• Title/Summary/Keyword: Productivity Forecast

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Forecasting of Port Productivity to Response Very Large Container Ship (초대형 컨테이너선 기항에 대응하는 항만생산성 예측)

  • Choi Yong-Seok;Ha Tae-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.319-325
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    • 2005
  • The objective of this paper is to forecast the port productivity of container terminal to response very large container ship. In general, the productivity of container terminal is evaluated by productivity of stevedoring system including container cranes, yard cranes, and yard tractors. Therefore, we analyzed the current productivity of container crane as port productivity in Pusan ports and forecast net productivity and gross productivity of container cranes to handle the containers cf very large container ship. In order to improve the productivity, we summarize alternatives of stevedoring system and operation system.

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WBS Development for Acquisition and Analysis of public Housing Productivity Data (공동주택 생산성 데이터 수집/분석을 위한 WBS 개발)

  • Kim, Jae-Woo;Kim, Yea-Sang;Kim, Young-Suk;Kim, Sang-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.86-94
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    • 2008
  • Productivity is one of key management indexes for evaluating soundness of a manufacturing organization and its efficiency. In many aspects of productivity management in the construction industry, however, intuition of an experienced field manager still plays a greater role while productivity data is not utilized efficiently for the construction management purposes, because the collection and analysis of the productivity-related information are not systematic. Lack of systematic method in collecting and analyzing the productivity data results in such problems. The existing WBS should therefore be improved to solve them. The authors developed a new WBS for productivity data collection and analysis by following the research direction that was determined by literature reviews, overseas cases, and interviews with field engineers. The new breakdown structure was then evaluated for its feasibility as a productivity analysis framework. It is expected that the productivity data collected by the WBS will be used for OLAP and mining for future productivity forecast.

The effect of the improvement of nursing productivity in Hospital Information System;A Case study on Kwangju Patriots' and Veterans' Hospital (병원정보시스템내의 간호생산성향상효과에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Byung-Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing Administration
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.237-251
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest successful strategies through which the effect of the information system of a hospital can be forecasted at the nursing department. In order to set up successful strategies, in the first place, both the methods of CSF(Critical Success Factor: Rockart, 1979) and ULD(User-Led Development) method and the method suggested by the Korea Productivity Center were applied. In order to measure the improvement of nursing productivity, the Dissonance theory was used. The data were collected from 100 employees serving at the clinic department of Kwangju Patriots' and Veterans' Hospital from July 4 to July 25, 1998 with reference to all 222 cases, for sampling work; then the part of the efficiency of the treatment or management of hospital business - simplification of the process of the treatment of hospital business and reduction of the time of the treatment of hospital business were measured; and in order to forecast organizational behavior, 100 cases of organization behavior were analysed, based on the well structured, questionnaires. In order to forecast the user's organizational behavior, a tool(Ronald. 1988; Stephen, 1982: Senn, 1992: Olsen, 1980: Anderson, 1988: Kim. 1992: Cho. 1994) to measure the extent or degree of the user's recognition or understanding whose reliability coefficient is 0.63 was used: and regarding the items expected by the users concerning the convenience of the system, a tool created by Bernadett, Szajna and Richard W. Scamell(1993) whose reliability coefficient is 0.88 was used. And finally, those data were analysed, utilizing the statistical package of SPSS/PC 6.0. successful strategies are suggested as follows: 1. In order that the Kwangju Patriots' and Veterans' Hospital's purpose can be successful through its strategic, information system, the quality of its services should be elevated. and for elevating the quality of medical services, elevation of the quality of medical expertism or specialty is an important factor in determining such quality. 2. In order to make the hospital information system to be successful, the hospital's top manager should participate in the effort making it successful with helping hands of the members or personnel of the hospital. 3. In order to make users participate in the hospital information system, it is prerequisite that all nurses in a hospital should voluntarily participate in the system 4. In order to reduce the expense, the time in coping with business per duty should be reduced by 10${\sim}$33.23%. The time of the direct nursing care which added value is relatively high should be elongated in order to elevate the quality of hospital services. 5. Since the introduction and spread of the hospital information system are influenced by the duration in the experience of computer use, the user of the hospital information system should have a plan to receive well-planned computer education. Finally it is suggested that the forecast of long-term productivity through a review of the user's expectation of the system should be inspected and tested through continuous studies of its effectiveness.

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A Study on Productivity of Foreign Labors in Domestic Apartment Construction Site -Focused on Evaluation of Productivity and Productivity Impediment Factor- (건설현장에서 외국인 노동자의 생산성에 관한 연구 -생산성 및 생산성 저해인자 평가를 중심으로-)

  • Choi, Hee-Bok;Shin, Youn-Seuk;Kang, Kyung-In
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.5 no.1 s.15
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    • pp.75-79
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    • 2005
  • The Korean society faces a new issue of accepting foreign workers. Foreign labors in construction industry reached about 400,000 recently. Thus they have become one of the essential resources to fill up insufficient labor supplies in construction industry. And it is important how to manage foreign labors efficiently. However there are few studies focused on this subject. Purpose of this study is to research productivity of foreign labors in the domestic construction site. So investigate the value of foreign labors. Also this study forecast elements effect on foreign labors productivity in the construction industry. And research what element is more important to improve productivity and what element is more difficult to manage. In the result, this study is expected to prospect effective method of foreign labor's management in the domestic construction industry, so contribute to utilize foreign labors more efficiently.

Study under productivity measurement and verification of the underground temporary material installation work by simulation technique (시뮬레이션을 활용한 지하가설물 설치작업의 생산성 측정 및 검증에 관한 연구)

  • Bae Yeon-Jin;Park Sang-Hyuk;Han Seung-Heon;Paek Joon-Hong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.427-432
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    • 2004
  • As it is keen competition of a construction market and the recognition that increases construction productivity for maintaining competitiveness, it is increased importance of an interest about productivity and efficiency in the construction industry. This study measures productivity through the instance of investigation that the existing productivity measurement method was utilized and presented a work improvement matter based on the measured contents. The proposed improvement matter is verified through a simulation technique. The purpose of this paper is for a field supervisor to have presented the way that a selection does the most suitable work method to be suitable for a situation, and can forecast production, though a simulation technique is not the most alternative that considered field condition in analyzing productivity measurement.

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Structural Change and Green Growth in Korea, 1980~2020 (한국의 구조적 변화와 녹색성장)

  • Kim, Yong Jin
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.1-26
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    • 2012
  • Greenhouse gas emission policy in Korea and elsewhere is based on emissions projections, a key element of which is the projected path of structural change from high productivity growth to low productivity growth economic sectors given sector specific labor productivity growth, emissions abatement across sectors and population growth. Thus, it is important to model the source of the structural change to forecast emissions correctly. Using data for the Korean economy, this study constructs and quantitatively evaluates a model of structural change and green growth to generate policy implications for Korea and the international greenhouse gas debate.

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ANALYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF WEATHER ON CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTIVITY RATE FOR SUPER-HIGHRISE BUILDING CONSTRUCTION FRAMEWORK

  • Jae-won Shin;Han-kook Ryu;Moon-seo Park;Hyun-soo Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.1124-1128
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    • 2005
  • The duration of a construction project is not only a key element for taking a new order, but also a strict yardstick to determine certain project successful or not. However, since construction project is basically outdoor job and most of the activities are proceeded out-air, no matter how the schedule plan has been established accurately, actual project proceeds due to the weather condition, beyond anyone's control. In this paper, the functional relationship between work productivity rate and weather elements is suggested by regression analysis. Difference of the relationship and influence of weather due to the seasonal group are also revealed. With these results, by simulating actual weather data and generating weather forecast through historical data, more accurate schedule would be obtained.

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A Process of Selecting Productivity Influencing Factors For Forecasting Construction Productivity (생산성 예측을 위한 생산성 영향요인 선정 프로세스)

  • Lim, Jae-In;Kim, Yea-Sang;Kim, Young-Suk;Kim, Sang-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.92-100
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    • 2008
  • Productivity is acknowledged as a very important factor for successful construction projects. Various data items collected daily form a construction site can be used for monitoring its productivity by analyzing them. However, no analytical methods for that purpose have been established in the domestic construction industry yet. Previous researches that utilized OLAP and data mining to analyze the factors that affect the productivity did not do well with predicting future cases with sufficient reliability. This research therefore proposes a new analytical process which is capable of figuring out the factors that would affect the productivity of future projects, through qualitative and quantitative analysis of the data collected from past projects.

The Effect of Demographic Changes on the Growth Potential of Korea (인구구조 변화가 성장 잠재력에 미치는 영향)

  • Joo, Sangyeong;Hyun, Jun Seog
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.71-102
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes the effect of demographic changes on economic growth. We use the supply-side output identity to forecast the growth potential of the Korean economy. According to the results, even based on optimistic assumptions and prospects, the economic growth rate is likely to fall drastically starting in 2020. Of course, to maintain growth potential, efforts to increase productivity are necessary. However, given the historical experience of developed countries, it is not clear whether the huge trend of demographic change can be offset by efforts to increase productivity. In the so-called '30-50 club' countries, both labor productivity and growth rate tend to fall after reaching the per capita income of $30,000. The degree of decline in the growth rate is closely related to changes in the working age population and the prime-age workforce. The results are similar when tracking the path of changes in total factor productivities of the economy. When a certain level of income is reached, the increase in total factor productivity also tends to slow down. The ripple effects of rapid changes in demographics will indeed be extensive. The negative impact is likely to be concentrated at a time when the working age population, the prime-age workforce, and the total population shrink simultaneously. Above all, it is necessary to use the government's fiscal space to block the possibility of a rapid fall in the growth rate. In addition, it is important to continuously implement various reform tasks that should be promoted, such as improving the education system and strengthening the social safety net.

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Long Range Forecast of Garlic Productivity over S. Korea Based on Genetic Algorithm and Global Climate Reanalysis Data (전지구 기후 재분석자료 및 인공지능을 활용한 남한의 마늘 생산량 장기예측)

  • Jo, Sera;Lee, Joonlee;Shim, Kyo Moon;Kim, Yong Seok;Hur, Jina;Kang, Mingu;Choi, Won Jun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.391-404
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    • 2021
  • This study developed a long-term prediction model for the potential yield of garlic based on a genetic algorithm (GA) by utilizing global climate reanalysis data. The GA is used for digging the inherent signals from global climate reanalysis data which are both directly and indirectly connected with the garlic yield potential. Our results indicate that both deterministic and probabilistic forecasts reasonably capture the inter-annual variability of crop yields with temporal correlation coefficients significant at 99% confidence level and superior categorical forecast skill with a hit rate of 93.3% for 2 × 2 and 73.3% for 3 × 3 contingency tables. Furthermore, the GA method, which considers linear and non-linear relationships between predictors and predictands, shows superiority of forecast skill in terms of both stability and skill scores compared with linear method. Since our result can predict the potential yield before the start of farming, it is expected to help establish a long-term plan to stabilize the demand and price of agricultural products and prepare countermeasures for possible problems in advance.