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Real-Time Flood Forecasting Using Rainfall-Runoff Model(I) : Theory and Modeling (강우-유출모형을 이용한 실시간 홍수예측(I) : 이론과 모형화)

  • 정동국;이길성
    • Water for future
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 1994
  • Flood forecasting in Korea has been based on the off-line parameter estimation method. But recent flood forecasting studies explore on-line recursive parameter estimation algorithms. In this study, a simultaneous adaptive estimation of system states and parameters for rainfall-runoff model is investigated for on-line real-time flood forecasting and parameter estimation. The proposed flood routing system is composed of Flood forecasting in Korea has been based on the off-line parameter estimation method. But recent flood forecasting studies explore on-line recursive parameter estimation algorithms. In this study, a simultaneous adaptive estimation of system states and parameters for rainfall-runoff model is investigated for on-line real-time flood forecasting and parameter estimation. The proposed flood routing system is composed of ø-index in the assessment of effective rainfall and the cascade of nonlinear reservoirs accounting for translation effect in flood routing. To combine the flood routing model with a parameter estimation model, system states and parameters are treated with the extended state-space formulation. Generalized least squares and maximum a posterior estimation algorithms are comparatively examined as estimation techniques for the state-space model. The sensitivity analysis is to investigate the identifiability of the parameters. The index of sensitivity used in this study is the covariance matrix of the estimated parameters.-index in the assessment of effective rainfall and the cascade of nonlinear reservoirs accounting for translation effect in flood routing. To combine the flood routing model with a parameter estimation model, system states and parameters are treated with the extended state-space formulation. Generalized least squares and maximum a posterior estimation algorithms are comparatively examined as estimation techniques for the state-space model. The sensitivity analysis is to investigate the identifiability of the parameters. The index of sensitivity used in this study is the covariance matrix of the estimated parameters.

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Performance Enhancing Technique for Terrain Referenced Navigation Systems using Terrain Roughness and Information Gain Based on Information Theory (정보이론기반 지형 험준도 및 정보이득을 이용한 지형대조항법 성능 향상 기법)

  • Nam, Seongho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.307-314
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    • 2017
  • Terrain referenced navigation(TRN) system is an attractive method for obtaining position based on terrain measurements and a terrain map. We focus on TRN systems based on the point mass filter(PMF) which is one of the recursive Bayesian method. In this paper, we propose two kinds of performance index for Bayesian filter. The proposed indices are based on entropy and mutual information from information theory. The first index measures roughness of terrain based on entropy of likelihood. The second index named by information gain, which is the mutual information between priori and posteriori distribution, is a quantity of information gained by updating measurement at each step. The proposed two indices are used to determine whether the solution from TRN is adequate for TRN/INS integration or not, and this scheme gives the performance improvement. Simulation result shows that the proposed indices are meaningful and the proposed algorithm performs better than normal TRN algorithm.

Kalman filter technique for defining solar regular geomagnetic variations

  • Martini, Daniel;Orispaa, Mikko;Ulich, Thomas;Lehtinen, Markku;Mursula, Kalevi;Lee, Dong-Hun
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.81.2-81.2
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    • 2011
  • Motivated by recent attempts to derive geomagnetic activity from hourly mean data in long term studies, we test the recursive Kalman filter method to obtain the regular solar variation curve of the geomagnetic field. Using a simple algorithm, we are able to assign a quiet day curve to every day separately, without the need for additional input parameter(s) to define the geomagnetically quiet days. We derive a digital counterpart AhK of the analog range index Ak at the subauroral Sodankyl$\ddot{a}$ station and compare it to the earlier digital estimate Ah and the local Ak index. We find that the new method outperforms the former estimate in every aspect studied and provides a robust, straightforward manner of estimating and verifying the manually scaled Ak index, based on readily available hourly values. The model is independent of sampling; thus, for shorter term studies where high-sampling data are available, more accurate estimates can also be obtained when needed. Therefore, in contrast to other recent approaches, we do not provide a method to quantify irregular activity directly but derive the actual quiet day curves in the traditional manner. In future applications the same algorithm may be used to define a wide variety of geomagnetic indices (such as Ak, Dst, or AE).

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Tunnel Ventilation Controller Design Employing RLS-Based Natural Actor-Critic Algorithm (RLS 기반의 Natural Actor-Critic 알고리즘을 이용한 터널 환기제어기 설계)

  • Chu B.;Kim D.;Hong D.;Park J.;Chung J.T.;Kim T.H.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.53-54
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    • 2006
  • The main purpose of tunnel ventilation system is to maintain CO pollutant and VI (visibility index) under an adequate level to provide drivers with safe driving condition. Moreover, it is necessary to minimize power consumption used to operate ventilation system. To achieve the objectives, the control algorithm used in this research is reinforcement teaming (RL) method. RL is a goal-directed teaming of a mapping from situations to actions. The goal of RL is to maximize a reward which is an evaluative feedback from the environment. Constructing the reward of the tunnel ventilation system, two objectives listed above are included. RL algorithm based on actor-critic architecture and natural gradient method is adopted to the system. Also, the recursive least-squares (RLS) is employed to the learning process to improve the efficiency of the use of data. The simulation results performed with real data collected from existing tunnel are provided in this paper. It is confirmed that with the suggested controller, the pollutant level inside the tunnel was well maintained under allowable limit and the performance of energy consumption was improved compared to conventional control scheme.

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Self-Tuning Position Control of a Remotely Operated Vehicle (원격무인 잠수정의 자기동조 위치제어)

  • Lee, Pan-Muk
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.551-551
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    • 1989
  • In general, a remotely operated vehicle(ROV) operates at deep sea. The control system of ROV is composed of two local loops; the first loop placed on the surface vessel monitors and manipulates the attitude of the ROV using joystick, and the second part on the ROV automatically controls thrusters and acquires positional data. This paper presents a position control simulation of a ROV using an adaptive controller and discusses the control effects of two different conditions. The design of an adaptive control system is obtained by the application of a self-tuning controller with the minimization of an appropriate cost function. The parameters of the control system are estimated by a recursive least square method(RLS). In the simulation, a Runge-Kutta method is used for the numerical integration and the generated outputs are obtained by adding measurement errors. Additionally, this paper discusses the mathematical modelling of a ROV and make a survey of control systems.

Self-Tuning Position Control of a Remotely Operated Vehicle (원격무인 잠수정의 자기동조 위치제어)

  • Lee, Pan-Muk
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 1989
  • In general, a remotely operated vehicle(ROV) operates at deep sea. The control system of ROV is composed of two local loops; the first loop placed on the surface vessel monitors and manipulates the attitude of the ROV using joystick, and the second part on the ROV automatically controls thrusters and acquires positional data. This paper presents a position control simulation of a ROV using an adaptive controller and discusses the control effects of two different conditions. The design of an adaptive control system is obtained by the application of a self-tuning controller with the minimization of an appropriate cost function. The parameters of the control system are estimated by a recursive least square method(RLS). In the simulation, a Runge-Kutta method is used for the numerical integration and the generated outputs are obtained by adding measurement errors. Additionally, this paper discusses the mathematical modelling of a ROV and make a survey of control systems.

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NEW ADAPTIVE METHOD FOR VOLTAGE SAG AND SWELL DETECTION

  • Mohamed, Mansour A.
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents an adaptive recursive least squares algorithm (ARLS) for detecting voltage sag and voltage swell events in power systems. Different methods have been developed to detect voltage sag and voltage swell. Some of them use window techniques, which are too slow when voltage sag or swell mitigation is required. Others depend on the extraction of a single non-stationary sinusoidal signal out of a given multi-components input signal, and therefore they don't consider the harmonic components in calculating the voltage root mean square value (rms). The method, proposed in this paper, is capable of estimating the voltage rms taking into account all harmonic components. The method is tested by applying it to different, simulated signals using ATP program, and compared with voltage sag detection algorithms.

Input Constrained Receding Horizon $H_{\infty}$ Control : Quadratic Programming Approach

  • Lee, Young-Il
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.49 no.9
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2000
  • A receding horizon $H_{\infty}$ predictive control method is derived by solving a min-max problem in non-recursive forms. The min-max cost index is converted to a quadratic form which for systems with input saturation can be minimized using QP. Through the use of closed-loop prediction the prediction of states the use of closed-loop prediction the prediction of states in the presence of disturbances are made non-conservative and it become possible to get a tighter $H_{\infty}$ norm bound. Stability conditions and $H_{\infty}$ norm bounds on disturbance rejection are obtained in infinite horizon sence. Polyhedral types of feasible sets for sets and disturbances are adopted to deal with the input constraints. The weight selection procedures are given in terms of LMIs and the algorithm is formulated so that it can be solved via QP. This work is a modified version of an earlier work which was based on ellipsoidal type feasible sets[15].

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Fast DFT Matrices Transform Based on Generalized Prime Factor Algorithm

  • Guo, Ying;Mao, Yun;Park, Dong-Sun;Lee, Moon-Ho
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.449-455
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    • 2011
  • Inspired by fast Jacket transforms, we propose simple factorization and construction algorithms for the M-dimensional discrete Fourier transform (DFT) matrices underlying generalized Chinese remainder theorem (CRT) index mappings. Based on successive coprime-order DFT matrices with respect to the CRT with recursive relations, the proposed algorithms are presented with simplicity and clarity on the basis of the yielded sparse matrices. The results indicate that our algorithms compare favorably with the direct-computation approach.

THE MINIMAL POLYNOMIAL OF cos(2π/n)

  • Gurtas, Yusuf Z.
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.667-682
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    • 2016
  • In this article we show a recursive method to compute the coefficients of the minimal polynomial of cos($2{\pi}/n$) explicitly for $n{\geq}3$. The recursion is not on n but on the coefficient index. Namely, for a given n, we show how to compute ei of the minimal polynomial ${\sum_{i=0}^{d}}(-1)^ie_ix^{d-i}$ for $i{\geq}2$ with initial data $e_0=1$, $e_1={\mu}(n)/2$, where ${\mu}(n)$ is the $M{\ddot{o}}bius$ function.