• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability and statistics

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A Study on the Decision of Sample Size for Panel Survey Design (패널조사 표본설계 시 표본크기 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Yang-Sang;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2011
  • The transition probability can be used for the estimation of subpopulation total in panel data analysis. In this paper a real data analysis is performed and the sensitivity of the sample size allocated in the subpopulation is examined by small simulation studies.

Estimating causal effect of multi-valued treatment from observational survival data

  • Kim, Bongseong;Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.675-688
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    • 2020
  • In survival analysis of observational data, the inverse probability weighting method and the Cox proportional hazards model are widely used when estimating the causal effects of multiple-valued treatment. In this paper, the two kinds of weights have been examined in the inverse probability weighting method. We explain the reason why the stabilized weight is more appropriate when an inverse probability weighting method using the generalized propensity score is applied. We also emphasize that a marginal hazard ratio and the conditional hazard ratio should be distinguished when defining the hazard ratio as a treatment effect under the Cox proportional hazards model. A simulation study based on real data is conducted to provide concrete numerical evidence.

A Study on Probability and Statistics Education in Practical Mathematics and Mathematics I Textbooks According to the 7th National Mathematics Curriculum in Korea (제 7차 수학과 교육과정에 따른 실용수학과 수학 I 확률 및 통계단원 분석)

  • Jang Dae-Heung;Lee Hyo-Jeong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.453-469
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    • 2005
  • In Korea, mathematics education of 11-12 grade students has been taken according to the 7th national mathematics curriculum, which was renovated by the Ministry of Education and Human Resources Development announcement in 1997. The education of probability and statistics has been carried out as a part of this curriculum. We analyze mathematics textbooks-Practical mathematics and Mathematics I- and compare the 7th national mathematics curriculum with the 6th national mathematics curriculum.

Jurisprudence in the History of Statistics (통계학사 속에서의 법)

  • Jo, Jae-Keun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.559-570
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    • 2011
  • The role of jurisprudence is examined in the early history of probability and statistics. From the mid-17th to the early 18th century, Christiaan Huygens and Jacob Bernoulli used mathematical expectation to solve the problems that originated from games of chance. We demonstrate that their concept of expectation as a fair price for participating in a game came from the legal concept of 'fair trade'. In addition, we consider that the probability that Bernoulli defined in his Ars Conjectandi originated from the legal concept of 'degree of certainty'. After considering some contributions of Laplace and Poisson, we examined the history of census and statistical survey in the early 19th century. Contrary to the history of the 17th and 18th century, statistics influenced society and law in the 19th century.

A Study on Experiments and Two Interpretations of Probability in 《Probability and Statistics》 and Its Educational Implications (《확률과 통계》의 시행과 두 가지 확률에 대한 고찰 및 교육적 시사점)

  • Lee, Gi Don
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.251-269
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    • 2018
  • Empirical probability and classical probability, which are two interpretations of Kolmogorov's axiom, are two ways to recognize the chances of events occurring in the real world. In this paper, I analyzed and suggested the contents of the high school textbooks ${\ll}$Probability and Statistics${\gg}$, associated with two interpretations of probability and experiments on which two interpretations are based. By presenting the cases required expressly stating what the experiment is for supporting students' understanding of some concepts, it was discussed that stating or not stating what the experiment is should be carefully determined by the educational intent. Especially, I suggested that in the textbooks we contrast the good idea of calculating the ratios of two possibilities in the imaginary world of the classical probability with the normal idea of grasping the chances of events through the frequencies in the real world of the empirical probability, with distinguishing the experiments in two interpretations of probability. I also suggested that in the textbooks we make it clear that the Weak Law of Large Numbers justifies our expectations of the frequencies' reflecting the chances of events occurring in the real world under ideal conditions. Teaching and learning about the aesthetic elements and the practicality of imaginary mathematical thinking supported by these textbooks statements could be one form of Humanities education in mathematics as STEAM education.

CONVERGENCE TO FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION AND LOSS PROBABILITY

  • Kim, Jin-Chun;Lee, Hee-Choon
    • Korean Journal of Mathematics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2003
  • We study the weak convergence to Fractional Brownian motion and some examples with applications to traffic modeling. Finally, we get loss probability for queue-length distribution related to self-similar process.

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RECURRENCE RELATIONS FOR QUOTIENT MOMENTS OF GENERALIZED PARETO DISTRIBUTION BASED ON GENERALIZED ORDER STATISTICS AND CHARACTERIZATION

  • Kumar, Devendra
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.347-361
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    • 2014
  • Generalized Pareto distribution play an important role in reliability, extreme value theory, and other branches of applied probability and statistics. This family of distribution includes exponential distribution, Pareto or Lomax distribution. In this paper, we established exact expressions and recurrence relations satised by the quotient moments of generalized order statistics for a generalized Pareto distribution. Further the results for quotient moments of order statistics and records are deduced from the relations obtained and a theorem for characterizing this distribution is presented.

A Note on the History of the Gambler's Ruin Problem

  • Song, Seongjoo;Song, Jongwoo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.157-168
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    • 2013
  • This paper deals with the history of one of the well-known and historically important problems in probability, "Gambler's ruin". This problem was first solved by Pascal and Fermat and published by Huygens in 1657. It was studied and extended by many probabilists in early years and thus, it became an important problem in probability history, introducing many new concepts. We would like to introduce the problem in detail to readers and share the ideas on how new problems are developed, relating to old problems.

Notes on Parametric Estimations in a Power Function Distribution

  • Woo, Jungsoo;Yoon, Gi-Ern
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.919-928
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    • 1999
  • We shall propose the MME MLE and UMVUE for the mean parameter and the right-tail probability in a power function distribution and obtain the mean squared errors for the proposed estimators. And we shall compare numerically efficiencies of the MME MLE and UMVUE of the mean parameter and the right-tail probability in a power function distribution.

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A Study on the Intuitive Understanding Concept of Continuous Random Variable (연속확률변수 개념의 직관적 이해에 관한 고찰)

  • 박영희
    • School Mathematics
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.677-688
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    • 2002
  • The context and intuitive understanding is very important in Statistics Education. Especially, there is a need to mitigate student's difficulty in studying probability density function. One of teaching method this concept is to using relative frequency histogram. But, as using this method, we should know several problems included in that. This study investigate problems in the method for teaching probability density function as gradual meaning of histogram. Also, as alternative approach, this thesis introduce the density curve concept. The application of four methods to teach the concept of the probability density function and analysis of the survey result is done in this research.

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