 no.3
• /
• pp.209-219
• /
• 2022

Purpose : The purpose of this study was two-fold: to investigate the effects of uncertainty and depression on the quality of life (QoL) of elderly people with chronic diseases and to provide basic data on the physical, emotional, and psychological factors affecting their QoL in the field of physical therapy. Methods : A questionnaire covering uncertainty, depression, and QoL was distributed among 320 elderly people. Pearson's correlation analysis was performed to examine the correlation between uncertainty (ambiguity, complexity, inconsistency, and unpredictability), depression, and QoL (physical, psychological, social, and living environment domains) of the respondents; furthermore, multiple regression analysis was performed to identify the factors affecting the QoL of the respondents with a chronic disease. Results : The sub-factors of uncertainty and QoL-"complexity and social domain" (r=-.295, p<.001), "complexity and living environment domain" (r=-.302, p<.001), and "inconsistency and living environment domain" (r=-.360, p<.001)-showed a negative (-) correlation, as did depression and the sub-factors of QoL-"depression and physical domain" (r=-.782, p<.001), "depression and psychological domain" (r=-.876, p<.001), "depression and social domain" (r=-.668, p<.001), and "depression and living environment domain" (r=-.731, p<.001). The factors affecting QoL were complexity (𝛽=-.122, p<.001), inconsistency (𝛽=-.102, p=.002), unpredictability (𝛽=.112, p<.001), and depression (𝛽=-.850, p<.001). The relative influence of the independent variables was in the order of depression, complexity, unpredictability, and inconsistency, and the explanatory power was 77.1 % (F=215.853, p<.001). Conclusion : It is important to help the elderly with chronic diseases reduce the negative impact on their quality of life by helping them gain support from their families and medical professionals and by increasing their understanding through communication so that they can transition from negative emotions to positive emotions of opportunity.

• Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
• /
• v.50 no.5
• /
• pp.594-604
• /
• 2017

The Korean National Institute of Fisheries Science (NIFS) has biannually (spring and fall, respectively) deployed a bottom trawl survey along the coastal areas for last decade, taking samples on a regular basis (i.e., a systematic sampling). Despite the availability of the survey data, NIFS has not yet officially reported the estimates of the groundfish population sizes as well as has not evaluated uncertainty of the estimates. The objectives of our study were to infer the relative size of a fish population, applying two different sampling techniques (namely simple and stratified sampling) with different observation units to the NIFS survey data, and to compare those two techniques in bias and precision. For demonstration purposes, we used data on Pacific cod (Gadus macrocephalus) collected by the 2011-2015 surveys, and the results of simple and stratified sampling showed that the point estimates and precision varied by observation unit as well as the sampling technique.

• Progress in Superconductivity
• /
• v.13 no.2
• /
• pp.97-104
• /
• 2011

In the dielectric resonator method, which has been widely used for measuring the microwave surface resistance of superconductors, accuracies in the geometrical factors (G-factors) affect the uncertainty in the measured surface resistance. We compare the G-factors of short-ended sapphire resonator as obtained by using field analysis with those by using computer simulations: The former is obtained by using the analytic expressions for the electric and the magnetic field components inside the resonator, and the latter by using computer software. The G-factors as obtained by using the latter appear to be closer to those obtained by using the former as the resonator space is divided into larger number of sub-space, i.e., a tighter mesh, with a difference of ~8 % observed for a mesh of 14400 sub-spaces reduced to ~2 % for 114996 sub-spaces. Variations in the relative uncertainty in the surface resistance of typical $YBa_2Cu_3O_{7-\delta}$ superconductor films with those in the G-factors are studied, which provides an upper limit of the relative uncertainty in the G-factors required for realizing the target uncertainty in the surface resistance. These results could be useful in estimating the optimum number of meshes for obtaining the G-factors through computer simulations.