• 제목/요약/키워드: Project risk

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발사체 고체추진제의 저장 및 시험 시 안전거리 산정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Calculation of Minimum Safety Distance during Storage and Combustion Test of Solid Propellants for Launch Vehicles)

  • 신안태;박병문;변헌수
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • 제59권2호
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    • pp.180-185
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    • 2021
  • 한-미 미사일지침 개정으로 우주발사체에 대한 고체추진제 사용 제한이 완전히 해제 됐다. 고체추진제는 1단형 과학로켓 KSR-1과 같이 고체추진제 로켓으로 활용 가능하고, 액체연료 발사체의 추력증강 부스터로도 활용 가능하다. 고체추진제는 액체추진제에 비하여 폭발 위험성이 낮은 장점이 있지만 브라질 알칸타라 발사장 폭발사고와 같이 사고가 일어나면 대형 인명사고로 이어질 수 있다. 이와 같은 대형 인명사고를 예방하기 위해서는 고체추진제의 저장 및 시험 시 최소한의 안전거리에 대한 검토가 사업의 기획단계 부터 검토되고 반영 되어야 한다. 본 논문에서는 발사체 고체추진제를 안전하게 사용하기 위한 최소한의 안전거리를 저장시설과 시험 시로 구분하여 산정 기준 및 사례를 제시하였다.

'연구실 안전' 관련 정부연구개발사업 동향 분석 (Status of Government Funded Projects for "Laboratory Safety")

  • 서지영;김혜민;배선영;박정임
    • 한국산업보건학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.396-416
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: This study was conducted to analyze the trends of government R&D (R&D) projects related to laboratory safety over the past 20 years. Methods: We collected publications from various databases(DBs) with words such as laboratory(ies), lab(s), researcher(s), laboratory worker(s), safety, environment, hazard(s), risk(s), and so on. Selected publications were analyzed by the research funds and the number of projects according to the investment subject and research characteristics. Results: About 93% of the total R&D budget went to government policy projects, not scientific research. Second, from the perspective of 'safety management activities', most of the research is related to management and inspection at the organizational level. Issues that need to be discussed at the national level like policy governance are not included. Third, focusing on the 'safety management cycle', there were few studies related to 'prediction' or 'post-response'. Fourth, when an analysis framework combining the perspectives of 'safety management activities' and 'safety management cycle' is applied, most of the budget is spent on infrastructure such as digital management systems, whereas basic knowledge for prevention and production of evidence was very few. Conclusions: In order to prevent policy planning without policy evaluation, implementation without strategy, and evaluation without evidence, it is necessary to expand investment in empirical research on risks, research on the effectiveness of current application methods, and research on theory development. The government budget for laboratory safety-related projects should be managed separately from the R&D budget for scientific research. Although less than 5% of the budget allocated to scientific research is the total budget, an optical illusion occurs because both the project budget and the scientific research budget are counted as R&D budgets.

Physiological Data Monitoring of Physical Exertion of Construction Workers Using Exoskeleton in Varied Temperatures

  • Ibrahim, Abdullahi;Okpala, Ifeanyi;Nnaji, Chukwuma
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1242-1242
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    • 2022
  • Annually, several construction workers fall ill, are injured, or die due to heat-related exposure. The prevalence of work-related heat illness may rise and become an issue for workers operating in temperate climates, given the increase in frequency and intensity of heatwaves in the US. An increase in temperature negatively impacts physical exertion levels and mental state, thereby increasing the potential of accidents on the job site. To reduce the impact of heat stress on workers, it is critical to develop and implement measures for monitoring physical exertion levels and mental state in hot conditions. For this, limited studies have evaluated the utility of wearable biosensors in measuring physical exertion and mental workload in hot conditions. In addition, most studies focus solely on male participants, with little to no reference to female workers who may be exposed to greater heat stress risk. Therefore, this study aims to develop a process for objective and continuous assessment of worker physical exertion and mental workload using wearable biosensors. Physiological data were collected from eight (four male and four female) participants performing a simulated drilling task at 92oF and about 50% humidity level. After removing signal artifacts from the data using multiple filtering processes, the data was compared to a perceived muscle exertion scale and mental workload scale. Results indicate that biosensors' features can effectively detect the change in worker physical and mental state in hot conditions. Therefore, wearable biosensors provide a feasible and effective opportunity to continuously assess worker physical exertion and mental workload.

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시공 중 흙막이 벽체 수평변위 예측을 위한 앙상블 모델 개발 (Development of an Ensemble Prediction Model for Lateral Deformation of Retaining Wall Under Construction)

  • 서승환;정문경
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.5-17
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    • 2023
  • 도심지 지하굴착 공사가 대형화되면서 공사 중 안전사고에 대한 위험요인이 더욱 증가하고 있다. 이에 따라 공사현장의 위험요소를 모니터링하고 사전에 예측할 수 있는 기술이 필요하다. 굴착으로 인한 흙막이 벽체의 변형을 예측하는 방법에는 크게 경험식과 수치해석 두 가지 방법으로 분류할 수 있으며, 최근에는 인공지능 기술의 발달과 함께 머신러닝 기법을 활용한 예측 모델이 한 가지 방법으로 자리 잡고 있다. 본 연구에서는 예측력과 효율성이 우수한 부스팅 계열 알고리즘 및 앙상블 모델을 이용하여 시공 중 흙막이 벽체 변형을 예측하는 모델을 구축하였다. 지하흙막이 공사의 설계-시공-유지관리 과정에서 도출되는 자료들을 복합적으로 활용하여 데이터베이스를 구축하고, 이 자료를 토대로 학습모델을 만들고 성능을 평가하였다. 모델 성능 평가 결과, 높은 정확도로 흙막이 벽체 변형을 예측할 수 있었으며, 지반계측 자료를 학습에 활용함으로써 실제 시공과정의 특성이 반영된 예측결과를 제시할 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 구축한 예측 모델을 활용하여 시공 중 흙막이 벽체의 안정성 평가 및 모니터링에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

The Effect of Cognitive Impairment on the Association Between Social Network Properties and Mortality Among Older Korean Adults

  • Eunji Kim;Kiho Sung;Chang Oh Kim;Yoosik Youm;Hyeon Chang Kim
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제56권1호
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2023
  • Objectives: This study investigated the effect of cognitive impairment on the association between social network properties and mortality among older Korean adults. Methods: This study used data from the Korean Social Life, Health, and Aging Project. It obtained 814 older adults' complete network maps across an entire village in 2011-2012. Participants' deaths until December 31, 2020 were confirmed by cause-of-death statistics. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the risks of poor social network properties (low degree centrality, perceived loneliness, social non-participation, group-level segregation, and lack of support) on mortality according to cognitive impairment. Results: In total, 675 participants (5510.4 person-years) were analyzed, excluding those with missing data and those whose deaths could not be verified. Along with cognitive impairment, all social network properties except loneliness were independently associated with mortality. When stratified by cognitive function, some variables indicating poor social relations had higher risks among older adults with cognitive impairment, with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 2.12 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.34 to 3.35) for social nonparticipation, 1.58 (95% CI, 0.94 to 2.65) for group-level segregation, and 3.44 (95% CI, 1.55 to 7.60) for lack of support. On the contrary, these effects were not observed among those with normal cognition, with adjusted HRs of 0.73 (95% CI, 0.31 to 1.71), 0.96 (95% CI, 0.42 to 2.21), and 0.95 (95% CI, 0.23 to 3.96), respectively. Conclusions: The effect of social network properties was more critical among the elderly with cognitive impairment. Older adults with poor cognitive function are particularly encouraged to participate in social activities to reduce the risk of mortality.

Establishing a pre-mining baseline of natural radionuclides distribution and radiation hazard for the Bled El-Hadba sedimentary phosphate deposits (North-Eastern Algeria)

  • S. Benarous;A. Azbouche;B. Boumehdi;S. Chegrouche;N. Atamna;R. Khelifi
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권11호
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    • pp.4253-4264
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    • 2022
  • Since the implementation of the phosphate project in Bled El-Hadba (BEH) deposit, western region of Tébessa, no detailed study has been conducted to assess the natural radioactivity distribution and the associated radiological risk parameter for this open-pit mine. For the sake of determining a credible premining reference database for the region of interest, 21 samples were collected from different geological layers of the above-mentioned deposit. Gamma Spectrometry was applied for measuring radioactivity using a high resolution HPGe semiconductor detector. The obtained activity results have shown a significant broad variation in the radioactive contents for the different phosphate samples. The total average concentrations (in Bq·kg-1) for 226Ra, 238U, 235U, 232Th and 40K computed for the different type of phosphate layers were found to be 570 ± 169, 788 ± 280, 52 ± 18, 66 ± 6 and 81 ± 18 respectively. The mean activity concentrations of the measured radionuclides were compared to other regional and worldwide deposits. The ratios between the detected radioisotopes have been calculated for spatial distribution of natural radionuclides in the study area. Based on the aforementioned activity concentrations, the corresponding radiation hazard parameters were assessed. Correlations between the obtained parameters were drawn and a multivariate statistical analysis (Pearson Correlation, Cluster and Factor analysis) was carried out in order to identify the existing relationships.

시그모이드 함수를 이용한 가스안전사업 효과의 발현시점 추정과 조정 (Estimation and Adjustment of Time Point in Manifestation of Gas Safety Project Effects using Sigmoid Functions)

  • 임현교;박건영
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.70-77
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    • 2023
  • Gas has replaced coal or petroleum as primary fuel because of its convenience. However, gas has risk of fire, explosion, or poisoning. To reduce gas-related accidents, many strategic projects have been being carried based on 'Gas Safety Management Basic Plans' on a domestic scale. In spite of those projects, the gas-related accident rate did not decrease over past decades. Thus, this study was conducted to analyze the effectiveness of ongoing projects, and to find out ways to make improvements. Conventional statistical analyses on accident data published by gas-related institutions were not useful to determine meaningful attributes to predict future. Whereas, accident case analyses adopted in the present study discovered differences in the type of people and their unsafe acts for each gas type. Meanwhile, the overall average priority of projects was not high in the aspect of System Safety Precedence. If the current trend is maintained, with sigmoid functions, it can be estimated that mean annual accident rate will decrease by only 2.0% in the next two decades. To improve the current trend, the present study made conclusions as followings: (1) safety projects should be designed with careful consideration of accident traits including gas type, unsafe acts, and persons involved and (2) alternative strategies should include system considerations such as minimum hazard design and safety devices prior to mere education or training. To summarize briefly, the present state related with gas accidents highlights the necessity of a system-based multidisciplinary approach.

MIKE Hydro River를 활용한 베트남 Sesan 및 Srepok 강 유역 강둑 세굴 위험성 분석 (Analysis of riverbank erosion risk for the Sesan and Srepok river basin in Vietnam using MIKE Hydro River)

  • 김정곤;신재성;노정수;이성수;이명훈
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.68-68
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    • 2021
  • Sesan강과 Srepok강은 베트남, 캄보디아, 라오스가 공유하는 3S강 유역 (Sesan강, Srepok강, Sekong강)의 일부로 연구 및 관리된다. 3S강 유역은 Mekong강의 중요한 지류이며 Mekong강 유역의 상당 부분을 구성한다(Mekong강 유역 면적의 10%, 연간 총 유출량의 20%). 베트남 측 Sesan강 유역의 면적은 11,255km2이고 Srepok강 유역 면적은 18,162km2이다. Sesan강과 Srepok 강의 상류는 베트남 중부 고원의 긴 산맥에 위치하고 있다. Sesan강과 Srepok강 유역은 기후변화에 따른 홍수, 가뭄, 어업 지속 가능성 감소, 퇴적 등 많은 문제와 도전에 직면 할 것으로 예측되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 World Bank의 "Viet Nam Mekong Integrated Water Resources Management (M-IWRM) Project의 일환으로 베트남 정부 차원에서 처음으로 구축한 수자원관리 의사결정지원 시스템인 "DSS-2S"를 활용하여, Sesan-Srepok강 유역의 강둑 침식 위험성을 분석하였다. DSS-2S는 MIKE Hydro Basin을 기반으로 SWAT모델, 수리모델, 하상변동 모델, 및 수질모델 등과 연계 하여 구축되었다. 2030 년을 목표 연도로 설정하고, 기후 변화 시나리오와 사회 경제적 발전을 기반으로 DSS-2S에 포함되어 있는 유사 이송 및 수리학적 모델을 활용하여 주요 하천 단면에서의 평균 유속과 하상 침식 양을 예측하였다. 유속 및 심부 침식 기준에 근거하여 강둑 침식 위험성을 분석하였다. 모델의 시뮬레이션 결과를 기반으로 강둑 침식 위험이 있는 강 구간은 고(高)유속과 높은 침식의 조합에 의해 결정되었다. 고위험 침식 예상지는 Sesan강 유역의 Dak Bla, Po Ko, 및 Se San강에 총 길이 73.5km에 걸쳐 발생 할 것으로 분석되었으며, 침식 위험이 매우 높은 지역은 Dak Bla 강에 총 길이 2,286m, Po Ko 강에 총 길이 5,096m 정도가 발생 하는 것으로 분석되었다. 강둑 세국을 유발할 수 있는 다양한 인자들을 고찰하였으며, 본 성과는 베트남 중앙 정부의 장기수 자원 종합계획 수립의 기본 자료로 활용 될 예정이다.

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회귀분석을 이용한 고속도로 건설공사 예비비의 산정 (Estimation of Contingency for Highway Construction Project Using Regression Analysis)

  • 윤유중;우성권
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제26권4D호
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    • pp.617-626
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    • 2006
  • 예비비의 산정은 건설공사에서 필연적으로 발생할 수뿐이 없는 예측불가능한 상황으로 인한 공사비의 증가와 공기의 연장에 대처하기 위해서이다. 예비비의 본 취지는 불확실한 요소로 인한 예기치 못한 공사비 증가에 대비하기 위한 수동적인 면에서의 전략도 있지만, 불확실한 요소의 분석을 통해 사전에 공사저해 요소를 제거하고자 하는 능동적인 면에서의 전략도 가지고 있다. 따라서 중장기적인 관점에서 예비비제도가 우리나라에 올바르게 정착되기 위해서는 공사종류별, 특성별 불확실한 요소로 인한 설계변경 사례에 대한 자료의 축적 및 면밀한 분석으로 적정한 예비비를 반영할 수 있어야 할 것이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 고속도로 공사라는 특정 공사에서 설계변경사례를 분석하여 공사비에 영향을 미치는 요소를 판별하고 회귀분석을 이용하여 예비비율을 산정하는 절차를 제시하고자 한다.

Future drought risk assessment under CMIP6 GCMs scenarios

  • Thi, Huong-Nguyen;Kim, Jin-Guk;Fabian, Pamela Sofia;Kang, Dong-Won;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.305-305
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    • 2022
  • A better approach for assessing meteorological drought occurrences is increasingly important in mitigating and adapting to the impacts of climate change, as well as strategies for developing early warning systems. The present study defines meteorological droughts as a period with an abnormal precipitation deficit based on monthly precipitation data of 18 gauging stations for the Han River watershed in the past (1974-2015). This study utilizes a Bayesian parameter estimation approach to analyze the effects of climate change on future drought (2025-2065) in the Han River Basin using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) with four bias-corrected general circulation models (GCMs) under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP)2-4.5 scenario. Given that drought is defined by several dependent variables, the evaluation of this phenomenon should be based on multivariate analysis. Two main characteristics of drought (severity and duration) were extracted from precipitation anomalies in the past and near-future periods using the copula function. Three parameters of the Archimedean family copulas, Frank, Clayton, and Gumbel copula, were selected to fit with drought severity and duration. The results reveal that the lower parts and middle of the Han River basin have faced severe drought conditions in the near future. Also, the bivariate analysis using copula showed that, according to both indicators, the study area would experience droughts with greater severity and duration in the future as compared with the historical period.

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