• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quantile regression

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Macro and Non-macro Determinants of Korean Tourism Stock Performance: A Quantile Regression Approach

  • JEON, Ji-Hong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2020
  • The study aims to investigate a close relation between macro and non-macro variables on stock performance of tourism companies in Korea. The sample used in this study includes monthly data from January 2001 to December 2018. The stock price index of the tourism companies as a dependent variable are obtained from Sejoong, HanaTour, and RedcapTour as three leading Korean tourism companies that have been listed on the Korea Stock Exchange. This study assesses the tourism stock performance using the quantile regression approach. This study also investigates whether global crisis events as the Iraq War and the global financial crisis as non-macro variables have a significant effect on the stock performance of tourism companies in Korea. The results show that the oil prices, exchange rate and industrial production have negative coefficients on stock prices of tourism companies, while the effects of tourist expenditure and consumer price index are positive and significant. We estimate the result of quantile regression that non-macro determinants have statistically a significant and negative effect on tourism stock performance because the global crisis could threaten traveler's safety and economy. Overall, empirical results suggest that the effects of macro and non-macro variables are statistically asymmetric and highly related to tourism stock performance.

Retirement-related Subjective Expectations and the Capital Accumulation of the Korean Baby-boom Generation (주관적 기대가 한국 베이비붐 세대의 자산축적에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Yoonsoo;Woo, Seokjin
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.855-870
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    • 2011
  • This paper investigates the effect of retirement-related subjective expectations on the capital accumulation of the Korean baby-boom generation. Using the 1st, 2nd waves of the KLoSA (2006, 2008), we estimate the distributional effects with quantile regression. In addition, the endogeneity of the expectation variables is handled using the fixed effect model. The quantile regression results reveal that the schooling, gender and the number of children are important determinants, but their effects are heterogenous across quantiles to a significant margin. The expectations of the stronger bequest motives and longer lifespan turned out to lead to more capital accumulation. The expectation regarding the expanded role of government retirement support seemed to crowd out private savings for the baby boomers with the total assets over 0.7 percentile.

Factors Affecting Clinical Competence in Dental Hygiene Students

  • Lee, Hyun-Ok;Kim, Sun-Mi
    • Journal of dental hygiene science
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.271-278
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    • 2019
  • Background: This study aimed to examine the factors that influence clinical performance of dental hygiene students to provide useful data for developing strategies to improve clinical competence. Methods: The effects of variables on clinical competence by quantile level were analyzed using quantile regression analysis in 247 dental hygiene students. Quantile regression and multiple regression analyses were conducted using the Stata 11.0 program to analyze predictors of clinical competence. Results: The clinical competence score of dental hygiene students was 42.69±5.90, the satisfaction of clinical practice was 49.90±7.44, the clinical practice stress was 50.62±7.37, and the professional self-concept was 31.68±4.41. Empathy was the highest at 50.87±4.93. Multiple regression analysis showed that school year, stress from clinical training, satisfaction with clinical training, professional self-concept, and empathy had significant impact on clinical competence. Quantile regression analysis showed that the effects varied depending on the clinical competence level. School year and professional self-concept had a significant positive effect, regardless of the clinical competence level, while empathy had a significant positive effect at the top 10% (Q90) of the clinical competence level. Satisfaction with clinical practice affected clinical competence at Q25, Q50, and Q90. Stress from clinical practice had significant effects at Q25, Q50, and Q90 (p<0.05). Conclusion: According to the study results, different factors affected clinical competence according to the quantile of clinical competence. This study provides valuable implications for designing clinical competence enhancement programs and strategies. In addition, objective indicators for considering factors that may affect the clinical competence, such as academic competence and satisfaction of practice hospitals, are expected to require detailed analysis and measures.

The Doubly Regularized Quantile Regression

  • Choi, Ho-Sik;Kim, Yong-Dai
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.753-764
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    • 2008
  • The $L_1$ regularized estimator in quantile problems conduct parameter estimation and model selection simultaneously and have been shown to enjoy nice performance. However, $L_1$ regularized estimator has a drawback: when there are several highly correlated variables, it tends to pick only a few of them. To make up for it, the proposed method adopts doubly regularized framework with the mixture of $L_1$ and $L_2$ norms. As a result, the proposed method can select significant variables and encourage the highly correlated variables to be selected together. One of the most appealing features of the new algorithm is to construct the entire solution path of doubly regularized quantile estimator. From simulations and real data analysis, we investigate its performance.

Quantile Estimation in Successive Sampling

  • Singh, Housila P.;Tailor, Ritesh;Singh, Sarjinder;Kim, Jong-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2006.12a
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    • pp.67-83
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    • 2006
  • In successive sampling on two occasions the problem of estimating a finite population quantile has been considered. The theory developed aims at providing the optimum estimates by combining (i) three double sampling estimators viz. ratio-type, product-type and regression-type, from the matched portion of the sample and (ii) a simple quantile based on a random sample from the unmatched portion of the sample on the second occasion. The approximate variance formulae of the suggested estimators have been obtained. Optimal matching fraction is discussed. A simulation study is carried out in order to compare the three estimators and direct estimator. It is found that the performance of the regression-type estimator is the best among all the estimators discussed here.

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QUANTILE ESTIMATION IN SUCCESSIVE SAMPLING

  • Singh, Housila P.;Tailor, Ritesh;Singh, Sarjinder;Kim, Jong-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.543-556
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    • 2007
  • In successive sampling on two occasions the problem of estimating a finite population quantile has been considered. The theory developed aims at providing the optimum estimates by combining (i) three double sampling estimators viz. ratio-type, product-type and regression-type, from the matched portion of the sample and (ii) a simple quantile based on a random sample from the unmatched portion of the sample on the second occasion. The approximate variance formulae of the suggested estimators have been obtained. Optimal matching fraction is discussed. A simulation study is carried out in order to compare the three estimators and direct estimator. It is found that the performance of the regression-type estimator is the best among all the estimators discussed here.

Generalized Support Vector Quantile Regression (일반화 서포트벡터 분위수회귀에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Dongju;Choi, Sujin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2020
  • Support vector regression (SVR) is devised to solve the regression problem by utilizing the excellent predictive power of Support Vector Machine. In particular, the ⲉ-insensitive loss function, which is a loss function often used in SVR, is a function thatdoes not generate penalties if the difference between the actual value and the estimated regression curve is within ⲉ. In most studies, the ⲉ-insensitive loss function is used symmetrically, and it is of interest to determine the value of ⲉ. In SVQR (Support Vector Quantile Regression), the asymmetry of the width of ⲉ and the slope of the penalty was controlled using the parameter p. However, the slope of the penalty is fixed according to the p value that determines the asymmetry of ⲉ. In this study, a new ε-insensitive loss function with p1 and p2 parameters was proposed. A new asymmetric SVR called GSVQR (Generalized Support Vector Quantile Regression) based on the new ε-insensitive loss function can control the asymmetry of the width of ⲉ and the slope of the penalty using the parameters p1 and p2, respectively. Moreover, the figures show that the asymmetry of the width of ⲉ and the slope of the penalty is controlled. Finally, through an experiment on a function, the accuracy of the existing symmetric Soft Margin, asymmetric SVQR, and asymmetric GSVQR was examined, and the characteristics of each were shown through figures.

Trend Analysis of Extreme Precipitation Using Quantile Regression (Quantile 회귀분석을 이용한 극대강수량 자료의 경향성 분석)

  • So, Byung-Jin;Kwon, Hyun-Han;An, Jung-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.8
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    • pp.815-826
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    • 2012
  • The underestimating trend using existing ordinary regression (OR) based trend analysis has been a well-known problem. The existing OR method based on least squares approximate the conditional mean of the response variable given certain values of the time t, and the usual assumption of the OR method is normality, that is the distribution of data are not dissimilar form a normal distribution. In this regard, this study proposed a quantile regression that aims at estimating either the conditional median or other quantiles of the response variable. This study assess trend in annual daily maximum rainfall series over 64 weather stations through both in OR and QR approach. The QR method indicates that 47 stations out of 67 weather stations are a strong upward trend at 5% significance level while OR method identifies a significant trend only at 13 stations. This is mainly because the OR method is estimating the condition mean of the response variable. Unlike the OR method, the QR method allows us flexibly to detect the trends since the OR is designed to estimate conditional quantiles of the response variable. The proposed QR method can be effectively applied to estimate hydrologic trend for either non-normal data or skewed data.

Residuals Plots for Repeated Measures Data

  • PARK TAESUNG
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.187-191
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    • 2000
  • In the analysis of repeated measurements, multivariate regression models that account for the correlations among the observations from the same subject are widely used. Like the usual univariate regression models, these multivariate regression models also need some model diagnostic procedures. In this paper, we propose a simple graphical method to detect outliers and to investigate the goodness of model fit in repeated measures data. The graphical method is based on the quantile-quantile(Q-Q) plots of the $X^2$ distribution and the standard normal distribution. We also propose diagnostic measures to detect influential observations. The proposed method is illustrated using two examples.

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Basic Statistics in Quantile Regression

  • Kim, Jae-Wan;Kim, Choong-Rak
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.321-330
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    • 2012
  • In this paper we study some basic statistics in quantile regression. In particular, we investigate the residual, goodness-of-fit statistic and the effect of one or few observations on estimates of regression coefficients. In addition, we compare the proposed goodness-of-fit statistic with the statistic considered by Koenker and Machado (1999). An illustrative example based on real data sets is given to see the numerical performance of the proposed basic statistics.