• Title/Summary/Keyword: Project risk

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A Study on the Quantitative Risk Assessment of Bridge Construction Projects (교량 공사 프로젝트의 정량적 리스크 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Sung-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2020
  • The recent bridge construction projects is demanded more sophisticated risk management measures and loss forecasts to brace for risk losses from an increase in the trend of bridge construction. This study aims to analyze the risk factors that caused the loss of material in actual bridge construction and to develop a quantified predictive loss model, based on the past record of insurance payment by major domestic insurance companies for bridge construction projects. For the development of quantitative bridge construction loss model, the dependent variable was selected as the loss ratio, i.e., the ratio of insurance payout divided by the total project cost, while the independent variable adopted 1) Technical factors: superstructure type, foundation type, construction method, and bridge length 2) Natural hazards: typhoon and flood 3) Project information: construction period and total project cost. Among the selected independent variables, superstructure type, construction method, and project period were shown to affect the ratio of bridge construction losses. The results of this study can provide government agencies, bridge construction design and construction and insurance companies with the quantitative damage prediction and risk assessment services, using risk indicators and loss prediction functions derived from the findings of this study and can be used as a guideline for future basic bridge risk assessment development research.

Dongeui Visual-PERT/CPM for R&D Project Management (연구개발 프로젝트관리를 위한 시각화모델)

  • 황흥석
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.268-271
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    • 2000
  • In these days, the technical advances and complexities have generated much of the difficulties in managing the project resources, both time and costing to accomplish the project in the most efficient manner. The project manager is frequently required to render judgements concerning the schedule and resource adjustments. This research develops an analytical model for a schedule-cost and risk analysis based on visual PERT/CPM. We used a two-step approaches :in the step 1, a deterministic PERT/CPM model for the critical path and estimating the project time schedule and related resource planning, In the second step, we developed a heuristic model for crash and stretch out analysis based upon a time-cost trade-off associated with the crash and stretch out of the project. Computer implementation of this model is provided based on GUI-Type objective-oriented programming for the users and provided displays of all the inputs and outputs in the form of visual graphical. Also developed GUI-type program, Dongeui Visual-PERT/CPM. The results of this research will provide the project managers with an efficient management tool.

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Project Scheduling Technique for New Product Development (신제품 개발 프로젝트 일정관리기법)

  • Ahn Tae-Ho
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.14
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2004
  • Although project management for new product development is a very important issue, only a few approach from project scheduling has been made. The traditional project scheduling research has focused on the project network with certainty, but the new product development project has some uncertainties in network; Some activities may not need to be peformed, and/or some precedent relationships between activities may not need to be kept. In this paper, a simulation model is introduced in order to reflect uncertainties in project network for new product development. This simulation model can be used as a project scheduling technique for product development. By repeating the simulation, the degree of the risk and the feasibility of the project can be assessed.

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A Profitability Forecasting Model available in Planning Stage of Housing Redevelopment Project (주택재개발사업 기획단계에서 이용 가능한 수익성 예측 모델)

  • Ahn, Kyung-Hwan;Park, Jong-Soon;Lee, Jong-Sik;Kwon, Dae-Jung;Chun, Jae-Youl
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2013
  • A judgment on the redevelopment projects' predicted profitability is an essential decision-making element for the success of the redevelopment projects. It is necessary to review the literature on profitability of redevelopment project and draw risk factors that could affect profitability through the risk analysis based on surveys. It is also necessary to judge profitability prediction toward the business value of the redevelopment project in the planning phase according to the risk analysis results which can affect the profitability prediction. In order to prevent the growing difficulties in executing the projects, a profitability prediction model is proposed using the method of management and disposal based on a proportional calculation that can estimate the share of expenses in order to judge profitability in the planning phase. With the improvement of profitability prediction models, it is possible to appropriately judge profitability in the planning phase in order to allow the prevention of suspension, reduction of project term, reduction of cost, and making of rational decisions.

Effective Models for Connecting BTL and Project Finance (BTL 사업과 프로젝트 금융의 효과적 결합 방안)

  • Park, Won-Seok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.233-250
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    • 2008
  • This paper aims to analyze the characteristics of BTL, and to propose the effective models connecting BTL and project finance, through the analysis of current state and case study of BTL. The main results of this study are as follows. Firstly, BTL business have been increasing fast, and most of projects are middle size projects below 100 billion Won. Nextly, key suggestions for improving BTL business model are analyzed, which are, first, risk allocation between public and private interests, second, improvement of method for selecting private investment consortium, and third, alleviation of long-term burden of local finance. Finally, effective models for connecting BTL and project finance, which are, first, model for using asset backed securities, second, model for dividing project corporations into construction corporation and operation corporation, and third, model for risk allocation between public and private interests.

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Performance Analysis of Pre-Construction Phase of CM at Risk Project in Public Sector (공공부문 시공책임형 CM 사업의 시공이전단계 성과분석)

  • Park, Bo-sung;Kim, Ok-kyue
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2021
  • The CM at Risk project, which started with the aim of strengthening the global competitiveness of the domestic construction industry through innovation of ordering system, is being implemented in the form of pilot projects in the public sector. However, it seems that it is necessary to enact related laws and regulations to move to the formal ordering system, and the performance analysis of the project is still insufficient. In this paper, the effectiveness and reliability of the project were verified through the performance analysis of the Pre-Construction Service of the four pilot projects currently being implemented. The results of the study were analyzed in five areas including Team Building, Design Book, Construction Period, VE, and BIM. Through the interview survey, the problems were confirmed and improvement plans were presented. The results of this study are expected to be used as basic data for the legalization of ordering system to be implemented in the future.

Future of Toxicology and Role of Asian Chemical Safety Network

  • Kaminuma, Tsuguchika
    • Toxicological Research
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    • v.17
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    • pp.241-249
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    • 2001
  • Toxicology is under challenge from several new trends in science and technology, namely computer, the Internet, genome projects, genomic technologies, and combinatorial chemistry. These new trends will drastically change research style of toxicology. In addition to conventional uni cellular tests and animal tests using rodents, computer simulation, DNA chips (microarrays), in vivo tests using simple model organisms such as nematodesor flies become important routine screening tests. How to arrange these tests in tiers will become a new problem. Endocrine disruptors hypothesis is a good example for this kind of futuristic approach. Computer, particularly the Internet, is also enabling toxicologists and regulatory experts to collaborate more closely. The IPCS (International Program for Chemical Safety) which is ajoint project of WHO, ILO and UNEP, is a well-known international collaborative research for chemical risk assessments. The GINC project of IPCS is an effort to utilize the Internet for such collaborations. Some efforts were also made to establish regional collaboration network in East Asia under this project.

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Current Practices of the Customer-Oriented Web Site Development Methodologies and their Evaluation (고객지향적 웹 사이트 개발 방법론의 현황과 평가)

  • 이선로;김기영
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.15-37
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    • 2004
  • This study attempts to investigate the industrial practices of the web site development methodologies and their impacts on the web site development project performance. Most of Korean web site development firms currently use customized component-based development(CBD) methodologies that have been internally developed. The methodologies generally being accepted by web site developers, however, did not emerge yet. In addition, this study shows that indiscreet applications of various methodologies and techniques might cause negative impacts on the project performance since the web site development projects are also exposed to most of the risk factors identified in the traditional systems development.

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The Effects of Requirement Uncertainty, Control Standardization, Interactions on Software Quality (요구사항 불확실성, 통제 표준화, 상호작용이 소프트웨어 품질에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Ki-Yoon;Na, Kwan-Sik;Yang, Dong-Gu
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.101-120
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    • 2002
  • Risk management or risk-based approach of software project management was developed to explain the effects of requirement uncertainty, control standardization, interactions on software quality. Based on a prior theory, five hypotheses were derived and empirically tested using a survey design. Data from 117 members in 3 SI companies support for the path model, and three of five hypotheses. The results showed that decreases in requirement uncertainty and increases in control standardization were directly associated with increases in the interactions between user and project teams, which, in turn, led to increases software quality. The findings suggested that the direct effect on software quality is primarily due to the interactions between user and project teams, rather than requirement uncertainty and control standardization.

A Basic Study on the Introduction of Professional Indemnity Insurance for Construction Project Managers

  • Cho, Young-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.102-111
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    • 2013
  • During the administration of a construction project, various types of participants are engaged in the project. From the design phase to the maintenance phase, these participants may confront many risks. To avoid these risks, participants should utilize an insurance company or a bond company. The types of risks and liability that a construction manager may face are listed in the construction law or contract. But there are some arguments related to risk transferring and the content of risks. For this reason, construction managers must carefully consider any possible risks in the contract and the construction law. Therefore, for construction managers to deal with risks appropriately, the introduction of a legal requirement to carry professional liability insurance, a defined compensation range for damages, a method of guarantee in the event of defects, a defined compensation claim period for damage, and a method of damage claim were suggested in this study.