• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reanalysis Method

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Prediction of the Damage in the Structure with Damping Using the Modified Dynamic Characteristics (동특성 변화를 이용한 감쇠 구조물의 손상예측)

  • Lee, Jung Youn
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.22 no.11
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    • pp.1144-1151
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    • 2012
  • A damage in structure alters its dynamic characteristics. The change is characterized by changes in the modal parameter, i.e., modal frequencies, modal damping value and mode shape associated with each modal frequency. Changes also occur in some of the structural parameters; namely, the mass, damping, stiffness matrices of the structure. In this paper, evaluation of changes in stiffness matrix of a structure is presented as a method not only for identifying the presence of the damage but also locating the damage. It is shown that changed stiffness matrix can be accurately estimated a sensitivity coefficient matrix derived from modifying mode shapes, First, with 4 story shear structure models, the effect of presence of damage in a structure on its stiffness matrix is studied. By using these analytical model, the effectiveness of using change of stiffness matrix in detecting and locating damages is demonstrated. To validate the predicted changing stiffness and its location, the obtained results are compared to the reanalysis result which shows good agreement.

A multi-scale analysis of the interdecadal change in the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO의 다중스케일 분석을 통한 수십년 변동성)

  • Lee, Sang-Heon;Seo, Kyong-Hwan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.143-149
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    • 2011
  • A new multi-timescale analysis method, Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD), is used to diagnose the variation of the MJO activity determined by 850hPa and 200hPa zonal winds from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) Reanalysis data for the 56-yr period from 1950 to 2005. The results show that MJO activity can be decomposed into 9 quasi-periodic oscillations and a trend. With each level of contribution of the quasi-periodic oscillation discussed, the bi-seasonal oscillation, the interannual oscillation and the trend of the MJO activity are the most prominent features. The trend increases almost linearly, so that prior to around 1978 the activity of the MJO is lower than that during the latter part. This may be related to the tropical sea surface temperature(SST). It is speculated that the interdecadal change in the MJO activity appeared in around 1978 is related to the warmer SST in the equatorial warm pool, especially over the Indian Ocean.

Methodology for Producing Representative Meteorological Fields for Urban Dispersion Modeling (도심 확산 모의를 위한 대표 기상장 산출 방안)

  • Damwon So;Joowan Kim;Ju-Wan Woo;Sang-Hyun Lee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.371-383
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    • 2024
  • To simulate dispersion of atmospheric pollutants in urban areas, representative meteorological fields were calculated by classifying various meteorological data based on surface wind direction/speed and atmospheric stability obtained from the 5-year (2015~2019) record of ERA5 reanalysis data. Wind direction and speed were divided into 16 and 4 categories, respectively. Pasquill-Gifford (P-G) method is used to classify atmospheric stability into 3 categories for surface meteorological fields and Bulk Richardson number is used to classify atmospheric stability into 3 categories for vertical profiles. The atmospheric profiles of temperature, humidity, wind speed, and potential temperature for a given point (Seoul in this study) were grouped into the 192 (16 × 4 × 3) categories for each season. The classified atmospheric profiles represent the similarity of the group relatively well. These profiles can serve as input data for atmospheric dispersion modeling under various wind and stability conditions, providing more accurate and improved results. This approach ensures that vertical profiles accurately reflect the properties of surface data, enhancing correlation and reliability in simulation outcomes.

Multi-Objective Optimization of Steel Frames For Standardized Steel Profiles Under Seismic Loads (지진하중을 받는 강뼈대구조물의 표준단면에 대한 다목적 최적설계)

  • Cho, Hyo Nam;Min, Dae Hong;Jeong, Bong Gyo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.783-791
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    • 2002
  • An improved formulation for multi-objective optimization was proposed. This formulation was applied to steel seismic loads. The multi-objective optimization problem was formulated with minimum structural weight, maximum strstability. The global criterion method was employed to find a rational solution closest to the ideal solution for the optimization problem using standard steel profile, To efficiently solve the optimization problem, the decomposition meth both system-level and element-level was used. In addition, various techniques including efficient reanalysis technique intermediate variables and sensitivity analysis using an automatic differentiation(AD) were incorporated. Moreover the reamong section properties fitted to the section profile used in order to link the system level and the element level. From numerical investigation, it could be stated that the proposed method will lead to the more rational design compared with one.

An Improved Multi-level Optimization Algorithm for Orthotropic Steel Deck Bridges (강바닥판교의 개선된 다단계 최적설계 알고리즘)

  • 조효남;이광민;최영민;김정호
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.237-250
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    • 2003
  • Since an orthotropic steel deck bridge has large number of design variables and shows complex structural behavior, it would be very difficult and impractical to directly use a Conventional Single Level (CSL) optimization algorithm for its optimum design. Thus, in this paper, an Improved Multi Level Design Synthesis (IMLDS) optimization algorithm is proposed to improve the computational efficiency. In the proposed IMLDS algorithm, a coordination method is introduced to divide the bridge into main girders and orthotropic steel deck with preserving the characteristics of the structural behavior. For an efficient optimization of the bridge, the IMLDS algorithm incorporates the various crucial approximation techniques such as constraints deletion, Automatic Differentiation (AD), stress reanalysis, and etc. In the case of orthotropic steel deck system, optimum design problems are characterized by mixed continuous discrete variables and discontinuous design space. Thus, a modified Genetic Algorithm (GA) is also applied to optimize discrete member design for orthotropic steel deck. From the numerical example, the efficiency and convergency of the IMLDS algorithm proposed in this paper is investigated. It may be positively stated that the IMLDS algorithm will lead to more effective and practical design compared with previous algorithms.

Inter-comparison of Prediction Skills of Multiple Linear Regression Methods Using Monthly Temperature Simulated by Multi-Regional Climate Models (다중 지역기후모델로부터 모의된 월 기온자료를 이용한 다중선형회귀모형들의 예측성능 비교)

  • Seong, Min-Gyu;Kim, Chansoo;Suh, Myoung-Seok
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.669-683
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we investigated the prediction skills of four multiple linear regression methods for monthly air temperature over South Korea. We used simulation results from four regional climate models (RegCM4, SNURCM, WRF, and YSURSM) driven by two boundary conditions (NCEP/DOE Reanalysis 2 and ERA-Interim). We selected 15 years (1989~2003) as the training period and the last 5 years (2004~2008) as validation period. The four regression methods used in this study are as follows: 1) Homogeneous Multiple linear Regression (HMR), 2) Homogeneous Multiple linear Regression constraining the regression coefficients to be nonnegative (HMR+), 3) non-homogeneous multiple linear regression (EMOS; Ensemble Model Output Statistics), 4) EMOS with positive coefficients (EMOS+). It is same method as the third method except for constraining the coefficients to be nonnegative. The four regression methods showed similar prediction skills for the monthly air temperature over South Korea. However, the prediction skills of regression methods which don't constrain regression coefficients to be nonnegative are clearly impacted by the existence of outliers. Among the four multiple linear regression methods, HMR+ and EMOS+ methods showed the best skill during the validation period. HMR+ and EMOS+ methods showed a very similar performance in terms of the MAE and RMSE. Therefore, we recommend the HMR+ as the best method because of ease of development and applications.

Detection and Forecast of Climate Change Signal over the Korean Peninsula (한반도 기후변화시그널 탐지 및 예측)

  • Sohn, Keon-Tae;Lee, Eun-Hye;Lee, Jeong-Hyeong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.705-716
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    • 2008
  • The objectives of this study are the detection and forecast of climate change signal in the annual mean of surface temperature data, which are generated by MRI/JMA CGCM over the Korean Peninsula. MRI/JMA CGCM outputs consist of control run data(experiment with no change of $CO_2$ concentration) and scenario run data($CO_2$ 1%/year increase experiment to quadrupling) during 142 years for surface temperature and precipitation. And ECMWF reanalysis data during 43 years are used as observations. All data have the same spatial structure which consists of 42 grid points. Two statistical models, the Bayesian fingerprint method and the regression model with autoregressive error(AUTOREG model), are separately applied to detect the climate change signal. The forecasts up to 2100 are generated by the estimated AUTOREG model only for detected grid points.

INTRODUCTION OF J-OFURO LATENT HEAT FLUX VERSION 2

  • Kubota, Masahisa;Hiroyuki, Tomita;iwasaki, Shinsuke;Hihara, Tsutomu;Kawatsura, Ayako
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2007.10a
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    • pp.306-309
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    • 2007
  • Japanese Ocean Flux Data Sets with Use of Remote Sensing Observations (J-OFURO) includes global ocean surface heat flux data derived from satellite data and are used in many studies related to air-sea interaction. Recently latent heat flux data version 2 was constructed in J-OFURO. In version 2 many points are improved compared with version 1. A bulk algorithm used for estimation of latent heat flux is changed from Kondo (1975) to COASRE 3.0(Fairall et al., 2005). In version 1 we used NCEP reanalysis data (Reynolds and Smith, 1994) as SST data. However, the temporal resolution of the data is weekly and considerably low. Recently there are many kinds of global SST data because we can obtain SST data using a microwave radiometer sensor such as TRMM/MI and Aqua/AMSR-E. Therefore, we compared many SST products and determined to use Merged satellite and in situ data Global Daily (MGD) SST provided by Japan Meteorological Agency. Since we use wind speed and specific humidity data derived from one DMSP/SSMI sensor in J-OFURO, we obtain two data at most one day. Therefore, there may be large sampling errors for the daily-mean value. In order to escape this problem, multi-satellite data are used in version 2. As a result we could improve temporal resolution from 3-days mean value in version 1 to daily-mean value in version 2. Also we used an Optimum Interpolation method to estimate wind speed and specific humidity data instead of a simple mean method. Finally the data period is extended to 1989-2004. In this presentation we will introduce latent heat flux data version 2 in J-OFURO and comparison results with other surface latent heat flux data such as GSSTF2 and HOAPS etc. Moreover, we will present validation results by using buoy data.

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Performance Evaluation of the High-Resolution WRF Meteorological Simulation over the Seoul Metropolitan Area (WRF 모형의 수도권 지역 상세 국지 기상장 모의 성능 평가)

  • Oh, Jun-Seo;Lee, Jae-Hyeong;Woo, Ju-Wan;Lee, Doo-Il;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Seo, Jihyun;Moon, Nankyoung
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.257-276
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    • 2020
  • Faithful evaluation of the meteorological input is a prerequisite for a better understanding of air quality model performance. Despite the importance, the preliminary meteorological assessment has rarely been concerned. In this study, we aim to evaluate the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model conducting a year-long high-resolution meteorological simulation in 2016 over the Seoul metropolitan area. The WRF model was configured based on a series of sensitivity simulations of initial/boundary meteorological conditions, land use mapping data, reanalysis grid nudging method, domain nesting method, and urban canopy model. The simulated results of winds, air temperature, and specific humidity in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) were evaluated following statistical evaluation guidance using the surface and upper meteorological measurements. The statistical evaluation results are presented. The model performance was interpreted acceptable for air quality modeling within the statistical criteria of complex conditions, showing consistent overestimation in wind speeds. Further statistical analysis showed that the meteorological model biases were highly systematic with systematic bias fractions (fSB) of 20~50%. This study suggests that both the momentum exchange process of the surface layer and the ABL entrainment process should be investigated for further improvement of the model performance.

Ensemble Downscaling of Soil Moisture Data Using BMA and ATPRK

  • Youn, Youjeong;Kim, Kwangjin;Chung, Chu-Yong;Park, No-Wook;Lee, Yangwon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.587-607
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    • 2020
  • Soil moisture is essential information for meteorological and hydrological analyses. To date, many efforts have been made to achieve the two goals for soil moisture data, i.e., the improvement of accuracy and resolution, which is very challenging. We presented an ensemble downscaling method for quality improvement of gridded soil moisture data in terms of the accuracy and the spatial resolution by the integration of BMA (Bayesian model averaging) and ATPRK (area-to-point regression kriging). In the experiments, the BMA ensemble showed a 22% better accuracy than the data sets from ESA CCI (European Space Agency-Climate Change Initiative), ERA5 (ECMWF Reanalysis 5), and GLDAS (Global Land Data Assimilation System) in terms of RMSE (root mean square error). Also, the ATPRK downscaling could enhance the spatial resolution from 0.25° to 0.05° while preserving the improved accuracy and the spatial pattern of the BMA ensemble, without under- or over-estimation. The quality-improved data sets can contribute to a variety of local and regional applications related to soil moisture, such as agriculture, forest, hydrology, and meteorology. Because the ensemble downscaling method can be applied to the other land surface variables such as temperature, humidity, precipitation, and evapotranspiration, it can be a viable option to complement the accuracy and the spatial resolution of satellite images and numerical models.