• 제목/요약/키워드: Public Land Price

검색결과 91건 처리시간 0.023초

아파트 매매가 추이 예측에 관한 연구: 정부 정책, 경제, 수요·공급 속성을 중심으로 (A Study on the Forecasting Trend of Apartment Prices: Focusing on Government Policy, Economy, Supply and Demand Characteristics)

  • 이중목;최수안;우수한;김성훈;김태준;우종필
    • 한국빅데이터학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.91-113
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    • 2021
  • 한국 자산 시장에서 부동산이 가지는 영향력에도 불구하고 시장 추이 예측은 쉽지 않으며, 그중 아파트는 주거 공간인 동시에 투자 속성을 내포하고 있어 더욱 예측이 쉽지 않다. 아파트 가격에 영향을 주는 요인은 다양하며 지역적 특성 또한 고려되어야 한다. 본 연구는 서울시 전체, 강남 3구, 노원, 도봉, 강북, 금천, 관악, 구로구의 아파트 매매가에 영향을 미치는 요인과 특성을 비교하고 이를 기반으로 가격 예측의 가능성을 파악하기 위해 수행되었다. 분석에는 신경망, CHAID, 선형회귀, 랜덤포레스트 등 머신러닝 알고리즘이 사용되었다. 서울시 전체 아파트 평균 매매가에 가장 중요한 영향을 미치는 요소는 정부 정책 요소였으며, 거래규제 완화, 금융규제 완화 등의 완화 정책이 영향력이 높게 도출되었다. 강남 3구의 경우 정책의 영향력이 낮은 것으로 파악되었으며 강남구의 경우 주택 공급량이 가장 중요한 요인이었다. 반면 6개의 중·하위구들은 정부 정책이 중요 변수로 작용하였으며 공통적으로 금융규제 정책이 영향을 끼치는 요인이었다.

한국내 물류서비스에 드론 활용을 위한 연구 (Study on Utilization Drones in Domestic Logistics Service in Korea)

  • 강기석;전인오
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - In the year of 2015 and 2016, one of the items that got attention in CES was a drone. It has been 100 years since a drone emerged, but most were used for military purposes. As its use became diverse as of 2010, it got attention of the general public. In Korea, it was in 2011 that a drone was known to the public through an aerial video shooting for television program. This study tried to come up with suggestions by comparing domestic with overseas cases, and tried to consider the related technologies and systems with applying the role of drones in logistics service. Research design, data, and methodology - The overseas cases were regarded as drone's logistical purpose. The Prime Air service by US Amazon is still not commercialized and under pre-testing due to Federal Aviation Regulations, although it started in 2013. In Germany, DHL succeeded in delivering service testing which is called Parcelcopter, but it is not commercialized yet. Other than these, there are more attempts to prepare logistics service in China with Taobao, in France with Geopost's test, and in Africa. In Korea, CJ Korea Express tested delivery with a self-developed drone Results - In order to study for utilizing drones for logistics as the prerequisites, some overseas and domestic cases, which are currently considered, were reviewed. Also, the technologies and institutional requirements to commercialize drones for logistical purpose were reviewed. The reasons for using drones in logistics is to ensure the price competitiveness by reducing cost. The empirical test also will be needed because drone pilot areas are designated by ministry of land, infrastructure and transport. Conclusions - In order to utilize drones in logistics and foster the industry, this study would like to suggest the followings. First of all, size of drones for logistics needs to be fixed and their operating system should be standardized. Centralized investment resources are needed through standardization to ensure the market occupancy. Secondly, it is necessary to get the converged businesses that do research, develop and commercialize drones with the investment of private sector. Example can be found in Korea aerospace Industries. We can respond to the rapid growth of the market with intensive investing by integrating the private sector investment. Thirdly, institutional arrangements are needed to be established quickly. In the case of high-technologies like drones, institutional support often does not follow the rapid development of the technology. The problems can be found in securing drones-only airspace, creating drone-specialized pilot's license, matters related to remote controller and complementary regulations for drones in Aviation Act. If these regulations are not prepared or complemented at the right timing, technologies cannot be commercialized even though the development is completed. Fourthly, there is a need to secure the transparency regarding possible privacy and personal information protection problem while operating drones. Finally, in order to foster this new industry, government should focus on supporting R&D more in the long term than short term outcomes.

브루클린 네이비 야드 산업단지의 공공성에 대한 연구- 정책·운영적 대응을 중심으로 - (A Study on the Publicness of Brooklyn Navy Yard Industrial Business Zone - Focus on Policy, Managerial Responses -)

  • 윤준혁;이강준
    • 도시과학
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2022
  • Semi-industrial zone is the area where manufacturing, residential, commercial zones are mixed. Despite of their potentials in that proximity to city and convenient transportation infrastructure, a lot of semi-industrial zones in Korea have converted to other uses due to many issues such as change of industry, increasing land price, real estate speculations. Recently, local government is trying to solve their existing issues and develop them through a restoration of publicness. Now publicness is thought of as a key factor of regeneration in semi-industrial areas. In this regard, this study aims to examine the way of restoring publicness revealed in Brooklyn Navy Yard mainly focus on their urban contexts and architectural ways. Brooklyn Navy Yard, an exemplary case, is an industrial complex that has grown economically, socially and culturally through emphasizing publicness and it is evaluated as an advanced example of public industrial complex. Through the analysis of Navy Yard, this study was trying to emphasize the importance of publicness in the regeneration of semi-industrial areas and to provide implications for the Seoul Government's solutions, which are still in the conceptual stage. To analyze the publicness of the study subjects, framework and elements were derived by examining related theories and prior researches. Depending on this frame, the results of the publicness of the Navy Yard were as follows. First of all, the 'Publicness as an officiality' was identified at the characteristic of the site and Navy Yard development corporation. Second, the 'Publicness as a public interest' of the Navy Yard Development Corporation was identified in various ways of its operation methods. Finally, the 'Publicness as an accessibility' was identified in the opening of urban and architectural spaces in Navy Yard. These publicness were analyzed with seven Navy Yard's success factors. Thus, it can be interpreted that the publicness of the semi-industrial areas can contribute significantly to their success. The publicness restoring methods of Navy Yard could be used as a basic data in semi-industrial areas in the future in Korea. However they are limited to be applied directly, so extensive and in-depth research in terms of their applicability should be conducted.

작업 관련성 근골격계 질환 학위 논문 분석 - 1990년부터 2005년까지 - (Literature Review for Work-Related Musculoskeletal Disorders based on Theses from 1990 to 2005)

  • 이인숙;김순례
    • 한국직업건강간호학회지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.93-107
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    • 2005
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to identify the trends of studies on work-related musculoskeletal disorder and to suggest the direction of future research. Method: 144 research thesis for a degree on work-related musculoskeletal disorder were systematic reviewed and published from Jan. 1990 to Mar. 2005. The analyzed using descriptive statistics, an actual number, percentage. Result: As its result the work-related musculoskeletal disorder research which is announced from domestic the doctorate dissertation at the 2004 year 42 the most many 144 dissertation middle most to be 129 in master degree dissertation was 15 in Ph D degree. Dissertation contents character the contents against the result relation that it analyzes especially and a condition and an obstacle was many most at 84. Research plan in most description investigation research 121 the dissertation field to be the especially public health (hygiene, industry and environment) at this 57 most many research object person distribution manufacturing industry in the research object one dissertation was many most at the 40. The tools which are used in each measurement in the question tool which it uses most the question price of land which uses the condition investigation ticket which it made from the NIOSH and the ANSI most many 33, the hazard which analyzes a work attitude in the tool which it uses the RULA was many most at 14. In the stress test tool social psychological healthy measurement PWI (Psychological Wellbeing Index) the dissertation which uses the Job Strain of the Karasek Model to be many most at 19 PWI (Psychological Wellbeing Index) 7 easy use. Work-related musculoskeletal disorder measurement hazard in physiological index and the machinery and tools which it uses there were 9 researches to use an electromyogram most plentifully. With the effect goes to a work-related musculoskeletal disorder they are 33 where the age is many most from general quality. From healthy act with the relation of smoking the year to be many from 16 dissertations. Work of the corpse an attitude (the attitude which is inappropriate) with 5 and the work market the work burglar is many most at 9, the society-support of 36 where the stress is many psychologically most, the stress and service also the most many duty discretion (authority and autonomy) is 6 at the duty demand boat song 9. The service career to be many is 22 of extraordinarily with relation of service. Conclusion: It is recommended the research which it sees being limited in only domestic thesis for a degree the international comparative study to become accomplished. It comes to think with the fact that it will be necessary to make the protocol which it conforms in the civil official guide the test researches for the protocol or arbitration program which is standardized are necessary. Prevention and the civil official of work relation bones and sinews standing total disease hazard scientific base one program is necessary with base.

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어항투자사업의 경제성 평가에 관한 연구 (The Study on the Economic Appraisal of Fishing Port Investments)

  • 정형찬
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.15-68
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    • 1983
  • From the economic point of view the fishing port is the complex of installations on land, organized to serve the fishing fleet and its cargo, and is the main link in the production chain of all components of the fishing industry, with the aim of achieving the planned targets with the minimum cost. Fishing port investment decisions have had significant impact on the development aims of Korean fisheries. Fishing port investments in Korea are made mostly by public or semipublic port authorities. Such investments should be judged not purely on the basis of financial profitability but rather on the extent to which they serve the development aims of the fishing industry. This makes the economic appraisal process more complex and presents certain problems in correctly quantifying the economic costs and benefits of the fishing port projects. This study concentrates more on the theoretical economic appraisal models than on the purely financial aspects of fishing port investments and points out the difference between the two approaches. In the result, there is clearly an element of judgment as to whether or not a shadow price needs to be used in estimating economic benefits and costs. From this viewpoint, some attempts are made to provide definitions of the possible economic benefits and costs, and methods for estimating and evaluating them in Part III and IV. Especially queueing theory is applied in the calculation of economic benefits. When a project is contemplated and analysis shows it to Lave a positive NPV, one question that arises is whether it should be implemented now or delayed. In this paper, the first year rate of return method is regarded as a more concise way of solving the timing of investment, At the end of Part IV, risk analysis of fishing port investments is considered. It can be handled in a number of ways, ranging from informal judgment to complex statistical analyses involving large-scale computer models, This paper recommends that evaluators of fishing port investments use the sensitivity analysis indicating exactly how much NPV will change in response to a given change in an input variable, other things held constant. Decisions regarding the amount of capacity to provide must be made in fishing port investments. Providing too much service would involve excessive capital costs. On the other hand, not providing enough service capacity would cause the waiting line of fishing vessels to become excessively long at times. Therefore, in Part V, the optimal number of berths and berth productivity in fishing port are defined as follows: Minimize E(TC) = E(WC)+E(SC) The minimum of this function is the solution and that is the optimal number of berth and berth productivity in fishing port.

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선형계획법과 허프확률모형을 이용한 농촌마을 중심지와 배후지 분석 (Analysis of Central Place and Hinterland using Linear programming and Probability Model of Huff)

  • 전정배;박미정;김은자;최진아;임창수
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2017
  • Although some indicators for evaluating rural settlement conditions have been offered, these indicators could not reflect unique characteristics that rural has its own peculiarities. The rural area is identified with central districts functioned as service provision and hinterlands used its service. The aim of this study is to find a central district of rural villages and define range of its hinterlands using various physical characteristics of rural areas. Targeting areas are Yongsan and Hwanggan in Yeongdong-gun. The physical characteristics are represented by building density, number of shops among secondary and tertiary industries, official land price, and density of bus line. The rural central district is estimated by linear programming using defined the physical characteristics. Also its hinterlands used Huff model and social accessibility. The results of this study are as follows; (1) The physical characteristics in Hwanggan myeon is higher than Yongsan myeon because Hwanggan area has a large floating population for using Hwanggan station and ticket office; (2) The central district in Hwanggan has wider regional range than Yongsan. When central district estimate in rural areas, we suggest a grid diameter of Hexagon for controlling errors; (3) Considering accessibility, the life zone of 4 districts defined legally in Hwanggan use Yongsan and 2 legal districts in Hwanggan are possible to take advantage of Yongsan's life zone; (4) The results of survey targeting boundary villages between Yongsan and Hwanggan, individual drivers use central districts both Yongsan and Hwanggan, however users by public transportation (especially bus) go more to Hwanggan because bus lines to Hwanggan have many routes than to Yongsan. Evaluating the rural settlement conditions by national unit through grasping central districts and its hinterlands, these results can use as base line data and the evidence for regional development projects.

공간정보기반 부동산거래선진화시스템 구축방안 (Study on Modernized Real Estate Transaction System based on Spatial Information)

  • 조춘만;정문섭
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.69-80
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    • 2013
  • 우리나라는 1983년 공인중개사 관련법을 최초로 도입하여 공인중개사를 중심으로 한 부동산거래문화 발전에 노력해왔다. 또한 국토교통부는 중개사협회 등 거래정보망 사업자를 일부 지정하여 매물정보의 신뢰성 및 거래의 투명성 확보에 주력해왔다. 그럼에도 불구하고 부동산거래 자체에 대한 준법수준과 관행은 대부분 오랜 과거 복덕방 시절의 그것에서 크게 벗어나지 못한 실정에 놓여있다. 이러한 부동산 거래관련 후진적 행태는 국민의 중개업에 관한 신뢰성등 사회적 자본(social capital)의 축적을 방해하며, 불필요한 사회적 추가비용이 발생되는 결과를 초래하고 있다. 즉, 중개업자들에 의한 중개대상물에 대한 낮은 신뢰성과 그로 인한 투기적 가격상승 우려 및 시장왜곡 등이 지속적으로 발생하는 결과에 일조하고 있다. 이러한 배경 하에, 본 연구의 목적은 국민에게 신뢰할 수 있는 부동산정보를 제공하고 효율적인 부동산거래를 지원하기 위한 공간정보기반 부동산거래선진화시스템의 모델 및 그 구축방안을 제시하는데 있다. 이를 통하여 우리나라 부동산거래를 선진화하고 경쟁력 있는 부동산중개업 육성에 기여하고자 하였다.

수도권 도시유형별 내부 인구이동 영향요인 분석 (Analysis of the Factors Affecting on Internal Population Migration in Seoul Metropolitan Area)

  • 김상원;이훈래
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제17권9호
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    • pp.737-744
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구는 지역간 인구이동보다는 내부 인구이동이 증가하고 있는 수도권을 대상으로 전출입 인구현황을 파악하고, 도시유형을 분석한 후 유형별 인구이동 영향요인을 분석하였다. 수도권 시 군 구별 전출입 인구를 분석한 결과, 서울시는 송파구, 인천시는 서구, 남동구, 경기도는 용인시, 화성시 등으로 인구가 집중하였다. 수도권 시 군 구간 전출입 현황에서는 수원시에서 화성시, 성남시에서 용인시로 이동하는 인구가 많았다. 고용밀도와 인구밀도를 변수로 한 도시유형분석에서는 4개의 도시유형(도심형, 자족형, 주거형, 도농형)으로 분류되었다. 도심형인 유형1은 전세가격, 도로연장, 지하철역 수, 자족형인 유형2는 총소득 증가율, 주택보급률, 도로연장, 주거형인 유형3은 주택보급률, 도시공원면적, 전세가격, 인구밀도, 도농형인 유형4는 사업체밀도, 주택보급률, 주택공급, 지하철역 수, 교육시설 등이 인구이동에 영향을 주는 것으로 분석되었다. 이중 주택보급률은 전입인구에 긍정적인 영향을 미쳤으나 인구밀도의 경우 전출인구에 영향을 주었다. 도로, 지하철역 수의 경우 도심형은 전출인구에 영향을 주었으나, 자족형과 도농형에서는 전입인구에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타나 유형별로 각기 다른 영향을 보였다.

공동주택 건설사업에서 후분양의 제도 및 정책 수립을 위한 분담금 납부 적정시기 분석 (Analysis the Appropriate Schedule for the Installment Payment Amount and Establishment of the Post sale System and Policy in the Apartment Construction)

  • 윤인환;배병윤
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2021
  • 2016년 "주택법 일부개정 법률안"과 "2018년 주거 종합수정계획" 이후 공동주택의 선분양 제도와 후분양 제도의 관심이 대두되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 공동주택의 선분양제도와 후분양제도의 장·단점을 비교하고, 후분양제도의 제도정책 기반을 수립하기 위해서 공공측면에서 공동주택의 입주자를 대상으로 설문 조사기법을 사용하고, 시간과 비용의 문제를 시계열 분석방법으로 분담금 납입 적정 시기를 제안하고자 한다. 이에 따라 기존이론과 문헌고찰을 통해서 공공기관과 민간기관의 후분양제도를 정리하고, 설문조사를 통해서 분양금 확보경로, 모델하우스의 제품정보, 후분양제도의 효과에 대한 인식도를 조사하였다. 후분양 기금지원 및 납부방식을 사용자 입장에서 기금융자 상한선을 높일 필요가 있고, 지역별 분양시장의 경제력을 고려한 운영이 필요하다. 60% 후분양과 80% 후분양 모두 1,000만원까지 수용가격대가 형성되어있고, 총 이율 환산 시 5.0%, 연리로는 60% 후분양 시 약 2.8%, 80% 후분양에서 약 2.1% 수준이므로 현행 3.1% 보다 낮은 이율이 필요하다. 연구는 공공기관 후분양아파트 입주자 표본 총 5,213가구를 대상으로 하는 인식조사로서 시장수급과 시장가격의 영향 등에 대한 시계열을 사용하여 실제 값을 분석한 자료이므로 민간공동주택 입주 예정자에 적용하는데 한계가 있다. 또한 최초입주자의 응답을 위해 최근 5년 내 입주한 5개 단지를 대상으로 설문조사를 실시하였다. 향후 조사 표본을 확대한다면 민간시장 가격에 일반화가 가능할 것이다.

지역별 수도권으로의 인구유출에 영향을 미치는 요인 연구: 부산시 사례를 중심으로 (The Factors Affecting the Population Outflow from Busan to the Seoul Metropolitan Area)

  • 임재빈;정기성
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.47-59
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구에서는 부산시 지역들의 수도권으로 인구유출 현황을 파악하고, 인구·사회, 고용, 주택, 문화, 안전, 의료, 복지, 녹지, 교육 및 보육 등 전통적 인구이동 변수와 삶의 질 변수들을 포괄하여 수도권으로의 인구이동에 영향을 미치는 요인과 인과관계를 규명하고자 한다. 연구의 데이터 구축을 위하여 통계청 마이크로데이터통합서비스(MDIS)에서 제공하는 '국내 인구이동 데이터'를 사용하였으며, 시간적 범위에 맞는 인구이동 데이터(2012-2017년) 총 5,700만 건 가운데 부산시 지역별 유출량 중 수도권 이동량을 추출하였다. 각 독립변수들은 연구의 시간적 공간적 범위에 맞춰 공공데이터에서 추출하였다. 구축한 데이터 세트(Data Set)을 기반으로 선형 다중 회귀분석(Multiple Linear Regression Analysis) 모형을 사용하였으며, 수정 결정계수(Adjusted R2), Durbin-Watson분석, 검정통계량(F-statstics)의 p-value값으로 모형의 적합도를 측정하였다. 분석결과, 부산시에서 수도권으로 인구이동에 유의미한 영향을 미치는 변수는 1인가구 증가율, 고령인구 증가율, 고령자수 비율, 합계출산율, 사업체수 증가율과 종사자수 증가율, 주택매매가지수 증가율, 문화시설 증가율, 교원 1인당 학생수 증가율 변수로 나타났다. 1인가구가 증가하는 지역일수록, 지역의 고령자 비율이 낮을수록, 고령자 비율이 감소할수록, 사업체수가 감소할수록, 종사자수가 증가할수록, 주택매매가지수가 증가할수록, 문화시설수가 감소할수록, 학생수가 감소할수록 수도권 인구이동 비율에 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 분석 결과를 바탕으로 한 정책적 시사점으로 청년 계층을 부산시에 정착시키고 유인할 수 있는 양질의 일자리, 문화, 복지 등의 제반환경을 제공해야 할 것이다. 일자리와 삶의 질을 높이는 것이 부산시 인구를 수도권으로 유출시키는 현상을 완화할 수 있는 핵심 요인이라고 할 수 있다.