• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.51 no.9
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• pp.813-826
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• 2018

Recently, weather radar system has been widely used for effectively monitoring near real-time weather conditions. The radar rainfall estimates are generally relies on the Z-R equation that is an indirect approximation of the empirical relationship. In this regards, the bias in the radar rainfall estimates can be affected by spatial-temporal variations in the radar profile. This study evaluates the uncertainty of the Z-R relationship while considering the rainfall types in the process of estimating the parameters of the Z-R equation in the context of stochastic approach. The radar rainfall estimates based on the Bayesian inference technique appears to be effective in terms of reduction in bias for a given season. The derived Z-R equation using Bayesian model enables us to better represent the hydrological process in the rainfall-runoff model and provide a more reliable forecast.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.35 no.5
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• pp.387-392
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• 2011

The value of Photovoltaic as an independent power supply is small, but the city's carbon emissions reduction and for the reduction of fossil fuel use distributed power is the power source to a very high value. However, according to the weather conditions for solar power generation by power fluctuations because of the size distribution to be effective, the big swing for effectively controlling real-time monitoring should be made. But that depends on solar power generation solar radiation forecasts from the National Weather Service does not need to predict it, and this study, the diffuse sky radiation in the history of the solar radiation in the darkness of the clouds, thick and weather forecasts can be inferred from the atmospheric transmittance to announce this value is calculated to represent each weather forecast solar radiation and solar radiation predicted by substituting the expression And the measured solar radiation and CRM (Cloud Cover Radiation Model) technique with an expression of Kasten and Czeplak irradiation when compared to the calculated predictions were verified.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.9 no.5
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• pp.131-138
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• 2009

In this paper, a dynamic warning system to forecast inland flooding associated with typhoons and storms is described. The system is used operationally during the typhoon season to anticipate the potential impact such as inland flooding on the coastal zone of interest. The system has been developed for the use of the public and emergency management officials. Simple typhoon models for quick prediction of wind fields are implemented in a user-friendly way by using a Graphical User Interface (GUI) of MATLAB. The main program for simulating tides, depth-averaged tidal currents, wind-driven surges and currents was also vectorized for the fast performance by MATLAB. By pushing buttons and clicking the typhoon paths, the user is able to obtain real-time water level fluctuation of specific points and the flooding zone. This system would guide local officials to make systematic use of threat information possible. However, the model results are sensitive to typhoon path, and it is yet difficult to provide accurate information to local emergency managers.

• Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.35-42
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• 2017

A number of plating companies have been exposed to the risk of fire due to unexpected temperature increasing of water or other reasons in a plating bath. Since the companies are not able to forecast the unexpected temperature increasing of plating bath and most of raw materials in the bath have low ignition temperature, it is easy to be exposed to the risk of fire. Thus, in previous study, we tried to monitor and notice the dangerous change of temperature of water immediately to prevent the risk of fire from plating process. However, unfortunately previous studies were not able to shut out the fundamental cause of fire since bath temperature sensor can detect air temperature when the level sensor was malfunctioned. In this paper we developed the Teflon heater which contains a built in temperature sensor and improved plating equipment system. Teflon heater is improved using Pt $100{\Omega}$ sensor which can detect until $600^{\circ}C$. When the bath temperature sensor detects over $60^{\circ}C$ or the Teflon heater sensor detects over $240^{\circ}C$ they temporarily shut down the heater to control temperature. Also relay completely shuts down main power when detects instant temperature is detected over 5% of $240^{\circ}C$ by the heater sensor to prevent teflon melting down and fire spreads. Developed plating equipment system can monitor a real time temperature in the teflon tube and bath water. Therefore we think the proposed plating equipment can eliminate the possibility of fire in plating processes fundamentally.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.12 no.9
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• pp.21-30
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• 2021

Unlike behaviors that are generally known, information regarding unspecific behaviors is insufficient. For an education or guidance regarding the unspecific behaviors, collection and management of data regarding the unspecific behaviors of special-needs students are needed. In this paper, a consultation management model based on behavior classification of special-needs students using machine learning is proposed. It collects data by photographing the behavior of special students in real time, analyzes the behavior pattern, composes a data set, and trains it in the suggestion system. It is possible to improve the accuracy by comparing the behavior of special students photographed later into the suggestion system and analyzing the results by comparing it with the existing data again. The test has been performed by arbitrarily applying unspecific behaviors that are not stored in the database, and the forecast model has accurately classified and grouped the input data. Also, it has been verified that it is possible to accurately distinguish and classify the behaviors through the feature data of the behaviors even if there are some errors in the input process.

• The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.161-167
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• 2019

Recently, demand forecasting techniques have been actively studied due to interest in stable power supply with surging power demand, and increase in spread of smart meters that enable real-time power measurement. In this study, we proceeded the deep learning prediction model experiments which learns actual measured power usage data of home and outputs the forecasting result. And we proceeded pre-processing with moving average method. The predicted value made by the model is evaluated with the actual measured data. Through this forecasting, it is possible to lower the power supply reserve ratio and reduce the waste of the unused power. In this paper, we conducted experiments on three types of networks: Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and we evaluate the results of each scheme. Evaluation is conducted with following method: MSE(Mean Squared Error) method and MAE(Mean Absolute Error).

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.349-353
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• 2021

This study is a review study attempted to analyze the current situation of surgical robots based on previous research on surgical robots in the era of the 4th revolution, and to forecast the future direction of surgical robots. Surgical robots have made full progress since the launch of the da Vinci and the surgical robot is playing a role of supporting the surgeries of the surgeons or the master-slave method reflecting the intention of the surgeons. Recently, technologies are being developed to combine artificial intelligence and big data with surgical robots, and to commercialize a universal platform rather than a platform dedicated to surgery. Moreover, technologies for automating surgical robots are being developed by generating 3D image data based on diagnostic image data, providing real-time images, and integrating image data into one system. For the development of surgical robots, cooperation with clinicians and engineers, safety management of surgical robot, and institutional support for the use of surgical robots will be required.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.43 no.4
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• pp.511-519
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• 2022

Given the significant social and economic impact caused by heat waves, there is a pressing need to predict them with high accuracy and reliability. In this study, we analyzed the real-time forecast data from six models constituting the Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) prediction project, to elucidate the key mechanisms contributing to the prediction of the recent record-breaking Korean heat wave event in 2018. Weekly anomalies were first obtained by subtracting the 2017-2020 mean values for both S2S model simulations and observations. By comparing four Korean heat-wave-related indices from S2S models to the observed data, we aimed to identify key climate processes affecting prediction accuracy. The results showed that superior performance at predicting the 2018 Korean heat wave was achieved when the model showed better prediction performance for the anomalous anticyclonic activity in the upper troposphere of Eastern Europe and the cyclonic circulation over the Western North Pacific (WNP) region compared to the observed data. Furthermore, the development of upper-tropospheric anticyclones in Eastern Europe was closely related to global warming and the occurrence of La Niña events. The anomalous cyclonic flow in the WNP region coincided with enhancements in Madden-Julian oscillation phases 4-6. Our results indicate that, for the accurate prediction of heat waves, such as the 2018 Korean heat wave, it is imperative for the S2S models to realistically reproduce the variabilities over the Eastern Europe and WNP regions.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.371-371
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• 2021

돌발홍수 예경보시스템의 입력자료로 예측강우가 활용된다. 기상청과 환경부에서는 초단기 예보의 목적으로 MAPLE(McGill Algorithm for Precipitation nowcasting and Lagrangian Extrapolation)을 생산하고 있다. MAPLE은 선행 30분까지의 예측품질은 어느 정도 정확하다고 볼 수 있으나 그 이후 특히 3시간 이상이 되면 예측품질이 크게 떨어지는 문제가 있다. 예측강우의 편의보정을 위한 여러 시도들이 있었으나 호우의 규모 및 이동특성을 고려한 사례는 제한적이다. 호우의 이동특성을 고려해야하는 이유로는 첫째, 예측의 특성상 예측강우가 생성되고 편의보정이 이루어지는 시간 동안 호우는 이동을 하기 때문이다. 둘째, 호우가 이동을 하면서 편의보정의 대상이 되는 지역에 적합한 보정계수의 결정이 어렵기 때문이다. 마지막으로 돌발홍수는 장마와 같은 전선형 강수가 아닌 국지성 호우와 같이 빠르게 움직이며 강한 호우를 내리는 강수에 의해 발생하기 때문이다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제점을 극복하기 위해 호우의 이동특성을 고려하여 예측강우 보정계수를 결정하고 이를 예측강우에 실시간으로 적용할 수 있는 방법을 제시하였다. 이 과정에서 Backward tracking은 미래에 호우가 도달할 지역(대상지역)으로부터 현재 호우가 위치하는 지역을 추적하는데 이용된다. 추적된 지역에서 보정계수가 결정된다. Forward tracking은 현재 호우가 위치하는 지역으로부터 대상지역을 다시 추적하는데 이용된다. 앞서 결정된 보정계수는 대상지역의 예측강우에 적용된다. 해당 방법론을 2019년에 발생한 주요 호우사상에 실시간 적용하고 평가하였다. 그 결과, Backward-Forward tracking 기반 예측강우 보정방법을 적용한 경우에는 실제 관측된 강우와 매우 유사한 보정결과가 도출됨을 확인되었다.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.25-40
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• 2001

This paper describes the forecast of power plant construction in a competitive korean electricity market. In Korea, KEPCO (Korea Electric Power Corporation, fully controlled by government) was responsible for from the production of the electricity to the sale of electricity to customer. However, the generation part is separated from KEPCO and six generation companies were established for whole sale competition from April 1st, 2001. The generation companies consist of five fossil power companies and one nuclear power company in Korea at present time. Fossil power companies are scheduled to be sold to private companies including foreign investors. Nuclear power company is owned and controlled by government. The competition in generation market will start from 2003. ISO (Independence System Operator will purchase the electricity from the power exchange market. The market price is determined by the SMP(System Marginal Price) which is decided by the balance between demand and supply of electricity in power exchange market. Under this uncertain circumstance, the energy policy planners such as government are interested to the construction of the power plant in the future. These interests are accelerated due to the recent shortage of electricity supply in California. In the competitive market, investors are no longer interested in the investment for the capital intensive, long lead time generating technologies such as nuclear and coal plants. Large unclear and coal plants were no longer the top choices. Instead, investors in the competitive market are interested in smaller, more efficient, cheaper, cleaner technologies such as CCGT(Combined Cycle Gas Turbine). Electricity is treated as commodity in the competitive market. The investors behavior in the commodity market shows that the new investment decision is made when the market price exceeds the sum of capital cost and variable cost of the new facility and the existing facility utilization depends on the marginal cost of the facility. This investors behavior can be applied to the new investments for the power plant. Under these postulations, there is the potential for power plant construction to appear in waves causing alternating periods of over and under supply of electricity like commodity production or real estate production. A computer model was developed to sturdy the possibility that construction will appear in waves of boom and bust in Korean electricity market. This model was constructed using System Dynamics method pioneered by Forrester(MIT, 1961) and explained in recent text by Sternman (Business Dynamics, MIT, 2000) and the recent work by Andrew Ford(Energy Policy, 1999). This model was designed based on the Energy Policy results(Ford, 1999) with parameters for loads and resources in Korea. This Korea Market Model was developed and tested in a small scale project to demonstrate the usefulness of the System Dynamics approach. Korea electricity market is isolated and not allowed to import electricity from outsides. In this model, the base load such as unclear and large coal power plant are assumed to be user specified investment and only CCGT is selected for new investment by investors in the market. This model may be used to learn if government investment in new unclear plants could compensate for the unstable actions of private developers. This model can be used to test the policy focused on the role of unclear investments over time. This model also can be used to test whether the future power plant construction can meet the government targets for the mix of generating resources and to test whether to maintain stable price in the spot market.