1 |
Stewart, T.R., R. Pielke and R. Nath, "Understanding user decision making and the value of improved precipitation forecasts- lessons from a case study," Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 85(2004), pp.223-235.
DOI
ScienceOn
|
2 |
Wilks, D.S., "A skill score based on economic value for probability forecasts," Meteorological Applications, Vol.8(2001), pp. 209-219.
DOI
ScienceOn
|
3 |
Lee, K-K. and J-W. Lee, "The economic value of weather forecasts for decisionmaking problems in the profit/loss situation," Meteorological Applications, Vol.14 (2007), pp.455-463.
DOI
ScienceOn
|
4 |
Wright, P., "The harassed decision maker :time pressures, distractions, and the use of evidence," Journal of Applied Psychology, Vol.59(1974), pp.555-561.
DOI
|
5 |
Zhu, Y., Z. Toth, R. Wobus, D. Richardson and K. Mylne, "The economic value of ensemble- based weather forecasts," Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol.83(2002), pp.73-83.
DOI
ScienceOn
|
6 |
Murphy, A.H. and D.S. Wilks, "A case study of the use of statistical models in forecast verification:precipitation probability forecasts," Weather Forecasting, Vol. 13(1998), pp.795-810.
DOI
ScienceOn
|
7 |
Mylne, K.R., "Decision-making from probability forecasts based on forecast value," Meteorological Applications, Vol.9(2002), pp.307-315.
DOI
ScienceOn
|
8 |
Thornes, J.E., "How to judge the quality and value of weather forecast products," Meteorological Applications, Vol.8(2001), pp.307-314.
DOI
ScienceOn
|
9 |
Thompson, J.C., "On the operational deficiencies in categorical weather forecasts," Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol.33(1952), pp.223-226.
|
10 |
Thompson, J.C. and G.W. Brier, "The economic utility of weather forecasts," Monthly Weather Review, Vol.83(1955), pp.249- 254.
DOI
|
11 |
Murphy, A.H., "Decision-making models in the cost-loss ratio situation and measures of the value of probability forecasts," Monthly Weather Review, Vol.104(1976), pp. 1058-1065.
DOI
|
12 |
Murphy, A.H., "The value of climatological, categorical and probabilistic forecasts in the cost-loss situation," Monthly Weather Review, Vol.105(1977), pp.803-816.
DOI
|
13 |
Murphy, A.H., "Decision making and the value of forecasts in a generalized model of the cost-loss ratio situation," Monthly Weather Review, Vol.113(1985), pp.362-369.
DOI
|
14 |
Murphy, A.H., R.W. Katz, R.L. Winkler, and W-R. Hsu, " Repetitive decision making and the value of forecasts in the cost-loss ratio situation:a dynamic model," Monthly Weather Review, Vol.113(1985), pp.801-813.
DOI
|
15 |
Murphy, A.H. and R.L. Winkler, "A general framework for forecast verification," Monthly Weather Review, Vol.115(1987), pp.1330-1338.
DOI
|
16 |
Murphy, A.H. and Q. Ye, "Optimal decision making and the value of information in a time-dependent version of the cost-loss ratio situation," Monthly Weather Review, Vol.118(1990), pp.939-949.
DOI
|
17 |
Epstein, E.S. and A.H. Murphy, "Use and value of multiple-period forecasts in a dynamic model of the cost-loss ratio situation," Monthly Weather Review, Vol.116 (1988), pp.46-761.
|
18 |
Jolliffe, I.T. and D.B. Stephenson, Forecast Verification:A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, John Wiley and Sons, 2003.
|
19 |
Katz, R.W., "Dynamic cost-loss ratio decision- making model with an autocorrelated climate variable," Journal of Climate, Vol.6 (1993), pp.151-160.
DOI
|
20 |
Katz, R.W. and A.H. Murphy, "Quality/value relationship for imperfect weather forecasts in a prototype multistage decisionmaking model," Weather Forecast, Vol.8 (1990), pp.75-86.
|
21 |
Katz, R.W. and A.H. Murphy, Economic Value of Weather and Climate Forecasts, Cambridge University Press, 1997.
|