• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability of Area

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Life Risk Assessment of Landslide Disaster Using Spatial Prediction Model (공간 예측 모델을 이용한 산사태 재해의 인명 위험평가)

  • Jang, Dong-Ho;Chung, C.F.
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.373-383
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    • 2006
  • The spatial mapping of risk is very useful data in planning for disaster preparedness. This research presents a methodology for making the landslide life risk map in the Boeun area which had considerable landslide damage following heavy rain in August, 1998. We have developed a three-stage procedure in spatial data analysis not only to estimate the probability of the occurrence of the natural hazardous events but also to evaluate the uncertainty of the estimators of that probability. The three-stage procedure consists of: (i)construction of a hazard prediction map of "future" hazardous events; (ii) validation of prediction results and estimation of the probability of occurrence for each predicted hazard level; and (iii) generation of risk maps with the introduction of human life factors representing assumed or established vulnerability levels by combining the prediction map in the first stage and the estimated probabilities in the second stage with human life data. The significance of the landslide susceptibility map was evaluated by computing a prediction rate curve. It is used that the Bayesian prediction model and the case study results (the landslide susceptibility map and prediction rate curve) can be prepared for prevention of future landslide life risk map. Data from the Bayesian model-based landslide susceptibility map and prediction ratio curves were used together with human rife data to draft future landslide life risk maps. Results reveal that individual pixels had low risks, but the total risk death toll was estimated at 3.14 people. In particular, the dangerous areas involving an estimated 1/100 people were shown to have the highest risk among all research-target areas. Three people were killed in this area when landslides occurred in 1998. Thus, this risk map can deliver factual damage situation prediction to policy decision-makers, and subsequently can be used as useful data in preventing disasters. In particular, drafting of maps on landslide risk in various steps will enable one to forecast the occurrence of disasters.

Service load response prediction of reinforced concrete flexural members

  • Ning, Feng;Mickleborough, Neil C.;Chan, Chun-Man
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2001
  • A reliable and accurate method has been developed to predict the flexural deformation response of structural concrete members subject to service load. The method that has been developed relates the extent of concrete cracking, measured as a function of the magnitude of applied moment in a member, to the reduction in the effective moment of inertia of cracked reinforced concrete members under service load conditions. The ratio of the area of the moment diagram where the moment exceeds the cracking moment, to the total area of the moment diagram for any loading, provides the basis for the calculation of the effective moment of inertia. This ratio also represents mathematically a probability of crack occurrence. Verification of this method for the determination of the effective moment of inertia has been achieved from an experimental test program, and has included beam tests with different loading configurations, and shear wall tests subjected to a range of vertical and lateral load levels. Further verification of this method has been made with reference to the experimental investigation of other recently published work.

Analysis of spraying performance of agricultural drones according to flight conditions

  • Dae-Hyun Lee;Baek-Gyeom Seong;Seung-Woo Kang;Soo-Hyun Cho;Xiongzhe Han;Yeongho Kang;Chun-Gu Lee;Seung-Hwa Yu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.427-435
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    • 2023
  • This study was conducted to evaluate the spraying performance according to the flight conditions of agricultural drones for the development of a variable control system. The analyzed flight conditions comprised six factors: spraying direction, flight speed, altitude, wind speed, wind direction, and rotor rotational speed. The ratio of the area sprayed on the water-sensitive paper was used as the coverage, and the distribution and amount of the coverage were evaluated. The coverage distribution based on the distance from the drone was used to evaluate a spray pattern, and the distribution was expressed as a Gaussian function approximation. In addition, the probability distribution based on coverage was expressed as the cumulative probability via Gamma function approximation to analyze the spraying efficiency in the target area. The results showed that the averaged coverage decreased significantly as the flight speed and wind speed increased, and the wind direction changed the spray pattern without a coverage decrease. This study contributes to the development of a control technique for the precision control system of agricultural drones.

Service Life Prediction and Carbonation of Bridge Structures according to Environmental Conditions (환경 조건에 따른 교량구조물의 탄산화 현황 및 내구수명 예측)

  • Kim, Hun-Kyom;Kim, Sung-Bo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.126-132
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    • 2010
  • Carbonation is the results of the interaction of carbon dioxide gas in the atmosphere with the alkaline hydroxides in the concrete. Reinforced steel corrosion due to concrete carbonation is one of main factors on the decrease in durability of RC structure. This study investigates the influence of carbonation on the bridges under various environment condition and quantifies the effect of carbonation various domestic field data. The failure probability of durability is evaluated on the basis of reliability concept. In addition, service life of the structures is predicted based on the intended probability of durable failure in domestic concrete specification. According to experimental results of the carbonation depth, the carbonation depth increased with structural age. It is analyzed that carbonation velocity of the structures under urban area and sea condition is 1.6-1.9 times faster than the river condition. Service life of the bridges under urban area and sea condition is decreased about 2.4-3.3 times than river condition.

A Study on Cause-and-Effect Analysis between the Environmental Factors of Residential Area at the University Dormitory and the User Satisfaction (대학 기숙사 주거기능영역의 환경인자와 사용자 만족도의 인과분석 연구)

  • Park, Hang-Ja;No, Young-Ran;Park, Sung-Jin
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.141-149
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to understand functional spaces within university dormitory, examine the influences of residential environment factors and personal characteristics on users' satisfaction through what parameters and probability among these parameters and seek improvement methods for dormitory users to live at dormitory as the best residential space through causal analysis of residential space uses at university dormitory based on such a probability. Research methods include theoretical research of architectural space characteristics of university dormitory facilities through literature survey, analysis of satisfaction with spaces and their uses through questionnaire and causal analysis of each residential environment factor after making route model using data obtained from the results of analysis. The results of this study are as follows. Factors affecting residents' satisfaction with cultural activities of residential environment factors are safety, territoriality, interior finishing and complexity and those affecting residents' educational activities are safety and amenity of space. Residential function space of university dormitory must have spatial planning that social activities including individual and small group culture and educational activities from the view of spatial territoriality and flexibility based on safety and amenity and facilities related to continuity and connection of common space and unit residential space should be decentralized rather than centralized.

Carbonation Analysis of Bridge Structures in Urban Area Based on the Results of the Field Test (현장실험결과를 활용한 국내 도심지 교량구조물의 탄산화 해석)

  • Kim, Hun-Kyom;Kim, Sung-Bo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2010
  • Reinforced steel corrosion due to concrete carbonation is one of main factors on the durability of RC structure. The carbonation velocity have an effect on carbon dioxide density, concrete quality and structural shape. Specially, these problems have increased in urban area. This study investigates the carbonation status of the bridges and quantifies the effect of carbonation based on various domestic field data. The failure probability of durability is evaluated on the basis of reliability concept. According to experimental results of the carbonation depth, the carbonation depth increased with structural age and carbonation velocity decreased with high strength of concrete. In most cases, the failure probability of durability by carbonation was more than 10%. Also, The results requires the minimum cover thickness of 70-80mm for target safety index(${\beta}$=1.3) proposed by Korean concrete specification.

Comparison of the Determinants Affecting Forest Investment by the Type of Private Forest Land Owners (산주(山主) 유형별(類型別) 산림투자(山林投資) 요인(要因) 비교분석(比較分析))

  • Seo, Yeong-Wan;Choi, Jong-Cheon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.90 no.5
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    • pp.643-649
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    • 2001
  • The case study of the Cooperatives' members and Sincere Forest Managers/Forest Successors was carried out to find the determinants affecting the forest investment of private forest owners and analyze their effects on it. For this the landowners' forest investment probability function was estimated using the logistical regression model. The results showed that the forest investment of the Cooperatives' members was the function of forest area, stand age, forest income, and technical assistance. Three of the variables (forest income, forest area, and technical assistance) exhibited a positive effect on the forest investment as expected, while stand age showed a negative effect unlike the expectation of the study. In case of Sincere Forest Managers and Forest Successors forest area, distance(1)(distance from forest to road accessible by vehicle), knowledge of financing program, and forest income were significant indicators for the forest investment. All these variables showed the expected signs; forest area, knowledge of financing, and forest income had a positive effect on the forest investment, and distance(1) showed a negative effect.

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Analysis of the Effectiveness of Autonomous Unmanned Underwater Vehicle Mine Search Operation by Side Scan Sonar Characteristics (측면주사소나 특성에 따른 자율무인잠수정 기뢰탐색 효과도 분석)

  • Yoo, Tae-Suk;Park, Seok-Joon;Yoon, Seon-Il;Park, Ho-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.1077-1085
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    • 2020
  • In order to Mine Countermeasure (MCM), the search is carried out for the expected mine zone. At this time, mine hunting uses Autonomous Unmanned Vehicle(AUV), taking into account the danger of mine and the stability of our forces. Sonar system for identifying buried mines are equipped with Side Scan Sonar(SSS) or Synthetic Aperture Sonar(SAS). This paper describes the analysis of mine hunting effects according to the commercial SSS characteristics. Based on the characteristics of each SSS, the insonified area and recognition probability were modeled, and the analysis was performed according to the search pattern of the AUV. AUV's search pattern defines three patterns depending on the presence or absence of SSS or shaded areas. The analysis results derived search time and detection probability for each search pattern, and finally, the improvement of search depending on the presence or absence of side injection or shaded area.

Efficient Use of Unused Spare Columns for Reducing Memory Miscorrections

  • Jung, Ji-Hun;Ishaq, Umair;Song, Jae-Hoon;Park, Sung-Ju
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.331-340
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    • 2012
  • In the deep sub-micron ICs, growing amounts of on-die memory and scaling effects make embedded memories increasingly vulnerable to reliability and yield problems. Spare columns are often included in memories to repair defective cells or bit lines during production test. In many cases, the repair process will not use all spare columns. Schemes have been proposed to exploit these unused spare columns to store additional check bits which can be used to reduce the miscorrection probability for triple errors in single error correction-double error detection (SEC-DED). These additional check bits increase the dimensions of the parity check matrix (H-matrix) requiring extra area overhead. A method is proposed in this paper to efficiently fill the extra rows of the H-matrix on the basis of similarity of logic between the other rows. Optimization of the whole H-matrix is accomplished through logic sharing within a feasible operating time resulting in reduced area overhead. A detailed implementation using fuse technology is also proposed in this paper.

Relationship Between Manganese Nodule Abundance and Geologici/Topographic Factors of the Southern KODOS Area in the Northeastern Equatorial Pacific Using GIS and Probability Method

  • Ko, Young-Tak;Min, Kyung-Duck;Park, Cheong-Kee;Kang, Jung-Keuk;Kim, Ki-Hyune;Lee, Tae-Gook;Kim, Hyun-Sub
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.219-230
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    • 2004
  • The aims of this study are to construct database using geostatistics and Geographic Information System (GIS), and to derive the spatial relationships between manganese nodule abundance and each factor affecting nodule abundance, such as metal grade, slope, aspect, water depth, topography, and acoustic characteristics of the subbottom using the GIS and probability methods. The greater is the copper and nickel grade, the higher is the rating. The distribution pattern of nickel grade is similar to that of copper grade. The slopes are generally less than $3^{\circ}$, excluding seamounts and cliff areas. There is no increment in the rating with increasing slope. The rating is highest for slopes between 2.5 and $3.5^{\circ}$ in block B2 and between 3 and $6^{\circ}$ in block C1. The topography is classified into five groups: seamount, hill crest, hill slant, hill base or plain, and seafloor basin or valley. The ratings prove lowest for seamount and hill crest. The results of the study show a decrease in the rating with an increase in water depth in the study area. There was a poor relationship between manganese nodule abundance and the thickness of the upper transparent layer in block C1. Using GIS, it is possible to analyze a large amount of data efficiently, and to maximize the practical application, to increase specialization, and to enhance the accuracy of the analyses.