• 제목/요약/키워드: Recession analysis

검색결과 238건 처리시간 0.028초

중노년층의 경제적 노후불안과 영향요인 (Middle-Aged and the Elderly People's Anxiety about Economic Change and its Influencing Factors)

  • 홍성희
    • 가족자원경영과 정책
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.95-117
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the level of anxiety about economic change in middle-aged and elderly people and to analyze the factors that influence this anxiety. The data, derived from Korean General Social Survey(KGSS) were collected from Survey Research Center of Sung Kyun Kwan University. The samples included 821 people over the age of 40, including 529 middle-aged people who were from 40 to 59, and elderly people who were over 60. Multiple regression analysis was used to analyze the research model. The findings from the analysis showed that age and subjective economic status had crucial effects on the entire group's anxiety about unemployment and poverty, housing prices, financial markets, and economic recession in the older life. For the middle-aged group, age in particular had crucial effects on all the components of its anxiety about economic change. For the elderly group, geographical region was the most critical factor that affected its anxiety about economic change, the elderly people who were living in metropolitan area and towns had more anxiety than those who were living in rural areas. In particular, region was the only factor that affected the elderly group's anxiety about financial markets, and economic recession. These results showed that specific age of middle-aged and elderly people had the crucial effects while their sex, educational level, and the employment status of their spouse had no effects on their anxiety about economic change. Objective economic indices such as their earned-income and other income including savings and pensions had no effects on their anxiety level. While as noted above subjective economic indices such as their standard of living compared with their parents, projected economic status, and level of socio-economic success had an effect on anxiety about economic change.

미국연방준비제도의 양적완화 정책이 주가 변동에 미치는 영향 분석 (Analysis of the Ripple Effect of the US Federal Reserve System's Quantitative Easing Policy on Stock Price Fluctuations)

  • 홍성혁
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.161-166
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    • 2021
  • 거시경제는 한 나라의 경제 전반의 움직임을 나타내는 개념으로 경제주체인 기업, 정부, 가계경제 활동 전반에 영향을 미친다. 거시경제는 국민소득, 물가, 실업, 통화, 금리, 원자재 등의 변화를 살펴보면 경제 주체들의 행위와 상호작업이 제품과 서비스의 가격에 영향을 파악할 수 있다. 미국연방준비제도(FED)는 코로나 경제침체를 극복하기 위한 다양한 경기부양책을 내 놓으며, 세계경제를 이끌고 있다. 현재 코로나로 인한 주가가 2020년3월20일에 지속적으로 하락하였지만, FED의 강력한 경지부양책인 양적완화로 미국의 S&P500지수는 3월 23일이후 반등을 시작해 12월 15일 3,694.62까지 회복에 성공했다. 따라서 주가의 예측을 기업의 재무제표로 판단하는 것이 아니라 거시경제지표에 따른 FED의 경기부양책이 더 영향을 미치고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구는 FED의 경기부양책과 주가에 미치는 영향을 분석하여 주식투자에 손실을 줄이고 건전한 투자 정착을 위해 본 연구를 진행하였다.

Three-dimensional structural analysis of the morphological condition of the alveolar bone before and after orthodontic treatment

  • Shimizu, Yasuhiro;Ono, Takashi
    • 대한치과교정학회지
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    • 제47권6호
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    • pp.394-400
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    • 2017
  • Assessing the condition of the alveolar bone before and after orthodontic treatment is important. Recently, cone-beam computed tomography has been widely accepted as a useful tool for orthodontic treatment. Moreover, using a three-dimensional (3D) structural analysis software enables gathering detailed information and quantifying data. The aim of this study was to introduce various quantitative analyses performed before and after orthodontic treatment by using a 3D structural analysis software for evaluating the morphological condition of the alveolar bone of a patient with gingival recession around the canines.

DEA-AR 모형을 활용한 건축사사무소의 효율성 비교분석 (Measuring Management Efficiency of Architectural Firms in Korea using DEA/AR Models)

  • 김성식;박정로;김주형;김재준
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2012년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.125-126
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    • 2012
  • Domestic architect office from a period of high growth from the 1970s to the '80s has been established as some of the large corporations or publicly traded corporation. 1997 IMF has pointed out there is a lot of need for improvement activities in accordance with the construction recession since the 2008 global financial crisis. In order to address these causes, the company's continuous efficient operation for accurate efficiency and competitiveness analysis was required. Leverage financial ratio indicators Study Using Data Envelopment Analysis Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model, how to find a benchmark for the improvement of the efficiency of inefficient enterprises in various sectors being. In this study, a comparison of the conventional DEA model and the DEA-AR model is used to analyze the efficiency and domestic architect office is to improve the management efficiency.

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동작분석과 설비 재배치를 통한 생산성 향상 방안 : 사례연구 (Productivity Improvement Plan Using Motion Analysis and Facility Relocation : Case Study)

  • 김동현;박동빈;권익현
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.71-81
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    • 2010
  • Today's fierce competition and global economic recession make most of manufacturing companies in the world difficult to gain a profit. In order to survive such a environment and increase competitiveness, manufacturing companies have to continuously eliminate their wasteful factors through an efficient process analysis, improve quality of products, increase the flexibility of manufacturing processes. In this paper, we consider a case study for the Shanghai New Auto which is a subcontractor of MOBIS in China, to improve productivity by using therblig method, one of the motion analysis, to minimize the work-in-process inventories and to shorten the manufacturing cycle times. We also try to relocate the facility layout to increase the efficiency and flexibility of manufacturing processes.

회귀 분석을 이용한 용접 변수와 이탈 액적 크기의 상호 관계 (Correlation between Welding Parameters and Detaching Drop Size using Regression)

  • 최상균;한창우;이상룡;이영문
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2002
  • Metal Transfer in gas metal arc (GMA) welding is a complex phenomenon affected by many parameters of the welding conditions and material properties. In this research, the correlation equation between the welding condition and detaching droplet size and detaching velocity in GMA welding was studied via recession analysis on the results of numerical analysis using the volume-of-fluid (VOF) method. Welding parameters and material properties were grouped into three dimensionless numbers and detaching droplet size was expressed as the function of them. Second order and exponential multi-variable correlation forms were assumed, and the coefficients of these equations were calculated for globular and spray modes as well as entire transfer modes. Applying correlation equation into available experimental data, it shows good agreement.

의류제품의 상표관계 경로모형 연구(제1보) (Brand Relationship Formation Process of Apparel Products(Part I))

  • 조희라;이선재
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.790-800
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    • 2002
  • Brand relationship, which refers to the bond between brands and consumers, plays an important role in marketing due to its positive or negative effects on consumer behavior. The goals of this research were 1) to identify the types of brand relationships between young female consumers and apparel brands, and 2) to examine the influence of brand relationships over consumers'favorable attitudes and strong attachment (durability) to the brands. For the purpose of this study, ten casual wear brands, which are highly perceived by and popular with high school and university female students, were chosen by a preliminary inquiry. And then focused group interviews were performed to develop a questionnaire. The main examination was performed from August 20 to September 12, 2000, using five types of surveys each of which contained two brands. SPSS 8.0 was used for factor analysis and recession analysis. Four types of brand relationships were categorized based on the results of factor analysis: self-devotion, intimacy, rejection and trust. Each factor showed significant influence on both positive altitude and durability.

창업 온톨로지 구축을 위한 벤처창업 연구의 지식구조 분석 (An Analysis of the Intellectual Structure of Venture-Creation Studies to build an Entrepreneurship Ontology)

  • 심재후;최명길
    • 지식경영연구
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2013
  • The deeping interests and research toward Entrepreneurship, which is considered as an potential alternative for solving the continuing economic recession in the $21^{st}$ century, have grown. The process and methodology of the research could not be systematically arranged and the results of the research lack in efforts on the application of increasing suceess ratio in starting new business. This study adopted corpus methodology, through which we try to analyzes the knowledge structure in entrepreneurship research, derive essential concepts and the consisting domains in venture research. Based on the results of analysis, this study constructs the knowledge structure of venture research in a form of knowledge ontology. The results of the study could be a ground for entrepreneurship research and utilized as implication for a creation of construction for the entrepreneurship knowledge ontology.

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해석적 모형을 이용한 지하수 양수 및 하천수위 변화에 따른 하천수 감소 특성 분석 (Analysis of Stream Depletion due to Groundwater Pumping in Variable Stream Stages Using an Analytical Model)

  • 이정우
    • 지질공학
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.439-449
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    • 2019
  • 하천 건천화 예방 및 하천수와 지하수의 효율적 연계 이용을 위해서는 지하수 이용이 하천의 수량에 미치는 영향 평가가 수반되어야 한다. 이를 위해서는 대수층과 하천의 다양한 수리특성 조건에 대해 지하수 양수에 따른 하천수량의 변화 분석이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 하천수위 변동을 반영할 수 있고 지하수 양수에 따른 하천수 감소량을 산정할 수 있는 Baalousha 해석해를 이용하여 하천수위가 지수함수적으로 감소하는 경우와, 감소 후 다시 회복되는 경우에 대해 지하수 양수로 인한 하천수 감소량의 변화 특성을 분석하였다. 대수층의 수리특성으로 투수량계수 10~100 ㎡/d 및 저류계수 0.05~0.3, 하천의 수리특성으로 하상수리전도성 0.01~20 m/d, 하천수위 감수상수 0.1~1.0 1/d, 그리고 하천과 관정의 이격거리 100~500 m 조건에 대해 지하수 양수량 대비 하천수 감소량인 하천수 기여도를 산정하고 그 거동 특성을 하천수위 변동 유무에 따라 종합적으로 분석, 제시하였다. 하천수위 감소 영향을 고려하였을 경우 하천수 기여도가 크게 감소하고 하천-관정 이격거리와 수리확산도의 함수인 하천고갈인자 값에 영향을 작게 받는 것으로 나타났으며, 반면에 하천수위 감소 후 회복되는 조건에서의 하천수 기여도는 하천수위 변동이 없는 경우와 큰 차이가 없는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 하천수위 조절을 통해 지하수 양수시 하천수 및 대수층 저류량에 미치는 상대적 영향의 통제가 가능함을 의미한다.

SWAT 모형과 BFlow를 이용한 지하수 함양, 기저유출의 시공간적 변화 분석 (Analysis of Spatiotemporal Changes in Groundwater Recharge and Baseflow using SWAT and BFlow Models)

  • 이지민;박윤식;정영훈;조재필;양재의;이관재;김기성;임경재
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.549-558
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    • 2014
  • Occurrence frequency of flood and drought tends to increase in last a few decades, leading to social and economic damage since the abnormality of climate changes is one of the causes for hydrologic facilities by exceedance its designed tolerance. Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used in the study to estimate temporal variance of groundwater recharge and baseflow. It was limited to consider recession curve coefficients in SWAT model calibration process, thus the recession curve coefficient was estimated by the Baseflow Filter Program (BFLOW) before SWAT model calibration. Precipitation data were estimated for 2014 to 2100 using three models which are GFDL-ESM2G, IPSL-CM5A-LR, and MIROC-ESM with Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenario. SWAT model was calibrated for the Soyang watershed with NSE of 0.83, and $R^2$ of 0.89. The percentage to precipitation of groundwater recharge and baseflow were 27.6% and 17.1% respectively in 2009. Streamflow, groundwater recharge, and baseflow were estimated to be increased with the estimated precipitation data. GFDL-ESM2g model provided the most large precipitation data in the 2025s, and IPSL-CM5A-LR provided the most large precipitation data in the 2055s and 2085s. Overall, groundwater recharge and baseflow displayed similar trend to the estimated precipitation data.