• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability density function approach

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Clinical Reference of the Maximum Standardized Uptake Values to the Pancreatic Cancer, Pancreatitis and Normal Pancreas in the 18F-FDG PET-CT (18F-FDG PET-CT 검사에서 췌장암, 췌장염, 정상 췌장에 대한 최대 표준섭취계수의 임상적 기준 설정)

  • Lee, Jae-Seung;Kweon, Dae Cheol
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.80-86
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    • 2018
  • The aim of this study were to establish the clinical references and guidelines for the maximum standardized uptake ($SUV_{max}$) value of pancreatic cancer, pancreatitis, and normal pancreas in $^{18}F-FDG$ PET-CT examinations for pancreatic disease. For this purpose, we performed the statistical analysis on the descriptive statistics, percentiles and inter quartiles range (IQR), normal distribution, and using the probability density function for pancreatic cancer, pancreatitis, and normal pancreas. As a result, the clinical reference of $SUV_{max}$ for the pancreatic cancer, pancreatitis, and normal pancreas was more than 3.45, 1.91 to 2.62, and less than 1.91, respectively. Also, optimal cut-off value for applying the dual time point PET-CT examination was determined to be 2.62. The results of this study are summarized as follows: first, we suggests the clinical reference and guideline for the pancreatic cancer, pancreatitis, and normal pancreas, and second, suggests a scientific approach to improve diagnostic accuracy of pancreatic disease by deviating from an approximate experience approach.

A Study on the Reliability Verification of Availability Simulation for Complex Plant (플랜트 가용도 평가 시뮬레이터의 신뢰성 검증에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hongcheol;Hwang, Inju;Lee, Hyundong
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.36-43
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    • 2015
  • Recently, a number of evaluation studies on availability of plant were carried out. This study was conducted to verify of the reliability of a simulation with some variable such as configuration of process, failure probability density function and the number of iteration times for the natural gas liquefaction plant. The error rate of the KICT-RAM solution was evaluated as 0.03~1.79% compared with the result of the MAROS(commercial solution). And the error-rate change was observed in the range of 0.03~1.75 on the condition of the iteration times as 30, 100, 250. As a result the plant availability evaluation approach of KICT-RAM solution was verified as reasonable. However, the careful approach was required to use the solution because the error-rate increased according to iteration times change.

Analysis of Driver's Responsive Behavior to Variable Message Signs Using In-vehicle DGPS Data (VMS에 대한 운전자 반응특성 분석 (DGPS를 이용한 가속도 자료 분석을 중심으로))

  • Hong, Seung-Pyo;Park, Jun-Hyeong;O, Cheol;Jang, Myeong-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2007
  • More accurate vehicle trajectory data are now readily available through Differential Global Positioning Systems (DGPS). A variety of research opportunities emerge with utilization of such high resolution traffic data. A novel approach of this study is to explore drivers' responsive behavior to variable message signs (VMS) by using individual vehicle trajectories extracted from in-vehicle DGPS data. Responsive characteristics of drivers traveling on urban freeways, which can be represented by speeds and acceleration rates, under the provision of real-time traffic information through VMS are statistically investigated. In addition to conducting an ANOVA test, probability density functions of acceleration rates were estimated. The findings of this study can be used to understand the impact of drivers' workload when providing VMS messages on traffic flow patterns. Furthermore, results can be important fundamentals to assist in conducting more realistic traffic simulations.

Comparison of the Korean and US Stock Markets Using Continuous-time Stochastic Volatility Models

  • CHOI, SEUNGMOON
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2018
  • We estimate three continuous-time stochastic volatility models following the approach by Aït-Sahalia and Kimmel (2007) to compare the Korean and US stock markets. To do this, the Heston, GARCH, and CEV models are applied to the KOSPI 200 and S&P 500 Index. For the latent volatility variable, we generate and use the integrated volatility proxy using the implied volatility of short-dated at-the-money option prices. We conduct MLE in order to estimate the parameters of the stochastic volatility models. To do this we need the transition probability density function (TPDF), but the true TPDF is not available for any of the models in this paper. Therefore, the TPDFs are approximated using the irreducible method introduced in Aït-Sahalia (2008). Among three stochastic volatility models, the Heston model and the CEV model are found to be best for the Korean and US stock markets, respectively. There exist relatively strong leverage effects in both countries. Despite the fact that the long-run mean level of the integrated volatility proxy (IV) was not statistically significant in either market, the speeds of the mean reversion parameters are statistically significant and meaningful in both markets. The IV is found to return to its long-run mean value more rapidly in Korea than in the US. All parameters related to the volatility function of the IV are statistically significant. Although the volatility of the IV is more elastic in the US stock market, the volatility itself is greater in Korea than in the US over the range of the observed IV.

Methodology of Calibration for Falling Objects Accident-Risk-Zone Approach Detection Algorithm at Port Considering GPS Errors (GPS 오차를 고려한 항만 내 낙하물 사고위험 알고리즘 보정 방법론 개발)

  • Son, Seung-Oh;Kim, Hyeonseo;Park, Juneyoung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.61-73
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    • 2020
  • Real-time location-sensing technology using location information collected from IoT devices is being applied for safety management purposes in many industries, such as ports. On the other hand, positional error is always present owing to the characteristics of GPS. Therefore, accident-risk detection algorithms must consider positional error. This paper proposes an methodology of calibration for falling object accident-risk-zone approach detection algorithm considering GPS errors. A probability density function was estimated, with positional error data collected from IoT devices as a probability variable. As a result of the verification, the algorithm showed a detection accuracy of 93% and 77%. Overall, the analysis results derived according to the GPS error level will be an important criterion for upgrading algorithms and real-time risk managements in the future.

A Study of Dynamic Analysis of Wheel Force Spectrum between Road and PSC Bridge tracks for the KTX Safety Evaluation (KTX 차량의 주행안정성 평가를 위한 노상과 PSC 교량 상의 윤하중분포 동적해석 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Jun;Oh, Soon-Taek;Sim, Young-Woo;Yun, Jun-Kwan;Kim, Han-Su
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.793-799
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    • 2011
  • A comprehensive analysis of wheel force spectrum is conducted to provide the KTX safety evaluation with structural behaviour of Pre-Stressed Concrete (PSC) box bridge due to various high speeds. The wheel spectrum for KTX locomotive running over road and PSC bridge tracks is compared using irregular track responses with numerical models of 170m approach road track and 40m span length of PSC box bridge The high-speed railway locomotive is used as 38-degree of freedom system. Three displacements (vertical, lateral, and longitudinal) and three rotational components (pitching, rolling, and yawing) for one car-body and two bogies are considered in the 38-degree of freedom model. Three dimensional frame element of finite element method (FEM) is used to model of the simply supported PSC box bridge. The irregulation of rail-way is derived using the experiential spectrum density function under assumption of twelve level tracks conditions based on the normal probability procedure. The dynamic analyses by Runge-Kutta method which are able to analyze the high frequency wheel force spectrum. A dynamic behaviour of KTX due to high speeds until 450km/h developing speed with relative time is analysed and compared the characteristics running over the road and PSC box bridge tracks. Finally, the KTX integrated evaluation method of safety between high speed train and bridge is presented.

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Moving Object Tracking in Active Camera Environment Based on Bayes Decision Theory (Bayes 결정이론에 기반을 둔 능동카메라 환경에서의 이동 물체의 검출 및 추적)

  • 배수현;강문기
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.22-31
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    • 1999
  • Moving object tracking improves the efficiency and qualification for observation system, broadcasting system, video conference, etc. This paper propcses an improved Bayes decision method for detecting and tracking moving objects in active camera environment. The Bayes decision based tracking approach finds the region of moving objects by analyzing the image sequences statistically. The propcsed algorithm regenerates the probability density function to accord with moving objects and background for active camera. Experimental results show that the algorithm is accurate. reliable and noise resistant. The result is compared with those of the conventional methods.

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Probabilistic Analysis of Dynamic Characteristics of Structures considering Joint Fastening and Tolerance (체결부 및 공차를 고려한 구조물의 확률기반 동적 특성 연구)

  • Won, Jun-Ho;Kwang, Kang-Jin;Choi, Joo-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.44-50
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    • 2010
  • Structural vibration is a significant problem in many multi-part or multi-component assemblies. In aircraft industry, structures are composed of various fasteners, such as bolts, snap, hinge, weld or other fastener or connector (collectively "fasteners"). Due to these, prediction and design involving dynamic characteristics is quite complicated. However, the current state of the art does not provide an analytical tool to effectively predict structure's dynamic characteristics, because consideration of structural uncertainties (i.e. material properties, geometric tolerance, dimensional tolerance, environment and so on) is difficult and very small fasteners in the structure cause a huge amount of analysis time to predict dynamic characteristics using the FEM (finite element method). In this study, to resolve the current state of the art, a new approach is proposed using the FEM and probabilistic analysis. Firstly, equivalent elements are developed using simple element (e.g. bar, beam, mass) to replace fasteners' finite element model. Developed equivalent elements enable to explain static behavior and dynamic behavior of the structure. Secondly, probabilistic analysis is applied to evaluate the PDF (probability density function) of dynamic characteristics due to tolerance, material properties and so on. MCS (Monte-Carlo simulation) is employed for this. Proposed methodology offers efficiency of dynamic analysis and reality of the field as well. Simple plates joined by fasteners are taken as an example to illustrate the proposed method.

Multi-site Daily Precipitation Generator: Application to Nakdong River Basin Precipitation Gage Network (다지점 일강수 발생모형: 낙동강유역 강수관측망에의 적용)

  • Keem, Munsung;Ahn, Jae Hyun;Shin, Hyun Suk;Han, Suhee;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.725-740
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    • 2008
  • In this study a multi-site daily precipitation generator which generates the precipitation with similar spatial correlation, and at the same time, with conserving statistical properties of the observed data is developed. The proposed generator is intended to be a tool for down-scaling the data obtained from GCMs or RCMs into local scales. The occurrences of precipitation are simultaneously modeled in multi-sites by 2-parameter first-order Markov chain using random variables of spatially correlated while temporally independent, and then, the amount of precipitation is simulated by 3-parameter mixed exponential probability density function that resolves the issue of maintaining intermittence of precipitation field. This approach is applied to the Nakdong river basin and the observed data are daily precipitation data of 19 locations. The results show that spatial correlations of precipitation series are relatively well simulated and statistical properties of observed precipitation series are simulated properly.

QUALITY IMPROVEMENT OF COMPRESSED COLOR IMAGES USING A PROBABILISTIC APPROACH

  • Takao, Nobuteru;Haraguchi, Shun;Noda, Hideki;Niimi, Michiharu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2009.01a
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    • pp.520-524
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    • 2009
  • In compressed color images, colors are usually represented by luminance and chrominance (YCbCr) components. Considering characteristics of human vision system, chrominance (CbCr) components are generally represented more coarsely than luminance component. Aiming at possible recovery of chrominance components, we propose a model-based chrominance estimation algorithm where color images are modeled by a Markov random field (MRF). A simple MRF model is here used whose local conditional probability density function (pdf) for a color vector of a pixel is a Gaussian pdf depending on color vectors of its neighboring pixels. Chrominance components of a pixel are estimated by maximizing the conditional pdf given its luminance component and its neighboring color vectors. Experimental results show that the proposed chrominance estimation algorithm is effective for quality improvement of compressed color images such as JPEG and JPEG2000.

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