• Title/Summary/Keyword: Production Inducement

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Impact of U.S. Trade Pressure on Korean Domestic Automobile Industry: Centering on Trade Protectionism Expansion (미국의 통상압력에 따른 국내 자동차산업 파급효과: 보호무역주의 확대를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Nam-Suk
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.25-45
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    • 2018
  • This paper estimates the export losses of the Korean domestic automobile industry due to US trade pressure and its economic ripple effects. Using the HS 6 digit tariff and export data from 2010 to 2017, this paper estimates the tariff elasticity of Korea's US automobile exports against a US tariff increase by applying the Poisson Pseudo maximum likelihood estimation method. After estimating Korea's export losses to the US in three trade pressure scenarios, we estimate its impact on Korean domestic production, value-added and job creation by applying the tariff impact accumulation model based on the industry input-output analysis. Empirical results show that the impact of 25% global tariff by the US on the Korean domestic economy is estimated to result in $30.8 billion in export losses for the five years from 2019 to 2023, about 300 thousand job losses, 88.0 trillion in production inducement losses, and 24.0 trillion in value-added inducement losses. The impacts of withdrawal of the automobile tariff concession are estimated at $4.27 billion export losses and 41.7 thousand job losses. A 15% tariff rate on automobile parts for 3 years is estimated to result in $1.93 billion export losses and 18.7 thousand job losses.

Economic Feasibility Analysis Study to Build a Plant-based Alternative Meat Industrialization Center (식물성 기반 대체육 산업화센터 구축을 위한 경제적 타당성 분석)

  • Yong Kwang Shin;So Young Lee;Jae Chang Joo
    • Journal of Practical Agriculture & Fisheries Research
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.118-126
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    • 2024
  • Recently, the alternative meat (food) market is growing rapidly due to the increase in meat consumption due to global population growth and income improvement, as well as issues such as equal welfare, carbon neutrality, and sustainability. The government is also developing a green bio convergence new industry development plan to foster alternative foods, but there are difficulties in commercialization due to the lack of technology and insufficient production facilities among domestic small and medium-sized enterprises, so it is necessary to build joint utilization facilities and equipment to resolve the difficulties faced by companies. am. In addition, small and medium-sized enterprises are having difficulty developing and commercializing plant-based meat substitutes due to a lack of technical skills, and related equipment is expensive, making it difficult to build equipment on their own. Accordingly, Jeollabuk-do is pursuing a strategy to secure the source technology for development, processing, and industrialization of plant-based substitute meat at the level of developed countries by establishing a plant-based alternative meat industrialization center. In this study, an economic feasibility analysis study was conducted when a plant-based alternative meat industrialization center is built in Jeollabuk-do. As a result of the analysis, B/C=1.32, NPV=374 million won, and IRR=4.8%, showing that there is economic feasibility in establishing an alternative meat industrialization center. In addition, as a result of analyzing the regional economic ripple effect resulting from the establishment of an industrialization center, if 38 billion won is invested in Jeollabuk-do, the nationwide production inducement effect is 74 billion won, the added value inducement effect is 29.8 billion won, and the employment inducement effect is 672 people

The Spillover Effect of FDI on GDP -Analysis on Myanmar using GARCH and VAR- (외국인 직접투자의 국민소득에 대한 전이효과 -GARCH와 VAR를 이용한 분석-)

  • Yoon, Hyung-Mo
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.41-63
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    • 2017
  • FDI can either be absorbed in the production cycle with domestic investment and create an inducement effect or it can remain as an exogenous factor and increase the volatility of GDP. The purpose of this paper is to research these different impacts that FDI could have. For that, the endogenous growth theory was employed. The statistic method used are the panel model for sectoral analysis, and GARCH model and VAR for time series analysis. Myanmar was selected as this paper's research subject because it is one of countries which had a colossal amount of FDI inflow recently. The panel analysis did not confirm the causality between sectoral FDI and sectoral GDP. The reason for this could be in the lack of data, since sectoral data exists yearly only during 2006-2016. Therefore this study conducted the times series analysis. According to the results, during 2006 until 2010, it showed signs of GARCH but the effect of FDI on GDP was nonexistent, which means FDI was not integrated into the domestic production cycle but stayed in residual terms. During 2011 to 2016, FDI seemed to affect the growth of Myanmar's GDP. The estimation confirmed the existence of GARCH and the Granzer causality test confirmed that FDI influenced the GARCH, which signified FDI increased the volatility of GDP. The VAR analysis showed responses of GDP to FDI was small(about 0.0007). This research assumes that FDI can be divided in two parts: one part which can be assimilated in the domestic production cycle and the other where it stays outside of the production cycle. The former creates production inducement effect and the latter only increases the volatility of GDP. According to this study, the latter outweighs the former impact in Myanmar.

A Development of Railroad R&D Project Performance Analysis Method (철도사업 성과분석 표준매뉴얼 개발)

  • Jin, Il-Kyoung;Yoo, Jae-Kyun;Byun, Ji-Young
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.472-476
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    • 2011
  • Railway R&D technology development projects for the economic value of technology development does not mention the estimated economic impact on future policies must reflect the issues that are raised. In the research phase of technology development by providing value and economic effects can increase the utilization of technology development are considered. However, some items in some way to analyze and quantify its effect on what the procedures are not standardized, not as needed by individual researchers and analysis by providing a variety of reliability problems can occur. Therefore, the development of technologies to measure the value and economic impact analysis and the development of a standardized manual is needed. In this paper, development of railway technology R & D performance (technical, economic) to be estimated by an objective analysis of standardized and that man should aim to create. And the standard manual of the national economic effect in the development of technologies (production inducement effect, the effect of import substitution industries, including analysis using the taxable year), due to technology development and economic benefits (investment in railways in the handbook and the feasibility of the proposed railway project to produce various ally standards), technology development, and on which to base the valuation will.

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Analysis of Economic Effects for Surion Research and Development Program (수리온 연구개발 사업의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Lee, Ki Young;Kim, Sung Geun;Shim, Dai Sung;Kim, Mi Joung;Kwon, Ki Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.189-194
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    • 2016
  • This paper deals with the economic effects for the Surion(KUH-1) research and development program. The economic effects was measured by Inter-industry analysis method for production-inducing effects, value-added inducement effects, and job-creation effects and by estimating actual domestic input cost. In addition, technical riffle effects was analyzed for aerospace industry, defense industry and commercial industry market through similarity and contribution of technology.

An Analysis of Economic Effects of The Fintech Industry (핀테크 산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Jeong, Youngkeun;Park, Ho-Young;Park, Chuhwan
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we define Fintech services as review previous literatures and identify the traditional Fintech service market for analysing the economic effects of the Fintech Industry by using the 2014 Input-Output Table. We can identify the current market of Fintech industry which consists of VAN, PG, financial SW, mobile banking and Fintech R&D and we conduct Input-Output analysis by using non-competitive import model. The Input-Output analysis results show that production inducement effect and front/rear chain effect of the Fintech Industry are below average of other industries. This is because the Fintech technology and industry were emerging in Korea at that time (2014), and thus the ripple effects are not significant. Especially, due to the existing white risk financial regulation, new business opportunities have not been open to adapt new ICT-financial technologies. Therefore, when the business ecosystem is build through deregulation and platforms of the financial sector, it is expected that the Fintech Industry will have a high ripple effect. In this study, we identify the current market of Fintech industry from ICT indusries and conduct Input-Output analysis. The economic effects of the Fintech industry are not remarkable, but it is significant to identify the emerging market and present the basic analysis of issued research field.

Effect of Chronic Inhibition of Nitric Oxide on Blood Pressure and Apoptosis in the Blood Pressure-Associated with Organs

  • Bae, Hyung-Joon
    • Biomedical Science Letters
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2010
  • Sprague-Dawley(SD) rats were orally administered with $N^G$-nitro-L-arginine methyl ester(L-NAME) which inhibits or blocks the production of nitric oxide from L-arginine in vascular endothelial cells and vessel tissue to statistically examine the effects of nitric oxide on some physiological changes such as blood pressure and heart rate, and to confirm the apoptosis induced by the suppressed nitric oxide activity in some related organs under light microscope. Systolic blood pressure significantly increased 28.5% by the chronic treatment of L-NAME for 8 weeks (P<0.001), no significant difference, however, was observed in heart rate between the control group and the L-NAME-treated group regardless of their age. Hematoxylin-eosin staining showed some histological alterations only in kidney among the examined organs; heart, liver, pancreas, and adrenal gland from the L-NAME-treated group. TUNEL (terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick end labeling) test showed a strong positive reaction, representing that the chronic treatment of L-NAME facilitates apoptosis, in the cortex and medulla of kidney, but not any significance detectable in the other organs. These results conclude that chronic treatment of L-NAME significantly increases blood pressure, and that the followed inhibition of nitric oxide synthesis occurs a typical inducement of apoptosis in kidney.

A Study on the Structural Causes of Underdevelopment of Regional Economy (지역경제 저성장의 구조적 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Yu, Won-Keun;Choi, Ho-Yeong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.45-59
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    • 2014
  • An empirical analysis on the structural causes on the economic underdevelopment of a specific region is an important work for the constituents to solve the submitted problems of those sources of the questions and to establish more active regional economic growth structure hereafter. Basically this paper recognizes that the fragile characteristics of accumulation structure is due to the higher portion of small enterprises and other unfavorable material conditions compared to other regions. On the basis of this estimation, we are going to present some materials to help establishing the development strategies by analysing the structural characteristics of time serial GRDP and Regional Input-Output Tables.

The Analysis on Economic Ripple Effect of the Fishing Village New Deal 300 Project (어촌뉴딜300 사업의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Lee, Seo-Gu;Kim, Jung-Tae
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.73-86
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to provide logical and policy justification for the feasibility and sustainability of the project through analysis of economic ripple effects of the fishing village new deal 300 project. To do this, we applied the industry-related analysis, which is mainly used to analyze the economic ripple effects, to the fishing village new deal 300 project. The industry association analysis classifies the detailed project of the preliminary plan for the selection of the business into the software business such as the hardware business and the capacity enhancement in the construction field and analyzes the economic ripple effect through the inter-industry association. As a result, it is expected that the fishing village new deal 300 project will have a positive economic impact. When the total investment of 3 trillion won is invested in the project, it is estimated that the production inducement effect and the value added effect are 5,545.3 billion won and 2,102.7 billion won, respectively. In addition, 62,005 get job inducements, where 10,952 employment inducements were associated with job creation. The analysis of the above impacts seems to have secured the logical justification for the implementation of the fishing village new deal 300 project.

Estimating the Growth Rate of Inbound Air Travelers to Jeju with ARIMA Time-Series - Using Golf Course Visitor Data - (ARIMA 시계열 모형을 이용한 제주도 인바운드 항공여객 증가율 예측 연구 - 제주지역 골프장 내장객 현황 데이터를 활용하여 -)

  • Gun-Hee Sohn;Kee-Woong Kim;Ri-Hyun Shin;Su-Mi Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.92-98
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    • 2023
  • This paper used the golf course visitors' data in Jeju region to forecast the growth of inbound air traveler to Jeju. This is because the golf course visitors were proven to bring the highest economic and production inducement effect to the Jeju region. Based on such a data, this paper forecast the short-term growth rate of inbound air traveler using ARIMA to the Jeju until December 2025. According to ARIMA (0,1,0) (0,1,1) model, it was analyzed that the monthly number of golf course visitors to Jeju has been increasing steadily even since COVID-19 pandemic and the number is expected to grow until the end of 2025. Applying the same parameters of ARIMA (0,1,0) (0,1,1) to inbound air travel data, it was found the growth rate of inbound air travelers would be higher than the growth rate of 2019 shortly without moderate variation even though the monthly number of inbound travelers to Jeju had been dropped during COVID-19 pandemic.