• Title/Summary/Keyword: Product Selection

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A New Metric for Evaluation of Forecasting Methods : Weighted Absolute and Cumulative Forecast Error (수요 예측 평가를 위한 가중절대누적오차지표의 개발)

  • Choi, Dea-Il;Ok, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.159-168
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    • 2015
  • Aggregate Production Planning determines levels of production, human resources, inventory to maximize company's profits and fulfill customer's demands based on demand forecasts. Since performance of aggregate production planning heavily depends on accuracy of given forecasting demands, choosing an accurate forecasting method should be antecedent for achieving a good aggregate production planning. Generally, typical forecasting error metrics such as MSE (Mean Squared Error), MAD (Mean Absolute Deviation), MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error), and CFE (Cumulated Forecast Error) are utilized to choose a proper forecasting method for an aggregate production planning. However, these metrics are designed only to measure a difference between real and forecast demands and they are not able to consider any results such as increasing cost or decreasing profit caused by forecasting error. Consequently, the traditional metrics fail to give enough explanation to select a good forecasting method in aggregate production planning. To overcome this limitation of typical metrics for forecasting method this study suggests a new metric, WACFE (Weighted Absolute and Cumulative Forecast Error), to evaluate forecasting methods. Basically, the WACFE is designed to consider not only forecasting errors but also costs which the errors might cause in for Aggregate Production Planning. The WACFE is a product sum of cumulative forecasting error and weight factors for backorder and inventory costs. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed metric by conducting intensive experiments with demand data sets from M3-competition. Finally, we showed that the WACFE provides a higher correlation with the total cost than other metrics and, consequently, is a better performance in selection of forecasting methods for aggregate production planning.

Selecting a Mobile Device Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP를 이용한 모바일 기기 선정)

  • Byun, Dae-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2011
  • A mobile device is a handheld device, typically having a display screen with touch input and/or a miniature keyboard and accessible to the Internet. Because mobile devices are innovative and rapidly changing products, consumers are confronted with a decision-making problem to select the best device. This paper proposes an Analytic Hierarchy Process method to assess mobile devices and shows a method to select best mobile devices when purchasing. For this paper, the mobile devices considered as in the AHP model included net-book, tablet PC, smart phone, and camera phone. We derived 6 main criteria and 15 sub-criteria to synthesize the overall priority of criteria and mobile devices. The criterion of convenience in carrying showed the highest rank in the criteria. Although smart phones had the highest priority, the four mobile devices did not show significant differences in consumer preference.

Study on Consumers' Restaurant Selection Criteria by Using Conjoint Analysis (외식 소비자의 레스토랑 선택속성 및 속성가치에 대한 선호도 조사 연구 -컨조인트 분석을 이용하여-)

  • Hong, Jong-Sook;Jeon, Ji-Young;Kim, Young-Sook
    • Journal of the East Asian Society of Dietary Life
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.315-321
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    • 2012
  • In this study, the product attributes that give customers the estimated benefits and products that can predict the customer's choice conjoint analysis techniques to identify the restaurant affinity markets a new dining concept was to develop. Questionnaire for this study of 400 non-response is negative and insincere characters, except for the final analysis, the questionnaire Part 309 was the target. Conjoint model used in this study Pearson's R is 0.928 ($p$<0.000), Kendall's tau is 0.750 ($p$<0.000) with an orthogonal plan was well suited for profiling attributes are extracted 16. Part of the relative importance of the value of the property to determine the result of analyzing the properties that are most important at the level of the respondents of the induct (38.46%), and followed by price (30.52%), Atmosphere (18.28%), and Exclusive space (12.73%) was followed. Portion of the property value for each analysis among industry preference for the Italian food was highest, a nature-friendly interior atmosphere had the highest affinity Average per price at 10,000 won~30,000 won or less than the amount of affinity was higher location of the restaurant alone, showed that space preferred. Through simulation in a virtual seafood restaurant nature-friendly image, average price per person ranging from 10,000 to 30,000won at an exclusive restaurant was most preferred.

Sign-Extension Overhead Reduction by Propagated-Carry Selection (전파캐리의 선택에 의한 부호확장 오버헤드의 감소)

  • 조경주;김명순;유경주;정진균
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.27 no.6C
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    • pp.632-639
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    • 2002
  • To reduce the area and power consumption in constant coefficient multiplications, the constant coefficient can be encoded using canonic signed digit(CSD) representation. When the partial product terms are added depending on the nonzero bit(1 or -1) positions in the CSD-encoded multiplier, all sign bits are properly extended before the addition takes place. In this paper, to reduce the overhead due to sign extension, a new method is proposed based on the fact that carry propagation in the sign extension part can be controlled such that a desired input bit can be propagated as a carry. Also, a fixed-width multiplier design method suitable for CSD multiplication is proposed. As an application, 43-tap filbert transformer for SSB/BPSK-DS/CDMA is implemented. It is shown that, about 16∼28% adders can be saved by the proposed method compared with the conventional methods.

A Research on the Manufacture of Eco-Friendly Weed-Proof Mortar using Industrial Byproducts (산업부산물(産業副産物)을 혼입(混入)한 친환경성(親環境性) 방초(防草) 모르타르의 제조(製造)에 관(關)한 기초적(基礎的) 연구(硏究))

  • Kim, Nam Wook;Ko, Young Zoo
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2012
  • Removal work about weeds that grow naturally on road and industrial complex is attaining ordinary times but is suffering difficulty in weeding work by strong self-generation power. In the meantime, going side by side with these manual processing and weeding work through construction of weed-proof seat is attaining, but economic performance, limitation of application region and withdrawal processing problem are being blamed for shortcoming. The scope of this study is about the manufacture of weed-proof mortar using eco-friendly industrial byproducts characterized by an economic and simplicity for not limited to loss of function as a product recovered after treatment. After the carried out the various experiments and actual construction for the selection of mixing materials and derivation of appropriate mix, through the comparison and analysis of results, it was investigated the research results of weed-proof mortar for fundamental development.

A study on the practice application of oral hygiene auxiliary supplies and oral health status ofpatients in 'S' university dental clinic (치위생과 실습실 내원환자의 구강위생보조용품 사용유무와 구강건강상태와의 관계)

  • Nam, Sang-Mi
    • Journal of Korean society of Dental Hygiene
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.373-381
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    • 2011
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship among the practice application of oral hygiene auxiliary supplies, oral health state of patients in S university dental clinic. Methods : The subject in this were 261 patients who got a scaling at the oral hygiene practice lab in the department of dental hygiene in S university dental clinic from April 1 to May 31, 2010. For the data analysis, an SPSS WIN 11.5 program was used and its signification level was 0.05. Results : 1. For the oral health state according to sex distinction, it showed the men's 0.78 MT index was higher than women's 0.48 MT index and statistically significant difference. 2. For FT index, women(4.72) was higher than men(3.50) and it showed statistically significant difference(p<0.05). 3. For the oral health state according to sex distinction, Why not use oral hygiene auxiliary supplies showed statistically significant difference(p<0.05). 4. For the practice application of oral hygiene auxiliary supplies according to age distinction, 18.5% more than 30 years replied as I use interdental brush and it showed statistically significant difference. 18.5% more than 30 years replied as I use powered brush and it showed statistically significant difference(p<0.05). 5. For the oral health state according to the practice application of oral hygiene auxiliary supplies distinction, there were significant difference that dental floss, interdental brush, mouth rinse product, Why not use oral hygiene auxiliary supplies(p<0.05). Conclusions : The findings of this study were lower than the utilization of oral hygiene auxiliary supplies. Therefore, to increase the use of oral hygiene auxiliary supplies to patients of the appropriate selection and correct usage of oral hygiene auxiliary supplies and the resulting effects have sufficient training to practice more efficiently should be.

The investigation on the selection criteria of cost elements in package tour products (기획여행상품 원가구성요소의 선택기준에 대한 고찰)

  • Oh, hyun-jun;Hurr, hee-young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.763-767
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    • 2008
  • This paper investigates a selected criteria of cost elements in prior researches on value of package tour products, satisfaction of the tourist and cost elements of package tour products. In theoretical point of view, this paper shows the relationship between the value of the package tour products and satisfaction of the tourist. In this paper, the selected criteria of cost elements in package tour products for evaluating the satisfaction of the tourist are also analyzed. This research shows travel agencies' focus on the plan and products and consumers' needs. Also this can be used for development of package tour products which meet the consumers' needs as package tour product suppliers. Meanwhile, other purpose of this research is to help investigate evaluation indicators of package tour products for tourists and travel agencies based on cost elements.

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The Observed Change in Interannual Variations of January Minimum Temperature between 1951-1980 and 1971-2000 in South Korea (지난 반세기 동안 남한에서 관측된 1월 최저기온의 연차변이)

  • Jung J. E.;Chung U.;Yun J. I.;Choi D. K.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.235-241
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    • 2004
  • There is a growing concern about the possible increase in inter-annual variation of minimum temperature during the winter season in Korea. This view is strengthened by frequently reported freezing injury to dormant fruit trees, while warmer winters have prevailed recently. The January minimum temperature record at fourteen weather stations was analyzed for 1951-2000. The results showed no evidence of increasing standard deviation at 3 locations between 1951-1980 and 1971-2000, while the remaining 11 stations showed a trend of decreasing standard deviation for the two periods. An empirical model explaining the spatial variation of the standard deviation was derived by regression analysis of 56 stations' data for 1971-2000. Daily minimum temperature and the site elevation may account for 68% of the observed variations. We applied this model to restore the average standard deviation of the January minimum temperature for 1971-2000, and the result was used to produce gridded minimum temperature data for the recurrence interval of 10 and 30 years at 250m resolution. A digital form of the plant hardiness zone map may be developed from this product for site-specific selection of adapted plant species.

A Study on Brand Preference, Clothing Pursuit Benefits and Purchasing Behavior of Chinese Women (중국 여성의 브랜드 선호도, 의복추구혜택과 구매행동에 관한 연구)

  • Yu, Yiqiu;Park, DongJoon;Chung, HyunSook
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.110-127
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the brand preference, the clothing pursuit benefits, and the purchasing behavior of Chinese women. A survey questionnaire was distributed to Chinese women in their 20s and 30s. The surveys period was from 9th January 9th to $21^{st}$ February 2016. The respondents were 343 Chinese women living in Henan. The collected data was analyzed by frequency analysis, factor analysis, t-test, one-way analysis of variance, and Duncan's multiple range of verification. The key results of this study are herein summarized. The brands examined, listed in order of preference, are Ochirly, Only, Zara, Uniqlo, La Chapelle, H&M, Peace bird, Vero Moda, JNBY, and The Basic House. The five most preferred brands were then selected and further analyzed. For purchasing, the design and price were considered to be important, while for product evaluation, importance was given to the style, price, quality, and color. Factors important in the clothing pursuit benefits were found to be price pursuit, trend pursuit, brand pursuit, individual pursuit, comfort pursuit, and quality pursuit. Also, clothing pursuit benefits depends on the average monthly income, monthly clothing purchasing cost, and the education level of the individual. Lastly, we observed that the sources and store selection made noticeable difference in clothing pursuit benefits.

The Study for ENHPP Software Reliability Growth Model Based on Kappa(2) Coverage Function (Kappa(2) 커버리지 함수를 이용한 ENHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.2311-2318
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    • 2007
  • Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. Accurate predictions of software release times, and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require Release times of a critical element of the software testing process : test coverage. This model called Enhanced non-homogeneous Poission process(ENHPP). In this paper, exponential coverage and S-shaped model was reviewed, proposes the Kappa coverage model, which make out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE statistics and Kolmogorov distance, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Numerical examples using real data set for the sake of proposing Kappa coverage model was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with the Kappaa coverage model and the existing model(using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, bias tests) is presented.