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  • Title/Summary/Keyword: Proportional Hazard Model

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Reduced risk of gastrointestinal bleeding associated with eupatilin in aspirin plus acid suppressant users: nationwide population-based study

  • Hyun Seok Lee;Ji Hyung Nam;Dong Jun Oh;Yeo Rae Moon;Yun Jeong Lim
    • The Korean journal of internal medicine
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.261-271
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    • 2024
  • Background/Aims: Mucoprotective agents, such as eupatilin, are often prescribed to prevent gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding in addition to an acid suppressant despite the absence of a large-scale study. We evaluated the additional effect of eupatilin on the prevention of GI bleeding in both the upper and lower GI tract in concomitant aspirin and acid suppressant users using the nationwide database of national claims data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service (NHIS). Methods: An aspirin cohort was constructed using the NHIS claims data from 2013 to 2020. Patients who manifested with hematemesis, melena, or hematochezia were considered to have GI bleeding. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to determine the risk factors for GI bleeding associated with the concomitant use of GI drugs and other covariates among aspirin users. Results: Overall, a total of 432,208 aspirin users were included. The concurrent use of an acid suppressant and eupatilin (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.85, p = 0.016, vs. acid suppressant only) was a statistically significant preventive factor for GI bleeding. Moreover, a more than 3-month duration (HR = 0.88, p = 0.030) of acid suppressant and eupatilin prescription (vs. acid suppressant only) was a statistically significant preventive factor for GI bleeding. Conclusions: Eupatilin administration for ≥ 3 months showed additional preventive effect on GI bleeding in concomitant aspirin and acid suppressant users. Thus, cotreatment with eupatilin with a duration of 3 months or longer is recommended for reducing GI bleeding among aspirin plus acid suppressant users.

Discontinuation of antiplatelet therapy after stent-assisted coil embolization for cerebral aneurysms

  • Tae Gon Kim
    • Journal of Cerebrovascular and Endovascular Neurosurgery
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.132-142
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    • 2023
  • Objective: Dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) is usually temporarily used after stent-assisted coil embolization (SACE), and is commonly converted to mono antiplatelet therapy (MAPT) for indefinitely. In this study, we aimed to find the possibility of discontinuing MAPT, and to determine the proper period of DAPT use. Methods: We used the Standard Sample Cohort DB dataset from the National Health Insurance Sharing Service. Among approximately 1 million people in the dataset, SACE was performed in 214 patients whose data this study analyzed. The relationship between discontinuation of antiplatelet therapy and intracranial hemorrhage or cerebral infarction was analyzed using multiple logistic regression, considering all confounding variables. The survival rate according to the continuation of antiplatelet therapy was obtained using Kaplan-Meier analysis, and the difference in survival rate according to the continuation of antiplatelet therapy was verified using the log-rank test. The hazard ratio according to continuation of antiplatelet therapy was obtained using the Cox proportional hazards model. The analysis was conducted by applying the same statistical method to the duration of DAPT use. Results: Among 214 patients who underwent SACE, 50, 159 and five patients continued, discontinued and did not use antiplatelet therapy (except at the time of procedure), respectively. In multiple logistic regression analysis, discontinuation of antiplatelet agents (including aspirin) and the period of DAPT use did not affect the occurrence of intracranial hemorrhage or cerebral infarction, considering various confounding factors. In the survival analysis according to the continuation of antiplatelet agents, patients who continued to use antiplatelet agents had a higher survival rate than those in other groups (p=0.00). The survival rate was higher in the rest of the group than in the group that received DAPT for three months (p=0.00). Conclusions: Continuation of antiplatelet agents or the period of DAPT use did not affect the occurrence of intracranial hemorrhage or cerebral infarction. Considering the survival rate, it would be better to maintain at least three months of antiplatelet therapy and it might be recommended to continue DAPT use for 12 months.

Predictive Factors and Prognostic Relevance of Sunitinib-induced Subclinical and Overt Hypothyroidism in Korean Patients with Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma

  • Minoh Ko;Hyun Jee Kim;In-Wha Kim;Tae Min Kim;Jung Mi Oh
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Pharmacy
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.184-193
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    • 2024
  • Background: Sunitinib, commonly used for metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC), often induces hypothyroidism, affecting 27 to 85% of patients. There are clues suggesting an association between sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism and improved survival outcomes. This study aims to identify the predictive factors of sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism and evaluate whether the occurrence of overt or subclinical hypothyroidism predicts tumor outcome in patients with mRCC. Methods: Patients administered to sunitinib for mRCC was included in this retrospective study. Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards model were conducted to identify predictive factors of hypothyroidism and prognostic factors of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Results: A total of 156 patients with mRCC treated with sunitinib were included. Predictive factors of sunitinib-induced hypothyroidism were female (odds ratio (OR), 2.77), sunitinib-induced hypertension (OR, 2.99) and dose reduction of sunitinib due to intolerance (OR, 3.57). Sunitinib-induced overt hypothyroidism was a significant prognostic factor in predicting PFS and OS (hazard ratio, 0.38 and 0.23, respectively). Thyroid hormone replacement did not have an influence on PFS and OS. Conclusions: Female patients, patients who experienced sunitinib-induced hypertension and sunitinib dose reduction are at higher risk of hypothyroidism and need close monitoring. Overt hypothyroidism is a strong prognostic factor of sunitinib treatment outcome in mRCC patients and thyroid hormone replacement does not have a negative effect on tumor outcome.

Statistical Estimates from Black Non-Hispanic Female Breast Cancer Data

  • Khan, Hafiz Mohammad Rafiqullah;Ibrahimou, Boubakari;Saxena, Anshul;Gabbidon, Kemesha;Abdool-Ghany, Faheema;Ramamoorthy, Venkataraghavan;Ullah, Duff;Stewart, Tiffanie Shauna-Jeanne
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.19
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    • pp.8371-8376
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    • 2014
  • Background: The use of statistical methods has become an imperative tool in breast cancer survival data analysis. The purpose of this study was to develop the best statistical probability model using the Bayesian method to predict future survival times for the black non-Hispanic female breast cancer patients diagnosed during 1973-2009 in the U.S. Materials and Methods: We used a stratified random sample of black non-Hispanic female breast cancer patient data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional regression methods. Four advanced types of statistical models, Exponentiated Exponential (EE), Beta Generalized Exponential (BGE), Exponentiated Weibull (EW), and Beta Inverse Weibull (BIW) were utilized for data analysis. The statistical model building criteria, Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), and Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) were used to measure the goodness of fit tests. Furthermore, we used the Bayesian approach to obtain the predictive survival inferences from the best-fit data based on the exponentiated Weibull model. Results: We identified the highest number of black non-Hispanic female breast cancer patients in Michigan and the lowest in Hawaii. The mean (SD), of age at diagnosis (years) was 58.3 (14.43). The mean (SD), of survival time (months) for black non-Hispanic females was 66.8 (30.20). Non-Hispanic blacks had a significantly increased risk of death compared to Black Hispanics (Hazard ratio: 1.96, 95%CI: 1.51-2.54). Compared to other statistical probability models, we found that the exponentiated Weibull model better fits for the survival times. By making use of the Bayesian method predictive inferences for future survival times were obtained. Conclusions: These findings will be of great significance in determining appropriate treatment plans and health-care cost allocation. Furthermore, the same approach should contribute to build future predictive models for any health related diseases.

Prognostic Factors of Patients Requiring Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation in a Medical Intensive Care Unit of Korea

  • Kim, Mi Hyun;Cho, Woo Hyun;Lee, Kwangha;Kim, Ki Uk;Jeon, Doo Soo;Park, Hye-Kyung;Kim, Yun Seong;Lee, Min Ki;Park, Soon Kew
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.73 no.4
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    • pp.224-230
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    • 2012
  • Background: We evaluated the clinical outcomes and prognostic factors of patients requiring prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV), defined as ventilator care for 21 days, who were admitted to the medical intensive care unit (ICU) of a university hospital in Korea. Methods: During the study period, a total of 2,644 patients were admitted to the medical ICU, and 136 patients (5.1%) were enrolled between 2005 and 2010. Results: The mean age of the patients was 61.3±14.5 years, and 94 (69.1%) were male. The ICU and six-month cumulative mortality rates were 45.6 and 58.8%, respectively. There were 96 patients with tracheostomy placement after admission and their mean period from admission to the day of tracheostomy was 21.3±8.4 days. Sixty-three patients (46.3%) were successfully weaned from ventilator care. Of the ICU survivors (n=74), 34 patients (45.9%) were transferred to other hospitals (not university hospitals). Two variables (thrombocytopenia [hazard ratio (HR), 1.964; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.225~3.148; p=0.005] and the requirement for vasopressors [HR, 1.822; 95% CI, 1.111~2.986; p=0.017] on day 21) were found to be independent factors of survival on based on the Cox proportional hazard model. Conclusion: We found that patients requiring PMV had high six-month cumulative mortality rates, and that two clinical variables (measured on day 21), thrombocytopenia and requirement for vasopressors, may be associated with prognostic indicators.

Alcohol Consumption and Mortality in the Korean Multi-center Cancer Cohort Study

  • Jung, En-Joo;Shin, Ae-Sun;Park, Sue-K.;Ma, Seung-Hyun;Cho, In-Seong;Park, Bo-Young;Lee, Eun-Ha;Chang, Soung-Hoon;Shin, Hai-Rim;Kang, Dae-Hee;Yoo, Keun-Young
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.301-308
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: To examine the association between alcohol consumption habit, types of beverages, alcohol consumption quantity, and overall and cancer-specific mortality among Korean adults. Methods: The alcohol consumption information of a total of 16 320 participants who were 20 years or older from the Korean Multicenter Cancer Cohort were analyzed to examine the association between alcohol consumption habit and mortality (median follow-up of 9.3 years). The Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of alcohol consumption to mortality adjusting for age, sex, geographic areas, education, smoking status, and body mass index. Results: Alcohol drinkers showed an increased risk for total mortality compared with never drinkers (HR, 1.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.38 to 2.14 for past drinkers; HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.39 for current drinkers), while past drinkers only were associated with higher risk for cancer deaths (HR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.34 to 2.53). The quantity of alcohol consumed per week showed a J-shaped association with risk of mortality. Relative to light drinkers (0.01 to 90 g/wk), never drinkers and heavy drinkers (>504 g/wk) had an increased risk for all-cause and cancer deaths: (HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.96 to 1.45) and (HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.83) for all-cause mortality; and (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.15 to 2.11) and (HR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.39 to 3.09) for all cancer mortality, respectively. Heavy drinkers (>504 g/wk) showed an elevated risk for death from stomach and liver cancers. Conclusions: The present study supports the existence of a J-shaped association between alcohol consumption quantity and the risk of all-cause and cancer deaths. Heavy drinkers had an increased risk of death from cancer overall and liver and stomach cancer.

The Prognostic Value of the Charlson's Comorbidity Index in Patients with Prolonged Acute Mechanical Ventilation: A Single Center Experience

  • Song, Seung Eon;Lee, Sang Hee;Jo, Eun-Jung;Eom, Jung Seop;Mok, Jeong Ha;Kim, Mi-Hyun;Kim, Ki Uk;Lee, Min Ki;Lee, Kwangha
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.79 no.4
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    • pp.289-294
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    • 2016
  • Background: The aim of our study was to evaluate the prognostic value of Charlson's weighted index of comorbidities (WIC) in patients with prolonged acute mechanical ventilation (PAMV, ventilator care 96 hours). Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 299 Korean PAMV patients who were admitted in a medical intensive care unit (ICU) of a university-affiliated tertiary care hospital between 2008 and 2013. Survivors were defined as patients who survived for 60 days after ICU admission. Results: The patients' mean age was 65.1±14.1 years and 70.6% were male. The mean ICU and hospital length of stay was 21.9±19.7 and 39.4±39.1 days, respectively. In addition, the 60-day mortality rate after ICU admission was 35.5%. The mean WIC was 2.3±1.8, with significant differences between nonsurvivors and survivors (2.7±2.1 vs. 2.1±1.7, p<0.05). The area under the curve of receiver-operating-characteristics curve for WIC was 0.593 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.523-0.661; p<0.05). Based on Kaplan-Meier curves of 60-day survival, WIC 5 had statistically lower survival than WIC <5 (logrank test, p<0.05). In a multivariate Cox proportional hazard model, WIC 5 was associated with poor prognosis (hazard ratio, 1.901; 95% CI, 1.140-3.171; p<0.05). The mortality rate of patients with WIC 5 was 54.2%. Conclusion: Our study showed a WIC score 5 might be helpful in predicting 60-day mortality in PAMV patients.

Cigarette Smoking and Mortality in the Korean Multi-center Cancer Cohort (KMCC) Study (한국인의 흡연과 사망 위험에 관한 코호트 연구)

  • Lee, Eun-Ha;Park, Sue-K.;Ko, Kwang-Pil;Cho, In-Seong;Chang, Soung-Hoon;Shin, Hai-Rim;Kang, Dae-Hee;Yoo, Keun-Young
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2010
  • Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between cigarette smoking and total mortality, cancer mortality and other disease mortalities in Korean adults. Methods: A total of 14 161 subjects of the Korean Multi-center Cancer Cohort who were over 40 years of age and who were cancer-free at baseline enrollment reported their lifestyle factors, including the smoking status. The median follow-up time was 6.6 years. During the follow-up period from 1993 to 2005, we identified 1159 cases of mortality, including 260 cancer mortality cases with a total of 91 987 person-years, by the national death certificate. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of cigarette smoking for total mortality, cancer mortality and disease-specific mortality, as adjusted for age, gender, the geographic area and year of enrollment, the alcohol consumption status, the education level and the body mass index (BMI). Results: Cigarette smoking was significantly associated with an increased risk of total mortality, all-cancer mortality and lung cancer mortality (p-trend, < 0.01, <0.01, <0.01, respectively). Compared to non-smoking, current smokers were at a higher risk for mortality [HR (95% CI)=1.3 (1.1 - 1.5) for total mortality; HR (95% CI)=1.6 (1.1 -2.2) for all-cancer mortality; HR (95% CI)=3.9 (1.9-7.7) for lung cancer mortality]. Conclusions: This study's results suggest that cigarette smoking might be associated with total mortality, all-cancer mortality and especially lung cancer mortality among Korean adults.

Effects of Twin Birth on the Occurrence of Postpartum Disorders, Culling and Reproductive Performance, and its Risk Factors in Dairy Cows (젖소에서 쌍태분만이 산후질병 발생, 도태 및 번식능력에 미치는 영향과 쌍태 위험 요인)

  • Kim, Ill-Hwa;Kang, Hyun-Gu
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.339-343
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    • 2011
  • This study determined the effects of twin birth on subsequent postpartum disorders, culling and reproductive performance, and its risk factors in dairy cows. Detailed data related to reproduction, health, and calving events, including dates of artificial insemination (AI) and calving, hormonal treatment prior to conception, cow parity, twin birth, retained placenta, metabolic disorders, and endometritis were collected from 1,717 individual calvings on 9 dairy farms. The incidence rate of twin birth was 3.4%. Gestation length was shorter in cows with twin birth (270.6±2.0 days) than cows giving birth to singletons (279.5±0.2 days, P < 0.01). The incidence of retained placenta (47.5 vs. 16.0%), metabolic disorders (18.6 vs. 3.8%) endometritis (62.7 vs. 28.2%), and culling rate (32.2 vs. 16.5%) was greater in cows with twin birth than in cows giving birth to singletons, respectively (P < 0.01). The hazard of pregnancy (adjusted hazard ratio, AHR) by 210 days in milk analyzed using Cox proportional hazards model was affected by calving season, in that the rate of pregnancy for cows calved during spring was less than for cows calved during winter (AHR = 0.80; P = 0.01); this was also true for endometritis (AHR = 0.46, P < 0.01). AHR was not affected by twin birth. Logistic analysis demonstrated that increasing the cow parity (P < 0.01) and hormonal treatment prior to conception (adjusted odds ratio, AOR = 1.84, P < 0.05) increased the risk of twin birth. These results demonstrate that twin births are responsible for severe economic losses through the increased occurrence of postpartum disorders and culling; thus, appropriate management for the deleterious impact of twin birth, and/or reducing the risk factors by herd control regarding cow parity and the use of reproductive hormones prior to conception might be necessary.

Independent and Additive Interaction Between Tumor Necrosis Factor β +252 Polymorphisms and Chronic Hepatitis B and C Virus Infection on Risk and Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: a Case-Control Study

  • Jeng, Jen-Eing;Wu, Hui-Fang;Tsai, Meng-Feng;Tsai, Huey-Ru;Chuang, Lea-Yea;Lin, Zu-Yau;Hsieh, Min-Yuh;Chen, Shinn-Chern;Chuang, Wan-Lung;Wang, Liang-Yen;Yu, Ming-Lung;Dai, Chia-Yen;Tsai, Jung-Fa
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.23
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    • pp.10209-10215
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    • 2015
  • To assess the contribution of tumor necrosis factor (TNF)β +252 polymorphisms to risk and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), we enrolled 150 pairs of sex- and age-matched patients with HCC, patients with cirrhosis alone, and unrelated healthy controls. TNFβ +252 genotypes were determined by polymerase chain reaction with restriction fragment length polymorphism. Multivariate analysis indicated that TNFβ G/G genotype [odds ratio (OR), 3.64; 95%CI, 1.49-8.91], hepatitis B surface antigen (OR, 16.38; 95%CI, 8.30-32.33), and antibodies to hepatitis C virus (HCV) (OR, 39.11; 95%CI, 14.83-103.14) were independent risk factors for HCC. There was an additive interaction between TNFβ G/G genotype and chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV)/HCV infection (synergy index=1.15). Multivariate analysis indicated that factors associated with TNFβ G/G genotype included cirrhosis with Child-Pugh C (OR, 4.06; 95%CI, 1.34-12.29), thrombocytopenia (OR, 6.55; 95%CI, 1.46-29.43), and higher serum α-fetoprotein concentration (OR, 2.53; 95%CI, 1.14-5.62). Patients with TNFβ G/G genotype had poor cumulative survival (p=0.005). Cox proportional hazard model indicated that TNFβ G/G genotype was a biomarker for poor HCC survival (hazard ratio, 1.70; 95%CI, 1.07-2.69). In conclusion, there are independent and additive effects between TNFβ G/G genotype and chronic HBV/HCV infection on risk for HCC. It is a biomarker for poor HCC survival. Carriage of this genotype correlates with disease severity and advanced hepatic fibrosis, which may contribute to a higher risk and poor survival of HCC. Chronic HBV/HCV infected subjects with this genotype should receive more intensive surveillance for early detection of HCC.