• 제목/요약/키워드: Rainfall-Runoff Analysis

검색결과 786건 처리시간 0.029초

수문모니터링과 물수지법을 이용한 농업용 저수지 유역 유출곡선번호 추정 (Estimation of Runoff Curve Number for Agricultural Reservoir Watershed Using Hydrologic Monitoring and Water Balance Method)

  • 윤광식;김영주;윤석군;정재운;한국헌
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2005
  • The rainfall-runoff potential of Jangseong reservoir watershed was studied based on SCS (Soil Conservation Service, which is now the NRCS, Natural Resources Conservation Service, USDA) runoff curve number (CN) technique. Precipitation and reservoir operation data had been collected. The rainfall-runoff pairs from the watershed for ten years was estimated using reservoir water balance analysis using reservoir operation records. The maximum retention, S, for each storm event from rainfall-runoff pair was estimated for selected storm events. The estimated S values were arranged in descending order, then its probability distribution was determined as log-normal distribution, and associated CNs were found about probability levels of Pr=0.1, 0.5, and 0.9, respectively. A subwatershed that has the similar portions of land use categories to the whole watershed of Jangseong reservoir was selected and hydrologic monitoring was conducted. CNs for subwatershed were determined using observed data. CNs determined from observed rainfall-runoff data and reservoir water balance analysis were compared to the suggested CNs by the method of SCS-NEH4. The $CN_{II}$ measured and estimated from water balance analysis in this study were 78.0 and 78.1, respectively. However, the $CN_{II}$, which was determined based on hydrologic soil group, land use, was 67.2 indicating that actual runoff potential of Jangseong reservoir watershed is higher than that evaluated by SCS-NEH4 method. The results showed that watershed runoff potential for large scale agricultural reservoirs needs to be examined for efficient management of water resources and flood prevention.

레이더 강수량과 PRMS 모형을 이용한 유출량 평가 (Runoff assessment using radar rainfall and precipitation runoff modeling system model)

  • 김태정;김성훈;이성호;김창성;권현한
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제53권7호
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    • pp.493-505
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    • 2020
  • 현재 유역단위 수문해석을 목적으로 장기간 자료 확보가 용이하고 신뢰도가 확보된 지상관측소 강수량 자료를 강우-유출 모형을 활용하여 유출량을 평가하고 있다. 지상관측소 강수량 자료를 이용하여 면적평균 강수량을 산정하는데 있어 일반적으로 지상관측소의 위치 정보를 바탕으로 Thiessen 다각형법을 널리 이용하고 있으나 지상관측소의 공간적 편중으로 인해 면적평균 강수량 산정과정에서 제약이 있다. 본 연구에서는 시공간적으로 연속적인 강수량 관측이 가능한 기상레이더 자료를 이용하여 유역단위 면적평균 강수량을 산정하고 이를 PRMS 모형의 입력 자료로 활용하여 유출량을 평가하였다. 세부적으로 레이더 강수량의 편의 오차를 해결하기 위하여 G/R Ratio 기법을 적용하여 유역별로 레이더 강수량을 보정하였다. 레이더 강수량을 이용한 유출특성은 Thiessen 면적강수량을 이용한 유출의 통계적 특성을 현실적으로 재현하였다. 지상 관측소에 의존하여 생산하는 Thiessen 면적강수량에 비하여 레이더 강수량을 활용하는 것이 유역에 발생하는 강수의 공간적 특성을 효과적으로 반영하는 것으로 사료되며 향후 수문해석에서 정확도를 확보한 유출량을 제시할 것으로 판단된다.

Evaluation of impact of climate variability on water resources and yield capacity of selected reservoirs in the north central Nigeria

  • Salami, Adebayo Wahab;Ibrahim, Habibat;Sojobi, Adebayo Olatunbosun
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.290-297
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents the evaluation of the impact of climate change on water resources and yield capacity of Asa and Kampe reservoirs. Trend analysis of mean temperature, runoff, rainfall and evapotranspiration was carried out using Mann Kendall and Sen's slope, while runoff was modeled as a function of temperature, rainfall and evapotranspiration using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). Rainfall and runoff exhibited positive trends at the two dam sites and their upstream while forecasted ten-year runoff displayed increasing positive trend which indicates high reservoir inflow. The reservoir yield capacity estimated with the ANN forecasted runoff was higher by about 38% and 17% compared to that obtained with historical runoff at Asa and Kampe respectively. This is an indication that there is tendency for water resources of the reservoir to increase and thus more water will be available for water supply and irrigation to ensure food security.

제수원공 설계를 위한 장기간 연속수수량 추정모형의 개발 - 중심유역을 중심으로 (A Developmont of Numerical Mo del on the Estimation of the Log-term Run-off for the Design of Riverheads Works -With Special Reference to Small and Medium Sijed Catchment Areas-)

  • 엄병현
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.59-72
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    • 1987
  • Although long-term runoff analysis is important as much as flood analysis in the design of water works, the technological level of the former is relatively lower than that of the latter. In this respect, the precise estimation model for the volume of successive runoff should he developed as soon as possible. Up to now, in Korea, Gajiyama's formula has been widely used in long-term runoff analysis, which has many problems in applying in real situation. On the other hand, in flood analysis, unit hydrograph method has been exclusively used. Therefore, this study aims at trying to apply unit hydrograph method in long-term runoff analysis for the betterment of its estimation. Four test catchment areas were selected ; Maesan area in Namlum river as a representative area of Han river system, Cheongju area in Musim river as one of Geum river system, Hwasun area in Hwasun river as one of Yongsan river system, and Supyung area in Geum river as one of Nakdong river system. In the analysis of unit hydrograph, seperation of effective rainfall was carried out firstly. Considering that effective rainfall and moisture condition of catchrnent area are inside and outside of a phenomenon respectively and the latter is not considered in the analysis, Initial base flow(qb)was selected as an index of moisture condition. At the same time, basic equation(Eq.7) was established, in which qb can take a role as a parameter in relating between cumulative rainfall(P) and cumulative loss of rainfall(Ld). Based on the above equation, computer program for estimation model of qbwas seperately developed according to the range of qb, Developed model was applied to measured hydrographs and hyetographs for total 10 years in 4 test areas and effective rainfall was estimated. Estimation precision of model was checked as shown in Tab- 6 and Fig.8. In the next stage, based on the estimated effective rainfall(R) and runoff(Qd), a runoff distribution ratio was calculated for each teat area using by computerised least square method and used in making unit hydrographs in each test area. Significance of induced hydrographs was tested by checking the relative errors between estimated and measured runoff volume(Tab-9, 10). According to the results, runoff estimation error by unit hydrograph itself was merely 2 or 3 %, but other 2 or 3 % of error proved to be transferred error in the seperation of effective rainfall. In this study, special attentioning point is that, in spite of different river systems and forest conditions of test areas, standardized unit hydrographs for them have very similar curve shape, which can be explained by having similar catchinent characteristics such as stream length, catchinent area, slope, and vegetation intensity. That fact should be treated as important factor ingeneralization of unit hydrograph method.

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유출관리모형을 활용한 수문학적 공간정보 분석 (Analysis of Hydrologic Geo-Spatial Information Using Runoff-Management Model)

  • 이상진;노준우;안정민;김주철
    • 한국공간정보시스템학회 논문지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2009
  • 현재 GIS는 유역의 지형학적 분석분야에서 뿐만아니라 유역의 수문학적 분석분야에서도 유용한 도구로 활발하게 활용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 SSARR모형을 기반으로한 유역유출분석 모형을 활용하여 금강유역을 대상으로 장기유출량을 산정, 검증하고 이를 토대로 강우-유출 관리 모듈과 연계하여 신뢰도 있는 수문정보를 산정하여 사용자에게 제공코자 하였다. 모의와 검증을 거친 적정한 토양습윤지표, 용수이용량, 직접 및 기저유출량 등의 다양한 수문성분들이 GIS Tool의 활용을 통하여 소유역 단위의 유용한 수문학적 공간정보로서 생산되었다. 또한 사용자의 편의를 위하여 Graphic User Interface를 설계하여 다양한 수문정보를 도시함으로써 향후 효율적 유역수문관리를 지원하는 Toolkit으로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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분포형 모형과 클라우드 서비스를 이용한 낙동강 실시간 유출해석시스템 개발 및 성능평가 (Development and Performance Assessment of the Nakdong River Real-Time Runoff Analysis System Using Distributed Model and Cloud Service)

  • 김길호;최윤석;원영진;김경탁
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.12-26
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구의 목적은 물리적 분포형 강우-유출 모형인 GRM(Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model)과 마이크로소프트 Azure(Microsoft cloud computing service)를 이용하여 낙동강 유역의 유출해석시스템을 개발하고, Azure의 가상머신(VM, Virtual Machine) 설정에 따른 시스템 실행시간을 평가하는 것이다. 이를 위해서 낙동강 유역을 20개의 소유역으로 구분하고, 각 소유역에 대해서 GRM 모형을 구축하였다. 각 유역의 유출해석은 상하류 위상관계를 유지하면서 독립된 프로세스로 실행된다. 실시간 유출해석을 위해 국토교통부의 실시간 강우레이더 자료와 댐방류량 자료를 이용한다. 유출해석시스템은 Azure에서 실행되며, 유출해석 결과는 웹을 통해서 가시화 된다. 연구결과 실시간 수문자료 수신서버와 유출해석 계산서버(Azure) 및 사용자 PC가 연계된 낙동강 실시간 유출해석시스템을 개발할 수 있었다. 유출해석을 위한 전산장비는 하드디스크와 메모리 보다는 CPU의 성능에 크게 의존하는 것으로 평가되었다. 유출해석시의 디스크 입출력(I/O)과 계산 프로세스를 분산함으로써 입출력과 계산 병목을 각각 감소시킬 수 있었고, 실행시간을 단축시킬 수 있었다. 본 연구의 결과는 고해상도의 공간 및 수문 자료를 활용하는 분포형 모형을 이용한 대유역 유출해석시스템을 구축하기 위한 기술로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

규사광산 지역의 강우시 비점오염원의 유출분석 (Analysis of NPS Pollution Loads over Rainfall-Runoff Events from the Silica Mine Site)

  • 최용훈;원철희;서지연;신민환;양희정;최중대
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.413-419
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    • 2010
  • A silica mine monitoring was conducted from March to December in 2008 to measure rainfall, runoff amounts and pollution loads. A total of 13 rainfall-runoff events were measured and analyzed with respect to runoff ratio, pollutant concentration and load, and initial flush. Over rainfall-runoff events, 95% confidence range of SS concentration was 942.5~2,056.2 mg/L. Other measured water quality indices also showed relatively large variation. This wide concentration variation was thought to be caused by the bare working ground of the mine that was used to store, process and transport the mined silica. Total pollution load of the 13 rainfall-runoff events was SS 17,901 kg/ha, $COD_{Cr}$ 160.9 kg/ha, $COD_{Mn}$ 111.24 kg/ha, BOD 79.6 kg/ha, T-N 13.8 kg/ha, T-P 3.5 kg/ha, and TOC 39.3 kg/ha. Initial flush was not well observed except SS. Very high SS concentration and load was occurred when rainfall was large. Therefore, it was recommended to manage the bare ground not to discharge excessive pollutants during wet days by covering the ground or constructing runoff treatment systems such as a sediment basin.

영산강의 장기유출량에 관한 고찰 (An Analysis on the Long-Term Runoff of the Yong San River)

  • 한상욱;정종수
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.4184-4194
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    • 1976
  • Located in the southwestern part of Korea, the Yong San Gang river flows generally northeast to southwest, and because of the specific location, topography and climate, the basin area is subject to recurrent drought and flood damages. To eliminate the cause of such damages and ensure an increase in the farm income by means of effective irrigation supply and increased cropping intensity, efforts are being made to speed up implementation of an integrated agricultural development project which would include construction. of an estuary dam and irrigation facilities as well as land development and tidal reclarnation. In formulating a basin development project plan, it is necessary to study a series of long-term runoff data. The catchment area at the proposed estuary damsite is 3,471$\textrm{km}^2$ with the total length of the river channel up to this point reaching 138km. An analysis of runoff in this area was carried out. Rainfall was estimated by the Thiessen Network based on records available from 15 of the rainfall observation stations within the area. Out of the 15 stations, Kwang Ju and Mok Po stations were keeping long-term precipitation records exceeding some 60 years while the others were in possession of only 5-10 years records. The long-term records kept by those stations located in the center of the basin were used as base records and records kept by the remaining stations were supplemented using the coefficient of correlation between the records kept by the base stations and the remainder. The analyses indicate that the average annual rainfall measured at Kwang Ju during 1940-1972 (33 years) amounts to 1,262mm and the areal rainfall amounts to 1,236mm. For the purpose of runoff analysis, 7 observatories, were set up in the middle and lower reaches of the river and periodic measurements made by these stations permitted analysis of water levels and river flows. In particular, the long-term data available from Na Ju station significantly contributed to the analysis. The analysis, made by 4-stage Tank method, shows that the average annual runoff during 1940-1972 amounts to 2,189 million ㎥ at the runoff rate of 51%. As for the amount of monthly runoff, the maximum is 484.2 million ㎥ in July while the minimum is 48.3 million ㎥ in January.

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Meta-Gaussian 방법을 이용한 강우-유출 모형에서의 불확실성 산정 (Evaluation of the Uncertainties in Rainfall-Runoff Model Using Meta-Gaussian Approach)

  • 김병식;김보경;권현한
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.49-64
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    • 2009
  • 홍수나 가뭄 등 극한 사상을 예측하여 재해에 대비하거나 또는 수자원을 효율적으로 관리, 배분하기 위하여 강우-유출 모형이 이용되고 있다. 그러나 많은 수문학자들은 강우-유출 모형이 가질 수밖에 없는 불확실성에 대하여 언급하였다. 실제 유역에 내린 강우는 증발과 증산, 차단, 침투 등 여러 과정을 거쳐 유출로 이어지는데, 모형에서는 이러한 복잡한 물리적 과정을 단순화하여 표현하였으므로 불확실성이 반드시 존재할 수밖에 없는 것이다. 따라서 모형으로부터의 모의 결과를 신뢰할 수 있는지를 정량적으로 판단하는 과정이 이루어져야 한다. 본 논문에서는 현재까지 강우-유출 모형의 불확실성을 평가한 선행 연구 중 Montanari와 Brath(2004)가 제시한 Meta-Gaussian 기법을 이용하여 강우-유출 모형 모의 결과에 대한 불확실성을 검토하였다. 이 기법은 모형 오차의 확률 분포형으로부터 신뢰구간의 상한계와 하한계를 추정하는 방법으로 수문모형의 전역적 불확실성(Global Uncertainty)을 정량화할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 동일한 강우사상에 대한 물리적 기반의 분포형 모형인 $Vflo^{TM}$ 모형과 개념적 준 분포형 모형인 HEC-HMS 모형으로부터 모의된 유출량을 Meta-Gaussian 기법을 적용하여 불확실성을 분석하였다.

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도시유출 모형을 이용한 도시화 유역의 유출 해석 (Urban Watershed Runoff Analysis Using Urban Runoff Models)

  • 정동국;이범희
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2003
  • 시가지의 확장과 개발 등으로 인한 도시에서의 강우-유출현상은 자연하천유역에 비하여 더욱 복잡한 양상을 가지며, 실제 유역의 변화로 인하여 모형의 적용이 매우 어려운 편이다. 본 연구에서는 SW 모형과 전문가 시스템을 적용하여 도시화 유역에서의 유출 특성을 파악하였다. 연구 유역으로는 대전광역시에서 노은지역을 선정하였으며, 실제 유역 및 시설자료, 강우, 유출자료와 다양한 강우강도식을 사용하였다. 매개변수의 추정 과정을 위하여 전문가시스템을 사용하였으며, 본 결과들을 통하여 설계 강우의 시간 분포 및 도시화에 따른 도시 유역의 반응 경향을 해석할 수 있었다.