• 제목/요약/키워드: Real Time Environmental Prediction

검색결과 140건 처리시간 0.02초

인공신경망 기반 실시간 소양강 수온 예측 (Artificial Neural Network-based Real Time Water Temperature Prediction in the Soyang River)

  • 정갑주;이종현;이근영;김범철
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제65권12호
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    • pp.2084-2093
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    • 2016
  • It is crucial to predict water temperature for aquatic ecosystem studies and management. In this paper, we first address challenging issues in predicting water temperature in a real time manner and propose a distributed computing model to address such issues. Then, we present an Artificial Neural Network (ANN)-based water temperature prediction model developed for the Soyang River and a cyberinfrastructure system called WT-Agabus to run such prediction models in an automated and real time manner. The ANN model is designed to use only weather forecast data (air temperature and rainfall) that can be obtained by invoking the weather forecasting system at Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and therefore can facilitate the automated and real time water temperature prediction. This paper also demonstrates how easily and efficiently the real time prediction can be implemented with the WT-Agabus prototype system.

RAMS의 실시간 기상장 예측 향상을 위한 최신 토지피복도 자료의 적용가능성 (Applicable Evaluation of the Latest Land-use Data for Developing a Real-time Atmospheric Field Prediction of RAMS)

  • 원경미;이화운;유정아;홍현수;황만식;천광수;최광수;이문순
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2008
  • Chemical Accident Response Information System (CARIS) which has been designed for the efficient emergency response of chemical accidents produces the real-time atmospheric fields through the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System, RAMS. The previous studies were emphasized that improving an initial input data had more effective results in developing prediction ability of atmospheric model. In a continuous effort to improve an initial input data, we replaced the land-use dataset using in the RAMS, which is a high resolution USGS digital data constructed in April, 1993, with the latest land-use data of the Korea Ministry of Environment over the South Korea and simulated atmospheric fields for developing a real-time prediction in dispersion of chemicals. The results showed that the new land-use data was written in a standard RAMS format and shown the modified surface characteristics and the landscape heterogeneity resulting from land-use change. In the results of sensitivity experiment we got the improved atmospheric fields and assured that it will give more reliable real-time atmospheric fields to all users of CARIS for the dispersion forecast in associated with hazardous chemical releases as well as general air pollutants.

실시간 앙상블 가뭄전망정보 생산 체계 구축 및 평가 (Development & Evaluation of Real-time Ensemble Drought Prediction System)

  • 배덕효;안중배;김현경;김헌애;손경환;조세라;정의석
    • 대기
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2013
  • The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate the system to produce the real-time ensemble drought prediction data. Ensemble drought prediction consists of 3 processes (meteorological outlook using the multi-initial conditions, hydrological analysis and drought index calculation) therefore, more processing time and data is required than that of single member. For ensemble drought prediction, data process time is optimized and hardware of existing system is upgraded. Ensemble drought data is estimated for year 2012 and to evaluate the accuracy of drought prediction data by using ROC (Relative Operating Characteristics) analysis. We obtained 5 ensembles as optimal number and predicted drought condition for every tenth day i.e. 5th, 15th and 25th of each month. The drought indices used are SPI (Standard Precipitation Index), SRI (Standard Runoff Index), SSI (Standard Soil moisture Index). Drought conditions were determined based on results obtained for each ensemble member. Overall the results showed higher accuracy using ensemble members as compared to single. The ROC score of SRI and SSI showed significant improvement in drought period however SPI was higher in the demise period. The proposed ensemble drought prediction system can be contributed to drought forecasting techniques in Korea.

지하철 역사 실내 공기질 관리를 위한 실용적 PM10 실시간 예측 (A Practical Approach to the Real Time Prediction of PM10 for the Management of Indoor Air Quality in Subway Stations)

  • 정갑주;이근영
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제65권12호
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    • pp.2075-2083
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    • 2016
  • The real time IAQ (Indoor Air Quality) management is very important for large buildings and underground facilities such as subways because poor IAQ is immediately harmful to human health. Such IAQ management requires monitoring, prediction and control in an integrated and real time manner. In this paper, we present three PM10 hourly prediction models for such realtime IAQ management as both Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. Both MLR and ANN models show good performances between 0.76 and 0.88 with respect to R (correlation coefficient) between the measured and predicted values, but the MLR models outperform the corresponding ANN models with respect to RMSE (root mean square error).

Review of Internet of Things-Based Artificial Intelligence Analysis Method through Real-Time Indoor Air Quality and Health Effect Monitoring: Focusing on Indoor Air Pollution That Are Harmful to the Respiratory Organ

  • Eunmi Mun;Jaehyuk Cho
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제86권1호
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2023
  • Everyone is aware that air and environmental pollutants are harmful to health. Among them, indoor air quality directly affects physical health, such as respiratory rather than outdoor air. However, studies that have examined the correlation between environmental and health information have been conducted with public data targeting large cohorts, and studies with real-time data analysis are insufficient. Therefore, this research explores the research with an indoor air quality monitoring (AQM) system based on developing environmental detection sensors and the internet of things to collect, monitor, and analyze environmental and health data from various data sources in real-time. It explores the usage of wearable devices for health monitoring systems. In addition, the availability of big data and artificial intelligence analysis and prediction has increased, investigating algorithmic studies for accurate prediction of hazardous environments and health impacts. Regarding health effects, techniques to prevent respiratory and related diseases were reviewed.

A Study on integrated water management system based on Web maps

  • Choi, Ho Sung;Jung, Jin Young;Park, Koo Rack
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제21권8호
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2016
  • Initial prevention activities and rapid propagation conditions is the most important to prevent diffusion of water pollution. If water pollutants flow into streams river or main stresm located in environmental conservation area or water intake facilities, we must predict immediately arrival time and the diffusion concentration to the proactive. National Institute of Environmental Research developed water pollution incident response prediction system linking dam and movable weir. the system is mathematical model which is updated daily. Therefore it can quickly predict the arrival time and the diffusion concentration when there are accident of oil spills and hazardous chemicals. Also we equipped with mathematical model and toxicity model of EFDC(Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code) to calculate the arrival time and the diffusion concentration. However these systems offer the services of an offline manner than real-time control services. we have ensured the reliability of data collection and have developed a real-time water quality measurement data transmission device by using the data linkage utilizing a mode bus communication and a commercial SCADA system, in particular, we implemented to be able to do real-time water quality prediction through information infrastructure of the water quality integrated management business created by utilizing the construction of the real-time prediction system that utilizes the data collected, the Open map, the visual representation using charts API and development of integrated management system development based on web maps.

해양정보기반 방제지원시스템 프로토타입 구축에 관한 연구 (Prototype Development of Marine Information based Supporting System for Oil Spill Response)

  • 김혜진;이문진
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.182-192
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    • 2008
  • 효율적인 방제전략 수립 지원시스템 개발의 일환으로 환경민감정보 기반의 유출유 확산예측 시스템과 피해위험도 예측시스템을 연계하여 인천-대산해역을 대상으로 해양오염 방제지원시스템의 프로토타입을 개발하였다. 유출유 확산예측시스템에서는 실시간 바람과 실시간 해수유동을 기반으로 유출유의 이동을 계산하고, 유출유 특성에 따라 해상 유출유의 풍화작용을 모델링하여 유출유의 잔류량 및 확산분포를 계산하였다. 유출유 확산예측의 실시간 바람은 국립환경과학원의 실시간 기상모델 결과를 ftp를 이용하여 실시간으로 연계하여 활용하며, 실시간 해수유동으로서 조류는 수치모델결과와 검조소 관측결과의 결합을 통해 실시간 조석을 예측하는 CHARRY(Current by Harmonic Response to the Reference Yardstick) 모델을 이용하여 예측하고, 실시간 취송류는 바람과 취송류간의 상관관계와 반응함수를 이용하여 예측하였다. 실시간 해수유동을 따라 이동하면서 풍화되는 유출유의 풍화작용은 유출유 특성에 따라 결정된 감소율을 적용하여 모델링하였다. 본 시스템은 GIS 기술을 이용하여 해양 정보를 ESI(Environmental Sensitivity Index) 및 방제자원 정보와 통합하고 종합적으로 제공함으로써 방제전략 수립을 지원할 수 있다.

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하수처리장 유입수의 특성평가를 위한 실시간 수질예측 (Real-time Water Quality Prediction for Evaluation of Influent Characteristics in a Full-scale Sewerage Treatment Plant)

  • 김연권;채수권;한인선;김주환
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.617-623
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    • 2010
  • It is the most important subject to figure out characteristics of the wastewater inflows of sewerage treatment plant(STP) when situation models are applied to operation of the biological processes and in the automatic control based on ICA(Instrument, Control and Automation). For the purposes, real-time influent monitoring method has been applied by using on-line monitoring equipments for the process optimization in conventional STP. Since, the influent of STP is consist of complex components such as, COD, BOD, TN, $NH_4$-N, $NO_3$-N, TP and $PO_4$-P. MRA2(Microbial Respiration Analyzer 2), which is capable of real-time analyzing of wastewater characteristics is used to overcome the limitations and defects of conventional online monitoring equipments in this study. Rapidity, accuracy and stability of developed MRA2 are evaluated and compared with the results from on-line monitoring equipments for seven months after installation in Full-scale STP.

한반도·동아시아 지역의 실시간 가뭄 감시 및 전망 시스템 개발 (Development of Real-Time Drought Monitoring and Prediction System on Korea & East Asia Region)

  • 배덕효;손경환;안중배;홍자영;김광섭;정준석;정의석;김종군
    • 대기
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.267-277
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    • 2012
  • The objectives of this study are to develop a real-time drought monitoring and prediction system on the East Asia domain and to evaluate the performance of the system by using past historical drought records. The system is mainly composed of two parts: drought monitoring for providing current drought indices with meteorological and hydrological conditions; drought outlooks for suggesting future drought indices and future hydrometeorological conditions. Both parts represent the drought conditions on the East Asia domain (latitude $21.15{\sim}50.15^{\circ}$, longitude $104.40{\sim}149.65^{\circ}$), Korea domain (latitude $30.40{\sim}43.15^{\circ}$, longitude $118.65{\sim}135.65^{\circ}$) and South Korea domain (latitude $30.40{\sim}43.15^{\circ}$, longitude $118.65{\sim}135.65^{\circ}$), respectively. The observed meteorological data from ASOS (Automated Surface Observing System) and AWS (Automatic Weather System) of KMA (Korean Meteorological Administration) and model-driven hydrological data from LSM (Land Surface model) are used for the real-time drought monitoring, while the monthly and seasonal weather forecast information from UM (Unified Model) of KMA are utilized for drought outlooks. For the evaluation of the system, past historical drought records occurred in Korea are surveyed and are compared with the application results of the system. The results demonstrated that the selected drought indices such as KMA drought index, SPI (3), SPI (6), PDSI, SRI and SSI are reasonable, especially, the performance of SRI and SSI provides higher accuracy that the others.

실시간 기상자료를 이용한 다지점 강우 예측모형 연구 (A Study on Multi-site Rainfall Prediction Model using Real-time Meteorological Data)

  • 정재성;이장춘;박영기
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 1997
  • For the prediction of multi-site rainfall with radar data and ground meteorological data, a rainfall prediction model was proposed, which uses the neural network theory, a kind of artifical Intelligence technique. The Input layer of the prediction model was constructed with current ground meteorological data, their variation, moving vectors of rain- fall field and digital terrain of the measuring site, and the output layer was constructed with the predicted rainfall up to 3 hours. In the application of the prediction model to the Pyungchang river basin, the learning results of neural network prediction model showed more Improved results than the parameter estimation results of an existing physically based model. And the proposed model comparisonally well predicted the time distribution of ralnfall.

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