• 제목/요약/키워드: Project risk

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SOC민간투자사업의 CM 운영체계 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on Development for Construction Management System of Private Infrastructure Project)

  • 박영민;김수용;김대영;조훈희
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2004년도 제5회 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.404-407
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 국내의 CM 조기정착을 유도하고 CM 활용에 대한 성공적인 모델을 제시하기 위하여, 향후 지속적으로 성장할 것으로 판단되는 SOC민간투자사업의 CM 운영체계 개발의 필요성 및 여건을 분석하고 개발 방향을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서 제안한 개발의 방향은 크게 (1)SOC민간투자사업 CM업무 표준 프로세스 가이드 개발, (2)SOC민간투자사업 타당성분석 수행 표준 개발, (3)SOC민간투자사업의 단계별 $\cdot$ 기능별 리스크 Check List의 세 가지 이며, 이와 같은 개발을 통하여 추후 CM 제도의 활성화를 위한 모범사례의 제공 뿐 아니라, 국내 건설산업의 효율성제고 등의 효과를 기대할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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임대형 민자 사업(BTL)에서 운영부문의 문제점 분석과 해결 방안 연구 (A Study on Problems and Improvement in Operation of the BTL Projects.)

  • 노정호;이재영;유정호;김창덕
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2006년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.686-691
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    • 2006
  • 2005년 1월 '사회기반시설에 대한 민간투자법'이 개정되면서 처음으로 BTL 사업이 시행되었다. 민간의 효율과 창의를 발휘하여 높은 수준의 공공서비스를 조기 또는 적기에 제공하기 위한 방책인 BTL 사업은, 건물이 완공된 이후 $20{\sim}30$년 동안 민간업체가 운영 및 관리를 해야 하기 때문에 기획${\cdot}$설계${\cdot}$시공${\cdot}$운영관리의 사업단계 중 운영관리 단계가 사업의 성패를 좌우하는 핵심 부분이다. 하지만, 운영부문에 있어서 Risk 대응방안의 부재, 종합관리System의 부재, 성과수준요구서의 모호함 등의 문제점들이 나타나고 있고 이러한 문제들은 BTL사업의 성패를 좌우하는 요소와 연계된다. 본 연구에서는 문헌조사 및 전문가 면담을 통해 BTL사업 운영부문의 형황 및 실태를 살펴보고 문제점을 분석함으로서 효율적인 사업추진을 도모하기 위한 개선방안을 제시하는 데 그 목적이 있다.

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CACNA1A Gene Polymorphism is Associated with Hypertension in Korean Population

  • Kim, Hye-Kyung;Leem, Kang-Hyun;Lee, Se-Na;Hong, Mee-Sook;Jung, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Su-Kang;Kang, Sung-Wook;Chung, Joo-Ho
    • 대한의생명과학회지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.31-35
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    • 2009
  • High blood pressure (BP) is the most frequent risk factor among metabolic syndrome components. The control of hypertension is very important to prevent the cardiovascular risk in metabolic syndrome. The dysfunction of calcium channel is responsible in the regulation of the vascular muscle contribution to hypertension. Calcium channel, voltage-dependent, P/Q type, alpha-1A subunit (CACNA1A) gene is located in brain and known to control the intracranial hypertension. In this study, we investigate whether the polymorphisms of CACNA1A gene is associated with hypertension. The 49 CACNA1A genotypes were determined using the Affymetrix Genotyping chip array in 92 hypertension and 279 control individuals from a Korean population. Logistic and multiple regression models were employed to analyze the genetic contributions of polymorphisms. Out of 49 polymorphisms, six SNPs (rs12611029, rs16035, rs7259944, rs10419472, rs17777900, and rs4926294) showed a significant association with hypertension in three alternative models (codominant, dominant, and recessive models; P<0.05 after adjusting for age and sex). Our results suggest that the CACNA1A gene may be associated with hypertension in the Korean population.

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Strengthening Risk Evaluation in Existing Risk Diagnosis Method

  • Wong, Shui Yee;Chin, Kwai Sang;Tang, Dawei
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2010
  • An existing risk diagnosing methodology (RDM) diagnoses corporate risk for product-innovation projects. However, it cannot evaluate and compare the risk levels of multiple alternatives in the product development stage. This paper proposes a modified risk diagnosis method to fill the gap of risk evaluation in selections of innovative product alternatives and the application of the method will be also illustrated by a case problem on alternative selections in electrical dimmer designs. With RDM as the foundation, a modified RDM (MRDM) is proposed to deal with the problem of selecting innovative project alternatives during the early stages of product development. The Bayesian network; a probabilistic graphical model, is adopted to support the risk pre-assessment stage in the MRDM. The MRDM is proposed by incorporating the risk pre-assessment stage into the foundation. By evaluating the engineering design risks in two electrical dimmer switches, an application of the MRDM in product innovation development is successfully exemplified. This paper strengthens the existing methodology for RDM in innovative product development projects to accommodate innovative alternatives. It is advantageous for companies to identify and measure the risks associated in product development so as to plan for appropriate risk mitigation strategies.

MODELING MEASURES OF RISK CORRELATION FOR QUANTITATIVE FLOAT MANAGEMENT OF CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS

  • Richard C. Jr. Thompson;Gunnar Lucko
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 5th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.459-466
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    • 2013
  • Risk exists in all construction projects and resides among the collection of subcontractors and their array of individual activities. Wherever risk resides, the interrelation of participants to one another becomes paramount for the way in which risk is measured. Inherent risk becomes recognizable and quantifiable within network schedules in the form of consuming float - the flexibility to absorb delays. Allocating, owning, valuing, and expending such float in network schedules has been debated since the inception of the critical path method itself. This research investigates the foundational element of a three-part approach that examines how float can be traded as a commodity, a concept whose promise remains unfulfilled for lack of a holistic approach. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) of financial portfolio theory, which describes the relationship between risk and expected return of individual stocks, is explored as an analogy to quantify the inherent risk of the participants in construction projects. The inherent relationship between them and their impact on overall schedule performance, defined as schedule risk -the likelihood of failing to meet schedule plans and the effect of such failure, is matched with the use of CAPM's beta component - the risk correlation measure of an individual stock to that of the entire market - to determine parallels with respect to the inner workings and risks represented by each entity or activity within a schedule. This correlation is the initial theoretical extension that is required to identify where risk resides within construction projects, allocate and commoditize it, and achieve actual tradability.

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Offshore 선 Process 배관계의 밸브 소음/진동 평가 절차 (Valve induced noise and vibration evaluation procedure for process piping of offshore production facility)

  • 이주헌;최충영;김재홍;권혁
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2014년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.201-204
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    • 2014
  • Recent year, the vibration induced fatigue and noise of piping work become critical in offshore hydrocarbon production facilities with increasing requests by major oil company. In this paper, the risk base piping vibration induced fatigue assessment of NORSOK L-002 standard and UK Energy Institute guideline have been introduced with real project application practice. Also the piping breakout noise evaluation by flow restriction devices of compressible and in-compressible flow are reviewed with its practical application on real project.

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실물 옵션과 전략적 의사 결정 (Real Options and Strategic Decision Analysis)

  • 김기홍;오형식
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.221-226
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    • 2007
  • This paper suggests a valuation framework of investment project using the concept of real options. We show the valuation process of real assets using the risk-neutral pricing. Especially, we focus on the investment lag. Real assets have investment lag in general. The decision time and the payment time are not identical. So the investment lag should be considered when valuing real assets for reality. We provide the valuation process for real assets, including R&D project. The results of this paper can be used for the real assets valuation and strategic decision analysis.

프리컨스트럭션 서비스 도입을 위한 BIM 기반 설계 최적화 및 시공성 검토 (BIM based Design Optimization and Constructability Improvement for Adoption of Pre-construction Service.)

  • 이창희;이정호
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2017년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.187-188
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    • 2017
  • Korean government is trying to adopt 'CM at Risk(CMR)' method to solve some problems of traditional project delivery method such as cost increase, delay, low quality. Pre-construction service(PCS) is a project management methodology of CMR and BIM is the best tool for efficient PCS execution. PCS is consisted of several main items such as Target costing, Cost trending, GMP, Design optimization, Constructability review and Productivity. The purpose of this research is to analyse contractor's PCS application case result and to find improvement items.

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Fuzzy-FMEA를 활용한 시공사의 리스크 요인 분석 (An analysis on risk factor of constructor with Fuzzy-FMEA)

  • 김석철
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2017
  • The purposes of this study are to analyze risks of construction step BIM(Building Information Modeling) applied project and improve it. Recently, construction industry has emphasized an importance of BIM for efficient utilization of various information. In the whole life cycle of huge construction project, there are cases introducing BIM and projects applying BIM are gradually increased to the work of construction step. However, the process of communication is not established, so the contents of BIM process of construction step are just showing rough fields and concepts of working utilization, so it's restrictive to utilize BIM actively on constructions step. Through results of case study in this research, constructor risks of BIM business should be efficiently treated with Fuzzy-FMEA that is more precise than existing danger evaluation.

Credit Enhancement and its Risk Factors for IPP Projects in Asia: An Analysis by Network

  • Chowdhury, Abu Naser;Chen, Po-Han
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.122-126
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    • 2015
  • Credit enhancement is absolutely essential for financing Independent Power Producer (IPP) projects in Asia particularly for countries whose sovereign credit rating is on non-investment grade and foreign investment is difficult to achieve. Due to nexus of agreements among varies parties in IPP project, it is hard to clearly visualize the roles of these agreements. Examples are: What credit enhancement factors are most influential to minimize the associated risks of IPP projects? Why are they powerful? What are their roles? Who are less powerful and what are the obstacles that causes them less powerful? A research is conducted to identify the credit enhancement factors for IPP projects in Asia. IPP professionals validated 27 out of 28 identified credit enhancement factors, and five factor groupings were made through factor analysis. Afterwards, network theory is applied to find the unanswered questions, which by graphical and mathematical representations show that the host government's credit enhancement, MDBs, ECAs and other parties' credit enhancement are prominent and of great importance to handle the associated risks of IPP projects in Asia

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