• 제목/요약/키워드: ROC(Receiver operating characteristic)

검색결과 362건 처리시간 0.025초

심방세동 환자에서 새로 개발된 R2CHA2DS2-VASc score 유용성 및 CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc scores와의 비교연구 (The usefulness of newly developed R2CHA2DS2-VASc score and comparison with CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores in atrial fibrillation patients)

  • 곽재훈;여세환;김여운;이진석;김병규;정진욱;배준호;나득영;이관
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.8-12
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    • 2016
  • Background: The decision to administer oral anticoagulation therapy depends on accurate assessment of stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Various stroke risk stratification schemes have been developed to help inform clinical decision making. The CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores have been used in estimating the risk of stroke in patients with AF. Recently R2CHA2DS2-VASc score was developed. The objective of the current study is to validate the usefulness of the R2CHA2DS2-VASc score and to compare the accuracy of the CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and R2CHA2DS2-VASc scores in predicting a patient's risk of stroke. Methods: Based on medical records, we conducted a retrospective study of patients hospitalized with AF from March 2011 to July 2013. A total of 448 AF patients were included in this study. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis in MedCalc was used for comparison with respective diagnostic values. Results: The patient characteristics showed male predominance (60.9%). Among the 448 AF patients, 131 (29.2%) patients had strokes during the study. A R2CHA2DS2-VASc score of more than 5 is the optimal cut-off value for prediction of stroke. A risk score of three, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of R2CHA2DS2-VASc score (AUC 0.631; 95% confidence interval, 0.585-0.679) was the highest. A significant difference was observed between AUC for R2CHA2DS2-VASc, CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, but no meaningful difference between CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores. Conclusion: We determined the usefulness of the R2CHA2DS2-VASc score, which showed better association with stroke than the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores.

Preliminary Evaluation of Clinical Utility of CYFRA 21-1, CA 72-4, NSE, CA19-9 and CEA in Stomach Cancer

  • Gwak, Hee Keun;Lee, Jai Hyuen;Park, Seok Gun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권12호
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    • pp.4933-4938
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    • 2014
  • Background: Although various tumor markers have been utilized in management of stomach cancer (SC), only a few reports have described relevance of examples such as CYFRA 21-1 and neuron-specific enolase (NSE). The purpose of this study was to evaluate the potential diagnostic performance of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), CA 19-9, CA72-4, CYFRA 21-1 and NSE in patients with SC. Materials and Methods: Ninety-six SC patients with pathologic confirmation between 2012 and 2013 were enrolled. Serum levels of five tumor markers were analyzed using a solid-phase immunoradiometric assay. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted for the five tumor markers to investigate their diagnostic powers and adjusted cutoff values derived from analysis of ROC curves were evaluated to calculate the sensitivity of each for SC with recommended cutoff values. Results: Based on two different cutoff values (recommended and adjusted), CYFRA 21-1 (${\geq}2.0$ and 1.2 ng/ml) had a respective sensitivity of 50% and 78.1%, compared with 8.3% and 18.8% for CEA (${\geq}7.0$ and 3.9 ng/ml), 15.6% and 18.8% for CA 19-9 (${\geq}37$ and 26.7 ng/ml), 28.1% and 9.6% for CA 72-4 (${\geq}4.0$ and 13 ng/ml) and 7.3% and 7.3% for NSE (${\geq}14.7$ and 15.0 ng/ml) in the initial staging of primary SC. The area under the curve (AUC) for CYFRA 21-1, with a value of 0.978 (95% confidence interval, 0.964-0.991) was comparatively the highest. Univariate analysis revealed significant relationships between tumor marker level and lymph node involvement, metastasis and staging with CYFRA 21-1, CA 72-4 and NSE. Conclusions: CYFRA 21-1 was the most sensitive tumor marker and showed the most powerful diagnostic performance among the five SC tumor markers. NSE and CA 72-4 are significantly related to lymph node involvement, metastasis or stage. Further evaluations are warranted to clarify the clinical usefulness and prognostic prediction of these markers in SC.

닭 전염성 기관지염 바이러스의 혈청 유병률 연구에서 개별혈청과 합병혈청의 비교 (Comparison of pooled Versus Individual Sera in Avian Infectious Bronchitis Virus Seroprevalence Study)

  • 김사림;권혁무;성환우;박선일
    • 한국임상수의학회지
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    • 제23권4권
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    • pp.416-420
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    • 2006
  • Compare to testing sera individually, pooled-serum testing has considered as a cost-effective method, particularly on a large population-based seroprevalence studies. This study was to determine the relationship between individual sera and pooled sera titers for detection of avian infectious bronchitis virus (IBV) and to evaluate suitability of pooled sera by comparing prevalences estimated from both samples. A total of 5,000 individual samples were collected from 500 flocks in Chungcheong, Gyunsgi, and Kangwon provinces between January 2005 and February 2006. Ten samples were randomly selected from each flock. Five-hundred pooled sera were prepared by mixing equal amount of each 10 individual serum from the original samples. IBV antibody titers were measured by hemagglutination inhibition (HI) test. The least squares regression analysis was performed to construct equation between pooled and mean individual titers. To determine whether the flock is infected 4 arbitrary criteria were used: detection of at least 1 chicken with HI titer ${\ge}$ 9 (criterion 1), detection of at least 2 samples with HI titer ${\ge}$9 (criterion 2), detection of at least 1 sample with HI titer ${\ge}$ 10 (criterion 3), and filially detection of at least 1 sample with HI titer ${\ge}$ 11 (criterion 4). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to examine the cut-off points of pooled titers showing optimal diagnostic accuracy. The area under the curve (AUC), sensitivities (Se), specificities (Sp), and positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values were calculated. The regression equation between pooled titers (pool) and mean individual titers (mean) was: $pool= 1.2498+0.8952{\times}mean$, with coefficient of determination of 87% (p< 0.0001). The optimal cut-off points of pooled titers were titer 8 for criterion 1 (AUC=0.975, Se=0.883, Sp=0.959, PPV=0.985, NPV=0.728), titer 8 for criterion 2 (AUC=0.969, Se=0.954, Sp=0.855, PPV=0.926, NPV=0.907), titer 9 for criterion 3 (AUC=0.970, Se=0.836, Sp=0.967, PPV=0.978, NPV=0.772), and titer 9 for criterion 4 (AUC= 0.946, Se=0.928, Sp=0.843, PPV=0.857, NPV=0.921). The difference of 'prevalence estimated by individual and pooled sample showed a minimum of 2% for criteria 2 and a maximum of 9.1:% for criteria 3. These results indicate that the use of pooled sera in HI test for screening IBV infection in laying hen flocks is considered as a cost-effective method of testing large numbers of samples with high diagnostic accuracy.

박테리아성 지역사회획득 폐렴과 2009 H1N1 바이러스성 감염의 감별에 있어 C-Reactive Protein, Procalcitonin, Lipopolysaccharide-Binding Protein의 역할 (Diagnostic Role of C-reactive Protein, Procalcitonin and Lipopolysaccharide-Binding Protein in Discriminating Bacterial-Community Acquired Pneumonia from 2009 H1N1 Influenza A Infection)

  • 한선숙;김세현;김우진;이승준;유숙원;천명주
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제70권6호
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    • pp.490-497
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    • 2011
  • Background: It is difficult but important to differentiate between bacterial and viral infections, especially for respiratory infections. Hence, there is an ongoing need for sensitive and specific markers of bacterial infections. We investigated novel biomarkers for discriminating community acquired bacterial pneumonia from 2009 H1N1 influenza A infections. Methods: This was a prospective, observational study of patients with community acquired bacterial pneumonia, 2009 H1N1 Influenza A infection, and healthy controls. Serum samples were obtained on the initial visit to the hospital and stored at $-80^{\circ}C$. We evaluated CRP (C-reactive protein), PCT (procalcitonin), LBP (lipopolysaccharide-binding protein) and copeptin. These analytes were all evaluated retrospectively except CRP. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analyses were performed on the resulting data. Results: Enrolled patients included 27 with community acquired bacterial pneumonia, 20 with 2009 H1N1 Influenza A infection, and 26 who were healthy controls. In an ROC analysis for discriminating community acquired bacterial pneumonia from 2009 H1N1 influenza A infection, areas under the curve (AUCs) were 0.799 for CRP (95% Confidence interval [CI], 0.664~0.934), 0.753 for PCT (95% CI, 0.613~0.892) and 0.684 for LBP (95% CI, 0.531~0.837). Copeptin was not different among the three groups. Conclusion: These findings suggest that serum CRP, PCT and LBP can assist physicians in discriminating community acquired bacterial pneumonia from 2009 H1N1 influenza A infection.

소방공무원과 구조대원에서 한국어판 Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder Checklist의 신뢰도와 타당도 (Reliability and Validity of the Korean Version of the Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder Checklist in Public Firefighters and Rescue Workers)

  • 박신원;정현석;임주연;전유진;마지영;최예라;반순현;김성은;유시영;이선호;전새롬;강일향;이보라;이수연;손지희;임재호;윤수정;김의정;김지은;류인균
    • 생물정신의학
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2016
  • Objectives Firefighters and rescue workers are likely to be exposed to a variety of traumatic events; as such, they are vulnerable to the risk of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). The psychometric properties of the Korean version of the PTSD Checklist (PCL), a widely used self-report screening tool for PTSD, were assessed in South Korean firefighters and rescue workers. Methods Data were collected via self-report questionnaires and semi-structured clinical interviews administered to 221 firefighters. Internal consistency, item-total correlation, one-week test-retest reliability, convergent validity, and divergent validity were examined. Content validity of the PCL was evaluated using factor analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were used to estimate the optimal cutoff point and area under the curve. Results The PCL demonstrated excellent internal consistency (${\alpha}=0.97$), item-total correlation (r = 0.72-0.88), test-retest reliability (r = 0.95), and convergent and divergent validity. The total score of PCL was positively correlated with the number of traumatic events experienced (p < 0.001). Factor analysis revealed two theoretically congruent factors: re-experience/avoidance and numbing/hyperarousal. The optimal cutoff was 45 and the area under the ROC curve was 0.97. Conclusions The Korean version of the PCL may be a useful PTSD screening instrument for firefighters and rescue workers, further maximizing opportunities for accurate PTSD diagnosis and treatment.

FDG-PET/CT as prognostic factor and surveillance tool for postoperative radiation recurrence in locally advanced head and neck cancer

  • Kim, Gi-Won;Kim, Yeon-Sil;Han, Eun-Ji;Yoo, Ie-Ryung;Song, Jin-Ho;Lee, Sang-Nam;Lee, Jong-Hoon;Choi, Byung-Oak;Jang, Hong-Seok;Yoon, Sei-Chul
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.243-251
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: To evaluate the prognostic value of metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) on initial positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET-CT) and investigate the clinical value of SUVmax for early detection of locoregional recurrent disease after postoperative radiotherapy in patients with locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Materials and Methods: A total of 100 patients with locally advanced HNSCC received primary tumor excision and neck dissection followed by adjuvant radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy. The MTV and SUVmax were measured from primary sites and neck nodes. The prognostic value of MTV and SUVmax were assessed using initial staging PET/CT (study A). Follow-up PET/CT scan available after postoperative concurrent chemoradiotherapy or radiotherapy were evaluated for the SUVmax value and correlated with locoregional recurrence (study B). A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to define a threshold value of SUVmax with the highest accuracy for recurrent disease assessment. Results: High MTV (>41 mL) is negative prognostic factor for disease free survival (p = 0.041). Postradiation SUVmax was significantly correlated with locoregional recurrence (hazard ratio, 1.812; 95% confidence interval, 1.361 to 2.413; P < 0.001). A cutoff value of 5.38 from follow-up PET/CT was identified as having maximal accuracy for detecting locoregional recurrence by ROC analysis. Conclusion: MTV at staging work-up was significantly associated with disease free survival. The SUVmax value from follow-up PET/CT showed high diagnostic accuracy for the detection of locoregional recurrence in postoperatively irradiated HNSCC.

삼출성흉수에서 Soluble Triggering Receptor Expressed on Myeloid Cells 1 Proteion의 진단적 유용성 (Diagnostic Utility of Pleural Fluid Soluble Triggering Receptor Expressed on Myeloid Cells 1 Protein in Patients with Exudative Pleural Effusion)

  • 심윤수;이진화;천은미;장중현
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제62권6호
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    • pp.499-505
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    • 2007
  • 배 경: TREM-1은 중성구, 단핵구, 대식세포 표면에 존재하는 세포표면수용체로, 세균에 의해 그 발현이 증가하여 여러 염증전달물질을 증폭시키는 역할을 한다. 저자들은 삼출성흉수를 가진 환자의 혈청과 흉수에서 soluble (s) TREM-1을 측정하여 흉수의 원인진단에 대한 유용성을 알아보고자 하였다. 방 법: 2003년 3월부터 2006년 12월까지 삼출성흉수로 입원한 환자 45명을 대상으로 하여, 혈청과 흉수에서 human sTREM-1 항체를 사용하여 면역점적법(immunoblot assay)으로 sTREM-1을 측정하였다. 원인질환에 따라 결핵성, 부폐렴성, 악성흉수로 나누어 비교하였다. 결 과: 혈청 sTREM-1은 원인질환 별로 유의한 차이를 보이지 않았으나, 흉수 sTREM-1은 원인질환별로 유의한 차이를 보였으며(p=0.011), 특히 부폐렴성흉수의 sTREM-1이 결핵성흉수와(p<0.05) 악성흉수보다 유의하게 높았다(p<0.05). 부폐렴성흉수를 진단하는 데 흉수 sTREM-1의 유용성을 평가하고자 ROC 곡선을 그린 결과 곡선밑면적은 0.818이고 (p=0.001), 흉수 sTREM-1의 cutoff 값을 103.5pg/mL로 하였을 때 민감도가 73%, 특이도가 81%이었다. 결 론: 흉수의 sTREM-1은 삼출성흉수 중 부폐렴성흉수를 진단하는 유용한 지표로 판단된다.

Performance of the R-way Colposcopic Evaluation System in Cervical Cancer Screening

  • Zhao, Jian;Zhang, Xi;Chen, Rui;Zhao, Yu-Qian;Wang, Ting-Ting;He, Shan;Qiao, You-Lin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권10호
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    • pp.4223-4228
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    • 2015
  • Objective: To investigate the diagnostic value of the R-way colposcopic evaluation system (R-way system) in cervical cancer screening. Materials and Methods: Between August 2013 and August 2014, a total of 1,059 cases referred to colposcopy in Peking University First Hospital were studied using both the R-way system and conventional colposcopy. Our study evaluated and compared the diagnostic ability of the two methods in detecting high-grade lesions and cervical cancer (hereinafter called CIN2+). Evaluation indicators including sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), Youden index and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were calculated. Results: The R-way system had a slightly lower specificity (94.5%) than conventional colposcopy (96.0%) for CIN2+ detection (P=0.181). However, the sensitivity (77.8%) was significantly higher than with the conventional colposcopic method (46.6%) (${\chi}^2=64.351$, P<0.001). In addition, the AUC of the ROC for CIN2+ detection using the R-way system (0.839) was larger than that with conventional colposcopy (0.731) (Z=4.348, P<0.001). If preliminary result had been drawn from cervical exfoliated cytology before colposcopy referral, combination of the R-way system with cytology could increase the sensitivity to 93.9% for CIN2+ detection (excluding ASCUS\LSIL), confirmed by multipoint biopsy or ECC. Conclusions: The diagnostic value of the R-way evaluation system is higher than that of conventional colposcopic evaluation in cervical cancer screening. Moreover, taking the ease of use and standardized quality control management into account, the R-way system is highly preferable.

디지털방사선사진과 구내방사선사진의 인접면 인공우식진단능에 관한 비교연구 (COMPARATIVE STUDY OF DIGITAL AND CONVENTIONAL RADIOGRAPHY FOR THE DIAGNOSTIC ABILITY OF ARTIFICIAL PROXIMAL SURFACE CARIES)

  • 조영곤;박시승
    • Restorative Dentistry and Endodontics
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2002
  • Conventional intraoral radiography continues to be the most widely used image modality for the diagnosis of dental caries. But, conventional intraoral radiography has several shortcomings, including the difficulty of exposing and processing intraoral film of consistently acceptable quality. In addition, radiographic retaking that was the result of processing errors, may result in increased discomfort and radiation dose to the patient. Recently, various digital radiographies substitute for conventional intraoral radiography to overcome these disadvantages. The advantages of digital radiography are numerous. One of advantages Is the elimination of processing errors. In addition, the radiation dose for digital system is approximately 20% to 25% of that required for conventional intraoral radiography Another potential advantage of digital imaging is the ability to perform image quality enhancements such as contrast and density modulation, which may increase diagnostic accuracy. The purpose of this study was to compare the diagnostic ability of artificial proximal defects to conventional intraoral radiography, direct digital image(CDX2000HQ$^{\circledR}$) and indirect digital image(Digora$^{\circledR}$). Artificial defects were made in proximal surfaces of 60 extracted human molars using #1/2, #1, #2 round bur. Five dentists assessed proximal defects on conventional intraoral radiography, direct digital image(CDX2000HQ$^{\circledR}$) and indirect digital image(Digora$^{\circledR}$). ROC(Receiver Operating Characteristic) analysis and Two-way ANOVA test were used for the evaluation of detectability, and following results were acquired. 1. The mean ROC area of conventional intraoral radiography, direct digital image(CDX2000HQ$^{\circledR}$) and indirect digital Image(Digora$^{\circledR}$) were 0.6766, 0.7538, 0.6791(Grade I), 0.7176, 0.7594, 0.7361(Grade II), and 0.7449, 0.7608, 0.7414(Grade III), respectively. 2. Diagnostic ability of direct digital image was higher than other image modalities. But, there was no statistically significant difference among other imaging modalities for Grade I, II, III lesion(p>0.05). In conclusion, when direct and indirect digital system are comparable with conventional intraoral radiography. these systems may be considered an alternative of conventional intraoral radiography for the diagnosis of proximal surface caries.

Application of Volumetric Analysis to Glioblastomas: a Correlation Study on the Status of the Isocitrate Dehydrogenase Mutation

  • Bae, Seon Yong;Park, Chul-Kee;Kim, Tae Min;Park, Sung-Hye;Kim, Il Han;Choi, Seung Hong
    • Investigative Magnetic Resonance Imaging
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.218-223
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: To investigate whether volumetric analysis based on T2WI and contrast-enhanced (CE) T1WI can distinguish between isocitrate dehydrogenase-1 mutation-positive ($IDH1^P$) and -negative ($IDH1^N$) glioblastomas (GBMs). Materials and Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 109 patients with histopathologically proven GBMs after surgery or stereotactic biopsy and preoperative MR imaging. We measured the whole-tumor volume in each patient using a semiautomatic segmentation method based on both T2WI and CE T1WI. We compared the tumor volumes between $IDH1^P$ (n = 12) and $IDH1^N$ (n = 97) GBMs using an unpaired t-test. In addition, we performed receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis for the differentiation of $IDH1^P$ and $IDH1^N$ GBMs using the tumor volumes based on T2WI and CE T1WI. Results: The mean tumor volume based on T2WI was larger for $IDH1^P$ GBMs than $IDH1^N$ GBMs ($108.8{\pm}68.1$ and $59.3{\pm}37.3mm^3$, respectively, P = 0.0002). In addition, $IDH1^P$ GBMs had a larger tumor volume on CE T1WI than did $IDH1^N$ tumors ($49.00{\pm}40.14$ and $22.53{\pm}17.51mm^3$, respectively, P < 0.0001). ROC analysis revealed that the tumor volume based on T2WI could distinguish $IDH1^P$ from $IDH1^N$ with a cutoff value of 90.25 (P < 0.05): 7 of 12 $IDH1^P$ (58.3%) and 79 of 97 $IDH1^N$ (81.4%). Conclusion: Volumetric analysis of T2WI and CE T1WI could enable $IDH1^P$ GBMs to be distinguished from $IDH1^N$ GBMs. We assumed that secondary GBMs with $IDH1^P$ underwent stepwise progression and were more infiltrative than those with $IDH1^N$, which might have resulted in the differences in tumor volume.