• 산업공학
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.209-217
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• 2002

Quality of Service(QoS) in the telecommunications can be evaluated by analyzing the opinion data which result from the surveyed opinions of respondents and quantify subjective satisfaction on the QoS from the customers' viewpoints. For analyzing the opinion data, MOS(mean opinion score) method and Cumulative Probability Curve method are often used. The methods are based on the scoring method, and therefore, have the intrinsic deficiency due to the assignment of arbitrary scores. In this paper, we propose an analysis method of the opinion data using logit models which can be used to analyze the ordinal categorical data without assigning arbitrary scores to customers' opinion, and develop an analysis procedure considering the usage of procedures provided by SAS(Statistical Analysis System) statistical package. By the proposed method, we can estimate the relationship between customer satisfaction and network performance parameters, and provide guidelines for network planning. In addition, the proposed method is compared with Cumulative Probability Curve method with respect to prediction errors.

• 경영과학
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.33-43
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• 2010

This paper presents a method for the estimation and analysis of the economic value of weather forecasts for CRM decision-making problems in the leisure industry. Value is calculated in terms of the customer's satisfaction returned from the user's decision under the specific payoff structure, which is itself represented by a customer's satisfaction ratio model. The decision is assessed by a modified cost-loss model to consider the customer's satisfaction instead of the loss or cost. Site-specific probability and deterministic forecasts, each of which is provided in Korea and China, are applied to generate and analyze the optimal decisions. The application results demonstrate that probability forecasts have greater value than deterministic forecasts, provided that the users can locate the optimal decision threshold. This paper also presents the optimal decision strategy for specific customers with a variety of satisfaction patterns.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 2006년도 춘계공동학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1677-1683
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• 2006

Color image segmentation is useful for fast retrieval in large image database. For that purpose, new image segmentation technique based on the probability of pixel distribution in the image is proposed. Color image is first divided into R, G, and B channel images. Then, pixel distribution from each of channel image is extracted to select to which it is similar among the well known probabilistic distribution function-Weibull, Exponential, Beta, Gamma, Normal, and Uniform. We use sum of least square error to measure of the quality how well an image is fitted to distribution. That P.d.f has minimum score in relation to sum of square error is chosen. Next, each image is quantized into 4 gray levels by applying thresholds to the c.d.f of the selected distribution of each channel. Finally, three quantized images are combined into one color image to obtain final segmentation result. To show the validity of the proposed method, experiments on some images are performed.

• 정보처리학회논문지B
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• 제13B권1호
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• pp.27-34
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• 2006

본 연구에서는 엔트로피를 이용한 독립성분분석(ICA : Independent Component Analysis)에서 점수함수(score function)를 생성하는 알고리즘을 제안한다. 점수함수를 생성하기 위해서 원 신호(original signals)에 대한 확률밀도함수의 추정이 반드시 필요하고 밀도함수가 미분 가능해야 한다. 따라서 원 신호에 따른 적응적인 점수 함수를 유도할 수 있도록 커널 기반의 밀도추정(kernel density estimation)방법을 사용하였으며, 보다 빠른 밀도 추정 계산을 위해서 식의 형태를 컨볼루션(convolution) 변환 한 후, 컨볼루션을 빠르게 계산할 수 있는 FFT(Fast Fourier Transform) 알고리즘을 이용하였다. 제안한 점수함수 생성 방법은 원 신호에 확률밀도분포와 추정된 신호의 확률밀도 분포의 오차를 줄이는 역할을 한다 실험 결과, 암묵신호분리(blind source separation)문제에서 기존의 Extended Infomax 알고리즘과 Fixed Point ICA 보다 원 신호와 유사한 밀도함수를 추정하였고, 분리된 신호의 신호대잡음비등(SNR)에 있어서 향상된 성능을 얻을 수 있었다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.573-585
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• 2021

The banking sector is one of the most important sectors in Pakistan's struggling economy. Recent studies have recommended that suitable methods can be applied to predict bankruptcy. In this context, this work analyzes Pakistan's banking sector's financial status through the five-factor Altman Z-score model, which determines the probability of bankruptcy for an organization. Banking data has been collected through the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) in the period 2013-2017. The Z-score assessment criteria is defined as: Z> 2.99 - "safe" zone; Z> 1.8 Z>2.98- "grey" zone; and Z <1.8 - "distress" zone. Results show good predictions for the local banking industry, while most foreign Pakistani banks were found bankrupt with the Z-score below 1.1. One of the financial risks investors face when investing in any company is the risk of bankruptcy. One of the most used models for predicting financial distress for any company is Altman's Z-score model. On the other hand, the Z-score analysis suggests that all banking establishments are not bankrupt because they have sufficient ability to control bankruptcy. At the same time, foreign banks failed financially and would not be able to be sustained in the future because they do not have the ability to pay the short-term and long-term debt.

• Journal of Trauma and Injury
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.25-33
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• 2022

Purpose: The scoring system for traumatic liver injury (SSTLI) was developed in 2015 to predict mortality in patients with polytraumatic liver injury. This study aimed to validate the SSTLI as a prognostic factor in patients with polytrauma and liver injury through a generalized estimating equation analysis. Methods: The medical records of 521 patients with traumatic liver injury from January 2015 to December 2019 were reviewed. The primary outcome variable was in-hospital mortality. All the risk factors were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression analysis. The SSTLI has five clinical measures (age, Injury Severity Score, serum total bilirubin level, prothrombin time, and creatinine level) chosen based on their predictive power. Each measure is scored as 0-1 (age and Injury Severity Score) or 0-3 (serum total bilirubin level, prothrombin time, and creatinine level). The SSTLI score corresponds to the total points for each item (0-11 points). Results: The areas under the curve of the SSTLI to predict mortality on post-traumatic days 0, 1, 3, and 5 were 0.736, 0.783, 0.830, and 0.824, respectively. A very good to excellent positive correlation was observed between the probability of mortality and the SSTLI score (γ=0.997, P<0.001). A value of 5 points was used as the threshold to distinguish low-risk (<5) from high-risk (≥5) patients. Multivariate analysis using the generalized estimating equation in the logistic regression model indicated that the SSTLI score was an independent predictor of mortality (odds ratio, 1.027; 95% confidence interval, 1.018-1.036; P<0.001). Conclusions: The SSTLI was verified to predict mortality in patients with polytrauma and liver injury. A score of ≥5 on the SSTLI indicated a high-risk of post-traumatic mortality.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제17권5호
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• pp.679-688
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• 2010

Lee (2010) developed a confidence interval for the difference of binomial proportions in two doubly sampled data subject to false-positive errors. The confidence interval seems to be adequate for a general double sampling model subject to false-positive misclassification. However, in many applications, the false-positive error rates could be the same. On this note, the construction of asymptotic confidence interval is considered when the false-positive error rates are common. The coverage behaviors of nine likelihood based confidence intervals are examined. It is shown that the confidence interval based Rao score with the expected information has good performance in terms of coverage probability and expected width.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.655-664
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• 2015

A nonresponse adjusted raking ratio estimator that consists of weighting adjustment using estimated response probability and raking procedure is often used to reduce the nonresponse bias and keep the calibration property of the estimator. We investigated asymptotic properties of nonresponse adjusted raking ratio estimator and proposed a variance estimator. A simulation study is used to examine the performance of suggested estimators.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제20권5호
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• pp.417-425
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• 2013

We consider an extended version of a logarithmic series distribution and discuss the estimation of its parameters by the method of moments and the method of maximum likelihood. Test procedures are suggested to test the significance of the additional parameter of this distribution and all procedures are illustrated with the help of real life data sets. In addition, a simulation study is conducted to assess the performance of the estimators.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.369-378
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• 2006

This Study focuses on the binary forecast of occurrence of heavy snow in Honam area based on the MOS(model output statistic) method. For our study daily amount of snow cover at 17 stations during the cold season (November to March) in 2001 to 2005 and Corresponding 45 RDAPS outputs are used. Logistic regression model and neural networks are applied to predict the probability of occurrence of Heavy snow. Based on the distribution of estimated probabilities, optimal thresholds are determined via true shill score. According to the results of comparison the logistic regression model is recommended.