• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability of performance failure

Search Result 236, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Reliability Based Design Optimization of the Softwater Pressure Tank Considering Temperature Effect (온도영향을 고려한 연수기 압력탱크의 신뢰성 최적설계)

  • Bae Chul-Ho;Kim Mun-Seong;Suh Myung-Won
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.28 no.10
    • /
    • pp.1458-1466
    • /
    • 2004
  • Deterministic optimum designs that are obtained without consideration of uncertainties could lead to unrealiable designs. Such deterministic engineering optimization tends to promote the structural system with less reliability redundancy than obtained with conventional design procedures using the factor of safety. Consequently, deterministic optimized structures will usually have higher failure probabilities than unoptimized structures. This paper proposes the reliability based design optimization technique fur apressure tank considering temperature effect. This paper presents an efficient and stable reliability based design optimization method by using the advanced first order second moment method, which evaluates a probabilistic constraint for more accuracy. In addition, the response surface method is utilized to approximate the performance functions describing the system characteristics in the reliability based design optimization procedure.

On the Evaluation of the dynamic Safety of the Ship's Cargo at Sea (항해중 선박 적재화물의 동적 안정성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 김철승;김순갑
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
    • /
    • v.3 no.1
    • /
    • pp.33-49
    • /
    • 1997
  • One of the most important missons that are imposed on merchant ship at sea is to accomplish the safe transportation of cargo loaded. Recently, a study on the seakeeping performance has been carried out on the development of evaluation system related to the synthetic safety of a ship at sea. The seakeeping performance is the ship's ability sailing at, and executing its misson against adverse environmental factors successfully and safely. Until now, however, there has not been any method of quantitative evaluation on the dynamic safety of the ship's cargo loaded. In this regards, this paper has introduced the evaluation method of dynamic safety of the ship's cargo. In order to evaluate the dynamic safety of cargo, the vertical and lateral acceleration which causes the collapse, racking and local structure failure of cargo was adopted as the evaluation factors in the ship's motions. The response amplitude of ship's motions in regular waves is manipulated by NSM (New Strip Method) on a given 2,700 TEU full container vessel under the wind forces of 7, 8 and 9 Beaufort scale. Each response of ship's motions induced by NSM was applied to short-crested irregular waves for stochastic process on evaluation factors and then vertical and lateral acceleration of each cargo was compared with significant amplitude of each acceleration. A representative dangerous factor was determined by comparing permissible values of stacking and racking forces occurred typically to the vertical and transverse directions with the container strength required on ISO 1496 at the positions of forecastle, poop and ship's midship respectively. Through the occurrence probability of the determined factor by Rayleigh's probability density function, the dangerousness which limits loads on container's side wall as an evaluation was applied in judging of the danger of the ship's cargo loaded.

  • PDF

The Vulnerability Assessment of Hydro-pneumatic Suspension of Ground Combat Vehicles Using Vulnerable Area Method and DMEA (취약면적법과 DMEA를 활용한 지상전투차량 유공압 현가장치의 취약성 평가)

  • Nam, Myung Hoon;Park, Kang;Park, Woo Sung;Yoo, Chul
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.141-149
    • /
    • 2017
  • Vulnerability assesses the loss of major performance functions of GCV (Ground Combat Vehicles) when it is hit by enemy's shell. To decide the loss of major functions, it is determined what effects are on the performance of GCV when some components of GCV are failed. M&S (Modeling and Simulation) technology is used to vulnerability assessment. The hydro-pneumatic suspension is used as a sample part. The procedures of vulnerability assessment of the hydro-pneumatic suspension are shown as follows: 1) The components of the suspension are defined, and shot lines are generated evenly around the part. 2) The penetrated components are checked by using the penetration equation. 3) The function model of the suspension is designed by using IDEF0. 4) When the failure of the critical components of the suspension happens, its effect on the function of the suspension can be estimated using DMEA (Damage Mode and Effects Analysis). 5) The diagram of FTA (Fault Tree Analysis) is designed by exploiting DMEA. 6) The damage probability of the suspension is calculated by using FTA and vulnerable area method. In this paper, SLAP (Shot Line Analysis Program) which was developed based on COVART methodology. SLAP calculates the damage probability and visualizes the vulnerable areas of the suspension.

Seismic Response of Multiple Span Prestressed Concrete Girder Bridges in the New Madrid Seismic Zone (New Madrid 지진대의 다경간 PSC 교량의 지진거동)

  • Choi, Eun-Soo;Kim, Hak-Soo;Kim, Kwang-Il;Cho, Byung-Wan
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.10 no.5 s.51
    • /
    • pp.11-23
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper evaluates the seismic response of multi-span prestressed concrete girder bridges typically found in the New Madrid Seismic Zone region of the central United States. Using detailed nonlinear analytical models and synthetic ground motion records for Memphis, TN, nonlinear response history analyses are performed for two levels of ground motion: 10% probability of exceedance (PE) in 50 years, and 2% probability of exceedance (PE) in 50 years. The results show that the bridge performance is very good fur the 10% PE in 50 years ground motion level. However, the performance for the 2% PE in 50 years ground motion is not so good because it results in highly inelastic behavior of the bridge. Impact between decks results in large ductility demands on the columns, and failure of the bearings that support the girders. It is found that making the superstructure continuous, which is commonly performed for reducing dead load moments and maintenance requirements, results in significant improvement in the seismic response of prestressed concrete girder bridges.

Performance Analysis of Access Channel Decoder Implemeted for CDMA2000 1X Smart Antenna Base Station (CDMA2000 1X 스마트 안테나 기지국용으로 구현된 액세스 채널 복조기의 성능 분석)

  • 김성도;현승헌;최승원
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.29 no.2A
    • /
    • pp.147-156
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper presents an implementation and performance analysis of an access channel decoder which exploits a diversity gain due to the independent magnitude of received signals energy at each of antenna elements of a smart antenna BTS (Base-station Transceiver Subsystem) operating in CDMA2000 1X signal environment. Proposed access channel decoder consists of a searcher supporting 4 fingers, Walsh demodulator, and demodulator controller. They have been implemented with 5 of 1 million-gate FPGA's (Field Programmable Gate Array) Altera's APEX EP20K1000EBC652 and TMS320C6203 DSP (digital signal processing). The objective of the proposed access channel decoders is to enhance the data retrieval at co]1-site during the access period, for which the optimal weight vector of the smart antenna BTS is not available. Through experimental tests, we confirmed that the proposed access channel decoder exploitng the diversity technique outperforms the conventional one, which is based on a single antenna channel, in terms of detection probability of access probe, access channel failure probability, and $E_{b/}$ $N_{o}$ in Walsh demodulator.r.r.

Robust Backup Path Selection in Overlay Routing with Bloom Filters

  • Zhou, Xiaolei;Guo, Deke;Chen, Tao;Luo, Xueshan
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • v.7 no.8
    • /
    • pp.1890-1910
    • /
    • 2013
  • Routing overlay offers an ideal methodology to improve the end-to-end communication performance by deriving a backup path for any node pair. This paper focuses on a challenging issue of selecting a proper backup path to bypass the failures on the default path with high probability for any node pair. For existing backup path selection approaches, our trace-driven evaluation results demonstrate that the backup and default paths for any node pair overlap with high probability and hence usually fail simultaneously. Consequently, such approaches fail to derive a robust backup path that can take over in the presence of failure on the default path. In this paper, we propose a three-phase RBPS approach to identify a proper and robust backup path. It utilizes the traceroute probing approach to obtain the fine-grained topology information, and systematically employs the grid quorum system and the Bloom filter to reduce the resulting communication overhead. Two criteria, delay and fault-tolerant ability on average, of the backup path are proposed to evaluate the performance of our RBPS approach. Extensive trace-driven evaluations show that the fault-tolerant ability of the backup path can be improved by about 60%, while the delay gain ratio concentrated at 14% after replacing existing approaches with ours. Consequently, our approach can derive a more robust and available backup path for any node pair than existing approaches. This is more important than finding a backup path with the lowest delay compared to the default path for any node pair.

Probability-Based Performance Prediction of the Nuclear Contaminated Bio-Logical Shield Concrete Walls (원전 방사화 콘크리트 차폐벽의 확률 기반 성능변화 예측)

  • Kwon, Ki-Hyon;Kim, Do-Gyeum;Lee, Ho-Jae;Seo, Eun-A;Lee, Jang-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
    • /
    • v.7 no.4
    • /
    • pp.316-322
    • /
    • 2019
  • A probabilistic approach considering uncertainties was employed to investigate the effects on the material characteristics and strength of nuclear bio-logical shield concrete walls, when exposed to long-term radiation during the entire service life. Time-dependent compressive and tensile strengths were estimated by conducting the neutron fluence analysis. For the contaminated concrete, individual compressive and tensile failure probabilities can be possibly evaluated by not only establishing limit-state function withthe predefined critical values but also performing Monte Carlo Simulation. Nuclear power plant types similar to the Kori Unit 1, which was shut off permanently in 2017 after the 40-year operation, were herein selected for an illustrative purpose. Consequently, the probability-based performance assessment and prediction of contaminated concrete walls were well demonstrated.

Interference Avoidance Resource Allocation for Device-to-Device Communication Based on Graph-Coloring (단말 간 직접 통신을 위한 그래프-컬러링 기반 간섭 회피 자원 할당 방법)

  • Lee, Changhee;Oh, Sung-Min;Park, Ae-Soon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.39A no.12
    • /
    • pp.729-738
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this paper, we propose interference avoidance resource allocation scheme based on graph-coloring algorithm to introduce performance gain using spatial reuse in D2D (Device-to-Device) system. By assigning multiple D2D pairs to a single D2D resource, interference from neighboring D2D pairs is inevitable, which leads to performance degradation. Therefore, we first introduce the feedback information and the method considering the amount of information that can be practically provided by a D2D pair. Then, we propose how to construct a graph, which is corresponding to the D2D system, using the feedback information and adopt a graph-coloring algorithm to efficiently avoid interference. Simulation results show that the proposed resource allocation scheme outperforms traditional resource allocation schemes in both overall sum rate and spectral efficiency of D2D system while reducing the outage probability. Moreover, the outage probability, which indicates a failure rate of D2D communication, can be reduced by adopting the proposed scheme.

Probabilistic Stability and Sensitivity Analysis for a Failed Rock Slope using a Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로시뮬레이션 기법을 이용한 붕괴 암반사면의 확률론적 안정해석 및 민감도 분석)

  • Park, Sung-Wook;Park, Hyuck-Jin
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.437-447
    • /
    • 2010
  • A probabilistic analysis of slope stability is an appropriate solution in dealing with uncertainty in problems related to engineering geology. In this study, a Monte Carlo simulation was performed to evaluate the performance function that is Barton's equation. A large number of randomly generated values were obtained for random variables, and the performance function was calculated repeatedly using randomly generated values. A previous study provided information of slope geometry and the random characteristics of random variables such as JRC and JCS. The present approach was adopted to analyze two failed slopes. The probabilities of failure were evaluated for each slope, and sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the influence of each random variable on the probability of failure. The analysis results were then compared with the results of a deterministic analysis, indicating that the probabilistic analysis yielded reliable results.

Optimal design of nonlinear seismic isolation system by a multi-objective optimization technique integrated with a stochastic linearization method (추계학적 선형화 기법을 접목한 다목적 최적화기법에 의한 비선형 지진격리시스템의 최적설계)

  • Kwag, Shin-Young;Ok, Seung-Yong;Koh, Hyun-Moo
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-13
    • /
    • 2010
  • This paper proposes an optimal design method for the nonlinear seismic isolated bridge. The probabilities of failure at the pier and the seismic isolator are considered as objective functions for optimal design, and a multi-objective optimization technique is employed to efficiently explore a set of multiple solutions optimizing mutually-conflicting objective functions at the same time. In addition, a stochastic linearization method is incorporated into the multi-objective optimization framework in order to effectively estimate the stochastic responses of the bridge without performing numerous nonlinear time history analyses during the optimization process. As a numerical example to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed method, the Nam-Han river bridge is taken into account, and the proposed method and the existing life-cycle-cost based design method are both applied for the purpose of comparing their seismic performances. The comparative results demonstrate that the proposed method not only shows better seismic performance but also is more economical than the existing cost-based design method. The proposed method is also proven to guarantee improved performance under variations in seismic intensity, in bandwidth and in the predominant frequency of the seismic event.