• Title/Summary/Keyword: Real-time Energy Demand Prediction

Search Result 11, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

Real-time Energy Demand Prediction Method Using Weather Forecasting Data and Solar Model (기상 예보 데이터와 일사 예측 모델식을 활용한 실시간 에너지 수요예측)

  • Kwak, Young-Hoon;Cheon, Se-Hwan;Jang, Cheol-Yong;Huh, Jung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
    • /
    • v.25 no.6
    • /
    • pp.310-316
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study was designed to investigate a method for short-term, real-time energy demand prediction, to cope with changing loads for the effective operation and management of buildings. Through a case study, a novel methodology for real-time energy demand prediction with the use of weather forecasting data was suggested. To perform the input and output operations of weather data, and to calculate solar radiation and EnergyPlus, the BCVTB (Building Control Virtual Test Bed) was designed. Through the BCVTB, energy demand prediction for the next 24 hours was carried out, based on 4 real-time weather data and 2 solar radiation calculations. The weather parameters used in a model equation to calculate solar radiation were sourced from the weather data of the KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration). Depending on the local weather forecast data, the results showed their corresponding predicted values. Thus, this methodology was successfully applicable to anywhere that local weather forecast data is available.

Stochastic Real-time Demand Prediction for Building and Charging and Discharging Technique of ESS Based on Machine-Learning (머신러닝기반 확률론적 실시간 건물에너지 수요예측 및 BESS충방전 기법)

  • Yang, Seung Kwon;Song, Taek Ho
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
    • /
    • v.5 no.3
    • /
    • pp.157-163
    • /
    • 2019
  • K-BEMS System was introduced to reduce peak load and to save total energy of the 120 buildings that KEPCO headquarter and branch offices use. K-BEMS system is composed of PV, battery, and hybrid PCS. In this system, ESS, PV, lighting is used to save building energy based on demand prediction. Currently, neural network technique for short past data is applied to demand prediction, and fixed scheduling method by operator for ESS charging/discharging is used. To enhance this system, KEPCO research institute has carried out this K-BEMS research project for 3 years since January 2016. As the result of this project, we developed new real-time highly reliable building demand prediction technique with error free and optimized automatic ESS charging/discharging technique. Through several field test, we can certify the developed algorithm performance successfully. So we will describe the details in this paper.

Chance-constrained Scheduling of Variable Generation and Energy Storage in a Multi-Timescale Framework

  • Tan, Wen-Shan;Abdullah, Md Pauzi;Shaaban, Mohamed
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.12 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1709-1718
    • /
    • 2017
  • This paper presents a hybrid stochastic deterministic multi-timescale scheduling (SDMS) approach for generation scheduling of a power grid. SDMS considers flexible resource options including conventional generation flexibility in a chance-constrained day-ahead scheduling optimization (DASO). The prime objective of the DASO is the minimization of the daily production cost in power systems with high penetration scenarios of variable generation. Furthermore, energy storage is scheduled in an hourly-ahead deterministic real-time scheduling optimization (RTSO). DASO simulation results are used as the base starting-point values in the hour-ahead online rolling RTSO with a 15-minute time interval. RTSO considers energy storage as another source of grid flexibility, to balance out the deviation between predicted and actual net load demand values. Numerical simulations, on the IEEE RTS test system with high wind penetration levels, indicate the effectiveness of the proposed SDMS framework for managing the grid flexibility to meet the net load demand, in both day-ahead and real-time timescales. Results also highlight the adequacy of the framework to adjust the scheduling, in real-time, to cope with large prediction errors of wind forecasting.

Development of Data Visualized Web System for Virtual Power Forecasting based on Open Sources based Location Services using Deep Learning (오픈소스 기반 지도 서비스를 이용한 딥러닝 실시간 가상 전력수요 예측 가시화 웹 시스템)

  • Lee, JeongHwi;Kim, Dong Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.25 no.8
    • /
    • pp.1005-1012
    • /
    • 2021
  • Recently, the use of various location-based services-based location information systems using maps on the web has been expanding, and there is a need for a monitoring system that can check power demand in real time as an alternative to energy saving. In this study, we developed a deep learning real-time virtual power demand prediction web system using open source-based mapping service to analyze and predict the characteristics of power demand data using deep learning. In particular, the proposed system uses the LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) deep learning model to enable power demand and predictive analysis locally, and provides visualization of analyzed information. Future proposed systems will not only be utilized to identify and analyze the supply and demand and forecast status of energy by region, but also apply to other industrial energies.

Research on optimal safety ship-route based on artificial intelligence analysis using marine environment prediction (해양환경 예측정보를 활용한 인공지능 분석 기반의 최적 안전항로 연구)

  • Dae-yaoung Eeom;Bang-hee Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.100-103
    • /
    • 2023
  • Recently, development of maritime autonomoust surface ships and eco-friendly ships, production and evaluation research considering various marine environments is needed in the field of optimal routes as the demand for accurate and detailed real-time marine environment prediction information expands. An algorithm that can calculate the optimal route while reducing the risk of the marine environment and uncertainty in energy consumption in smart ships was developed in 2 stages. In the first stage, a profile was created by combining marine environmental information with ship location and status information within the Automatic Ship Identification System(AIS). In the second stage, a model was developed that could define the marine environment energy map using the configured profile results, A regression equation was generated by applying Random Forest among machine learning techniques to reflect about 600,000 data. The Random Forest coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.89, showing very high reliability. The Dijikstra shortest path algorithm was applied to the marine environment prediction at June 1 to 3, 2021, and to calculate the optimal safety route and express it on the map. The route calculated by the random forest regression model was streamlined, and the route was derived considering the state of the marine environment prediction information. The concept of route calculation based on real-time marine environment prediction information in this study is expected to be able to calculate a realistic and safe route that reflects the movement tendency of ships, and to be expanded to a range of economic, safety, and eco-friendliness evaluation models in the future.

  • PDF

Prediction of Power Consumptions Based on Gated Recurrent Unit for Internet of Energy (에너지 인터넷을 위한 GRU기반 전력사용량 예측)

  • Lee, Dong-gu;Sun, Young-Ghyu;Sim, Is-sac;Hwang, Yu-Min;Kim, Sooh-wan;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Journal of IKEEE
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.120-126
    • /
    • 2019
  • Recently, accurate prediction of power consumption based on machine learning techniques in Internet of Energy (IoE) has been actively studied using the large amount of electricity data acquired from advanced metering infrastructure (AMI). In this paper, we propose a deep learning model based on Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) as an artificial intelligence (AI) network that can effectively perform pattern recognition of time series data such as the power consumption, and analyze performance of the prediction based on real household power usage data. In the performance analysis, performance comparison between the proposed GRU-based learning model and the conventional learning model of Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) is described. In the simulation results, mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), forecast skill score, normalized root mean square error (RMSE), and normalized mean bias error (NMBE) are used as performance evaluation indexes, and we confirm that the performance of the prediction of the proposed GRU-based learning model is greatly improved.

Construction form and status analysis of intelligent type switching board of educational institution (교육기관 지능형 수배전반의 구성방식과 현황분석)

  • Choi, In-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2007.05a
    • /
    • pp.393-396
    • /
    • 2007
  • Recently one level higher intelligent switching board than established one by the application of intelligent building and digital system are being constructed. Therefore facility's high efficiency, high degree satisfaction, miniaturaization, standardization through application of communication technology and monitoring and controlling by computer system utilized by web-basis power control system and electric IT are practiced. Especially network must be constructed through unified IBS server that monitors every educational institute's switching boards in real time control system. And I intend to create methods to save energy and raise electricity quality by power demand prediction and remote-controled management and operation. In this thesis I intend to suggest measures of forming unified system through researching educational institute's ways of constructing switching board and status analysis and overcoming technical difficulties in user's side and saving and maintenance expense.

  • PDF

Deep Learning-Based Smart Meter Wattage Prediction Analysis Platform

  • Jang, Seonghoon;Shin, Seung-Jung
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
    • /
    • v.9 no.4
    • /
    • pp.173-178
    • /
    • 2020
  • As the fourth industrial revolution, in which people, objects, and information are connected as one, various fields such as smart energy, smart cities, artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things, unmanned cars, and robot industries are becoming the mainstream, drawing attention to big data. Among them, Smart Grid is a technology that maximizes energy efficiency by converging information and communication technologies into the power grid to establish a smart grid that can know electricity usage, supply volume, and power line conditions. Smart meters are equient that monitors and communicates power usage. We start with the goal of building a virtual smart grid and constructing a virtual environment in which real-time data is generated to accommodate large volumes of data that are small in capacity but regularly generated. A major role is given in creating a software/hardware architecture deployment environment suitable for the system for test operations. It is necessary to identify the advantages and disadvantages of the software according to the characteristics of the collected data and select sub-projects suitable for the purpose. The collected data was collected/loaded/processed/analyzed by the Hadoop ecosystem-based big data platform, and used to predict power demand through deep learning.

Leakage Detection of Water Distribution System using Adaptive Kalman Filter (적응 칼만필터를 이용한 상수관망의 누수감시 기법)

  • Kim, Seong-Won;Choi, Doo Yong;Bae, Cheol-Ho;Kim, Juhwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.46 no.10
    • /
    • pp.969-976
    • /
    • 2013
  • Leakage in water distribution system causes social and economic losses by direct water loss into the ground, and additional energy demand for water supply. This research suggests a leak detection model of using adaptive Kalman filtering on real-time data of pipe flow. The proposed model takes into account hourly and daily variations of water demand. In addition, the model's prediction accuracy is improved by automatically calibrating the covariance of noise through innovation sequence. The adaptive Kalman filtering shows more accurate result than the existing Kalman method for virtual sine flow data. Then, the model is applied to data from two real district metered area in JE city. It is expected that the proposed model can be an effective tool for operating water supply system through detecting burst leakage and abnormal water usage.

Through load prediction and solar power generation prediction ESS operation plan(Guide-line) study (부하예측 및 태양광 발전예측을 통한 ESS 운영방안(Guide-line) 연구)

  • Lee, Gi-Hyun;Kwak, Gyung-il;Chae, U-ri;KO, Jin-Deuk;Lee, Joo-Yeoun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.18 no.12
    • /
    • pp.267-278
    • /
    • 2020
  • ESS is an essential requirement for resolving power shortages and power demand management and promoting renewable energy at a time when the energy paradigm changes. In this paper, we propose a cost-effective ESS Peak-Shaving operation plan through load and solar power generation forecast. For the ESS operation plan, electric load and solar power generation were predicted through RMS, which is a statistical measure, and a target load reduction guideline for one hour was set through the predicted electric load and solar power generation amount. The load and solar power generation amount from May 6th to 10th, 2019 was predicted by simulation of load and photovoltaic power generation using real data of the target customer for one year, and an hourly guideline was set. The average error rate for predicting load was 7.12%, and the average error rate for predicting solar power generation amount was 10.57%. Through the ESS operation plan, it was confirmed that the hourly guide-line suggested in this paper contributed to the peak-shaving maximization of customers.Through the results of this paper, it is expected that future energy problems can be reduced by minimizing environmental problems caused by fossil energy in connection with solar power and utilizing new and renewable energy to the maximum.