• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rare-event

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Dynamic Analysis of Spatial Multiscale Models (공간적 멀티스케일 모델의 동적 해석)

  • Kim, Sung-Youb;Park, Jong-Youn;Cho, Young-Sam;Jun, Suk-Ky;Im, Se-Young
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.547-550
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    • 2004
  • We present a multiscale scheme which describes the dynamic pictures of atoms in the multiple length-scale systems. Large-scale atomic systems are reduced to coarse grained system by the quasicontinuum, of which the dynamic pathways are rendered by the action-derived molecular dynamics proved effective for multiple time-scale problems such as rare events. Adatom diffusions on the metal (001) surface are selected for our numerical examples. The energy barriers of the diffusions and the real dynamic trajectories of the adatoms are calculated.

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An importance sampling for a function of a multivariate random variable

  • Jae-Yeol Park;Hee-Geon Kang;Sunggon Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.65-85
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    • 2024
  • The tail probability of a function of a multivariate random variable is not easy to estimate by the crude Monte Carlo simulation. When the occurrence of the function value over a threshold is rare, the accurate estimation of the corresponding probability requires a huge number of samples. When the explicit form of the cumulative distribution function of each component of the variable is known, the inverse transform likelihood ratio method is directly applicable scheme to estimate the tail probability efficiently. The method is a type of the importance sampling and its efficiency depends on the selection of the importance sampling distribution. When the cumulative distribution of the multivariate random variable is represented by a copula and its marginal distributions, we develop an iterative algorithm to find the optimal importance sampling distribution, and show the convergence of the algorithm. The performance of the proposed scheme is compared with the crude Monte Carlo simulation numerically.

Seismic design and elastic-plastic analysis of the hengda group super high-rise office buildings

  • Zhang, Xiaomeng;Ren, Qingying;Liu, Wenting;Yang, Songlin;Zhou, Yilun
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.175-188
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    • 2020
  • The Hengda Group super high-rise building in Jinan City uses the frame-core tube structural system. With a height of 238.3 m, it is above the B-level height limit of 150 m for buildings within 7-magnitude seismic fortification zones. Therefore, it is necessary to apply performance-based seismic design to this super high-rise building. In this study, response spectrum analysis and comparative analysis of the structure are conducted using two software applications. Moreover, elastic time-history analysis, seismic analysis under an intermediate earthquake, and elastic-plastic time-history analysis under rare earthquakes are performed. Based on the analysis results, corresponding strengthening measures are implemented at weaker structural locations, such as corners, wall ends connected to framed girders, and coupling beams connected to framed girders. The failure mode and failure zone of major stress components of the structure under rare earthquakes are analysed. The conclusions to this research demonstrate that weaker locations and important parts of the structure satisfy the requirements for elastic-plastic deformation in the event of rare earthquakes.

Urinary bladder rupture during voiding cystourethrography

  • Lee, Kyong-Ok;Park, Se-Jin;Shin, Jae-Il;Lee, Suk-Young;Kim, Kee-Hyuck
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.181-184
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    • 2012
  • Voiding cystourethrography (VCUG) is a commonly performed diagnostic procedure for the evaluation of vesicoureteral reflux with urinary tract infection or congenital renal diseases in children. The procedure is relatively simple and cost-effective, and complications are very rare. The iatrogenic complication of VCUG range from discomfort, urinary tract infection to bacteremia, as well as bladder rupture. Bladder rupture is a rare complication of VCUG, and only a few cases were reported. Bladder rupture among healthy children during VCUG is an especially uncommon event. Bladder rupture associated with VCUG is usually more common in chronically unused bladders like chronic renal failure. Presented is a case of bladder rupture that occurred during a VCUG in a healthy 9-month-old infant, due to instilled action of dye by high pressure. This injury completely healed after 7 days of operation, and it was confirmed with a postoperative cystography. The patient's bladder volume, underlying disease, velocity of the contrast media instilled, catheter size, and styles of instillation are important factors to prevent bladder rupture during VCUG. Management of bladder rupture should be individualized, but the majority of infants are treated with the operation. In conclusion, bladder rupture is a rare complication, however, delicate attention is needed in order to prevent more dire situations.

Roles of Malaysian Online Newspapers in the Construction of Public Opinion on Rare Earth Risks

  • Hasan, Nik Norma Nik;Dauda, Sharafa
    • Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.432-452
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    • 2020
  • This study explored the representation of risks from the controversial Lynas rare earth refining as a risk event by five Malaysian online mainstream and alternative newspapers using qualitative content analysis. The aim is to uncover the role of the news media in the social amplification and attenuation of risks within the literature evidence as those roles are still uncertain. Content analysis is used to explore the online newspapers' roles guided by the Social Amplification of Risk Framework (SARF). The representations typified environmental, financial, health, occupational, property, radioactive, and technological risks and established connections between four risk types (environmental, financial, radioactive, and health risks). Radioactive risk was repeatedly associated with other risks, suggesting that the volume and information flow focused on radioactive risk as a key ingredient for amplification. This connection shows that the nature of the relationship between risks is multidimensional, contradicting the unidirectional type found in previous studies. Alternative online newspapers amplified and attenuated more risks, thus, providing more diverse coverage than mainstream sources. Consequently, this study provides evidence that risk representation from rare earth refining in a digital news environment is multidimensional and intensified or weakened in a multi-layered pattern. The stakeholders are engaged in a contestation by positioning their narratives to oppose or support their interests, which are amplified or attenuated by the online newspapers as social amplification stations.

Fast Simulation for Excessive Backlogs in Tandem Networks

  • Lee, Jiyeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.499-511
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    • 2000
  • We consider a stable tandem network which consists of two M/M/1 nodes and study the probability that the total backlog exceeds a large level N. Since the excessive backlog is a rare event, it is difficult to estimate this probability efficiently by using the crude Monte Carlo simulation. Instead we perform the ;$h$-transform proposed by McDonald(1999) to obtain the twisted network, in which the node with the larger load is overloaded. Then we use it to run the fast simulation.

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Reexpansion Pulmonary Edema -Report of 5 cases including one death- (팽창성 폐부종 -사망 1례를 포함한 5례 보고-)

  • 맹대현
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.510-512
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    • 1995
  • Reexpansion pulmonary edema following treatment of pneumothorax and pleural effusion is a rare complication. However, because of possibility of its fatal outcome, physicians must be aware of this complication and every effort must be made to prevent its occurrence. We experienced 5 cases of reexpansion of pulmonary edema. One was complete tension pneumothorax and became death despite of intensive management. Remained four were 3 pneumothoraces and 1 pleural effusion and discharged without event, fortunately.

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Traumatic Pseudocyst of Lung by Blunt Trauma (흉부둔상에 의한 외상성 가성 폐기낭)

  • 김욱진
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.1014-1016
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    • 1990
  • Pseudocysts of lung by blunt chest trauma are rare lesion with 1 to 2 % incidence. The symptoms are nonspecific and misled or confused with lung abscess or congenital cystic disease of lung occasionally. Diagnosis is not difficult by radiographic findings and history of blunt chest trauma. There courses are benign and spontaneously absorbed and require no specific treatment mostly. Recently, we had the one case of 8 year-old female with traumatic lung cyst and its cavities filled the entire right lower lobe. The destruction of lung was severe, so, right lower lobectomy was done and recovered, discharged without event.

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Rupture of the Esophagus by Compression Air; A Case Report (압축공기에 의한 식도 파열;1례 보고)

  • 구자홍
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.507-509
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    • 1993
  • Esophageal perforation, regardless of the etiology, is a catastrophic event. The importances of early diagnosis and an aggressive surgical approach in the management of such a potentially lethal situation are stressed, in fact the mortality rate is directly related to the interval between perforation and initiation of treatment. We experienced a rare case of esophageal rupture caused by compressed air which produce a rupture of the colon not infrequently, which was treated successfully by an aggressive surgical approach consisting of closure of the perforation and adequate drainage.

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Feasibility Study on the Fault Tree Analysis Approach for the Management of the Faults in Running PCR Analysis (PCR 과정의 오류 관리를 위한 Fault Tree Analysis 적용에 관한 시범적 연구)

  • Lim, Ji-Su;Park, Ae-Ri;Lee, Seung-Ju;Hong, Kwang-Won
    • Applied Biological Chemistry
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.245-252
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    • 2007
  • FTA (fault tree analysis), an analytical method for system failure management, was employed in the management of faults in running PCR analysis. PCR is executed through several processes, in which the process of PCR machine operation was selected for the analysis by FTA. The reason for choosing the simplest process in the PCR analysis was to adopt it as a first trial to test a feasibility of the FTA approach. First, fault events-top event, intermediate event, basic events-were identified by survey on expert knowledge of PCR. Then those events were correlated deductively to build a fault tree in hierarchical structure. The fault tree was evaluated qualitatively and quantitatively, yielding minimal cut sets, structural importance, common cause vulnerability, simulation of probability of occurrence of top event, cut set importance, item importance and sensitivity. The top event was 'errors in the step of PCR machine operation in running PCR analysis'. The major intermediate events were 'failures in instrument' and 'errors in actions in experiment'. The basic events were four events, one event and one event based on human errors, instrument failure and energy source failure, respectively. Those events were combined with Boolean logic gates-AND or OR, constructing a fault tree. In the qualitative evaluation of the tree, the basic events-'errors in preparing the reaction mixture', 'errors in setting temperature and time of PCR machine', 'failure of electrical power during running PCR machine', 'errors in selecting adequate PCR machine'-proved the most critical in the occurrence of the fault of the top event. In the quantitative evaluation, the list of the critical events were not the same as that from the qualitative evaluation. It was because the probability value of PCR machine failure, not on the list above though, increased with used time, and the probability of the events of electricity failure and defective of PCR machine were given zero due to rare likelihood of the events in general. It was concluded that this feasibility study is worth being a means to introduce the novel technique, FTA, to the management of faults in running PCR analysis.