• Title/Summary/Keyword: Public cost estimate

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The Socioeconomic Cost of Diseases in Korea (질병의 사회.경제적 비용 추계)

  • Ko, Suk-Ja;Jung, Young-Ho
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.499-504
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    • 2006
  • Objectives : The aim of the study was to estimate the annual socioeconomic cost of diseases in Korea. Methods : We estimate both the direct and indirect costs of diseases in Korea during 2003 using a prevalence-based approach. The direct cost estimates included medical expenditures, traffic costs and caregiver's cost, and the indirect costs, representing the loss of production, included lost workdays due to illness and lost earnings due to premature death, which were estimated based on the human capital theory. The cost estimates were reported at three different discount rates (0, 3 and 5%). Results : The cost of diseases in Korea during 2003 was 38.4 trillion won based on 0% discount rate. This estimate represents approximately 5.3% of GDP The direct and indirect costs were estimated to be 22.5 trillion (58.5% of total cost) and 15.9 trillion won (41.5%), respectively. It was also found that the cost for those aged $40\sim49$ accounted for the largest proportion (21.7%) in relation to age groups. The cost of diseases for males was 23.5% higher than that for females. For major diseases, the total socioeconomic costs were 16.0, 13.4, 11.3 and 11.19% for neoplasms, and diseases of the digestive, respiratory and circulatory systems, respectively. Conclusions : This study can be expected to provide valuable information for determining intervention and funding priorities, and for planning health policies.

COST ESTIMATE AT EARLY STAGE USING CASE-BASED REASONING

  • Kihoon Seong;Moonseo Park;Hyun-Soo Lee;Sae-Hyun Ji
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.883-889
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    • 2009
  • The importance of cost estimate in early stage such has been increasing due to market change and severe competition in construction industry. Because the adjustable budget is only 20% after design stage, most of the crucial decisions to influence cost is made in the early stage. However, in the early stage, the project scope is not defined completely so that estimator has inaccurate information to make critical decision. Therefore, this research suggests the cost estimate method using case-based reasoning. Case-based reasoning is appropriate for the early cost estimating, as it has the strength of rapidity and convenience in cost estimation. This research analyzes 84 actual data of public apartment on the scale of 11~15 stories. In order to extract the most similar case, at the first step this research identifies influence factors and calculates attribute similarity. In case-based reasoning, the most challenging task is determining attribute weight. At the third step, this research calculates case similarity which is aggregated attribute similarity multipled by attribute weight. Finally, extracts the most similar case which has the highest score of case similarity.

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Cost Estimating for Public Facilities at Early Stage Using Functional Area Cost - Focusing on Army Barracks - (공공건축물 계획단계에서의 용도별 공사비 예측에 관한 연구 - 육군 병영생활관을 대상으로 -)

  • Lee, Hyun-Soo;Jung, Myung-Jun;Park, Moon-Seo;Son, Bo-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this research is to develop a conceptual model that establishes a new approach for functional area cost estimating in the schematic design phase. A cost estimating model should consider not only the estimate accuracy, but also the flexibility to the design alternatives and user-oriented serviceability. Therefore, this research uses the method that classifies various facilities of a building according to its functions by analyzing historical data. After setting the functional area as cost parameter, a formula which can estimate functional area cost is derived from statistical analysis. Finally, to validate the proposed conceptual model, it is applied to historical data of a military barrack project. It enables customized space planning reflecting client's needs and compares the cost of various design alternatives as well as improves estimate accuracy.

The Economic Burden of Epilepsy in Korea, 2010

  • Jung, Jaehun;Seo, Hye-Young;Kim, Young Ae;Oh, In-Hwan;Lee, Yo Han;Yoon, Seok-Jun
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.293-299
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: The purposes of this study were to evaluate the prevalence of epilepsy and to estimate the cost of epilepsy in Korea, 2010. Methods: This study used a prevalence based approach to calculate the cost of epilepsy. Claims data from the Korean national health insurance and data from the Korea health panel, the Korea National Statistical Office's records of causes of death, and labor statistics were used to estimate the cost of epilepsy. Patients were defined as those who were hospitalized or visited an outpatient clinic during 2010 with a diagnosis of epilepsy (International Classification of Diseases 10th revision codes G40-G41). Total costs of epilepsy included direct medical costs, direct non-medical cost and indirect costs. Results: The annual prevalence of treated epilepsy was 228 per 100 000 population, and higher in men. The age-specific prevalence was highest for teenagers. The total economic burden of epilepsy was 536 billion Korean won (KW). Indirect cost (304 billion KW) was 1.3 times greater than direct cost (232 billion KW). By gender, the male (347 billion KW) were more burdened than the female (189 billion KW). The estimated cost in young age younger than 20 years old was 24.5% of the total burden of epilepsy. Conclusions: A significant portion of the economic burden of epilepsy is borne by people in young age. To reduce the economic burden of epilepsy, effective prevention and treatment strategies are needed.

An Empirical Analysis on the Presumption of Public Apartment's Construction Cost in Housing Land Development Project (택지개발사업의 공공주택건설공사비 추정의 실증적 분석)

  • Kim, Seong-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2011
  • Providers haven't recently had a flexible construction cost estimation system to meet various needs of consumers about public housing. So the subject of this study is to estimate construction cost reasonably in early project stage of public housing and then develop reliable means which is able to support construction cost management and establish a adequate funding investment plan as a provider. In this study, Regression analysis was performed by the case on 20 public apartment complex which were designed from the first half of 2007 to the first half of 2008. A total construction cost of construction, civil engineering, machinery, elevator, land scape, electricity and communication work was used as one sample for increasing explanation and representativeness of the case. In addition, The total construction cost which is devided into design, contract and completion cost was variously analysed for increasing relevance of model and actual utilization. The result of estimation model based on a total construction cost set up completion and design cost showed that error rate is within 2%, which is a excellent result. The estimation model of the construction cost developed by this study is expected to estimate approximate construction cost which is adjacent real construction cost in early stage of the project by using some data.

A Study on the Development of PMO Cost Estimation Model (PMO 대가 산정모형의 개발)

  • Seo, Yong Won;Lee, Duck Hee
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.169-188
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    • 2014
  • Recently the complexity and difficulty of the IT projects are increasing due to technological and environmental risks, resulting in the adoption of PMO(Project Management Office) onto IT project management practices, including public area projects. For example, the Korean government regulated the application of PMO onto large scale public IT projects. However, since there has been no reliable method to estimate the cost to execute PMOs, a PMO cost evaluation model to support the budget and cost planning of PMO projects is required. Thus, the purpose of this research is to develop a systematic cost evaluation model for PMO projects. We identified the dimensions that determine the PMO execution cost to be the scale of the subject project, the technical difficulty level of the subject project, and the tasks to be executed in the PMO project. Based on the determinants, the PMO execution cost model were developed from historical data and experts opinion. Upon verification, the validity of the developed model has high level of consistency compared with their experiences of real PMO project costs.

Risk-Based Damage Cost Estimation on Mortality Due to Environmental Problems (환경 오염으로 인한 인체 위해도에 입각한 사망 손실 비용 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ye-Shin;Lee, Yong-Jin;Park, Hoa-Sung;Shin, Dong-Chun
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.230-238
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    • 2003
  • Objectives : To estimate the value of statistical life (VSL) and health damage cost on theoretical mortality estimates due to environmental pollution. Methods : We assessed the health risk on three environmental problems and eight sub-problems. Willingness to pay (WTP) was elucidated from a questionnaire survey with dichotomous contingent valuation method and VSL (which is the division of WTP by the change of risk reduction) calculated from WTP. Damage costs were estimated by multiplying VSL by the theoretical mortality estimates. Results : VSLs from death caused by air pollution, indoor air pollution and drinking water contamination were about 0.3, 0.5 and 0.3 billion won, respectively. Damage costs of particulate matters ($PM_{10}$) and radon were higher in the sub-problems and were above 100 billion won. Because damage cost depends on theoretical mortality estimate and WTP, its uncertainty is reduced in the estimating process. Conclusion : Health damage cost or risk benefit should be considered as one scientific criterion for decision making in environmental policy.

Cost Effectiveness of Interventions to Promote Screening for Colorectal Cancer: A Randomized Trial

  • Misra, Swati;Lairson, David R.;Chan, Wenyaw;Chang, Yu-Chia;Bartholomew, L. Kay;Greisinger, Anthony;Mcqueen, Amy;Vernon, Sally W.
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 2011
  • Objectives: Screening for colorectal cancer is considered cost effective, but is underutilized in the U.S. Information on the efficiency of "tailored interventions" to promote colorectal cancer screening in primary care settings is limited. The paper reports the results of a cost effectiveness analysis that compared a survey-only control group to a Centers for Disease Control (CDC) web-based intervention (screen for life) and to a tailored interactive computer-based intervention. Methods: A randomized controlled trial of people 50 and over, was conducted to test the interventions. The sample was 1224 partcipants 50-70 years of age, recruited from Kelsey-Seybold Clinic, a large multi-specialty clinic in Houston, Texas. Screening status was obtained by medical chart review after a 12-month follow-up period. An "intention to treat" analysis and micro costing from the patient and provider perspectives were used to estimate the costs and effects. Analysis of statistical uncertainty was conducted using nonparametric bootstrapping. Results: The estimated cost of implementing the web-based intervention was $40 per person and the cost of the tailored intervention was $45 per person. The additional cost per person screened for the web-based intervention compared to no intervention was $2602 and the tailored intervention was no more effective than the web-based strategy. Conclusions: The tailored intervention was less cost-effective than the web-based intervention for colorectal cancer screening promotion. The web-based intervention was less cost-effective than previous studies of in-reach colorectal cancer screening promotion. Researchers need to continue developing and evaluating the effectiveness and costeffectiveness of interventions to increase colorectal cancer screening.

The Derivation of a Model to Estimate Compensation for Damages in Chartered Fisheries by Using CVP Analysis (CVP 분석을 이용한 면허어업 손실보상액 평가 모형의 도출)

  • 정형찬
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.133-153
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    • 2000
  • During the last several decades, Korea has been regarded as one of the fastest growing economies in the world. However, the small size of national land has not met the vigorous demand for land necessary to develop economic infra-structures such as large-scale harbors airports and highways. In order to satisfy the growing demand for land, the Korean government and industry have implemented the national land development programs to reclaim land from the sea fur the several decades. It is certain that these land development programs have resulted in a lot of property disputes between fishermen and public project administrators. This paper is to develop a quantitative model to estimate compensation for damages or restriction of charted fisheries resulting from large-scale public projects. In this paper, the compensation model is derived by using cost-volume-profit analysis framework because the compensation for charted fisheries basically depends on the factors such as the costs, production volume, profit of charted fisheries damaged or restricted by public projects. The model shows that the compensation for damages or restriction of charted fisheries is determined by the average annual profit, damage duration period, and the degree of fishery damages. In addition, the degree of fishery damages measured by the ratio of lost profit to annual average profit turns out to be determined by the following factors: annul profit, unit variable cost, decrease in production volume, the rate of increase in variable cost, and a change in fixed cost. Furthermore, this parer discusses the nam issues related to practices and regulation of the compensation for fishery damages in the current Fishery Act of Korea and suggests some appraisal methods which will be able to lead to theoretically correct and fair compensation for fisheries damages resulting from large-scale public projects.

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A Study on Estimating Method for Actual Unit Cost Based on Bid Prices in Public Construction Projects (시설공사 입찰단가를 활용한 실적단가의 산정 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Sang-Hyeok;Park, Won-Young;Song, Soon-Ho;Seo, Jong-Won
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.159-166
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    • 2006
  • It was found that Korean Standard of Estimate which has been used as the only basis of cost estimate of public construction projects had some side effects such as jerry-build construction and over-estimation because it failed to reflect the current price and the state-of-the-art construction methods in a changing construction environment. Therefore, the government decided to gradually introduce historical construction cost into cost estimate of public construction projects from 2004. This paper presents analytic criteria and a process model for deducing more current and reasonable historical construction cost for contract items from not only previous contract prices but also all of the other bid prices that were not contracted. The procedure of estimating actual unit cost proposed in this paper focuses on the removal of abnormal values including strategically too low or high prices and the time correction. In addition, basic research is conducted for the correction of actual unit cost through the analysis of fluctuation of bid price depending on bidding types and rates of successful bid. It is anticipated that the effective use of the proposed process model for estimating actual unit cost would make the cost estimation more current and reasonable.