• Title/Summary/Keyword: Real time environmental prediction

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Artificial Neural Network-based Real Time Water Temperature Prediction in the Soyang River (인공신경망 기반 실시간 소양강 수온 예측)

  • Jeong, Karpjoo;Lee, Jonghyun;Lee, Keun Young;Kim, Bomchul
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.12
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    • pp.2084-2093
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    • 2016
  • It is crucial to predict water temperature for aquatic ecosystem studies and management. In this paper, we first address challenging issues in predicting water temperature in a real time manner and propose a distributed computing model to address such issues. Then, we present an Artificial Neural Network (ANN)-based water temperature prediction model developed for the Soyang River and a cyberinfrastructure system called WT-Agabus to run such prediction models in an automated and real time manner. The ANN model is designed to use only weather forecast data (air temperature and rainfall) that can be obtained by invoking the weather forecasting system at Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and therefore can facilitate the automated and real time water temperature prediction. This paper also demonstrates how easily and efficiently the real time prediction can be implemented with the WT-Agabus prototype system.

Applicable Evaluation of the Latest Land-use Data for Developing a Real-time Atmospheric Field Prediction of RAMS (RAMS의 실시간 기상장 예측 향상을 위한 최신 토지피복도 자료의 적용가능성)

  • Won, Gyeong-Mee;Lee, Hwa-Woon;Yu, Jeong-Ah;Hong, Hyun-Su;Hwang, Man-Sik;Chun, Kwang-Su;Choi, Kwang-Su;Lee, Moon-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2008
  • Chemical Accident Response Information System (CARIS) which has been designed for the efficient emergency response of chemical accidents produces the real-time atmospheric fields through the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System, RAMS. The previous studies were emphasized that improving an initial input data had more effective results in developing prediction ability of atmospheric model. In a continuous effort to improve an initial input data, we replaced the land-use dataset using in the RAMS, which is a high resolution USGS digital data constructed in April, 1993, with the latest land-use data of the Korea Ministry of Environment over the South Korea and simulated atmospheric fields for developing a real-time prediction in dispersion of chemicals. The results showed that the new land-use data was written in a standard RAMS format and shown the modified surface characteristics and the landscape heterogeneity resulting from land-use change. In the results of sensitivity experiment we got the improved atmospheric fields and assured that it will give more reliable real-time atmospheric fields to all users of CARIS for the dispersion forecast in associated with hazardous chemical releases as well as general air pollutants.

Development & Evaluation of Real-time Ensemble Drought Prediction System (실시간 앙상블 가뭄전망정보 생산 체계 구축 및 평가)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Ahn, Joong-Bae;Kim, Hyun-Kyung;Kim, Heon-Ae;Son, Kyung-Hwan;Cho, Se-Ra;Jung, Ui-Seok
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2013
  • The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate the system to produce the real-time ensemble drought prediction data. Ensemble drought prediction consists of 3 processes (meteorological outlook using the multi-initial conditions, hydrological analysis and drought index calculation) therefore, more processing time and data is required than that of single member. For ensemble drought prediction, data process time is optimized and hardware of existing system is upgraded. Ensemble drought data is estimated for year 2012 and to evaluate the accuracy of drought prediction data by using ROC (Relative Operating Characteristics) analysis. We obtained 5 ensembles as optimal number and predicted drought condition for every tenth day i.e. 5th, 15th and 25th of each month. The drought indices used are SPI (Standard Precipitation Index), SRI (Standard Runoff Index), SSI (Standard Soil moisture Index). Drought conditions were determined based on results obtained for each ensemble member. Overall the results showed higher accuracy using ensemble members as compared to single. The ROC score of SRI and SSI showed significant improvement in drought period however SPI was higher in the demise period. The proposed ensemble drought prediction system can be contributed to drought forecasting techniques in Korea.

A Practical Approach to the Real Time Prediction of PM10 for the Management of Indoor Air Quality in Subway Stations (지하철 역사 실내 공기질 관리를 위한 실용적 PM10 실시간 예측)

  • Jeong, Karpjoo;Lee, Keun-Young
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.12
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    • pp.2075-2083
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    • 2016
  • The real time IAQ (Indoor Air Quality) management is very important for large buildings and underground facilities such as subways because poor IAQ is immediately harmful to human health. Such IAQ management requires monitoring, prediction and control in an integrated and real time manner. In this paper, we present three PM10 hourly prediction models for such realtime IAQ management as both Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. Both MLR and ANN models show good performances between 0.76 and 0.88 with respect to R (correlation coefficient) between the measured and predicted values, but the MLR models outperform the corresponding ANN models with respect to RMSE (root mean square error).

Review of Internet of Things-Based Artificial Intelligence Analysis Method through Real-Time Indoor Air Quality and Health Effect Monitoring: Focusing on Indoor Air Pollution That Are Harmful to the Respiratory Organ

  • Eunmi Mun;Jaehyuk Cho
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.86 no.1
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2023
  • Everyone is aware that air and environmental pollutants are harmful to health. Among them, indoor air quality directly affects physical health, such as respiratory rather than outdoor air. However, studies that have examined the correlation between environmental and health information have been conducted with public data targeting large cohorts, and studies with real-time data analysis are insufficient. Therefore, this research explores the research with an indoor air quality monitoring (AQM) system based on developing environmental detection sensors and the internet of things to collect, monitor, and analyze environmental and health data from various data sources in real-time. It explores the usage of wearable devices for health monitoring systems. In addition, the availability of big data and artificial intelligence analysis and prediction has increased, investigating algorithmic studies for accurate prediction of hazardous environments and health impacts. Regarding health effects, techniques to prevent respiratory and related diseases were reviewed.

A Study on integrated water management system based on Web maps

  • Choi, Ho Sung;Jung, Jin Young;Park, Koo Rack
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.21 no.8
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2016
  • Initial prevention activities and rapid propagation conditions is the most important to prevent diffusion of water pollution. If water pollutants flow into streams river or main stresm located in environmental conservation area or water intake facilities, we must predict immediately arrival time and the diffusion concentration to the proactive. National Institute of Environmental Research developed water pollution incident response prediction system linking dam and movable weir. the system is mathematical model which is updated daily. Therefore it can quickly predict the arrival time and the diffusion concentration when there are accident of oil spills and hazardous chemicals. Also we equipped with mathematical model and toxicity model of EFDC(Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code) to calculate the arrival time and the diffusion concentration. However these systems offer the services of an offline manner than real-time control services. we have ensured the reliability of data collection and have developed a real-time water quality measurement data transmission device by using the data linkage utilizing a mode bus communication and a commercial SCADA system, in particular, we implemented to be able to do real-time water quality prediction through information infrastructure of the water quality integrated management business created by utilizing the construction of the real-time prediction system that utilizes the data collected, the Open map, the visual representation using charts API and development of integrated management system development based on web maps.

Prototype Development of Marine Information based Supporting System for Oil Spill Response (해양정보기반 방제지원시스템 프로토타입 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hye-Jin;Lee, Moonjin
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.182-192
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    • 2008
  • In oder to develop a decision supporting system for oil spill response, the prototype of pollution response support system which has integrated oil spill prediction system and pollution risk prediction system has developed for Incheon-Daesan area. Spill prediction system calculates oil spill aspects based on real-time wind data and real-time water flow and the residual volume of spilt oil and spread pattern are calculated considering the characteristic of spilt oil. In this study, real-time data is created from results of real-time meteorological forecasting model(National Institute of Environmental Research) using ftp, real-time tidal currents datasets are built using CHARRY(Current by Harmonic Response to the Reference Yardstick) model and real-time wind-driven currents are calculated applying the correlation function between wind and wind-driven currents. In order to model the feature which is spilt oil spreading according to real-time water flow is weathered, the decrease ratio by oil kinds was used. These real-time data and real-time prediction information have been integrated with ESI(Environmental Sensitivity Index) and response resources and then these are provided using GIS as a whole system to make the response strategy.

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Real-time Water Quality Prediction for Evaluation of Influent Characteristics in a Full-scale Sewerage Treatment Plant (하수처리장 유입수의 특성평가를 위한 실시간 수질예측)

  • Kim, Youn-Kwon;Chae, Soo-Kwon;Han, In-Sun;Kim, Ju-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.617-623
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    • 2010
  • It is the most important subject to figure out characteristics of the wastewater inflows of sewerage treatment plant(STP) when situation models are applied to operation of the biological processes and in the automatic control based on ICA(Instrument, Control and Automation). For the purposes, real-time influent monitoring method has been applied by using on-line monitoring equipments for the process optimization in conventional STP. Since, the influent of STP is consist of complex components such as, COD, BOD, TN, $NH_4$-N, $NO_3$-N, TP and $PO_4$-P. MRA2(Microbial Respiration Analyzer 2), which is capable of real-time analyzing of wastewater characteristics is used to overcome the limitations and defects of conventional online monitoring equipments in this study. Rapidity, accuracy and stability of developed MRA2 are evaluated and compared with the results from on-line monitoring equipments for seven months after installation in Full-scale STP.

Development of Real-Time Drought Monitoring and Prediction System on Korea & East Asia Region (한반도·동아시아 지역의 실시간 가뭄 감시 및 전망 시스템 개발)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Son, Kyung-Hwan;Ahn, Joong-Bae;Hong, Ja-Young;Kim, Gwang-Soeb;Chung, Jun-Seok;Jung, Ui-Seok;Kim, Jong-Khun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.267-277
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    • 2012
  • The objectives of this study are to develop a real-time drought monitoring and prediction system on the East Asia domain and to evaluate the performance of the system by using past historical drought records. The system is mainly composed of two parts: drought monitoring for providing current drought indices with meteorological and hydrological conditions; drought outlooks for suggesting future drought indices and future hydrometeorological conditions. Both parts represent the drought conditions on the East Asia domain (latitude $21.15{\sim}50.15^{\circ}$, longitude $104.40{\sim}149.65^{\circ}$), Korea domain (latitude $30.40{\sim}43.15^{\circ}$, longitude $118.65{\sim}135.65^{\circ}$) and South Korea domain (latitude $30.40{\sim}43.15^{\circ}$, longitude $118.65{\sim}135.65^{\circ}$), respectively. The observed meteorological data from ASOS (Automated Surface Observing System) and AWS (Automatic Weather System) of KMA (Korean Meteorological Administration) and model-driven hydrological data from LSM (Land Surface model) are used for the real-time drought monitoring, while the monthly and seasonal weather forecast information from UM (Unified Model) of KMA are utilized for drought outlooks. For the evaluation of the system, past historical drought records occurred in Korea are surveyed and are compared with the application results of the system. The results demonstrated that the selected drought indices such as KMA drought index, SPI (3), SPI (6), PDSI, SRI and SSI are reasonable, especially, the performance of SRI and SSI provides higher accuracy that the others.

A Study on Multi-site Rainfall Prediction Model using Real-time Meteorological Data (실시간 기상자료를 이용한 다지점 강우 예측모형 연구)

  • Jung, Jae-Sung;lee, Jang-Choon;Park, Young-Ki
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 1997
  • For the prediction of multi-site rainfall with radar data and ground meteorological data, a rainfall prediction model was proposed, which uses the neural network theory, a kind of artifical Intelligence technique. The Input layer of the prediction model was constructed with current ground meteorological data, their variation, moving vectors of rain- fall field and digital terrain of the measuring site, and the output layer was constructed with the predicted rainfall up to 3 hours. In the application of the prediction model to the Pyungchang river basin, the learning results of neural network prediction model showed more Improved results than the parameter estimation results of an existing physically based model. And the proposed model comparisonally well predicted the time distribution of ralnfall.

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