• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall criteria

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A Study on the Establishment of Quantitative Standards of Landslides Vulnerability by Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 산사태 취약성의 정량적 평가기준 설정 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Kun;Kim, Hogul;Seo, Changwan;Song, Changkeun;Yu, Jeong Ah;Park, Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2013
  • Average cumulative precipitation in summer have increased by 350 mm compared with 1980s. As precipitation is expected to increase, the risk of landslides by heavy rainfall also is expected to rise. Therefore, establishment of adaptation plan for landslides is urgently needed. In 2011, Korea Ministry of Environment(KME) conducted vulnerability assessment to support establishment of adaptation plan for local governments. However, the result of vulnerability assessment had three limitations. First, KME didn't use standard scenario of Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA). Second, They conducted same standardization method for all variables. Third, They derived relative vulnerability which is not quantitative. The purpose of this study is to improve the limitations of existing vulnerability assessment and identify quantitative criteria to ensure scientific reliability. To achieve this purpose, we carried out three ways of advancement. First, application of new climate scenario, which is RCP 8.5 from KMA. Second, improvement of variables of vulnerability assessment. Third, derivation of quantitative criteria of vulnerability. The findings can support establishment of adaptation plan for local governments more effectively.

River Embankment Stability against Hydraulic Piping Failure in Korea (우리나라 하천제방에 대한 내부침식 파괴 연구 : 사례연구)

  • Kwon, Kyo-Keun;Han, Sang-Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1C
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2006
  • Lots of river embankments or levees in Korea are quite so old and unknown the origin even. The river deposits, moreover, obtainable easily somewhere were used for materials of embankment without any technical considerations such as the influence soil properties and construction methods on embankment stability. It's natural that safety would be threatened if the water level rises due to flood or rainfall when it comes to abnormal weather conditions, especially. From this point of view, enlargement of embankment, irrigation works, etc. are in progress recently at the situation from a reinforcement work. However, taking influence of soil properties and construction methods on embankment stability into account against cracking or piping is still insufficient. Fragmentary design criteria or irrational construction methods are applied rather as the case may be. In this study, therefore, a way to estimate piping and cracking resistance (Sherard, 1953) has been introduced and reevaluated for practical use with an eye to material properties and its applicability to piping-experienced embankments was examined. Piping possibility was also examined in the present design criteria and compared. In view of the results achieved, it reflects that both yield piping possibility. But it's still necessary to complement how to judge and verify piping resistance of given soils with gradation curves by the representative curve, quantitatively and that piping resistance should consider compaction effects as well.

Developing Forecast Technique of Landslide Hazard Area by Integrating Meteorological Observation Data and Topographical Data -A Case Study of Uljin Area- (기상과 지형자료를 통합한 산사태 위험지 예측 기법 개발 -울진지역을 대상으로-)

  • Jo, Myung-Hee;Jo, Yun-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2009
  • Recently the large scale of forest disaster such as landslide and forest fire gives a very bad impact on not only forest ecosystem but also farm business so that it has became the main issue of environmental problems. In this study, the landslide hazard area forecast method was developed by considering not only the topographic thematic maps based on GIS and satellite images but also amount of rainfall data, which are very important factors of landslide. Uljin-gun was selected as the study area and the GIS weight score and overlay analysis were applied to topographical map and meteorological observation map. Finally the landslide area distribution map was constructed by considering the evaluation criteria. Also, the accuracy could be acquired by comparing the landslide hazard area forecast map and real damaged area extracted from satellite image.

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Spatio-Temporal Changes and Drivers of Deforestation and Forest Degradation in North Korea (북한 산림의 시·공간 변화와 황폐화 추동)

  • Yu, Jaeshim;Kim, Kyoungmin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study is to establish implications for forest restoration planning in North Korea by analyzing spatio-temporal forest changes and detecting bio-physical factors driving forest degraded. We measured the relationship and spatial distribution between shifting cultivation and sparse forest. We also analyzed between degraded forest land and ecological variables by binary logistic regression to find biophysical drivers of forest degradation and deforestation in North Korea. Between the sparse forest and the shifting cultivation, a positive relationship is found (r=0.91) and scattered discontinuously throughout the country (Moran's I = -1, Z score = -13.46 (p=0.000)). The sparse forest showed a negative relationship with the warmest month(bio 9), the coldest month(bio10), and the minimum of soil water contents (swc_min), while the shifting cultivation had a negative relationship with the warmest month(bio 9) and the minimum of soil water contents(swc_min). However, the most critical drivers convert forests into sloping farmland were the three months rainfall in summer(bio8) and the yearly mean of soil water contents. Such results reflect the growth period of crops which overlaps with the rainy season in North Korea and the recent land reclamation of uplands where the soil water contents are maintained with a dense forest. When South Korea aids forest restoration projects in North Korea, in consideration of food shortage due to North Korea's cropland deficiency, terrace farmlands where soil water contents can be maintained should be excluded from the priority restoration area. In addition, an evaluation method for selecting a potential restoration area must be modified and applied based on multiple criteria including altitude and socio-economic factors in the respective regions.

Parameter Estimation of Intensity-Duration-Frequency Formula Using Genetic Algorithm(II): Separation of Short and Long Durations (유전자알고리즘을 이용한 강우강도식 매개변수 추정에 관한 연구(II): 장.단기간 구분 방법의 제시)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Kim, Tae-Son;Kim, Soo-Young;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.10
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    • pp.823-832
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    • 2007
  • In this study, the separation of short and long durations for estimation the parameters of IDF curve is suggested by using Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm (MOGA). Objective functions are to minimize root mean squared error (RMSE) and relative RMSE between observed and computed values. The criteria for separation are two; the first one is to estimate more precisely the parameters of IDF curve and the second is to make a single IDF curve without non-continuous duration point. For this purpose 22 rainfall recording gauges operated by Korea Meteorological Administration are selected and three IDF curves that are used generally in South Korea are tested. The result shows that the IDF curve developed by Heo et al. (1999) would be the best of three tested IDF curves, and the suggested parameter estimation method using MOGA can compute more reliable parameters compared with empirical regression analysis.

Slope Stability Analysis according to Repeated Freezing and Thawing of the Soil (토질의 동결 융해 반복에 따른 사면의 안정성에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Eun Chul;Shin, Hui Su;Gyu, Jung Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2015
  • In seasonal frozen areas which have a temperature difference in the winter and spring season like south korea, if stiffness reduction by repeated freezing and thawing occurs to slopes adjacent to private facilities or mountain slopes, safety factor is insufficient to design criteria and landslide could be occurs due to rainfall or snowfall. It can lead to large damage of human life and property. In this study, in order to examine the safety changes of mountain slopes by repeated freezing and thawing, soil samples series of SP and SM by USCS distributed in surface soil of mountain slopes were collected for specimens. Through the direct shear test, the characterestics of frozen soil shear strength were analyzed and by utilizing numerical methods, chracteristics of strength reduction of weathered granite soil according to repeated action of freezing and thawing, changes in the stability of the slopes when applying freezing and thawing of the soil samples were examined. As a result, the maximum shear stress decreased approximately 10%, and slope stability analysis confirmed that required safety factor is less than compare with the non-frozen samples.

A Linear Analysis of the Relationship between Rainfall and Base Flow for Physical Characteristics (물리적(物理的) 특성(特性)들을 위한 강우(降雨)와 기저유출(基底流出)의 선형해석(線形解析))

  • Kim, Jae Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 1983
  • The parameter of impulse response of groundwater proposed by Kraijenhoff, that is, the reservoir coefficient j is determined on the basis of the least squares criteria. The degree (${\alpha}$) which expresses how much each sequential storm contributes to groundwater flow through the saturated soil is obtained by the optimization techniques which minimize deviations between observed and derived runoff hydrograph, and the convolution summation for the linear theory is used. A numerical example for this study is carried out for a storm event of Goose Creek basin near Leesburg, Virginia. As the results, the groundwater unit hydrograph and baseflow were able to be obtained. The used optimization technique is suited to the purpose of this study in case of the constraints. It is judged that the results allow the determination of baseflow.

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Probabilistic Assessment of Drought Characteristics based on Homogeneous Hidden Markov Model (동질성 은닉 마코프 모형을 적용한 가뭄특성의 확률론적 평가)

  • Yoo, Ji-Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong;Lee, Seung-Oh
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2014
  • Several studies regarding drought indices and criteria have been widely studied in the literature. If one defines the onset, severity, and end of droughts, in general, a certain threshold needs to be set to assess the drought events. However, the uncertainty associated with the threshold is a critical problem in drought analysis. To take full advantage of the inherent features in the rainfall series, a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) based probabilistic drought analysis was proposed rather than using the existing threshold based analysis. As a result, the proposed HMM based probabilistic drought analysis scheme shows better performance in terms of defining drought state and understanding underlying characteristics of the drought. In addition, the HMM based approach is capable of quantifying the uncertainties associated with the classifying meteorological drought condition in a systematic way.

The Characteristics of Water Usage in Jeju Golf Courses (제주지역 골프장의 용수 이용특성)

  • Park, Won-Bea;Kim, Bong-Seok;Yang, Sung-Kee;Moon, Duk-Chul
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.20 no.10
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    • pp.1297-1308
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    • 2011
  • This study is to analyze the characteristics of golf course water usage using groundwater and rainwater data obtained from 17 golf courses in Jeju Island during 2007~2009. The groundwater usages were 246,275 $m^3/year$, 213,062 $m^3/year$, 155,235 $m^3/year$, and 126,666 $m^3/year$ in the west, south, east, and north regions, respectively. Monthly rate of the amount of groundwater usage to the amount of permission was 29.5%. The rainfall usages were 386,591 $m^3/year$, 326,464 $m^3/year$, 251,248 $m^3/year$, and 232,061 $m^3/year$ in the south, west, east, and north regions, respectively. Monthly rate of rainwater usage to the amount of water retention of golf courses was 19.6%. The average annual water usage in the 17 golf courses was 499,377 $m^3/year$. From the average usage, it was found that the rainwater usage (305,126 $m^3/year$ ) was 1.6 times higher than that of groundwater (194,251 $m^3/year$ ). That means the annual average rainwater usage to the entire water usage was 61.1%, which was above the criteria of 40%.

Risk identification, assessment and monitoring design of high cutting loess slope in heavy haul railway

  • Zhang, Qian;Gao, Yang;Zhang, Hai-xia;Xu, Fei;Li, Feng
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.67-78
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    • 2018
  • The stability of cutting slope influences the safety of railway operation, and how to identify the stability of the slope quickly and determine the rational monitoring plan is a pressing problem at present. In this study, the attribute recognition model of risk assessment for high cutting slope stability in the heavy haul railway is established based on attribute mathematics theory, followed by the consequent monitoring scheme design. Firstly, based on comprehensive analysis on the risk factors of heavy haul railway loess slope, collapsibility, tectonic feature, slope shape, rainfall, vegetation conditions, train speed are selected as the indexes of the risk assessment, and the grading criteria of each index is established. Meanwhile, the weights of the assessment indexes are determined by AHP judgment matrix. Secondly, The attribute measurement functions are given to compute attribute measurement of single index and synthetic attribute, and the attribute recognition model was used to assess the risk of a typical heavy haul railway loess slope, Finally, according to the risk assessment results, the monitoring content and method of this loess slope were determined to avoid geological disasters and ensure the security of the railway infrastructure. This attribute identification- risk assessment- monitoring design mode could provide an effective way for the risk assessment and control of heavy haul railway in the loess plateau.