• Title/Summary/Keyword: Random Model

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A Comparative Study of Methods to Predict Fatigue Crack Growth under Random Loading (랜덤하중 하에서 피로균열진전예측 방법들의 비교)

  • Lee, Hak-Joo;Kang, Jae-Youn;Choi, Byung-Ik;Kim, Chung-Youb
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.27 no.10
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    • pp.1785-1792
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    • 2003
  • Methods to predict fatigue crack growth are compared in a quantitative manner for crack growth test data of 2024- T351 aluninum alloy under narrow and wide band random loading. In order to account for the effect of load ratio, crack closure model, Hater's equation and NASGRO's equation have been employed. Load interaction effect under random loading has been considered by crack closure model, Willenborg's model and Wheeler's model. The prediction method using the measured crack opening results provides the best result among the prediction methods discussed for narrow and wide band random loading data.

Review and discussion of marginalized random effects models (주변화 변량효과모형의 조사 및 고찰)

  • Jeon, Joo Yeong;Lee, Keunbaik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1263-1272
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    • 2014
  • Longitudinal categorical data commonly occur from medical, health, and social sciences. In these data, the correlation of repeated outcomes is taken into account to explain the effects of covariates exactly. In this paper, we introduce marginalized random effects models that are used for the estimation of the population-averaged effects of covariates. We also review how these models have been developed. Real data analysis is presented using the marginalized random effects.

An Efficient and Provable Secure Certificateless Identification Scheme in the Standard Model

  • Chin, Ji-Jian;Heng, Swee-Huay;Phan, Raphael C.W.
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.8 no.7
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    • pp.2532-2553
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    • 2014
  • In Asiacrypt 2003, Al-Riyami and Paterson proposed the notion of certificateless cryptography, a technique to remove key escrow from traditional identity-based cryptography as well as circumvent the certificate management problem of traditional public key cryptography. Subsequently much research has been done in the realm of certificateless encryption and signature schemes, but little to no work has been done for the identification primitive until 2013 when Chin et al. rigorously defined certificateless identification and proposed a concrete scheme. However Chin et al.'s scheme was proven in the random oracle model and Canetti et al. has shown that certain schemes provable secure in the random oracle model can be insecure when random oracles are replaced with actual hash functions. Therefore while having a proof in the random oracle model is better than having no proof at all, a scheme to be proven in the standard model would provide stronger security guarantees. In this paper, we propose the first certificateless identification scheme that is both efficient and show our proof of security in the standard model, that is without having to assume random oracles exist.

Developing a Pedestrian Satisfaction Prediction Model Based on Machine Learning Algorithms (기계학습 알고리즘을 이용한 보행만족도 예측모형 개발)

  • Lee, Jae Seung;Lee, Hyunhee
    • Journal of Korea Planning Association
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.106-118
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    • 2019
  • In order to develop pedestrian navigation service that provides optimal pedestrian routes based on pedestrian satisfaction levels, it is required to develop a prediction model that can estimate a pedestrian's satisfaction level given a certain condition. Thus, the aim of the present study is to develop a pedestrian satisfaction prediction model based on three machine learning algorithms: Logistic Regression, Random Forest, and Artificial Neural Network models. The 2009, 2012, 2013, 2014, and 2015 Pedestrian Satisfaction Survey Data in Seoul, Korea are used to train and test the machine learning models. As a result, the Random Forest model shows the best prediction performance among the three (Accuracy: 0.798, Recall: 0.906, Precision: 0.842, F1 Score: 0.873, AUC: 0.795). The performance of Artificial Neural Network is the second (Accuracy: 0.773, Recall: 0.917, Precision: 0.811, F1 Score: 0.868, AUC: 0.738) and Logistic Regression model's performance follows the second (Accuracy: 0.764, Recall: 1.000, Precision: 0.764, F1 Score: 0.868, AUC: 0.575). The precision score of the Random Forest model implies that approximately 84.2% of pedestrians may be satisfied if they walk the areas, suggested by the Random Forest model.

Optimization of Random Subspace Ensemble for Bankruptcy Prediction (재무부실화 예측을 위한 랜덤 서브스페이스 앙상블 모형의 최적화)

  • Min, Sung-Hwan
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.121-135
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    • 2015
  • Ensemble classification is to utilize multiple classifiers instead of using a single classifier. Recently ensemble classifiers have attracted much attention in data mining community. Ensemble learning techniques has been proved to be very useful for improving the prediction accuracy. Bagging, boosting and random subspace are the most popular ensemble methods. In random subspace, each base classifier is trained on a randomly chosen feature subspace of the original feature space. The outputs of different base classifiers are aggregated together usually by a simple majority vote. In this study, we applied the random subspace method to the bankruptcy problem. Moreover, we proposed a method for optimizing the random subspace ensemble. The genetic algorithm was used to optimize classifier subset of random subspace ensemble for bankruptcy prediction. This paper applied the proposed genetic algorithm based random subspace ensemble model to the bankruptcy prediction problem using a real data set and compared it with other models. Experimental results showed the proposed model outperformed the other models.

DNAPL migration in fracture networks and its remediation

  • 이항복;지성훈;여인욱;이강근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 2003.09a
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    • pp.543-547
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    • 2003
  • We applied the modified invasion percolation (MIP) model to the migration of DNAPL within a two-dimensional random fracture network. The MIP model was verified against laboratory experiments, which was conducted using a two-dimensional random fracture network model. The results showed that the MIP needs modification. To remove TCE trapped in a random fracture network, the density-surfactant-motivated removal method was applied and found very effective to remove TCE from dead-end fractures.

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Constant Error Variance Assumption in Random Effects Linear Model

  • Ahn, Chul-Hwan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.296-302
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    • 1995
  • When heteroscedasticity occurs in random effects linear model, the error variance may depend on the values of one or more of the explanatory variables or on other relevant quantities such as time or spatial ordering. In this paper we derive a score test as a diagnostic tool for detecting non-constant error variance in random effefts linear model based on the model expansion on error variance. This score test is compared to loglikelihood ratio test.

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Desired earthquake rail irregularity considering random pier height and random span number

  • Jian Yu;Lizhong Jiang;Wangbao Zhou
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.90 no.1
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2024
  • In recent years, China's high-speed railway (HSR) line continues to expand into seismically active regions. Analyzing the features of earthquake rail irregularity is crucial in this situation. This study first established and experimentally validated a finite element (FE) model of bridge-track. The FE model was then combined with earthquake record database to generate the earthquake rail irregularity library. The sample library was used to construct a model of desired earthquake rail irregularity based on signal processing (SFT) and hypothesis principle. Finally, the effects of random pier height and random span number on desired irregularity were analyzed. Herein, an equivalent method of calculating earthquake rail irregularities for random structures was proposed. The results of this study show that the amplitude of desired irregularity is found to increase with increasing pier height. When calculating the desired irregularity of a structure with unequal pier heights, the structure can be regarded as that with equal pier heights (taking the largest pier height). For a structure with the span number large than 9, its desired irregularity can be considered equal to that of a 9-span structure. For the structures with both random pier heights and random span number, their desired irregularities are obtained by equivalent calculations for pier height and span number, respectively.

Maximum likelihood estimation of Logistic random effects model (로지스틱 임의선형 혼합모형의 최대우도 추정법)

  • Kim, Minah;Kyung, Minjung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.957-981
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    • 2017
  • A generalized linear mixed model is an extension of a generalized linear model that allows random effect as well as provides flexibility in developing a suitable model when observations are correlated or when there are other underlying phenomena that contribute to resulting variability. We describe maximum likelihood estimation methods for logistic regression models that include random effects - the Laplace approximation, Gauss-Hermite quadrature, adaptive Gauss-Hermite quadrature, and pseudo-likelihood. Applications are provided with social science problems by analyzing the effect of mental health and life satisfaction on volunteer activities from Korean welfare panel data; in addition, we observe that the inclusion of random effects in the model leads to improved analyses with more reasonable inferences.

A new approach on Traffic Flow model using Random Trajectory Theory (확률경로 기반의 교통류 분석 방법론)

  • PARK, Young Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, observed trajectories of a vehicle platoon are viewed as one realization of a finite sequence of random trajectories. In this point of view, we develop novel and mathematically rigorous concept of traffic flow variables such as local traffic density, instantaneous traffic flow, and velocity field and investigate their nature on a general probability space of a sequence of random trajectories which represent vehicle trajectories. We present a simple model of random trajectories as an illustrative example and, derive the values of traffic flow variables based on the new definitions in this model. In particular, we construct the model for the sequence of random vehicle trajectories with a system of stochastic differential equations. Each equation of the system nay represent microscopic random maneuvering behavior of each vehicle with properly designed drift coefficient functions and diffusion coefficient functions. The system of stochastic differential equations nay generate a well-defined probability space of a sequence of random vehicle trajectories. We derive the partial differential equation for the expected cumulative plot with appropriate initial conditions. By solving the equation with numerical methods, we obtain the values of expected cumulative plot, local traffic density, and instantaneous traffic flow. In addition, we derive the partial differential equation for the expected travel time to a certain location with appropriate initial and/or boundary conditions, which is solvable numerically. We apply this model to a case of single vehicle trajectory.