• Title/Summary/Keyword: Real-Time Prediction

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Real-time Water Quality Prediction for Evaluation of Influent Characteristics in a Full-scale Sewerage Treatment Plant (하수처리장 유입수의 특성평가를 위한 실시간 수질예측)

  • Kim, Youn-Kwon;Chae, Soo-Kwon;Han, In-Sun;Kim, Ju-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.617-623
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    • 2010
  • It is the most important subject to figure out characteristics of the wastewater inflows of sewerage treatment plant(STP) when situation models are applied to operation of the biological processes and in the automatic control based on ICA(Instrument, Control and Automation). For the purposes, real-time influent monitoring method has been applied by using on-line monitoring equipments for the process optimization in conventional STP. Since, the influent of STP is consist of complex components such as, COD, BOD, TN, $NH_4$-N, $NO_3$-N, TP and $PO_4$-P. MRA2(Microbial Respiration Analyzer 2), which is capable of real-time analyzing of wastewater characteristics is used to overcome the limitations and defects of conventional online monitoring equipments in this study. Rapidity, accuracy and stability of developed MRA2 are evaluated and compared with the results from on-line monitoring equipments for seven months after installation in Full-scale STP.

Implementation of Falling Accident Monitoring and Prediction System using Real-time Integrated Sensing Data

  • Bonghyun Kim
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.2987-3002
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    • 2023
  • In 2015, the number of senior citizens aged 65 and over in Korea was 6,662,400, accounting for 13.1% of the total population. Along with these social phenomena, risk information related to the elderly is increasing every year. In particular, a fall accident caused by a fall can cause serious injury to an elderly person, so special attention is required. Therefore, in this paper, we implemented a system that monitors fall accidents and informs them in real time to minimize damage caused by falls. To this end, beacon-based indoor location positioning was performed and biometric information based on an integrated module was collected using various sensors. In other words, a multi-functional sensor integration module was designed based on Arduino to collect and monitor user's temperature, heart rate, and motion data in real time. Finally, through the analysis and prediction of measurement signals from the integrated module, damage from fall accidents can be reduced and rapid emergency treatment is possible. Through this, it is possible to reduce the damage caused by a fall accident, and rapid emergency treatment will be possible. In addition, it is expected to lead a new paradigm of safety systems through expansion and application to socially vulnerable groups.

Prediction of Time Histories of Seismic Ground Motion using Genetic Programming

  • YOSHIHARA, Ikuo;Inaba, Masaaki;AOYAMA, Tomoo;Yasunaga, Moritoshi
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.226-229
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    • 1999
  • We have been developing a method to build models for time series using Genetic Programming. The proposed method has been applied to various kinds of time series e.g. computer-generated chaos, natural phenomena, and financial market indices etc. Now we apply the prediction method to time histories of seismic ground motion i.e. one-step-ahead prediction of seismographic amplitude. Waves of earthquakes are composed of P-waves and S-waves. They propagate in different speeds and have different characteristics. It is believed that P-waves arrive firstly and S-waves arrive secondly. Simulations were performed based on real data of Hyuganada earthquake which broke out at southern part of Kyushuu Island in Japan. To our surprise, prediction model built using the earthquake waves in early time can enough precisely predict main huge waves in later time. Lots of experiments lead us to conclude that every slice of data involves P-wave and S-wave. The simulation results suggest the GP-based prediction method can be utilized in alarm systems or dispatch systems in an emergency.

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Implementation of real-time water level prediction system using LSTM-GRU model (LSTM-GRU 모델을 활용한 실시간 수위 예측 시스템 구현)

  • Cho, Minwoo;Jeong, HanGyeol;Park, Bumjin;Im, Haran;Lim, Ine;Jung, Heokyung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.216-218
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    • 2022
  • Natural disasters caused by abnormal climates are continuously increasing, and the types of natural disasters that cause the most damage are flood damage caused by heavy rains and typhoons. Therefore, in order to reduce flood damage, this paper proposes a system that can predict the water level, a major parameter of flood, in real time using LSTM and GRU. The input data used for flood prediction are upstream and downstream water levels, temperature, humidity, and precipitation, and real-time prediction is performed through the pre-trained LSTM-GRU model. The input data uses data from the past 20 hours to predict the water level for the next 3 hours. Through the system proposed in this paper, if the risk determination function can be added and an evacuation order can be issued to the people exposed to the flood, it is thought that a lot of damage caused by the flood can be reduced.

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System Identification of Internet transmission rate control factors

  • Yoo, Sung-Goo;Kim, Young-Seok;Chong, Kil-To
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.08a
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    • pp.652-657
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    • 2004
  • As the real-time multimedia applications through Internet increase, the bandwidth available to TCP connections is oppressed by the UDP traffic, result in the performance of overall system is extremely deteriorated. Therefore, developing a new transmission protocol is necessary. The TCP-friendly algorithm is an example meeting this necessity. The TCP-friendly (TFRC) is an UDP-based protocol that controls the transmission rate based on the available round transmission time (RTT) and the packet loss rate (PLR). In the data transmission processing, transmission rate is determined based on the conditions of the previous transmission period. If the one-step ahead predicted values of the control factors are available, the performance will be improved significantly. This paper proposes a prediction model of transmission rate control factors that will be used for the transmission rate control, which improves the performance of the networks. The model developed through this research is predicting one-step ahead variables of RTT and PLR. A multiplayer perceptron neural network is used as the prediction model and Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm is used for the training. The values of RTT and PLR were collected using TFRC protocol in the real system. The obtained prediction model is validated using new data set and the results show that the obtained model predicts the factors accurately.

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Development of a Prediction Model for Formwork Pressure Exerted by Self-Compacting Concrete (자기충전 콘크리트의 거푸집 측압 예측 모델 개발)

  • Kwon, Seung-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.453-456
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    • 2008
  • This study is underway to develop a prediction model for formwork pressure exerted by self-compacting concrete(SCC). Three major mechanisms related to formwork evolution over time were found, and mathematical modelling of each mechanism was made. A calculation method for real formwork pressure by using the mathematical formulae was also established. To verify predictive capability of the prediction model, a parametric study on parameters used in the model was performed. It was confirmed that the proposed model include the essential parameters that can simulate the real formwork pressure evolution over time.

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Failure Prediction Monitoring of DC Electrolytic Capacitors in Half-bridge Boost Converter (단상 하프-브리지 부스트 컨버터에서 DC 전해 커패시터의 고장예측 모니터링)

  • Seo, Jang-Soo;Shon, Jin-Geun;Jeon, Hee-Jong
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.63 no.4
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    • pp.345-350
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    • 2014
  • DC electrolytic capacitor is widely used in the power converter including PWM inverter, switching power supply and PFC Boost converter system because of its large capacitance, small size and low cost. In this paper, basic characteristics of DC electrolytic capacitor vs. frequency is presented and the real-time estimation scheme of ESR and capacitance based on the bandpass filtering is adopted to the single phase boost converter of uninterruptible power supply to diagnose its split dc-link capacitors. The feasibility of this real-time failure prediction monitoring system is verified by the computer simulation of the 5[kW] singe phase PFC half-bridge boost converter.

Classification Model of Types of Crime based on Random-Forest Algorithms and Monitoring Interface Design Factors for Real-time Crime Prediction (실시간 범죄 예측을 위한 랜덤포레스트 알고리즘 기반의 범죄 유형 분류모델 및 모니터링 인터페이스 디자인 요소 제안)

  • Park, Joonyoung;Chae, Myungsu;Jung, Sungkwan
    • KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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    • v.22 no.9
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    • pp.455-460
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    • 2016
  • Recently, with more severe types felonies such as robbery and sexual violence, the importance of crime prediction and prevention is emphasized. For accurate and prompt crime prediction and prevention, both a classification model of crime with high accuracy based on past criminal records and well-designed system interface are required. However previous studies on the analysis of crime factors have limitations in terms of accuracy due to the difficulty of data preprocessing. In addition, existing crime monitoring systems merely offer a vast amount of crime analysis results, thereby they fail to provide users with functions for more effective monitoring. In this paper, we propose a classification model for types of crime based on random-forest algorithms and system design factors for real-time crime prediction. From our experiments, we proved that our proposed classification model is superior to others that only use criminal records in terms of accuracy. Through the analysis of existing crime monitoring systems, we also designed and developed a system for real-time crime monitoring.

Prediction of the IGS RTS Correction using Polynomial Model at IOD Changes (IOD 변화 시점에서 다항식 모델을 사용한 IGS RTS 보정정보 예측)

  • Kim, Mingyu;Kim, Jinho;Kim, Jeongrae
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.533-539
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    • 2020
  • Real-time service (RTS) provided by IGS provides correction for GNSS orbit and clock via internet, so it is widely used in fields that require real-time precise positioning. However, the RTS signal may be lost due to an unstable Internet environment. When signal disconnection occurs, signal prediction can be performed using polynomial models. However, the RTS changes rapidly after the GNSS navigation message issue of data (IOD) changes, so it is difficult to predict when signal loss occurs at that point. In this study, we proposed an algorithm to generate continuous RTS correction information by applying the difference in navigation trajectory according to IOD change. The use of this algorithm can improve the accuracy of RTS prediction at IOD changes. After performing optimization studies to improve RTS prediction performance, the predicted RTS trajectory information was applied to precision positioning (PPP). Compared to the conventional method, the position error is significantly reduced, and the error increase along with the signal loss interval increase is reduced.

Application of Real Time Currents Prediction in Ship Speed Correction of Sea Trial Test (실선시운전 선속 보정을 위한 실시간 해수유동 예측 활용)

  • Lee, Moonjin;Lee, Han-Jin;Shin, Myung-Soo;Jung, Soo-Won
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.593-600
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    • 2014
  • Information supporting system which is based on real-time prediction of currents to be applicable to the sea trial test of ship is developed. In the system, the spatial distribution of currents at specific time and the trends of variability of currents occurring at specific sites are also given as valuable information for sea trial test of ship. In addition, the system has a capability to connect with a GPS which provides information including speed loss of the ship caused by currents on the way of voyage. With information from the sea trial test, the system is also capable of delivering optimum time and pathways by considering calculated speed loss of ship at specific time and its pathway. Having information described as above, the real-time current prediction system supports and provides functions of not only running the test in an efficient way but also providing valuable information which is encouraged to be used during the test by installing at the ship.